scholarly journals Daily Peak Load Forecasting Based on Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise and Support Vector Machine Optimized by Modified Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuyu Dai ◽  
Dongxiao Niu ◽  
Yan Li
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Peak Load ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Grey Wolf ◽  
Grey Wolf Optimization ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Adaptive Noise

scholarly journals Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Variational Mode Decomposition and Grey Wolf Optimization

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (16) ◽  
pp. 4890
Author(s):  
Mengran Zhou ◽  
Tianyu Hu ◽  
Kai Bian ◽  
Wenhao Lai ◽  
Feng Hu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Electric Load ◽  
Variational Mode Decomposition ◽  
Grey Wolf ◽  
Grey Wolf Optimization ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Electric Load Forecasting

Short-term electric load forecasting plays a significant role in the safe and stable operation of the LO system and power market transactions. In recent years, with the development of new energy sources, more and more sources have been integrated into the grid. This has posed a serious challenge to short-term electric load forecasting. Focusing on load series with non-linear and time-varying characteristics, an approach to short-term electric load forecasting using a “decomposition and ensemble” framework is proposed in this paper. The method is verified using hourly load data from Oslo and the surrounding areas of Norway. First, the load series is decomposed into five components by variational mode decomposition (VMD). Second, a support vector regression (SVR) forecasting model is established for the five components to predict the electric load components, and the grey wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm is used to optimize the cost and gamma parameters of SVR. Finally, the predicted values of the five components are superimposed to obtain the final electric load forecasting results. In this paper, the proposed method is compared with GWO-SVR without modal decomposition and using empirical mode decomposition (EMD) to test the impact of VMD on prediction. This paper also compares the proposed method with the SVR model using VMD and other optimization algorithms. The four evaluation indexes of the proposed method are optimal: MAE is 71.65 MW, MAPE is 1.41%, MSE is 10,461.32, and R2 is 0.9834. This indicates that the proposed method has a good application prospect for short-term electric load forecasting.

scholarly journals Long-term load forecasting using grey wolf optimizer -least-squares support vector machine

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 417
Author(s):  
Z. M. Yasin ◽  
N. A. Salim ◽  
N.F.A. Aziz ◽  
Y.M. Ali ◽  
H. Mohamad
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Peak Load ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Grey Wolf Optimizer ◽  
Grey Wolf ◽  
Load Demand

<p><span lang="EN-US">Long term load forecasting data is important for grid expansion and power system operation. Besides, it also important to ensure the generation capacity meet electricity demand at all times. In this paper, Least-Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) is used to predict the long-term load demand. Four inputs are considered which are peak load demand, ambient temperature, humidity and wind speed. Total load demand is set as the output of prediction in LSSVM. In order to improve the accuracy of the LSSVM, Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) is hybridized to obtain the optimal parameters of LSSVM namely GWO-LSSVM. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is used as the quantify measurement of the prediction model. The objective of the optimization is to minimize the value of MAPE. The performance of GWO-LSSVM is compared with other methods such as LSSVM and Ant Lion Optimizer – Least-Square Support Vector Machine (ALO-LSSVM). From the results obtained, it can be concluded that GWO-LSSVM provide lower MAPE value which is 0.13% as compared to other methods.</span></p>

scholarly journals Energy Consumption Estimation of the Electric Bus Based on Grey Wolf Optimization Algorithm and Support Vector Machine Regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4689
Author(s):  
Wei Qin ◽  
Linhong Wang ◽  
Yuhan Liu ◽  
Cheng Xu
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Grey Wolf ◽  
Grey Wolf Optimization ◽  
Support Vector Machine Regression ◽  
Electric Bus ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
The Mean

Electric buses have many significant advantages, such as zero emissions and low noise and energy consumption, making them play an important role in saving the operation cost of bus companies and reducing urban traffic pollution emissions. Therefore, in recent years, many cities in the world dedicate to promoting the electrification of public transport vehicles. Whereas due to the limitation of on-board battery capacity, the driving range of electric buses is relatively short. The accurate estimation of energy consumption on the electric bus routes is the premise of conducting bus scheduling and optimizing the layout of charging facilities. This study collected the actual operation data of three electric bus routes in Meihekou City, China, and established the support vector machine regression (SVR) model by taking the state of charge (SOC), trip travel time, mean environment temperature and air-conditioning operation time as the independent variables; while the energy consumptions of the route operations served as the dependent variables. Furthermore, the grey wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm was adopted to select the optimal parameters of the proposed model. Finally, a support vector machine regression model based on the grey wolf optimization algorithm (GWO-SVR) is proposed. Three real bus lines were taken as examples to validate the model. The results show that the mean average percentage error is 14.47% and the mean average error is 0.7776. In addition, the estimation accuracy and training time of the proposed model are superior to the genetic algorithm-back propagation neural network model and grid-search support vector machine regression model.

Fog Enabled Cloud Based Intelligent Resource Management Approach Using Improved Grey Wolf Optimization Strategy and Kernel Support Vector Machine

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 1275-1281
Author(s):  
R. Sudha ◽  
G. Indirani ◽  
S. Selvamuthukumaran
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Resource Management ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Management Approach ◽  
Optimization Strategy ◽  
Grey Wolf ◽  
Processing Load ◽  
Grey Wolf Optimization ◽  
Kernel Support Vector Machine ◽  
Service Response Time

Resource management is a significant task of scheduling and allocating resources to applications to meet the required Quality of Service (QoS) limitations by the minimization of overhead with an effective resource utilization. This paper presents a Fog-enabled Cloud computing resource management model for smart homes by the Improved Grey Wolf Optimization Strategy. Besides, Kernel Support Vector Machine (KSVM) model is applied for series forecasting of time and also of processing load of a distributed server and determine the proper resources which should be allocated for the optimization of the service response time. The presented IGWO-KSVM model has been simulated under several aspects and the outcome exhibited the outstanding performance of the presented model.

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