scholarly journals Entropy Method for Decision-Making: Uncertainty Cycles in Tourism Demand

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (11) ◽  
pp. 1370
Author(s):  
Miguel Ángel Ruiz Reina

A new methodology is presented for measuring, classifying and predicting the cycles of uncertainty that occur in temporary decision-making in the tourist accommodation market (apartments and hotels). Special attention is paid to the role of entropy and cycles in the process under the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis. The work scheme analyses random cycles from time to time, and in the frequency domain, the linear and nonlinear causality relationships between variables are studied. The period analysed is from January 2005 to December 2018; the following empirical results stand out: (1) On longer scales, the periodicity of the uncertainty of decision-making is between 6 and 12 months, respectively, for all the nationalities described. (2) The elasticity of demand for tourist apartments is approximately 1% due to changes in demand for tourist hotels. (3) The elasticity of the uncertainty factor is highly correlated with the country of origin of tourists visiting Spain. For example, it has been empirically shown that increases of 1% in uncertainty cause increases in the demand for apartments of 2.12% (worldwide), 3.05% (UK), 1.91% (Germany), 1.78% (France), 7.21% (Ireland), 3.61% (The Netherlands) respectively. This modelling has an explanatory capacity of 99% in all the models analysed.

2006 ◽  
Vol 95 (9) ◽  
pp. 1180-1185 ◽  
Author(s):  
E P M van Vliet ◽  
M J C Eijkemans ◽  
E W Steyerberg ◽  
E J Kuipers ◽  
H W Tilanus ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 237-250 ◽  
Author(s):  
Beatriz Benítez-Aurioles

This article provides evidence on the concentration of peer-to-peer tourist accommodations in the center of cities and the role of distance. On that basis, an explanatory model is proposed to understand the locating decisions of the different agents involved. The model is empirically implemented through a two-stage least squares regression, which allows estimating the elasticity of demand with respect to price and distance. Results for the Spanish cities of Barcelona and Madrid confirm similar price elasticity of demand in both (2.2 and 2.4, respectively) but greater sensibility of demand with respect to distance to the center in the former.


Author(s):  
Martha C. Monroe ◽  
Arjen E. J. Wals ◽  
Hiromi Kobori ◽  
Johanna Ekne

This chapter presents three cases that demonstrate a variety of interactions between residents and expert leaders in fostering sustainability innovations in cities. It looks at sustainable cities in Sweden, Japan, and the Netherlands, focusing on common principles that may help explain their success as well as the role of environmental education and learning in these efforts. All three examples engage municipal nonprofit and government agency leaders with residents in many different ways. Leaders and residents learn about sustainability as they build skills for participatory decision making. They offer ideas and realize that their contributions matter. The cases have outlived their inception phase and continue to grow and improve their outcomes despite setbacks, changing circumstances, and even opposition. The chapter explains how monitoring the outcomes of such innovations, including through citizen science and social learning, can contribute to their effectiveness.


2005 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-73
Author(s):  
John P. Windmuller

This article analyzes the organization of employers in the Netheriands for their industrial relations tasks. After first describing the role of individual employers and explaining why that role is a relatively small one, the article emphasizes the structure and functioning of employers associations in industrial relations. Special attention is given to the existence of pluralistic associations in a country where by tradition most if not all social organizations are pluralistically organized. The postwar wage and economic policies of the Dutch government have encouraged a high degree of centralized decision-making among employers as well as among labor organizations. The article concludes with some observations about the likely consequences of a current trend toward greater decentralization.


2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 117-131 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catherine Moury ◽  
Arco Timmermans

In this article, we focus on manifest interparty conflict over policy issues and the role of coalition agreements in solving these conflicts. We present empirical findings on the characteristics of coalition agreements including deals over policy controversy and on inter-party conflict occurring during the lifetime of governments in Germany, Belgium, Italy and the Netherlands. We analyze the ways in which parties in government were or were not constrained by written deals over disputed issues. Coalition agreements from all four countries include specific policy deals, one third of which are precisely defined. These policy deals concern both consensual and controversial issues. Our central finding is that, in the case of intra-party conflict, parties almost always fall back on the initial policy deals when these exist. As such, policy statements of the coalition agreement facilitate decision making in each of the countries studied.


2008 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 186-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ada van Bruchem-van de Scheur ◽  
Arie van der Arend ◽  
Frans van Wijmen ◽  
Huda Huijer Abu-Saad ◽  
Ruud ter Meulen

This article presents the attitudes of nurses towards three issues concerning their role in euthanasia and physician-assisted suicide. A questionnaire survey was conducted with 1509 nurses who were employed in hospitals, home care organizations and nursing homes. The study was conducted in the Netherlands between January 2001 and August 2004. The results show that less than half (45%) of nurses would be willing to serve on committees reviewing cases of euthanasia and physician-assisted suicide. More than half of the nurses (58.2%) found it too far-reaching to oblige physicians to consult a nurse in the decision-making process. The majority of the nurses stated that preparing euthanatics (62.9%) and inserting an infusion needle to administer the euthanatics (54.1%) should not be accepted as nursing tasks. The findings are discussed in the context of common practices and policies in the Netherlands, and a recommendation is made not to include these three issues in new regulations on the role of nurses in euthanasia and physician-assisted suicide.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Arceneaux

AbstractIntuitions guide decision-making, and looking to the evolutionary history of humans illuminates why some behavioral responses are more intuitive than others. Yet a place remains for cognitive processes to second-guess intuitive responses – that is, to be reflective – and individual differences abound in automatic, intuitive processing as well.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document