scholarly journals Graphical Models in Reconstructability Analysis and Bayesian Networks

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (8) ◽  
pp. 986
Author(s):  
Marcus Harris ◽  
Martin Zwick

Reconstructability Analysis (RA) and Bayesian Networks (BN) are both probabilistic graphical modeling methodologies used in machine learning and artificial intelligence. There are RA models that are statistically equivalent to BN models and there are also models unique to RA and models unique to BN. The primary goal of this paper is to unify these two methodologies via a lattice of structures that offers an expanded set of models to represent complex systems more accurately or more simply. The conceptualization of this lattice also offers a framework for additional innovations beyond what is presented here. Specifically, this paper integrates RA and BN by developing and visualizing: (1) a BN neutral system lattice of general and specific graphs, (2) a joint RA-BN neutral system lattice of general and specific graphs, (3) an augmented RA directed system lattice of prediction graphs, and (4) a BN directed system lattice of prediction graphs. Additionally, it (5) extends RA notation to encompass BN graphs and (6) offers an algorithm to search the joint RA-BN neutral system lattice to find the best representation of system structure from underlying system variables. All lattices shown in this paper are for four variables, but the theory and methodology presented in this paper are general and apply to any number of variables. These methodological innovations are contributions to machine learning and artificial intelligence and more generally to complex systems analysis. The paper also reviews some relevant prior work of others so that the innovations offered here can be understood in a self-contained way within the context of this paper.

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-106
Author(s):  
Ran Spiegler

This review presents an approach to modeling decision making under misspecified subjective models. The approach is based on the idea that decision makers impose subjective causal interpretations on observed correlations, and it borrows basic concepts and tools from the statistics and artificial intelligence literatures on Bayesian networks. While these background literatures used Bayesian networks as a platform for normative and computational analysis of probabilistic and causal inference, in the framework proposed here graphical models represent causal misperceptions and help analyze their behavioral implications. I show how this approach sheds light on earlier equilibrium models with nonrational expectations and demonstrate its scope of economic applications.


Author(s):  
Shyamala G. Nadathur

Large datasets are regularly collected in biomedicine and healthcare (here referred to as the ‘health domain’). These datasets have some unique characteristics and problems. Therefore there is a need for methods which allow modelling in spite of the uniqueness of the datasets, capable of dealing with missing data, allow integrating data from various sources, explicitly indicate statistical dependence and independence and allow modelling with uncertainties. These requirements have given rise to an influx of new methods, especially from the fields of machine learning and probabilistic graphical models. In particular, Bayesian Networks (BNs), which are a type of graphical network model with directed links that offer a general and versatile approach to capturing and reasoning with uncertainty. In this chapter some background mathematics/statistics, description and relevant aspects of building the networks are given to better understand s and appreciate BN’s potential. There are also brief discussions of their applications, the unique value and the challenges of this modelling technique for the domain. As will be seen in this chapter, with the additional advantages the BNs can offer, it is not surprising that it is becoming an increasingly popular modelling tool in the health domain.


Author(s):  
Sotiris Kotsiantis ◽  
Dimitris Kanellopoulos ◽  
Panayotis Pintelas

In classification learning, the learning scheme is presented with a set of classified examples from which it is expected tone can learn a way of classifying unseen examples (see Table 1). Formally, the problem can be stated as follows: Given training data {(x1, y1)…(xn, yn)}, produce a classifier h: X- >Y that maps an object x ? X to its classification label y ? Y. A large number of classification techniques have been developed based on artificial intelligence (logic-based techniques, perception-based techniques) and statistics (Bayesian networks, instance-based techniques). No single learning algorithm can uniformly outperform other algorithms over all data sets. The concept of combining classifiers is proposed as a new direction for the improvement of the performance of individual machine learning algorithms. Numerous methods have been suggested for the creation of ensembles of classi- fiers (Dietterich, 2000). Although, or perhaps because, many methods of ensemble creation have been proposed, there is as yet no clear picture of which method is best.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2133
Author(s):  
Mustaqeem ◽  
Soonil Kwon

Artificial intelligence, deep learning, and machine learning are dominant sources to use in order to make a system smarter. Nowadays, the smart speech emotion recognition (SER) system is a basic necessity and an emerging research area of digital audio signal processing. However, SER plays an important role with many applications that are related to human–computer interactions (HCI). The existing state-of-the-art SER system has a quite low prediction performance, which needs improvement in order to make it feasible for the real-time commercial applications. The key reason for the low accuracy and the poor prediction rate is the scarceness of the data and a model configuration, which is the most challenging task to build a robust machine learning technique. In this paper, we addressed the limitations of the existing SER systems and proposed a unique artificial intelligence (AI) based system structure for the SER that utilizes the hierarchical blocks of the convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) with sequence learning. We designed four blocks of ConvLSTM, which is called the local features learning block (LFLB), in order to extract the local emotional features in a hierarchical correlation. The ConvLSTM layers are adopted for input-to-state and state-to-state transition in order to extract the spatial cues by utilizing the convolution operations. We placed four LFLBs in order to extract the spatiotemporal cues in the hierarchical correlational form speech signals using the residual learning strategy. Furthermore, we utilized a novel sequence learning strategy in order to extract the global information and adaptively adjust the relevant global feature weights according to the correlation of the input features. Finally, we used the center loss function with the softmax loss in order to produce the probability of the classes. The center loss increases the final classification results and ensures an accurate prediction as well as shows a conspicuous role in the whole proposed SER scheme. We tested the proposed system over two standard, interactive emotional dyadic motion capture (IEMOCAP) and ryerson audio visual database of emotional speech and song (RAVDESS) speech corpora, and obtained a 75% and an 80% recognition rate, respectively.


2020 ◽  
pp. 167-181
Author(s):  
Ramón Alvarado

Alvarado provides a detailed examination of different kinds of opacity in algorithms, raising the problems of “many hands” (where to attribute responsibility in complex systems), error assessment, and path complexity. In the process, he offers the reader a demystified understanding of how big data computational methods function and suggests ways in which opacity threatens fundamental elements of the democratic process.


Author(s):  
Matthew N. O. Sadiku ◽  
Chandra M. M Kotteti ◽  
Sarhan M. Musa

Machine learning is an emerging field of artificial intelligence which can be applied to the agriculture sector. It refers to the automated detection of meaningful patterns in a given data.  Modern agriculture seeks ways to conserve water, use nutrients and energy more efficiently, and adapt to climate change.  Machine learning in agriculture allows for more accurate disease diagnosis and crop disease prediction. This paper briefly introduces what machine learning can do in the agriculture sector.


Author(s):  
M. A. Fesenko ◽  
G. V. Golovaneva ◽  
A. V. Miskevich

The new model «Prognosis of men’ reproductive function disorders» was developed. The machine learning algorithms (artificial intelligence) was used for this purpose, the model has high prognosis accuracy. The aim of the model applying is prioritize diagnostic and preventive measures to minimize reproductive system diseases complications and preserve workers’ health and efficiency.


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