scholarly journals Resampled Efficient Frontier Integration for MOEAs

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 422
Author(s):  
David Quintana ◽  
David Moreno
Keyword(s):  
Evolutionary Algorithms ◽  
Risk Aversion ◽  
Real World ◽  
Pareto Front ◽  
Efficient Frontier ◽  
Multiobjective Evolutionary Algorithms ◽  
Estimation Errors ◽  
Portfolio Composition ◽  
Mean Variance Portfolio ◽  
Mean Variance

Mean-variance portfolio optimization is subject to estimation errors for asset returns and covariances. The search for robust solutions has been traditionally tackled using resampling strategies that offer alternatives to reference sets of returns or risk aversion parameters, which are subsequently combined. The issue with the standard method of averaging the composition of the portfolios for the same risk aversion is that, under real-world conditions, the approach might result in unfeasible solutions. In case the efficient frontiers for the different scenarios are identified using multiobjective evolutionary algorithms, it is often the case that the approach to averaging the portfolio composition cannot be used, due to differences in the number of portfolios or their spacing along the Pareto front. In this study, we introduce three alternatives to solving this problem, making resampling with standard multiobjective evolutionary algorithms under real-world constraints possible. The robustness of these approaches is experimentally tested on 15 years of market data.

scholarly journals Applying Least Squares Support Vector Machines to Mean-Variance Portfolio Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Wang ◽  
Junseok Kim
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machines ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Portfolio Management ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Efficient Frontier ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Research Fields ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Mean Variance Portfolio ◽  
Mean Variance

Portfolio selection problem introduced by Markowitz has been one of the most important research fields in modern finance. In this paper, we propose a model (least squares support vector machines (LSSVM)-mean-variance) for the portfolio management based on LSSVM. To verify the reliability of LSSVM-mean-variance model, we conduct an empirical research and design an algorithm to illustrate the performance of the model by using the historical data from Shanghai stock exchange. The numerical results show that the proposed model is useful when compared with the traditional Markowitz model. Comparing the efficient frontier and total wealth of both models, our model can provide a more measurable standard of judgment when investors do their investment.

scholarly journals Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection with Tracking Error Penalization

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 1915
Author(s):  
William Lefebvre ◽  
Grégoire Loeper ◽  
Huyên Pham
Keyword(s):  
Portfolio Selection ◽  
Tracking Error ◽  
Efficient Frontier ◽  
Minimum Variance ◽  
Sharpe Ratio ◽  
Portfolio Strategy ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mean Variance Portfolio ◽  
Mean Variance ◽  
Variance Criterion

This paper studies a variation of the continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection where a tracking-error penalization is added to the mean-variance criterion. The tracking error term penalizes the distance between the allocation controls and a reference portfolio with same wealth and fixed weights. Such consideration is motivated as follows: (i) On the one hand, it is a way to robustify the mean-variance allocation in the case of misspecified parameters, by “fitting" it to a reference portfolio that can be agnostic to market parameters; (ii) On the other hand, it is a procedure to track a benchmark and improve the Sharpe ratio of the resulting portfolio by considering a mean-variance criterion in the objective function. This problem is formulated as a McKean–Vlasov control problem. We provide explicit solutions for the optimal portfolio strategy and asymptotic expansions of the portfolio strategy and efficient frontier for small values of the tracking error parameter. Finally, we compare the Sharpe ratios obtained by the standard mean-variance allocation and the penalized one for four different reference portfolios: equal-weights, minimum-variance, equal risk contributions and shrinking portfolio. This comparison is done on a simulated misspecified model, and on a backtest performed with historical data. Our results show that in most cases, the penalized portfolio outperforms in terms of Sharpe ratio both the standard mean-variance and the reference portfolio.

Mean-variance portfolio selection with an uncertain exit-time in a regime-switching market

2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 1171-1186
Author(s):  
Reza Keykhaei
Keyword(s):  
Portfolio Selection ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Exit Time ◽  
Efficient Frontier ◽  
Optimal Investment ◽  
Homogeneous Markov Chain ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Special Cases ◽  
Mean Variance Portfolio ◽  
Mean Variance

In this paper, we deal with multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problems with an exogenous uncertain exit-time in a regime-switching market. The market is modelled by a non-homogeneous Markov chain in which the random returns of assets depend on the states of the market and investment time periods. Applying the Lagrange duality method, we derive explicit closed-form expressions for the optimal investment strategies and the efficient frontier. Also, we show that some known results in the literature can be obtained as special cases of our results. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the results.

Application of the Mean-Variance Theory and Resampling Technique for the Italian Energy Portfolio Settlement

2013 ◽  
Vol 869-870 ◽  
pp. 581-592
Author(s):  
Mauro Arnesano ◽  
Antonio Paolo Carlucci ◽  
Giovanni D'Oria ◽  
Alessio Guadalupi ◽  
Domenico Laforgia
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Estimation Error ◽  
Efficient Frontier ◽  
Energy Generation ◽  
Energy System ◽  
Estimation Errors ◽  
Energy Mix ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mean Variance

The energy planning based on Mean - Variance theory, guides the investors in investment decisions, trying to maximize the return and minimize the risk of investment. However, this theory is based on strong hypotheses and, in addition, input data are often affected by estimation errors. Moreover, this theory determines poor diversification increasing return and risk of the portfolio, and strong variability of the outputs when inputs are varied.In the first part of the paper, the Mean - Variance theory was applied to the energy generation in Italy; in particular, the analysis was on the actual energy mix, but also assuming the use of nuclear technology and taking into account verisimilar improvement, of technologies in the future.On the other hand, in the second part of the paper, a methodology has been applied in order to limit the problems of Mean-Variance theory applied to the energy mix settlement. In particular, the input variables have been calculated using Monte Carlo simulation, in order to reduce the estimation error, and the Resampled EfficiencyTMtechnique has been applied in order to calculate the resulting new “average” efficient frontier. This methodology has been applied either not limiting or limiting the minimum and maximum percentage for every energy generation technology, in order to simulate constraints due, for example, to the technological characteristics of the plant, the availability of the sources and eventually to norms, to the territorial characteristics and to the socio-political choices. The application of Mean - Variance theory allowed to obtain energy portfolio, alternative to the actual, characterized by higher values of expected returns an lower values of risk.It was also shown that the application of the Resampled EfficiencyTMtechnique with data originated with the Monte Carlo simulation effectively tackles the problems of Mean - Variance theory; in this way, the decision maker is helped in making decisions in the energy system policy and development.Thanks to this approach, applied in particular to the Italian energy contest, it was also possible to evaluate the effectiveness of the introduced modifications to the Italian actual energy mix to achieve the 2020 European Energy Directive targets in particular concerning the reduction of CO2levels.

scholarly journals Multi-period mean-variance portfolio optimization with markov switching parameters

2008 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 138-146
Author(s):  
Oswaldo L. V. Costa ◽  
Michael V. Araujo
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Portfolio Selection ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Efficient Frontier ◽  
Control Policy ◽  
Control Law ◽  
Numerical Examples ◽  
Markov Random ◽  
Mean Variance Portfolio ◽  
Mean Variance

In this paper we deal with a multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem with the market parameters subject to Markov random regime switching. We analytically derive an optimal control policy for this mean-variance formulation in a closed form. Such a policy is obtained from a set of interconnected Riccati difference equations. Additionally, an explicit expression for the efficient frontier corresponding to this control law is identified and numerical examples are presented.

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