scholarly journals An Entropy-Based Machine Learning Algorithm for Combining Macroeconomic Forecasts

Entropy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 1015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carles Bretó ◽  
Priscila Espinosa ◽  
Penélope Hernández ◽  
Jose M. Pavía

This paper applies a Machine Learning approach with the aim of providing a single aggregated prediction from a set of individual predictions. Departing from the well-known maximum-entropy inference methodology, a new factor capturing the distance between the true and the estimated aggregated predictions presents a new problem. Algorithms such as ridge, lasso or elastic net help in finding a new methodology to tackle this issue. We carry out a simulation study to evaluate the performance of such a procedure and apply it in order to forecast and measure predictive ability using a dataset of predictions on Spanish gross domestic product.

Author(s):  
B.D. Britt ◽  
T. Glagowski

AbstractThis paper describes current research toward automating the redesign process. In redesign, a working design is altered to meet new problem specifications. This process is complicated by interactions between different parts of the design, and many researchers have addressed these issues. An overview is given of a large design tool under development, the Circuit Designer's Apprentice. This tool integrates various techniques for reengineering existing circuits so that they meet new circuit requirements. The primary focus of the paper is one particular technique being used to reengineer circuits when they cannot be transformed to meet the new problem requirements. In these cases, a design plan is automatically generated for the circuit, and then replayed to solve all or part of the new problem. This technique is based upon the derivational analogy approach to design reuse. Derivational Analogy is a machine learning algorithm in which a design plan is saved at the time of design so that it can be replayed on a new design problem. Because design plans were not saved for the circuits available to the Circuit Designer's Apprentice, an algorithm was developed that automatically reconstructs a design plan for any circuit. This algorithm, Reconstructive Derivational Analogy, is described in detail, including a quantitative analysis of the implementation of this algorithm.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 24-32
Author(s):  
Lamiaa Abd Habeeb

In this paper, we designed a system that extract citizens opinion about Iraqis government and Iraqis politicians through analyze their comments from Facebook (social media network). Since the data is random and contains noise, we cleaned the text and builds a stemmer to stem the words as much as possible, cleaning and stemming reduced the number of vocabulary from 28968 to 17083, these reductions caused reduction in memory size from 382858 bytes to 197102 bytes. Generally, there are two approaches to extract users opinion; namely, lexicon-based approach and machine learning approach. In our work, machine learning approach is applied with three machine learning algorithm which are; Naïve base, K-Nearest neighbor and AdaBoost ensemble machine learning algorithm. For Naïve base, we apply two models; Bernoulli and Multinomial models. We found that, Naïve base with Multinomial models give highest accuracy.


Author(s):  
Selvarathi C, Et. al.

Malware is one of the predominant challenges for the Internet users. In recent times, the injection of malwares into machines by anonymous hackers have been increased. This drives us to an urgent need of a system that detects a malware. Our idea is to build a system that learns with the previously collected data related to malwares and detects a malware in the give file, if it is present. We propose a various machine learning algorithm to detect a malware and indicates the user about the danger. In particular we propose to use a algorithm which give a optimal solution to hardware and software oriented malwares.


2021 ◽  
pp. 000313482110385
Author(s):  
Jeff Gao ◽  
Aziz M. Merchant

Background There is a significant mortality burden associated with emergency general surgery (EGS) procedures. The objective of this study was to develop and validate the use of a machine learning approach to predict mortality following EGS. Methods The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried for patients who underwent EGS between 2012 and 2017. We developed a machine learning algorithm to predict mortality following EGS and compared its performance with existing risk-prediction models of American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, American College of Surgeon Surgical Risk Calculator (ACS-SRC), and the modified frailty index (mFI) using the area under receiver operative curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Results The machine learning algorithm had a very high performance for predicting mortality following EGS, and it had superior performance compared to the ASA classification, ACS-SRC, and the mFI, as measured by the AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV. Discussion Machine learning approaches may be a promising tool to predict outcomes for EGS, aiding clinicians in surgical decision-making and counseling of patients and family, improving clinical outcomes by identifying modifiable risk factors than can be optimized, and decreasing treatment costs through resource allocation.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. e0252873
Author(s):  
Hawazin W. Elani ◽  
André F. M. Batista ◽  
W. Murray Thomson ◽  
Ichiro Kawachi ◽  
Alexandre D. P. Chiavegatto Filho

Introduction Little is understood about the socioeconomic predictors of tooth loss, a condition that can negatively impact individual’s quality of life. The goal of this study is to develop a machine-learning algorithm to predict complete and incremental tooth loss among adults and to compare the predictive performance of these models. Methods We used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2011 to 2014. We developed multiple machine-learning algorithms and assessed their predictive performances by examining the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. Results The extreme gradient boosting trees presented the highest performance in the prediction of edentulism (AUC = 88.7%; 95%CI: 87.1, 90.2), the absence of a functional dentition (AUC = 88.3% 95%CI: 87.3,89.3) and for predicting missing any tooth (AUC = 83.2%; 95%CI, 82.0, 84.4). Although, as expected, age and routine dental care emerged as strong predictors of tooth loss, the machine learning approach identified additional predictors, including socioeconomic conditions. Indeed, the performance of models incorporating socioeconomic characteristics was better at predicting tooth loss than those relying on clinical dental indicators alone. Conclusions Future application of machine-learning algorithm, with longitudinal cohorts, for identification of individuals at risk for tooth loss could assist clinicians to prioritize interventions directed toward the prevention of tooth loss.


Author(s):  
Prof. Barry Wiling

This Paper describes about Identification of Mouth Cancer laceration Using Machine Learning Approach .The SVM algorithm is used for this purpose. Image segmentation operations are performed using: Resizing an image, Gray scale conversion, Histogram equalization and Classifying the Segmented image using SVM. SVM is used to reduce the complexity faced in the existing system comprising of Texture Segmentation and ANN (Artificial Neural Networks) Algorithm. SVM is a simple Machine Learning algorithm when compared to ANN. The outcome of the paper is to segment and classify the Malignancy from the Non-Malignant region using the classifier SVM. SVM performs the classification based on the dataset that contains the trained images.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diti Roy ◽  
Md. Ashiq Mahmood ◽  
Tamal Joyti Roy

<p>Heart Disease is the most dominating disease which is taking a large number of deaths every year. A report from WHO in 2016 portrayed that every year at least 17 million people die of heart disease. This number is gradually increasing day by day and WHO estimated that this death toll will reach the summit of 75 million by 2030. Despite having modern technology and health care system predicting heart disease is still beyond limitations. As the Machine Learning algorithm is a vital source predicting data from available data sets we have used a machine learning approach to predict heart disease. We have collected data from the UCI repository. In our study, we have used Random Forest, Zero R, Voted Perceptron, K star classifier. We have got the best result through the Random Forest classifier with an accuracy of 97.69.<i><b></b></i></p> <p><b> </b></p>


Author(s):  
Ganesh K. Shinde

Abstract: Most important part of information gathering is to focus on how people think. There are so many opinion resources such as online review sites and personal blogs are available. In this paper we focused on the Twitter. Twitter allow user to express his opinion on variety of entities. We performed sentiment analysis on tweets using Text Mining methods such as Lexicon and Machine Learning Approach. We performed Sentiment Analysis in two steps, first by searching the polarity words from the pool of words that are already predefined in lexicon dictionary and in Second step training the machine learning algorithm using polarities given in the first step. Keywords: Sentiment analysis, Social Media, Twitter, Lexicon Dictionary, Machine Learning Classifiers, SVM.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mareen Lösing ◽  
Jörg Ebbing ◽  
Wolfgang Szwillus

&lt;p&gt;Improving the understanding of geothermal heat flux in Antarctica is crucial for ice-sheet modelling and glacial isostatic adjustment. It affects the ice rheology and can lead to basal melting, thereby promoting ice flow. Direct measurements are sparse and models inferred from e.g. magnetic or seismological data differ immensely. By Bayesian inversion, we evaluated the uncertainties of some of these models and studied the interdependencies of the thermal parameters. In contrast to previous studies, our method allows the parameters to vary laterally, which leads to a heterogeneous West- and a slightly more homogeneous East Antarctica with overall lower surface heat flux. The Curie isotherm depth and radiogenic heat production have the strongest impact on our results but both parameters have a high uncertainty.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;To overcome such shortcomings, we adopt a machine learning approach, more specifically a Gradient Boosted Regression Tree model, in order to find an optimal predictor for locations with sparse measurements. However, this approach largely relies on global data sets, which are notoriously unreliable in Antarctica. Therefore, validity and quality of the data sets is reviewed and discussed. Using regional and more detailed data sets of Antarctica&amp;#8217;s Gondwana neighbors might improve the predictions due to their similar tectonic history. The performance of the machine learning algorithm can then be examined by comparing the predictions to the existing measurements. From our study, we expect to get new insights in the geothermal structure of Antarctica, which will help with future studies on the coupling of Solid Earth and Cryosphere.&lt;/p&gt;


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diti Roy ◽  
Md. Ashiq Mahmood ◽  
Tamal Joyti Roy

<p>Heart Disease is the most dominating disease which is taking a large number of deaths every year. A report from WHO in 2016 portrayed that every year at least 17 million people die of heart disease. This number is gradually increasing day by day and WHO estimated that this death toll will reach the summit of 75 million by 2030. Despite having modern technology and health care system predicting heart disease is still beyond limitations. As the Machine Learning algorithm is a vital source predicting data from available data sets we have used a machine learning approach to predict heart disease. We have collected data from the UCI repository. In our study, we have used Random Forest, Zero R, Voted Perceptron, K star classifier. We have got the best result through the Random Forest classifier with an accuracy of 97.69.<i><b></b></i></p> <p><b> </b></p>


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