scholarly journals Non-Linear Diffusion and Power Law Properties of Heterogeneous Systems: Application to Financial Time Series

Entropy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (9) ◽  
pp. 649 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miguel Fuentes

In this work, we show that it is possible to obtain important ubiquitous physical characteristics when an aggregation of many systems is taken into account. We discuss the possibility of obtaining not only an anomalous diffusion process, but also a Non-Linear diffusion equation, that leads to a probability distribution, when using a set of non-Markovian processes. This probability distribution shows a power law behavior in the structure of its tails. It also reflects the anomalous transport characteristics of the ensemble of particles. This ubiquitous behavior, with a power law in the diffusive transport and the structure of the probability distribution, is related to a fast fluctuating phenomenon presented in the noise parameter. We discuss all the previous results using a financial time series example.

2010 ◽  
Vol 439-440 ◽  
pp. 683-687 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Zhang ◽  
Ke Qiang Dong

In this paper, we analyze the stock of Nanjing Panda Electronics Co Ltd for the 44-year period, from May 2, 1996, to October 9, 2009, a total of 3200 trading days. Using the Box-counting dimension method, we find that the financial data have different power law exponents in the plot for the number of box and diameter of box, which indicates the multifractality exist in the time series. In order to investigate the latent properties in the data, the width and maximum of the singular spectrum are calculated. The results show the strong degree of multifractality in the time series.


Author(s):  
Maryem Rhanoui ◽  
Siham Yousfi ◽  
Mounia Mikram ◽  
Hajar Merizak

<div style="’text-align: justify;"><p>Financial time series are volatile, non-stationary and non-linear data that are affected by external economic factors. There is several performant predictive approaches such as univariate ARIMA model and more recently Recurrent Neural Network. The accurate forecasting of budget data is a strategic and challenging task for an optimal management of resources, it requires the use of the most accurate model. We propose a predictive approach that uses and compares the Machine Learning ARIMA model and Deep Learning Recurrent LSTM model. The application and the comparative analysis shows that the LSTM model outperforms the ARIMA model, mainly thanks to the LSTMs ability to learn non-linear relationship from data.</p></div>


2000 ◽  
Vol 03 (03) ◽  
pp. 335-346 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. EUGENE STANLEY ◽  
LUÍS A. NUNES AMARAL ◽  
PARAMESWARAN GOPIKRISHNAN ◽  
YANHUI LIU ◽  
VASILIKI PLEROU ◽  
...  

In recent years, a considerable number of physicists have started applying physics concepts and methods to understand economic phenomena. The term "Econophysics" is sometimes used to describe this work. Economic fluctuations can have many repercussions, and understanding fluctuations is a topic that many physicists have contributed to in recent years. Further, economic systems are examples of complex interacting systems for which a huge amount of data exist and it is possible that the experience gained by physicists in studying fluctuations in physical systems might yield new results in economics. Much recent work in econophysics is focused on understanding the peculiar statistical properties of price fluctuations in financial time series. In this talk, we discuss three recent results. The first result concerns the probability distribution of stock price fluctuations. This distribution decreases with increasing fluctuations with a power-law tail well outside the Lévy stable regime and describes fluctuations that differ by as much as 8 orders of magnitude. Further, this nonstable distribution preserves its functional form for fluctuations on time scales that differ by 3 orders of magnitude, from 1 min up to approximately 10 days. The second result concerns the accurate quantification of volatility correlations in financial time series. While price fluctuations themselves have rapidly decaying correlations, the volatility estimated by using either the absolute value or the square of the price fluctuations has correlations that decay as a power-law and persist for several months. The third result bears on the application of random matrix theory to understand the correlations among price fluctuations of any two different stocks. We compare the statistics of the cross-correlation matrix constructed from price fluctuations of the leading 1000 stocks and a matrix with independent random elements, i.e., a random matrix. Contrary to first expectations, we find little or no deviation from the universal predictions of random matrix theory for all but a few of the largest eigenvalues of the cross-correlation matrix.


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