scholarly journals A Growth Differentiation Factor 15-Based Risk Score Model to Predict Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients

Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 286
Author(s):  
Jia-Feng Chang ◽  
Po-Cheng Chen ◽  
Chih-Yu Hsieh ◽  
Jian-Chiun Liou

Background: The risk of cardiovascular (CV) and fatal events remains extremely high in patients with maintenance hemodialysis (MHD), and the growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) has emerged as a valid risk stratification biomarker. We aimed to develop a GDF15-based risk score as a death prediction model for MHD patients. Methods: Age, biomarker levels, and clinical parameters were evaluated at study entry. One hundred and seventy patients with complete information were finally included for data analysis. We performed the Cox regression analysis of various prognostic factors for mortality. Then, age, GDF15, and robust clinical predictors were included as a risk score model to assess the predictive accuracy for all-cause and CV death in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: Age, GDF15, and albumin were significantly associated with higher all-cause and CV mortality risk that were combined as a risk score model. The highest tertile of GDF-15 (>1707.1 pg/mL) was associated with all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs): 3.06 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.20–7.82), p < 0.05) and CV mortality (aHRs: 3.11 (95% CI: 1.02–9.50), p < 0.05). The ROC analysis of GDF-15 tertiles for all-cause and CV mortality showed 0.68 (95% CI = 0.59 to 0.77) and 0.68 (95% CI = 0.58 to 0.79), respectively. By contrast, the GDF15-based prediction model for all-cause and CV mortality showed 0.75 (95% CI: 0.67–0.82) and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.63–0.81), respectively. Conclusion: Age, GDF15, and hypoalbuminemia predict all-cause and CV death in MHD patients, yet a combination scoring system provides more robust predictive powers. An elevated GDF15-based risk score warns clinicians to determine an appropriate intervention in advance. In light of this, the GDF15-based death prediction model could be developed in the artificial intelligence-based precision medicine.

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongqing Su ◽  
Qianzi Lu ◽  
Yi Pan ◽  
Yao Yu ◽  
Shiyuan Wang ◽  
...  

Background: Breast cancer has plagued women for many years and caused many deaths around the world. Method: In this study, based on the weighted correlation network analysis, univariate Cox regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, 12 immune-related genes were selected to construct the risk score for breast cancer patients. The multivariable Cox regression analysis, gene set enrichment analysis and nomogram were also conducted in this study. Results: Good results were obtained in the survival analysis, enrichment analysis, multivariable Cox regression analysis and immune-related feature analysis. When the risk score model was applied in 22 breast cancer cohorts, the univariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the risk score model was significantly associated with overall survival in most of the breast cancer cohorts. Conclusion: Based on these results, we could conclude that the proposed risk score model may be a promising method, and may improve the treatment stratification of breast cancer patients in the future work.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-43
Author(s):  
Beilei Wu ◽  
Lijun Tao ◽  
Daqing Yang ◽  
Wei Li ◽  
Hongbo Xu ◽  
...  

Objective. Stromal cells and immune cells have important clinical significance in the microenvironment of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study is aimed at developing a CRC gene signature on the basis of stromal and immune scores. Methods. A cohort of CRC patients (n=433) were adopted from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Stromal/immune scores were calculated by the ESTIMATE algorithm. Correlation between prognosis/clinical characteristics and stromal/immune scores was assessed. Differentially expressed stromal and immune genes were identified. Their potential functions were annotated by functional enrichment analysis. Cox regression analysis was used to develop an eight-gene risk score model. Its predictive efficacies for 3 years, 5 years, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival interval (PFI) were evaluated using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The correlation between the risk score and the infiltering levels of six immune cells was analyzed using TIMER. The risk score was validated using an independent dataset. Results. Immune score was in a significant association with prognosis and clinical characteristics of CRC. 736 upregulated and two downregulated stromal and immune genes were identified, which were mainly enriched into immune-related biological processes and pathways. An-eight gene prognostic risk score model was conducted, consisting of CCL22, CD36, CPA3, CPT1C, KCNE4, NFATC1, RASGRP2, and SLC2A3. High risk score indicated a poor prognosis of patients. The area under the ROC curves (AUC) s of the model for 3 years, 5 years, OS, and PFI were 0.71, 0.70, 0.73, and 0.66, respectively. Thus, the model possessed well performance for prediction of patients’ prognosis, which was confirmed by an external dataset. Moreover, the risk score was significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration. Conclusion. Our study conducted an immune-related prognostic risk score model, which could provide novel targets for immunotherapy of CRC.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Li ◽  
Dongcen Ge ◽  
Shu-lan Sun

Abstract Background. Ferroptosis is a newly discovered form of cell death characterized by iron-dependent lipid peroxidation. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between ferroptosis and the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).Methods. RNA-seq data was collected from the LUAD dataset of The Cancer Genome Altas (TCGA) database. We used ferroptosis-related genes as the basis, and identify the differential expression genes (DEGs) between cancer and paracancer. The univariate Cox regression analysis were used to screen the prognostic-related genes. We divided the patients into training and validation sets. Then, we screened out key genes and built a 5 genes prognostic prediction model by the applications of the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) 10-fold cross-validation and the multi-variate Cox regression analysis. We divided the cases by the median value of risk score and validated this model in the validation set. Meanwhile, we analyzed the somatic mutations, and estimated the score of immune infiltration in the high- and low-risk groups, as well as performed functional enrichment analysis of DEGs.Results. The result revealed that the high-risk score triggered the worse prognosis. The maximum area under curve (AUC) of the training set and the validation set of in this study was 0.7 and 0.69. Moreover, we integrated the age, gender, and tumor stage to construct the composite nomogram. The charts indicated that the AUC of cases with survival time of 1, 3 and 5 years are 0.698, 0.71 and 0.73. In addition, the mutation frequency of patients in the high-risk group was higher than that in the low-risk group. Simultaneously, DEGs were mainly enriched in ferroptosis-related pathways by analyzing the functional results.Conclusion. This study constructed a novel LUAD prognosis prediction model base on 5 ferroptosis-related genes, which can provide a prognostic evaluation tool for the clinical therapeutic decision.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen Jin ◽  
Rui Li ◽  
Tuo Deng ◽  
Jialiang Li ◽  
Yan Yang ◽  
...  

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly invasive malignancy prone to recurrence, and patients with HCC have a low 5-year survival rate. Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) play a vital role in the occurrence and development of HCC. N6-methyladenosine methylation (m6A) is the most common modification influencing cancer development. Here, we used the transcriptome of m6A regulators and lncRNAs, along with the complete corresponding clinical HCC patient information obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), to explore the role of m6A regulator-related lncRNA (m6ARlnc) as a prognostic biomarker in patients with HCC. The prognostic m6ARlnc was selected using Pearson correlation and univariate Cox regression analyses. Moreover, three clusters were obtained via consensus clustering analysis and further investigated for differences in immune infiltration, immune microenvironment, and prognosis. Subsequently, nine m6ARlncs were identified with Lasso-Cox regression analysis to construct the prognostic signature m6A-9LPS for patients with HCC in the training cohort (n = 226). Based on m6A-9LPS, the risk score for each case was calculated. Patients were then divided into high- and low-risk subgroups based on the cutoff value set by the X-tile software. m6A-9LPS showed a strong prognosis prediction ability in the validation cohort (n = 116), the whole cohort (n = 342), and even clinicopathological stratified survival analysis. Combining the risk score and clinical characteristics, we established a nomogram for predicting the overall survival (OS) of patients. To further understand the mechanism underlying the m6A-9LPS-based classification of prognosis differences, KEGG and GO enrichment analyses, competitive endogenous RNA (ceRNA) network, chemotherapeutic agent sensibility, and immune checkpoint expression level were assessed. Taken together, m6A-9LPS could be used as a precise prediction model for the prognosis of patients with HCC, which will help in individualized treatment of HCC.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Guangyao Li ◽  
Xiyi Wei ◽  
Shifeng Su ◽  
Shangqian Wang ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Considerable evidence has indicated an association between the immune microenvironment and clinical outcome in ccRCC. The purpose of this study is to extensively figure out the influence of immune-related genes of tumors on the prognosis of patients with ccRCC. Methods Files containing 2498 immune-related genes were obtained from the Immunology Database and Analysis Portal (ImmPort), and the transcriptome data and clinical information relevant to patients with ccRCC were identified and downloaded from the TCGA data-base. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to screen out prognostic immune genes. The immune risk score model was established in light of the regression coefficient between survival and hub immune-related genes. We eventually set up a nomogram for the prediction of the overall survival for ccRCC. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) and ROC curve was used in evaluating the value of the predictive risk model. A P value of < 0.05 indicated statistically significant differences throughout data analysis. Results Via differential analysis, we found that 556 immune-related genes were expressed differentially between tumor and normal tissues (p < 0. 05). The analysis of univariate Cox regression exhibited that there was a statistical correlation between 43 immune genes and survival risk in patients with ccRCC (p < 0.05). Through Lasso-Cox regression analysis, we established an immune genetic risk scoring model based on 18 immune-related genes. The high-risk group showed a bad prognosis in K-M analysis. (p < 0.001). ROC curve showed that it was reliable of the immune risk score model to predict survival risk (5 year over survival, AUC = 0.802). The model indicated satisfactory AUC and survival correlation in the validation data set (5 year OS, Area Under Curve = 0.705, p < 0.05). From Multivariate regression analysis, the immune-risk score model plays an isolated role in the prediction of the prognosis of ccRCC. Under multivariate-Cox regression analysis, we set up a nomogram for comprehensive prediction of ccRCC patients’ survival rate. At last, it was identified that 18 immune-related genes and risk scores were not only tremendously related to clinical prognosis but also contained in a variety of carcinogenic pathways. Conclusion In general, tumor immune-related genes play essential roles in ccRCC development and progression. Our research established an unequal 18-immune gene risk index to predict the prognosis of ccRCC visually. This index was found to be an independent predictive factor for ccRCC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Xiaoqing Yu ◽  
Jingsong Zhang ◽  
Rui Yang ◽  
Chun Li

Objective. Many studies have found that long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) are differentially expressed in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and closely associated with the occurrence and prognosis of HCC. Since patients with HCC are usually diagnosed in late stages, more effective biomarkers for early diagnosis and prognostic prediction are in urgent need. Methods. The RNA-seq data of liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC) were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Differentially expressed lncRNAs and mRNAs were obtained using the edgeR package. The single-sample networks of the 371 tumor samples were constructed to identify the candidate lncRNA biomarkers. Univariate Cox regression analysis was performed to further select the potential lncRNA biomarkers. By multivariate Cox regression analysis, a 3-lncRNA-based risk score model was established on the training set. Then, the survival prediction ability of the 3-lncRNA-based risk score model was evaluated on the testing set and the entire set. Function enrichment analyses were performed using Metascape. Results. Three lncRNAs (RP11-150O12.3, RP11-187E13.1, and RP13-143G15.4) were identified as the potential lncRNA biomarkers for LIHC. The 3-lncRNA-based risk model had a good survival prediction ability for the patients with LIHC. Multivariate Cox regression analysis proved that the 3-lncRNA-based risk score was an independent predictor for the survival prediction of patients with LIHC. Function enrichment analysis indicated that the three lncRNAs may be associated with LIHC via their involvement in many known cancer-associated biological functions. Conclusion. This study could provide novel insights to identify lncRNA biomarkers for LIHC at a molecular network level.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huawei Li ◽  
Jun Wang ◽  
Linyou Zhang

The purpose of this study was to construct a circular RNA (circRNA)-related competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) regulatory network and risk score model for lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). The relationship of the risk score to immune landscape and sensitivity to chemotherapy and targeted therapy of LUAD was assessed. We downloaded mRNA and miRNA expression data, along with clinical information, from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) program, and circRNA expression data from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database and identified differently expressed circRNA (DEcircRNA), miRNA (DEmiRNA), and mRNA (DEmRNA) using R software. We then constructed the circRNA-related network using bioinformatics method. The risk score model was established by LASSO Cox regression analysis based on 10 hub genes. In addition, the risk score model was an independent predictor for overall survival (OS) in both the TCGA and CPTAC datasets. Patients in the high-risk group had shorter OS and disease-free survival (DFS) than those in the low-risk group and were more sensitive to chemotherapy and targeted therapy. The types of tumor-infiltrating immune cells were different in the high- and low-risk groups. Our data revealed that the circRNA-related risk score model is closely associated with the level of immune cell infiltration in the tumor and the effects of adjuvant treatment. This network may be useful in designing personalized treatments for LUAD patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Qin ◽  
Guangyao Li ◽  
Xiyi Wei ◽  
Shifeng Su ◽  
Shangqian Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective: Increasing evidence has indicated an association between immune micro-environment in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) and clinical outcomes. The aim of this research is to comprehensively investigate the effect of tumor immune genes on the prognosis of ccRCC patients. Methods: 2498 immune genes were downloaded from ImmPort database. Additionally, we identified and downloaded the transcriptome data of patients with ccRCC from the TCGA database through the R package, as well as relevant clinical information. We apply certain survival R package to analyse the survival of hub-genes before analyzing the effect of immune genes on the prognosis of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) utilizing Cox regression analysis. Based on the statistical correlation between hub immune gene and survival ,immune risk score model was set up.We finally constructed a nomogram to predict the survival rate of ccRCC overally. In addition, whether the immune gene risk score model is an independent prognostic factor for ccRCC is comprehensively considered applying multivariate cox regression analysis. It is worth noting that throughout the data analysis, P< 0.05 was recognized to be of significance statistically. Results: The results of the difference analysis showed that 556 immune genes exhibited differential expression between normal and ccRCC tissues (p<0. 05). Univariate cox regression analysis revealed 43 immune genes statistically correlated with ccRCC related survival risk (P<0.05). In addition, a 18-genes based immune genes risk scoring model was constructed through lasso COX regression analysis. KM curve indicated that patients in high-risk were associated with poor outcomes (p<0.001). ROC curve indicated that the immune risk score model was reliable in predicting survival risk (5-year OS, AUC=0.802). Our model showed satisfying AUC and survival correlation in the validation dataset ( 5-year OS AUC=0.705, P<0.001). Furthermore, multivariate cox regression analysis confirmed that the immune risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of ccRCC. A nomogram was established to comprehensively predict the survival of ccRCC patients with the results of multivariate cox regression analysis. Finally, we found that 15 immune genes and risk scores were significantly associated with clinical factors and prognosis, and were involved in multiple oncogenic pathways.Conclusion: Collectively, tumor immune genes played an essential role in the prognosis of ccRCC. Furthermore, immune risk score was an independent predictive factor of ccRCC, indicating a poor survival.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Zou ◽  
Yue Ding ◽  
Yuxiang Dong ◽  
Dejun Wu ◽  
Junyi Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: RNA binding proteins (RBPs) are now under discussion as novel promising bio-markers for patients with colon cancer. The purpose of our study is to identify several RBPs related to the progression and prognosis of colon cancer, and to further investigate the mechanism of their influence on tumor progression. Methods: The transcriptome data of colon cancer as well as clinical characteristics used in this study were downloaded from the The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Gene ontology (GO), Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis and Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were performed to elucidate the gene functions and relative pathways. Cox and lasso regression analysis were used to analyze the effect of immune genes on the prognosis of breast cancer. Immune risk scoring model was constructed based on the statistical correlation between hub immune genes and survival. Meanwhile, multivariate cox regression analysis was utilized to investigate whether the immune genes risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of breast cancer. Nomogram was constructed to comprehensively predict the survival rate of breast cancer. P< 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. Results: The results of the difference analysis showed that 473 RBPs exhibited differential expression between normal and colon cancer tissues (p<0. 05). Univariate cox regression analysis revealed 25 RBPs statistically correlated with colon cancer related survival risk (P<0.05). In addition, a 10-RBPs based risk scoring model was constructed through multivariate cox regression analysis. KM curve indicated that patients in high-risk were associated with poor outcomes (p<0.001). ROC curve indicated that the immune risk score model was reliable in predicting survival risk (5-year OS, AUC=0.782). Our model showed satisfying AUC and survival correlation in the validation dataset (5-year OS AUC=0.744). Furthermore, multivariate cox regression analysis confirmed that the immune risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of colon cancer. A nomogram was established to comprehensively predict the survival of colon cancer patients with the results of multivariate cox regression analysis. Finally, we found that 10 RBPs and risk scores were significantly associated with clinical factors and prognosis, and were involved in multiple oncogenic pathways. Conclusion: Collectively, RBPs played an essential role in the progression and prognosis of colon cancer by regulating multiple biological pathways. Furthermore, RBPs risk score was an independent predictive factor of colon cancer, indicating a poor survival.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Chen ◽  
Yuxiang Dong ◽  
Yitong Pan ◽  
Chen Chen ◽  
Junyi Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective Increasing evidence has indicated an association between immune micro-environment in breast cancer and clinical outcomes. The aim of this research is to comprehensively investigate the effect of tumor immune genes on the prognosis of breast cancer patients. Methods 2498 immune genes were downloaded from ImmPort database. Additionally, we identified and downloaded the transcriptome data of patients with breast cancer from the TCGA database through the R package, as well as relevant clinical information. Survival R package was applied in survival analyses for hub-genes. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the effect of immune genes on the prognosis of breast cancer. Immune risk scoring model was constructed based on the statistical correlation between hub immune genes and survival. Meanwhile, multivariate cox regression analysis was utilized to investigate whether the immune genes risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of breast cancer. Nomogram was constructed to comprehensively predict the survival rate of breast cancer. P < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. Results The results of the difference analysis showed that 556 immune genes exhibited differential expression between normal and breast cancer tissues (p < 0. 05). Univariate cox regression analysis revealed 66 immune genes statistically correlated with breast cancer related survival risk, of which 30 were associated with overall survival (P < 0.05). In addition, a 15-genes based immune genes risk scoring model was constructed through lasso COX regression analysis. KM curve indicated that patients in high-risk were associated with poor outcomes (p < 0.001). ROC curve indicated that the immune risk score model was reliable in predicting survival risk (5-year OS, AUC = 0.752). Our model showed satisfying AUC and survival correlation in the validation dataset (3-year over survival (OS) AUC = 0.685, 5-year OS AUC = 0.717, P = 0.00048). Furthermore, multivariate cox regression analysis confirmed that the immune risk score model was an independent factor for predicting the prognosis of breast cancer. A nomogram was established to comprehensively predict the survival of breast cancer patients with the results of multivariate cox regression analysis. Finally, we found that 15 immune genes and risk scores were significantly associated with clinical factors and prognosis, and were involved in multiple oncogenic pathways. Conclusion Collectively, tumor immune genes played an essential role in the prognosis of breast cancer. Furthermore, immune risk score was an independent predictive factor of breast cancer, indicating a poor survival.


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