scholarly journals Changes in Frequency and Location of East Coast Low Pressure Systems Affecting Southeast Australia

Climate ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
Milton Speer ◽  
Lance Leslie ◽  
Joshua Hartigan ◽  
Shev MacNamara
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
East Coast ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Data Consistency ◽  
Permutation Testing ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Initial Development ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Wind Regimes ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Low pressure systems off the southeast coast of Australia can generate intense rainfall and associated flooding, destructive winds, and coastal erosion, particularly during the cool season (April–September). Impacts depend on coastal proximity, strength and latitude. Therefore, it is important to investigate changes in frequency, duration, location, and intensity of these systems. First, an existing observation-based database of these low pressure systems, for 1970–2006, is extended to 2019, focusing on April–September and using archived Australian Bureau of Meteorology MSLP charts. Second, data consistency between 1970 and 2006 and 2007 and 2019 is confirmed. Third, permutation testing is performed on differences in means and variances between the two 25-year intervals 1970–1994 and 1995–2019. Additionally, trends in positions, durations and central pressures of the systems are investigated. p-values from permutation tests reveal statistically significant increases in mean low pressure system frequencies. Specifically, a greater frequency of both total days and initial development days only, occurred in the latter period. Statistically significant lower variance for both latitude and longitude in systems that developed in both subtropical easterly and mid-latitude westerly wind regimes indicate a shift south and east in the latter period. Furthermore, statistically significant differences in variance of development location of explosive low pressure systems that develop in a low level easterly wind regime indicate a shift further south and east. These changes are consistent with fewer systems projected to impact the east coast. Finally, important changes are suggested in the large scale atmospheric dynamics of the eastern Australian/Tasman Sea region.

scholarly journals Characteristics of high waves observed at multiple stations along the east coast of Korea

2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 3373-3412
Author(s):  
S.-H. Oh ◽  
W.-M. Jeong
Keyword(s):  
Arrival Time ◽  
East Coast ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Winter Season ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
East Sea ◽  
General Mechanism ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Low Pressure System ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Abstract. In recent several years, extremely high waves occasionally visited the Korean coast of the East Sea and caused severe coastal disasters almost every winter season. In this paper, characteristics of such high waves are reported by analyzing wave records collected at multiple stations along the Korean east coast. Meteorological data obtained at relevant weather stations were also used in the analysis. The reason for appearance of the high waves was identified as the strong northeasters due to extra-tropical low pressure systems that had been rapidly developing in the East Sea. The general mechanism concerning the formation and spatial evolution of such strong low pressure systems was more clearly understood through the synthetic analysis of the wave and meteorological data. In particular, the influence of spatio-temporal features of the low pressure system on the resulting characteristics of the high waves was described in more detail in this study. Since the overall wave direction was northeast also, the first wave arrival time on the coastline became later for a wave station whose latitude is lower. At present, however, the arrival time of such high waves on the coast as well as their intrinsic characteristics such as wave height and period are not satisfactorily predicted by the daily weather forecast. Hence, it is necessary to enhance predictability of the high waves by investigating developmental mechanisms of the strong low pressure system in winter season more thoroughly.

scholarly journals Characteristics of high waves observed at multiple stations along the east coast of Korea

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 3503-3514 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.-H. Oh ◽  
W.-M. Jeong
Keyword(s):  
Arrival Time ◽  
East Coast ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Winter Season ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
East Sea ◽  
General Mechanism ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Low Pressure System ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Abstract. In recent several years, extremely high waves occasionally struck the Korean coast of the East Sea and caused severe coastal disasters almost every winter season. In this paper, characteristics of such high waves are reported by analyzing wave records collected at multiple stations along the east coast of Korea. Meteorological data obtained at relevant weather stations were also used in the analysis. The reason for appearance of the high waves was identified as the strong northeasters due to extra-tropical low pressure systems that had been rapidly developing in the East Sea. The general mechanism concerning the formation and spatial evolution of such strong low pressure systems was more clearly understood through the synthetic analysis of the wave and meteorological data. In particular, the influence of spatiotemporal features of the low pressure system on the resulting characteristics of the high waves was described in more detail in this study. Since the overall wave direction was also northeast, the first wave arrival time on the coastline became later for a wave station whose latitude is lower. At present, however, the arrival time of such high waves on the coast as well as their intrinsic characteristics such as wave height and period are not satisfactorily predicted by the daily weather forecast. Hence, it is necessary to enhance predictability of the high waves by investigating developmental mechanisms of the strong low pressure system in the winter season more thoroughly.

scholarly journals Projected Changes in South Asian Monsoon Low Pressure Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (17) ◽  
pp. 7275-7287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenhao Dong ◽  
Yi Ming ◽  
V. Ramaswamy
Keyword(s):  
South Asian ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Central India ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ◽  
South Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Projected Changes ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

AbstractMonsoon low pressure systems (MLPSs) are among the most important synoptic-scale disturbances of the South Asian summer monsoon. Potential changes in their characteristics in a warmer climate would have broad societal impacts. Yet, the findings from a few existing studies are inconclusive. We use the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) coupled climate model CM4.0 to examine the projected changes in the simulated MLPS activity under a future emission scenario. It is shown that CM4.0 can skillfully simulate the number, genesis location, intensity, and lifetime of MLPSs. Global warming gives rise to a significant decrease in MLPS activity. An analysis of several large-scale environmental variables, both dynamic and thermodynamic, suggests that the decrease in MLPS activity can be attributed mainly to a reduction in low-level relative vorticity over the core genesis region. The decreased vorticity is consistent with weaker large-scale ascent, which leads to less vorticity production through the stretching term in the vorticity equation. Assuming a fixed radius of influence, the projected reduction in MLPSs would significantly lower the associated precipitation over north-central India, despite an overall increase in mean precipitation.

scholarly journals Synthetically generated low-pressure systems to support studies of sea level extremes

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mika Rantanen ◽  
Jani Särkkä ◽  
Jani Räihä ◽  
Matti Kämäräinen ◽  
Kirsti Jylhä
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Tide Gauge ◽  
Gaussian Function ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Tide Gauge Records ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Sea Levels ◽  
Input Parameters ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

<p>Extremely high sea levels on the Finnish coast are typically caused by close passages of extratropical cyclones (ETCs), which raise the sea level with their associated extreme winds and lower air pressure. For coastal infrastructure, such as nuclear power plants, it is crucial to study physically possible sea level heights associated with ETCs. Such sea levels are not straightforward to determine from observational datasets only, because tide gauge records  cover about 100 years and do not necessarily capture the most extreme cases having return periods longer than 100 years.</p><p>In this study, a method for generating an ensemble of synthetic low-pressure systems is being developed to investigate the extreme sea level heights on the Finnish coast of Baltic sea. As input parameters for the method, the point of origin, velocity of the center of the cyclone and depth of the pressure anomaly need to be given. Based on the input parameters, the method forms an idealized low-pressure system using a two-dimensional Gaussian function. In order to find extreme, but still reasonable values for the input parameters, cyclone tracks from ERA5 reanalysis data will be analysed.</p><p>The ensemble of synthetic low pressure systems (i.e. the wind and pressure data) is used as an input to a numerical sea level model. As a result, we have an ensemble of simulated sea levels, from which we can determine the properties of the ETCs that induce the highest sea levels on a given location on the coast. The preliminary simulation results show that this method works well, forming a basis for studies on extreme sea levels. </p><p> </p>

scholarly journals The Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation of Winter Precipitation Associated with ENSO over Southern China

Atmosphere ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 406 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiaoyu Tong ◽  
Suxiang Yao
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Winter Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Variability ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Vorticity Advection ◽  
Low Pressure System ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Using ERA-interim Reanalysis data and observational data, the intraseasonal oscillation of the winter rainfall in southern China is studied. The mean square deviation of daily precipitation is used to express precipitation variability, and winter precipitation variability over southern China is determined to be highly correlated with sea surface temperature (SST) in central and eastern tropical Pacific; the dominant period of the precipitation is 10–30 days, which reflects quasi-biweekly oscillation. Examination of 1000 hPa geopotential height suggests that key low-pressure systems affecting the intraseasonal precipitation come from Lake Baikal, but with different travel paths. In El Niño years, key low-pressure systems converge with other low-pressure systems and move southeastward until reaching South China, while in La Niña years, only one low-pressure system can reach southern China. Meanwhile, the explosive development of the low-pressure system is mainly caused by the joint effects of thermal advection and vorticity advection in El Niño, and only vorticity advection accounted for the dominant status in La Niña. Multiscale analysis shows that the meridional distribution of intraseasonal circulation plays an important role on the thermal transmission and brings strong warm advection from low latitudes to high latitudes in El Niño.

scholarly journals Vertical structure of Antarctic tropospheric ozone depletion events: characteristics and broader implications

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 8189-8246 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. E. Jones ◽  
P. S. Anderson ◽  
E. W. Wolff ◽  
H. K. Roscoe ◽  
G. J. Marshall ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Altitude ◽  
Ozone Depletion ◽  
Tropospheric Ozone ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Field Experiments ◽  
Strong Association ◽  
Vertical Component ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Abstract. The majority of tropospheric ozone depletion event (ODE) studies have focussed on time-series measurements, with comparatively few studies of the vertical component. Those that exist have almost exclusively used free-flying balloon-borne ozonesondes and almost all have been conducted in the Arctic. Here we use measurements from two separate Antarctic field experiments to examine the vertical profile of ozone during Antarctic ODEs. We use tethersonde data to probe details in the lowest few hundred meters and find considerable structure in the profiles associated with complex atmospheric layering. The profiles were all measured at wind speeds less than 7 ms−1, and on each occasion the lowest inversion height lay between 10 m and 40 m. We also use data from a free-flying ozonesonde study to select events where ozone depletion was recorded at altitudes >1 km above ground level. Using ERA-40 meteorological charts, we find that on every occasion the high altitude depletion was preceded by an atmospheric low pressure system. An examination of limited published ozonesonde data from other Antarctic stations shows this to be a consistent feature. Given the link between BrO and ODEs, we also examine ground-based and satellite BrO measurements, and find a strong association between enhanced BrO and atmospheric low pressure systems. The results suggest that, in Antarctica, such depressions are responsible for driving high altitude ODEs and for generating the large-scale BrO clouds observed from satellites. In the Arctic, the prevailing meteorology differs from that in Antarctica, but we show that major low pressure systems in the Arctic, when they occur, can also generate BrO clouds. Such depressions thus appear to be fundamental when considering the broader influence of ODEs, particularly in Antarctica, such as halogen export and the radiative influence of ozone-depleted air masses.

A New Approach to Sizing Low Pressure Systems

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathan Keller ◽  
Monika Ivantysynova
Keyword(s):  
Hydraulic System ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Hydraulic Systems ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Hydraulic Unit ◽  
Duty Cycles ◽  
Low Pressure System ◽  
Hydrostatic Transmissions ◽  
Cylinder Flow ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

Closed-circuit hydraulic systems, like hydrostatic transmissions and Displacement Controlled (DC) architecture systems, require an integrated low-pressure system. These low-pressure systems provide several important functions to the hydraulic system. They prevent cavitation, provide cooling flow through the cooler, replenish the hydraulic system with cool oil, assist in the oil filtration process, provide pressure to the hydraulic unit control systems and, in the case of DC systems with differential cylinders, balance the unequal cylinder flow. Traditionally, the sizing of low-pressure systems is accomplished using a static sizing approach. In this approach, a constant efficiency of the hydraulic units is assumed, and the system is operating at a maximum power condition. The result is often an oversized charge pump and accumulator, if one is present. A dynamic sizing method has been developed using MATLAB/Simulink® with high fidelity empirical loss models for hydraulic displacement machines. Using realistic duty cycles for hydraulic systems and measured data, the low-pressure system can be accurately sized. Dynamically sizing low-pressure systems reduce parasitic losses on the prime mover because of smaller pump sizes, thus freeing power to be used elsewhere. Another concept presented in this work is the possibility of isolating the hydraulic unit control pressure supply and the low-pressure system. Realistic examples have been simulated to demonstrate the power savings of dynamically sizing low-pressure systems.

scholarly journals Simulation and Projection of Circulations Associated with Atmospheric Rivers along the North American Northeast Coast

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (13) ◽  
pp. 5673-5695 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huang-Hsiung Hsu ◽  
Ying-Ting Chen
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
East Coast ◽  
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
The North ◽  
Basin Scale ◽  
Hourly Data ◽  
Northeast Coast

AbstractTorrential rainfall occurring along the North American northeast coast (NANC) in summer and autumn is accompanied by strong atmospheric rivers (ARs), which efficiently transport abundant moisture along a narrow-stretched path associated with a low pressure system. In this study, an autodetection method was used to identify ARs that reached the NANC, based on the 6-hourly data of the ERA-Interim reanalysis conducted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, in summer and autumn from 1979 to 2016. Stronger ARs tended to occur in the eastern flank of a cyclonic anomaly that covered the entire North American east coast from Florida to Newfoundland, with a positive precipitation anomaly over the NANC. The cyclonic anomalies and precipitation in autumn were stronger but less frequent than those in summer. Cyclonic anomalies were parts of westward-tilting wavelike circulation perturbations moving into North America from the extratropical North Pacific and moving continuously eastward, reaching the east coast in approximately five days. The Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) High-Resolution Atmospheric Model (HiRAM), which realistically simulates the occurrence frequency and key characteristics of ARs in current climatic conditions, was used to project the AR activity and corresponding circulations in the future warmer climate under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 scenario. The HiRAM that was driven by sea surface temperature changes projected an overall increase in the occurrence of stronger ARs in both summer and autumn and the precipitation strength in autumn along the NANC by the end of the twenty-first century. This projected enhancement was contributed to by two processes—a smaller contribution was from the weakened basin-scale North Atlantic anticyclone but with higher moisture content, and a larger contribution was from the enhancement in anomalous circulation during AR events with integrated vapor transport exceeding the 75th percentile. These results suggest that the influence of strong ARs on the NANC may increase in the warmer future due to the combination of increased water vapor in the large-scale environment (thermodynamic effect) and enhanced anomalous circulations (dynamic effect). The AR-associated circulations in autumn were also projected to have a stronger tropical connection in the warmer future.

scholarly journals Multiscale interactions between monsoon intra-seasonal oscillations and low pressure systems that produce heavy rainfall events of different spatial extents

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-36
Author(s):  
Akshaya C Nikumbh ◽  
Arindam Chakraborty ◽  
G.S. Bhat ◽  
Dargan M. W. Frierson
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Thermodynamic Characteristics ◽  
Central India ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
The Other ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Seasonal Oscillations ◽  
Low Pressure Systems

AbstractThe sub-seasonal and synoptic-scale variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall are controlled primarily by monsoon intra-seasonal oscillations (MISO) and low pressure systems (LPS), respectively. The positive and negative phases of MISO lead to alternate epochs of above-normal (active) and below-normal (break) spells of rainfall. LPSs are embedded within the different phases of MISO and are known to produce heavy precipitation events over central India. Whether the interaction with the MISO phases modulates the precipitation response of LPSs, and thereby the characteristics of extreme rainfall events (EREs) remains unaddressed in the available literature. In this study, we analyze the LPSs that produce EREs of various spatial extents viz., Small, Medium, and Large over central India from 1979 to 2012. We also compare them with the LPSs that pass through central India and do not give any ERE (LPS-noex). We find that thermodynamic characteristics of LPSs that trigger different spatial extents of EREs are similar. However, they show differences in their dynamic characteristics. The ERE producing LPSs are slower, moister and more intense than LPS-noex. The LPSs that lead to Medium and Large EREs tend to occur during the positive phase of MISO when an active monsoon trough is present over central India. On the other hand, LPS-noex and the LPSs that trigger Small EREs occur mainly during the neutral or negative phases of the MISO. The large-scale dynamic forcing, intensification of LPSs, and diabatic generation of low-level potential vorticity due to the presence of active monsoon trough help in the organization of convection and lead to Medium and Large EREs. On the other hand, the LPSs that form during the negative or neutral phases of MISO do not intensify much during their lifetime and trigger scattered convection, leading to EREs of small size.

scholarly journals Associating Synoptic-Scale Weather Patterns with Aggregated Offshore Wind Power Production and Ramps

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (13) ◽  
pp. 3903
Author(s):  
Bedassa R. Cheneka ◽  
Simon J. Watson ◽  
Sukanta Basu
Keyword(s):  
Wind Power ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Power Production ◽  
Low Pressure ◽  
Offshore Wind ◽  
Self Organizing Map ◽  
Pressure System ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
Low Pressure System

Large-scale weather patterns and their variability can influence both the amount of wind power production and its temporal variation, i.e., wind power ramps. In this study, we use a self-organizing map to cluster hourly sea level pressure into a discrete number of weather patterns. The dependency of wind power production and wind power ramps on these weather patterns is studied for the Belgian offshore wind farm fleet. A newly developed wavelet-surrogate ramp-detection algorithm is used for the identification of wind power ramps. It was observed that low-pressure systems, southwesterly and northeasterly wind flows are often associated with high levels of wind power production. Regarding wind power ramps, the type of transition between weather patterns was shown to determine whether ramp up or ramp down events would occur. Ramp up events tend to occur due to the transition from a high-pressure to a low-pressure system, or the weakening of the intensity of a deep low-pressure system. The reverse is associated with ramp down events.

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