scholarly journals Assessment of Seasonal Winter Temperature Forecast Errors in the RegCM Model over Northern Vietnam

Climate ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 77
Author(s):  
Hoa Vo Van ◽  
Tien Du Duc ◽  
Hung Mai Khanh ◽  
Lars Robert Hole ◽  
Duc Tran Anh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Transfer Scheme ◽  
Reanalysis Dataset ◽  
Northern Vietnam ◽  
Community Land Model ◽  
Radiation Parameterizations ◽  
Mean Square Errors

This study verified the seasonal six-month forecasts for winter temperatures for northern Vietnam in 1998–2018 using a regional climate model (RegCM4) with the boundary conditions of the climate forecast system Version 2 (CFSv2) from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). First, different physical schemes (land-surface process, cumulus, and radiation parameterizations) in RegCM4 were applied to generate 12 single forecasts. Second, the simple ensemble forecasts were generated through the combinations of those different physical formulations. Three subclimate regions (R1, R2, R3) of northern Vietnam were separately tested with surface observations and a reanalysis dataset (Japanese 55-year reanalysis (JRA55)). The highest sensitivity to the mean monthly temperature forecasts was shown by the land-surface parameterizations (the biosphere−atmosphere transfer scheme (BATS) and community land model version 4.5 (CLM)). The BATS forecast groups tended to provide forecasts with lower temperatures than the actual observations, while the CLM forecast groups tended to overestimate the temperatures. The forecast errors from single forecasts could be clearly reduced with ensemble mean forecasts, but ensemble spreads were less than those root-mean-square errors (RMSEs). This indicated that the ensemble forecast was underdispersed and that the direct forecast from RegCM4 needed more postprocessing.

Study of Northeast Monsoon over India using a coupled land-atmosphere model RegCM4-CLM4.5

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Praveen Rai ◽  
Pyarimohan Maharana ◽  
Dhirendra Kumar ◽  
Ashok Priyadarshan Dimri ◽  
Heiko Paeth
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Indian Subcontinent ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
India Meteorological Department ◽  
Northeast Monsoon ◽  
Transfer Scheme ◽  
Community Land Model

<p>The major rainfall period over the southern peninsular part of the Indian Subcontinent generally occurs during the months of October-December (OND) through the northeast (NE) monsoon (also called winter monsoon or post-monsoon season). The present study focuses on the ability of regional climate model RegCM4 forced with MIROC5 Global Climate Model and three different land-surface parameterization schemes: Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS, herewith referred as CONTROL), Community Land Model (CLM4.5), and Sub-grid BATS in capturing the mean features of NE monsoon for the present climate (1975-2005) over India region. Based on their ability to simulate the inter-annual and intra-seasonal variability, and seasonal mean during monsoon, the current GCM is selected for downscaling from the available literature. The model performance is evaluated against the gridded temperature and precipitation datasets from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) and India Meteorological Department (IMD) respectively. We have found that the MIROC5_CLM4.5 is simulating the precipitation and surface temperature better than other experiments with relatively less bias over the study. MIROC5_CLM4.5 experiment again performs well in capturing the precipitation and surface temperature during wet and dry years’ composite. Overall, our results show a better representation of NE Monsoon mean features by MIROC5_CLM4.5 compared to other sets. The RegCM4-CLM4.5 coupled simulation has shown promising performance in representing NE monsoon. Further, it is envisaged to test and customize this framework in order to generate reliable future projections in subsequent studies.</p><p>Keywords: RegCM4, CLM4.5, NE Monsoon, Downscaling.</p>

scholarly journals The COSMO-CLM 4.8 regional climate model coupled to regional ocean, land surface and global earth system models using OASIS3-MCT: description and performance

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1549-1586 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Will ◽  
Naveed Akhtar ◽  
Jennifer Brauch ◽  
Marcus Breil ◽  
Edouard Davin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Direct Cost ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Community Land Model ◽  
Computational Performance

Abstract. We developed a coupled regional climate system model based on the CCLM regional climate model. Within this model system, using OASIS3-MCT as a coupler, CCLM can be coupled to two land surface models (the Community Land Model (CLM) and VEG3D), the NEMO-MED12 regional ocean model for the Mediterranean Sea, two ocean models for the North and Baltic seas (NEMO-NORDIC and TRIMNP+CICE) and the MPI-ESM Earth system model.We first present the different model components and the unified OASIS3-MCT interface which handles all couplings in a consistent way, minimising the model source code modifications and defining the physical and numerical aspects of the couplings. We also address specific coupling issues like the handling of different domains, multiple usage of the MCT library and exchange of 3-D fields.We analyse and compare the computational performance of the different couplings based on real-case simulations over Europe. The usage of the LUCIA tool implemented in OASIS3-MCT enables the quantification of the contributions of the coupled components to the overall coupling cost. These individual contributions are (1) cost of the model(s) coupled, (2) direct cost of coupling including horizontal interpolation and communication between the components, (3) load imbalance, (4) cost of different usage of processors by CCLM in coupled and stand-alone mode and (5) residual cost including i.a. CCLM additional computations.Finally a procedure for finding an optimum processor configuration for each of the couplings was developed considering the time to solution, computing cost and parallel efficiency of the simulation. The optimum configurations are presented for sequential, concurrent and mixed (sequential+concurrent) coupling layouts. The procedure applied can be regarded as independent of the specific coupling layout and coupling details.We found that the direct cost of coupling, i.e. communications and horizontal interpolation, in OASIS3-MCT remains below 7 % of the CCLM stand-alone cost for all couplings investigated. This is in particular true for the exchange of 450 2-D fields between CCLM and MPI-ESM. We identified remaining limitations in the coupling strategies and discuss possible future improvements of the computational efficiency.

scholarly journals The Sensitivity of Latent Heat Flux to Changes in the Radiative Forcing: A Framework for Comparing Models and Observations

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (9) ◽  
pp. 2345-2356 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan M. Winter ◽  
Elfatih A. B. Eltahir
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Latent Heat ◽  
Latent Heat Flux ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Transfer Scheme ◽  
Available Energy

Abstract A climate model must include an accurate surface physics scheme in order to examine the interactions between the land and atmosphere. Given an increase in the surface radiative forcing, the sensitivity of latent heat flux to available energy plays an important role in determining the energy budget and has a significant impact on the response of surface temperature. The Penman–Monteith equation is used to construct a theoretical framework for evaluating the climatology of evapotranspiration and the sensitivity of latent heat flux to available energy. Regional Climate Model version 3 coupled to Integrated Biosphere Simulator (RegCM3–IBIS); RegCM3 with its native land surface model, Biosphere–Atmosphere Transfer Scheme 1e (RegCM3–BATS1e); and Flux Network (FLUXNET) micrometeorological tower observations are compared and contrasted using the developed methodology. RegCM3–IBIS and RegCM3–BATS1e simulate the observed sensitivity of latent heat flux to available energy reasonably well during the summer on average; however, there are significant variations in the monthly values. Additional information provided by the physically based Penman–Monteith framework is employed for identifying deficiencies and guiding improvements in models, allowing calibration of both the climatology of evapotranspiration and the sensitivity of latent heat flux to available energy.

Modelling nitrogen transport across compartments over northern Europe

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Hagemann ◽  
Ute Daewel ◽  
Volker Matthias ◽  
Tobias Stacke
Keyword(s):  
Baltic Sea ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Atmospheric Transport ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Marine Ecosystem ◽  
Coupled System ◽  
Nutrient Concentrations ◽  
Nutrient Loads

<p>River discharge and the associated nutrient loads are important factors that influence the functioning of the marine ecosystem. Lateral inflows from land carrying fresh, nutrient-rich water determine coastal physical conditions and nutrient concentration and, hence, dominantly influence primary production in the system. Since this forms the basis of the trophic food web, riverine nutrient concentrations impact the variability of the whole coastal ecosystem. This process becomes even more relevant in systems like the Baltic Sea, which is almost decoupled from the open ocean and land-borne nutrients play a major role for ecosystem productivity on seasonal up to decadal time scales.</p><p> </p><p>In order to represent the effects of climate or land use change on nutrient availability, a coupled system approach is required to simulate the transport of nutrients across Earth system compartments. This comprises their transport within the atmosphere, the deposition and human application at the surface, the lateral transport over the land surface into the ocean and their dynamics and transformation in the marine ecosystem. In our study, we combine these processes in a modelling chain within the GCOAST (Geesthacht Coupled cOAstal model SysTem) framework for the northern European region. This modelling chain comprises:</p><p> </p><ul><li>Simulation of emissions, atmospheric transport and deposition with the chemistry transport model CMAQ at 36 km grid resolution using atmospheric forcing from the coastDat3 data that have been generated with the regional climate model COSMO-CLM over Europe at 0.11° resolution using ERA-Interim re-analyses as boundary conditions</li> <li>Simulation of inert processes at the land surface with the global hydrology model HydroPy (former MPI-HM), i.e. considering total nitrogen without any chemical reactions</li> <li>Riverine transport with the Hydrological Discharge (HD) model at 0.0833° spatial resolution</li> <li>Simulation of the North Sea and Baltic Sea ecosystems with 3D coupled physical-biogeochemical NPZD-model ECOSMO II at about 10 km resolution</li> </ul><p> </p><p>We will present first results and their validation from this exercise.</p><p> </p>

Hydrological evaluation of high-resolution precipitation estimates from the WRF model in the Third Pole river basins

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
He Sun ◽  
Fengge Su ◽  
Zhihua He ◽  
Tinghai Ou ◽  
Deliang Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Infiltration Capacity ◽  
Flood Prediction ◽  
Daily Streamflow ◽  
Precipitation Estimates

AbstractIn this study, two sets of precipitation estimates based on the regional Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) –the high Asia refined analysis (HAR) and outputs with a 9 km resolution from WRF (WRF-9km) are evaluated at both basin and point scales, and their potential hydrological utilities are investigated by driving the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) large-scale land surface hydrological model in seven Third Pole (TP) basins. The regional climate model (RCM) tends to overestimate the gauge-based estimates by 20–95% in annual means among the selected basins. Relative to the gauge observations, the RCM precipitation estimates can accurately detect daily precipitation events of varying intensities (with absolute bias < 3 mm). The WRF-9km exhibits a high potential for hydrological application in the monsoon-dominated basins in the southeastern TP (with NSE of 0.7–0.9 and bias of -11% to 3%), while the HAR performs well in the upper Indus (UI) and upper Brahmaputra (UB) basins (with NSE of 0.6 and bias of -15% to -9%). Both the RCM precipitation estimates can accurately capture the magnitudes of low and moderate daily streamflow, but show limited capabilities in flood prediction in most of the TP basins. This study provides a comprehensive evaluation of the strength and limitation of RCMs precipitation in hydrological modeling in the TP with complex terrains and sparse gauge observations.

scholarly journals Land surface albedo and vegetation feedbacks enhanced the millennium drought in south-east Australia

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 409-422 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason P. Evans ◽  
Xianhong Meng ◽  
Matthew F. McCabe
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Surface Characteristics ◽  
Surface Precipitation ◽  
Vegetation Fraction ◽  
Vegetation Feedbacks ◽  
Millennium Drought ◽  
Precipitation Anomalies

Abstract. In this study, we have examined the ability of a regional climate model (RCM) to simulate the extended drought that occurred throughout the period of 2002 through 2007 in south-east Australia. In particular, the ability to reproduce the two drought peaks in 2002 and 2006 was investigated. Overall, the RCM was found to reproduce both the temporal and the spatial structure of the drought-related precipitation anomalies quite well, despite using climatological seasonal surface characteristics such as vegetation fraction and albedo. This result concurs with previous studies that found that about two-thirds of the precipitation decline can be attributed to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Simulation experiments that allowed the vegetation fraction and albedo to vary as observed illustrated that the intensity of the drought was underestimated by about 10 % when using climatological surface characteristics. These results suggest that in terms of drought development, capturing the feedbacks related to vegetation and albedo changes may be as important as capturing the soil moisture–precipitation feedback. In order to improve our modelling of multi-year droughts, the challenge is to capture all these related surface changes simultaneously, and provide a comprehensive description of land surface–precipitation feedback during the droughts development.

scholarly journals Impact of updated radiative transfer scheme in RACMO2.3p3 on the surface mass and energy budget of the Greenland ice sheet

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christiaan T. van Dalum ◽  
Willem Jan van de Berg ◽  
Michiel R. van den Broeke
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Transfer ◽  
Energy Budget ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Snow Melt ◽  
Transfer Scheme ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. This study evaluates the impact of a new snow and ice albedo and radiative transfer scheme on the surface mass and energy budget for the Greenland ice sheet in the latest version of the regional climate model RACMO2, version 2.3p3. We also evaluate the modeled (sub)surface temperature and snow melt, as subsurface heating by radiation penetration now occurs. The results are compared to the previous model version and are evaluated against stake measurements and automatic weather station data of the K-transect and PROMICE projects. In addition, subsurface snow temperature profiles are compared at the K-transect, Summit and southeast Greenland. The surface mass balance is in good agreement with observations, and only changes considerably with respect to the previous RACMO2 version around the ice margins and in the percolation zone. Snow melt and refreezing, on the other hand, are changed more substantially in various regions due to the changed albedo representation, subsurface energy absorption and melt water percolation. Internal heating leads to considerably higher snow temperatures in summer, in agreement with observations, and introduces a shallow layer of subsurface melt.

scholarly journals Projected effects of vegetation feedback on drought characteristics of West Africa using a coupled regional land–vegetation–climate model

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Shafqat Mehboob ◽  
Yeonjoo Kim ◽  
Jaehyeong Lee ◽  
Myoung-Jin Um ◽  
Amir Erfanian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
Vegetation Dynamics ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Congo Basin ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Vegetation Feedback ◽  
Community Land Model

Abstract. This study investigates the projected effect of vegetation feedback on drought conditions in West Africa using a regional climate model coupled to the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Land Model, the carbon-nitrogen (CN) module, and the dynamic vegetation (DV) module (RegCM-CLM-CN-DV). The role of vegetation feedback is examined based on simulations with and without the DV module. Simulations from four different global climate models are used as lateral boundary conditions (LBCs) for historical and future periods (i.e., historical: 1981–2000; future: 2081–2100). With utilizing the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), we quantify the duration, frequency, and severity of droughts over the focal regions of the Sahel, the Gulf of Guinea, and the Congo Basin. With the vegetation dynamics being considered, future droughts become more prolonged and enhanced over the Sahel, whereas for the Guinea Gulf and Congo Basin, the trend is opposite. Additionally, we show that simulated annual leaf greenness (i.e., the Leaf Area Index) well-correlates with annual minimum SPEI, particularly over the Sahel, which is a transition zone, where the feedback between land-atmosphere is relatively strong. Furthermore, we note that our findings based on the ensemble mean are varying, but consistent among three different LBCs except for one LBC. Our results signify the importance of vegetation dynamics in predicting future droughts in West Africa, where the biosphere and atmosphere interactions play an important role in the regional climate setup.

Evaluation of Temperature Simulation over Northern Thailand from Regional Climate Model Coupled with Land Surface Model

2017 ◽  
Vol 866 ◽  
pp. 108-111
Author(s):  
Theerapan Saesong ◽  
Pakpoom Ratjiranukool ◽  
Sujittra Ratjiranukool
Keyword(s):  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Analysis ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Analysis Data ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Northern Thailand ◽  
Weather Model

Numerical Weather Model called The Weather Research and Forecasting model, WRF, developed by National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) is adapted to be regional climate model. The model is run to perform the daily mean air surface temperatures over northern Thailand in 2010. Boundery dataset provided by National Centers for Environmental Prediction, NCEP FNL, (Final) Operational Global Analysis data which are on 10 x 10. The simulated temperatures by WRF with four land surface options, i.e., no land surface scheme (option 0), thermal diffusion (option 1), Noah land-surface (option 2) and RUC land-surface (option 3) were compared against observational data from Thai Meteorological Department (TMD). Preliminary analysis indicated WRF simulations with Noah scheme were able to reproduce the most reliable daily mean temperatures over northern Thailand.

The Common Land Model

2003 ◽  
Vol 84 (8) ◽  
pp. 1013-1024 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongjiu Dai ◽  
Xubin Zeng ◽  
Robert E. Dickinson ◽  
Ian Baker ◽  
Gordon B. Bonan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Transfer Scheme ◽  
Soil System ◽  
Common Land Model ◽  
The Common ◽  
Academy Of Sciences ◽  
Ice Water

The Common Land Model (CLM) was developed for community use by a grassroots collaboration of scientists who have an interest in making a general land model available for public use and further development. The major model characteristics include enough unevenly spaced layers to adequately represent soil temperature and soil moisture, and a multilayer parameterization of snow processes; an explicit treatment of the mass of liquid water and ice water and their phase change within the snow and soil system; a runoff parameterization following the TOPMODEL concept; a canopy photo synthesis-conductance model that describes the simultaneous transfer of CO2 and water vapor into and out of vegetation; and a tiled treatment of the subgrid fraction of energy and water balance. CLM has been extensively evaluated in offline mode and coupling runs with the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM3). The results of two offline runs, presented as examples, are compared with observations and with the simulation of three other land models [the Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS), Bonan's Land Surface Model (LSM), and the 1994 version of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Institute of Atmospheric Physics LSM (IAP94)].

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