scholarly journals Sensitivity of Horn of Africa Rainfall to Regional Sea Surface Temperature Forcing

Climate ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 365-390 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zewdu Segele ◽  
Lance Leslie ◽  
Aondover Tarhule
2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (12) ◽  
pp. 3396-3421 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zewdu T. Segele ◽  
Peter J. Lamb ◽  
Lance M. Leslie

Abstract Horn of Africa rainfall varies on multiple time scales, but the underlying climate system controls on this variability have not been examined comprehensively. This study therefore investigates the linkages between June–September Horn of Africa (especially Ethiopian) rainfall and regional atmospheric circulation and global sea surface temperature (SST) variations on several key time scales. Wavelet analysis of 5-day average or monthly total rainfall for 1970–99 identifies the dominant coherent modes of rainfall variability. Several regional atmospheric variables and global SST are then identically wavelet filtered, based on the rainfall frequency bands. Regression, correlation, and composite analyses are subsequently used to identify the most important rainfall–climate system time-scale relationships. The results show that Ethiopian monsoon rainfall variation is largely linked with annual time-scale atmospheric circulation patterns involving variability in the major components of the monsoon system. Although variability on the seasonal (75–210 days), quasi-biennial (QB; 1.42–3.04 yr), and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO; 3.04–4.60 yr) time scales accounts for much less variance than the annual mode (210 days–1.42 yr), they significantly affect Ethiopian rainfall by preferentially modulating the major regional monsoon components and remote teleconnection linkages. The seasonal time scale largely acts in phase with the annual mode, by enhancing or reducing the lower-tropospheric southwesterlies from the equatorial Atlantic during wet or dry periods. The wet QB phase strengthens the Azores and Saharan high and the tropical easterly jet (TEJ) over the Arabian Sea, while the wet ENSO phase enhances the Mascarene high, the TEJ, and the monsoon trough more locally. The effects of tropical SST on Ethiopian rainfall also are prominent on the QB and ENSO time scales. While rainfall–SST correlations for both the QB and ENSO modes are strongly positive (negative) over the equatorial western (eastern) Pacific, only ENSO exhibits widespread strong negative correlations over the Indian Ocean. Opposite QB and ENSO associations tend to characterize dry Ethiopian conditions. The relationships identified on individual time scales now are being used to develop and validate statistical prediction models for Ethiopia.


2011 ◽  
Vol 39 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 2307-2328 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Park Williams ◽  
Chris Funk ◽  
Joel Michaelsen ◽  
Sara A. Rauscher ◽  
Iain Robertson ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 51 (4) ◽  
pp. e9-e14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroto Kajita ◽  
Atsuko Yamazaki ◽  
Takaaki Watanabe ◽  
Chung-Che Wu ◽  
Chuan-Chou Shen ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 929
Author(s):  
Marianus Filipe Logo ◽  
N M. R. R. Cahya Perbani ◽  
Bayu Priyono

Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur (NTT) merupakan penghasil rumput laut kappaphycus alvarezii kedua terbesar di Indonesia berdasarkan data Badan Pusat Statistik (2016). Oleh karena itu diperlukan zonasi daerah potensial budidaya rumput laut kappaphycus alvarezii untuk pengembangan lebih lanjut. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan daerah yang potensial untuk budidaya rumput laut kappaphycus alvarezii di Provinsi NTT berdasarkan parameter sea surface temperature (SST), salinitas, kedalaman, arus, dissolved oxygen (DO), nitrat, fosfat, klorofil-a, dan muara sungai. Penentuan kesesuaian lokasi budidaya dilakukan dengan memberikan bobot dan skor bagi setiap parameter untuk budidaya rumput laut kappaphycus alvarezii menggunakan sistem informasi geografis melalui overlay peta tematik setiap parameter. Dari penelitian ini diperoleh bahwa kadar nitrat, arus, kedalaman, dan lokasi muara sungai menjadi parameter penentu utama. Jarak maksimum dari bibir pantai adalah sekitar 10 km. Potensial budidaya rumput laut kappaphycus alvarezii ditemukan di Pulau Flores bagian barat, kepulauan di Kabupaten Flores Timur dan Alor, selatan Pulau Sumba, Pulau Rote, dan Teluk Kupang.


Author(s):  
Diaz Juan Navia ◽  
Diaz Juan Navia ◽  
Bolaños Nancy Villegas ◽  
Bolaños Nancy Villegas ◽  
Igor Malikov ◽  
...  

Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTA), in four coastal hydrographic stations of Colombian Pacific Ocean, were analyzed. The selected hydrographic stations were: Tumaco (1°48'N-78°45'W), Gorgona island (2°58'N-78°11'W), Solano Bay (6°13'N-77°24'W) and Malpelo island (4°0'N-81°36'W). SSTA time series for 1960-2015 were calculated from monthly Sea Surface Temperature obtained from International Comprehensive Ocean Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS). SSTA time series, Oceanic Nino Index (ONI), Pacific Decadal Oscillation index (PDO), Arctic Oscillation index (AO) and sunspots number (associated to solar activity), were compared. It was found that the SSTA absolute minimum has occurred in Tumaco (-3.93°C) in March 2009, in Gorgona (-3.71°C) in October 2007, in Solano Bay (-4.23°C) in April 2014 and Malpelo (-4.21°C) in December 2005. The SSTA absolute maximum was observed in Tumaco (3.45°C) in January 2002, in Gorgona (5.01°C) in July 1978, in Solano Bay (5.27°C) in March 1998 and Malpelo (3.64°C) in July 2015. A high correlation between SST and ONI in large part of study period, followed by a good correlation with PDO, was identified. The AO and SSTA have showed an inverse relationship in some periods. Solar Cycle has showed to be a modulator of behavior of SSTA in the selected stations. It was determined that extreme values of SST are related to the analyzed large scale oscillations.


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