scholarly journals Unraveling the Impact of Land Cover Changes on Climate Using Machine Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Anastasiia Kolevatova ◽  
Michael A. Riegler ◽  
Francesco Cherubini ◽  
Xiangping Hu ◽  
Hugo L. Hammer

A general issue in climate science is the handling of big data and running complex and computationally heavy simulations. In this paper, we explore the potential of using machine learning (ML) to spare computational time and optimize data usage. The paper analyzes the effects of changes in land cover (LC), such as deforestation or urbanization, on local climate. Along with green house gas emission, LC changes are known to be important causes of climate change. ML methods were trained to learn the relation between LC changes and temperature changes. The results showed that random forest (RF) outperformed other ML methods, and especially linear regression models representing current practice in the literature. Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) was further used to interpret the RF method and analyze the impact of different LC changes on temperature. The results mainly agree with the climate science literature, but also reveal new and interesting findings, demonstrating that ML methods in combination with XAI can be useful in analyzing the climate effects of LC changes. All parts of the analysis pipeline are explained including data pre-processing, feature extraction, ML training, performance evaluation, and XAI.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zia U. Ahmed ◽  
Kang Sun ◽  
Michael Shelly ◽  
Lina Mu

AbstractMachine learning (ML) has demonstrated promise in predicting mortality; however, understanding spatial variation in risk factor contributions to mortality rate requires explainability. We applied explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) on a stack-ensemble machine learning model framework to explore and visualize the spatial distribution of the contributions of known risk factors to lung and bronchus cancer (LBC) mortality rates in the conterminous United States. We used five base-learners—generalized linear model (GLM), random forest (RF), Gradient boosting machine (GBM), extreme Gradient boosting machine (XGBoost), and Deep Neural Network (DNN) for developing stack-ensemble models. Then we applied several model-agnostic approaches to interpret and visualize the stack ensemble model's output in global and local scales (at the county level). The stack ensemble generally performs better than all the base learners and three spatial regression models. A permutation-based feature importance technique ranked smoking prevalence as the most important predictor, followed by poverty and elevation. However, the impact of these risk factors on LBC mortality rates varies spatially. This is the first study to use ensemble machine learning with explainable algorithms to explore and visualize the spatial heterogeneity of the relationships between LBC mortality and risk factors in the contiguous USA.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 205520762096835
Author(s):  
C Blease ◽  
C Locher ◽  
M Leon-Carlyle ◽  
M Doraiswamy

Background The potential for machine learning to disrupt the medical profession is the subject of ongoing debate within biomedical informatics. Objective This study aimed to explore psychiatrists’ opinions about the potential impact innovations in artificial intelligence and machine learning on psychiatric practice Methods In Spring 2019, we conducted a web-based survey of 791 psychiatrists from 22 countries worldwide. The survey measured opinions about the likelihood future technology would fully replace physicians in performing ten key psychiatric tasks. This study involved qualitative descriptive analysis of written responses (“comments”) to three open-ended questions in the survey. Results Comments were classified into four major categories in relation to the impact of future technology on: (1) patient-psychiatrist interactions; (2) the quality of patient medical care; (3) the profession of psychiatry; and (4) health systems. Overwhelmingly, psychiatrists were skeptical that technology could replace human empathy. Many predicted that ‘man and machine’ would increasingly collaborate in undertaking clinical decisions, with mixed opinions about the benefits and harms of such an arrangement. Participants were optimistic that technology might improve efficiencies and access to care, and reduce costs. Ethical and regulatory considerations received limited attention. Conclusions This study presents timely information on psychiatrists’ views about the scope of artificial intelligence and machine learning on psychiatric practice. Psychiatrists expressed divergent views about the value and impact of future technology with worrying omissions about practice guidelines, and ethical and regulatory issues.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Eric T. Taylor ◽  
Graham Taylor

Artificial intelligence powered by deep neural networks has reached a levelof complexity where it can be difficult or impossible to express how a modelmakes its decisions. This black-box problem is especially concerning when themodel makes decisions with consequences for human well-being. In response,an emerging field called explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) aims to increasethe interpretability, fairness, and transparency of machine learning. In thispaper, we describe how cognitive psychologists can make contributions to XAI.The human mind is also a black box, and cognitive psychologists have overone hundred and fifty years of experience modeling it through experimentation.We ought to translate the methods and rigour of cognitive psychology to thestudy of artificial black boxes in the service of explainability. We provide areview of XAI for psychologists, arguing that current methods possess a blindspot that can be complemented by the experimental cognitive tradition. Wealso provide a framework for research in XAI, highlight exemplary cases ofexperimentation within XAI inspired by psychological science, and provide atutorial on experimenting with machines. We end by noting the advantages ofan experimental approach and invite other psychologists to conduct research inthis exciting new field.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (19) ◽  
pp. 32-35
Author(s):  
Anand Vijay ◽  
Kailash Patidar ◽  
Manoj Yadav ◽  
Rishi Kushwah

In this paper an analytical survey on the role of machine learning algorithms in case of intrusion detection has been presented and discussed. This paper shows the analytical aspects in the development of efficient intrusion detection system (IDS). The related study for the development of this system has been presented in terms of computational methods. The discussed methods are data mining, artificial intelligence and machine learning. It has been discussed along with the attack parameters and attack types. This paper also elaborates the impact of different attack and handling mechanism based on the previous papers.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Srikrishna Chintalapati

From retail banking to corporate banking, from property and casualty to personal lines, and from portfolio management to trade processing, the next wave of digital disruption in financial services has been unleashed by the concepts and applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML). Together, AI and ML are undoubtedly creating one of the largest technological transformations the world has ever witnessed. Within the advanced streams of research in AI and ML, human intelligence blended with the cognitive reasoning of machines is finally out of the labs and into real-time applications. The Financial Services sector is one of the early adopters of this revolution and arguably much ahead of its leverage compared to other sectors. Built on the conceptual foundations of Innovation diffusion, and a contemporary perspective of enterprise customer life-cycle journey across the AI-value chain defined by McKinsey Global Institute (2017), the current study attempts to highlight the features and use-cases of early-adopters of this transformation. With the theoretical underpinning of technology adoption lifecycle, this paper is an earnest attempt to comment on how AI and ML have been significantly transforming the Financial Services market space from the lens of a domain practitioner. The findings of this study would be of particular relevance to the subject matter experts, Industry analysts, academicians, and researchers focussed on studying the impact of AI and ML in the financial services industry.


Author(s):  
Brian Granger ◽  
Fernando Pérez

Project Jupyter is an open-source project for interactive computing widely used in data science, machine learning, and scientific computing. We argue that even though Jupyter helps users perform complex, technical work, Jupyter itself solves problems that are fundamentally human in nature. Namely, Jupyter helps humans to think and tell stories with code and data. We illustrate this by describing three dimensions of Jupyter: interactive computing, computational narratives, and  the idea that Jupyter is more than software. We illustrate the impact of these dimensions on a community of practice in Earth and climate science.


Author(s):  
E. Grilli ◽  
E. M. Farella ◽  
A. Torresani ◽  
F. Remondino

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> In the last years, the application of artificial intelligence (Machine Learning and Deep Learning methods) for the classification of 3D point clouds has become an important task in modern 3D documentation and modelling applications. The identification of proper geometric and radiometric features becomes fundamental to classify 2D/3D data correctly. While many studies have been conducted in the geospatial field, the cultural heritage sector is still partly unexplored. In this paper we analyse the efficacy of the geometric covariance features as a support for the classification of Cultural Heritage point clouds. To analyse the impact of the different features calculated on spherical neighbourhoods at various radius sizes, we present results obtained on four different heritage case studies using different features configurations.</p>


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