scholarly journals The 10–20 d Low-Frequency Oscillation Characteristics of Summer Precipitation in Eastern China in the Decaying Year of CP ENSO

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 616
Author(s):  
Cong Cai ◽  
Lijuan Wang ◽  
Junyu Wang ◽  
Zhiqiang Wang

Using National Centers for Atmospheric Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data and observational data, the low-frequency oscillation characteristics of precipitation in eastern China during the decaying summer of central Pacific El Niño–Southern Oscillation (CP ENSO) and the corresponding low-frequency atmospheric oscillation characteristic were investigated. The results showed that summer precipitation in eastern China during the decaying year of CP El Niño (La Niña) was more (less) than the climatological mean and that 10–20 d was its dominant period. Low-frequency oscillations at different tropospheric levels had different effects on low-frequency precipitation. In the upper troposphere, Eastern China was dominated by low-frequency divergence and positive (negative) anomaly of low-frequency height during the decaying year of CP El Niño (La Niña), and there was strong (weak) northwest–southeast wave-active flux transport. In the middle troposphere, the range and intensity of the subtropical western Pacific High (SWPH) of CP El Niño was larger and stronger than that of CP La Niña, which may be related to the low-frequency height fields. Meanwhile, the correspnding low-frequency wind field, water vapor circulation systems and moisture transport channels in the lower troposphere, along with the low-frequency vertical movement were significantly different, causing the low-frequency precipitation of CP El Niño to be stronger than CP La Niña.

2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (5) ◽  
pp. 2153-2166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra Amaro de Lima ◽  
Rita Valéria Andreoli ◽  
Mary Toshie Kayano

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (16) ◽  
pp. 6505-6520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Zhou ◽  
Raghu Murtugudde ◽  
Dake Chen ◽  
Youmin Tang

The central Indian Ocean (CIO) mode, an intrinsic coupled mode, plays an important role in the intraseasonal variabilities over the Indian monsoon region. Besides the intraseasonal variabilities, the CIO mode also has pronounced seasonal and interannual variabilities. The CIO mode is active during boreal summer but suppressed during boreal winter. The seasonality is mainly attributable to the barotropic instability, which is caused by the large meridional shear of zonal winds. By decomposing the temporal tendency of the meridional gradient of zonal winds, it is found that the zonal wind shear mainly follows the variation of the horizontal eddy flux, which indicates the importance of the multiscale interaction in tropical dynamics. The interannual variability of the CIO mode also depends on the energy transfer associated with the barotropic instability. The influences of El Niño or La Niña and Indian Ocean dipole–zonal mode (IODZM) on the CIO mode are analyzed. El Niño and La Niña have moderate impacts on the CIO mode. El Niño weakens the CIO mode and La Niña strengthens it via the changes in the low-level zonal wind shear. IODZM does not significantly change the amplitude of the CIO mode but can shift its latitudinal position by modifying the meridional shear of the zonal winds. The low-frequency variabilities of the CIO mode at seasonal and interannual time scales unveil the impacts of the background circulations at the intraseasonal variabilities during the Indian summer monsoon in a multiscale framework. While the low-frequency variabilities of this mode will clearly have an implication for monsoon variability and prediction, further studies are needed to quantify the impacts.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuyun Zhao ◽  
Hua Zhang ◽  
Bing Xie

Abstract. It is reported in previous studies that El Niño-South Oscillation (ENSO) influences not only the summer monsoon, but also the winter monsoon over East Asia. This contains some clues that ENSO may affect the winter haze pollution of China, which has become a serious problem in recent decades, through influencing the winter climate of East Asia. In this work, we explore the effects of ENSO on the winter (from December to February) haze pollution of China statistically and numerically. Statistical results reveal that the haze days of southern China tend to be less (more) than normal in El Niño (La Niña) winter; whereas the winter haze days of northern and eastern China have no significant relationship with ENSO. Results from numerical simulations show that under the emission level of aerosols for the year 2010, the winter-average atmospheric contents of anthropogenic aerosols over southern China are generally more (less) than normal in El Niño (La Niña) winter. It is because that the transports of aerosols from South and Southeast Asia to southern China are enhanced (weakened), which mask the better (worse) scavenging conditions for aerosols in El Niño (La Niña) winter. The probability density function (PDF) of the simulated daily surface concentrations of aerosols over southern China indicates that the region tends to have less clean and moderate (heavy) haze days, but more heavy (moderate) haze days in El Niño (La Niña) winter.


Author(s):  
Xiao Pan ◽  
Tim Li ◽  
Ying Sun ◽  
Zhiwei Zhu

AbstractRecord-breaking heavy and persistent precipitation occurred over the Yangtze River Valley (YRV) in June–July (JJ) 2020. An observational data analysis has indicated that the strong and persistent rainfall arose from the confluence of southerly wind anomalies to the south associated with an extremely strong anomalous anticyclone over the western North Pacific (WNPAC) and northeasterly anomalies to the north associated with a high-pressure anomaly over Northeast Asia. A further observational and modeling study has shown that the extremely strong WNPAC was caused by both La Niña-like SST anomaly (SSTA) forcing in the equatorial Pacific and warm SSTA forcing in the tropical Indian Ocean (IO). Different from conventional central Pacific (CP) El Niños that decay slowly, a CP El Niño in early 2020 decayed quickly and became a La Niña by early summer. This quick transition had a critical impact on the WNPAC. Meanwhile, an unusually large area of SST warming occurred in the tropical IO because a moderate interannual SSTA over the IO associated with the CP El Niño was superposed by an interdecadal/long-term trend component. Numerical sensitivity experiments have demonstrated that both the heating anomaly in the IO and the heating anomaly in the tropical Pacific contributed to the formation and maintenance of the WNPAC. The persistent high-pressure anomaly in Northeast Asia was part of a stationary Rossby wave train in the midlatitudes, driven by combined heating anomalies over India, the tropical eastern Pacific, and the tropical Atlantic.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-58
Author(s):  
Hanna Heidemann ◽  
Joachim Ribbe ◽  
Tim Cowan ◽  
Benjamin J. Henley ◽  
Christa Pudmenzky ◽  
...  

AbstractMonsoonal rainfall varies substantially in Northern Australia (AUMR) on interannual, decadal and longer time scales, profoundly impacting natural systems and agricultural communities. Some of this variability arises in response to sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the Indo-Pacific linked to both the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). Here we use observations to investigate unresolved issues regarding the influence of the IPO and ENSO on AUMR. Specifically, we show that during negative IPO phases, central Pacific (CP) El Niño events are associated with below average rainfall over northeast Australia, an anomalous anticyclonic pattern to the northwest of Australia, and eastward moisture advection towards the Dateline. In contrast, CP La Niña events (distinct from eastern Pacific La Niña events) during negative IPO phases drive significantly wet conditions over much of northern Australia, a strengthened Walker Circulation, and large-scale moisture flux convergence. During positive IPO phases, the impact of CP El Niño and CP La Niña events on AUMR is weaker. The influence of central Pacific SSTs on AUMR has been stronger during the recent (post-1999) negative IPO phase. The extent to which this strengthening is associated with climate change or merely natural, internal variability is not known.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (11) ◽  
pp. 4463-4482 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Hoell ◽  
Mathew Barlow ◽  
Taiyi Xu ◽  
Tao Zhang

Abstract The sensitivity of southwest Asia (25°–40°N, 40°–70°E) precipitation during the November–April rainy season to four types of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, eastern Pacific (EP) and central Pacific (CP) El Niño and La Niña, is assessed using an ensemble of atmospheric model simulations forced by 1979–2015 boundary conditions. Sensitivity is assessed in terms of 1) the spread of precipitation across the ensemble members around the ensemble mean, 2) the probability of precipitation falling into the upper and lower terciles of the historical distribution, and 3) the relationship between the tropical atmosphere and southwest Asia precipitation during ENSO. During CP La Niña, the magnitude of the below-average mean precipitation exceeds the magnitude of the precipitation spread, thereby conditioning the probability of lower-tercile southwest Asia precipitation to greater than 70%. By contrast, EP La Niña does not alter the odds of southwest Asia precipitation terciles, as the magnitude of the near-zero mean precipitation is overwhelmed by the magnitude of the precipitation spread. EP and CP El Niño similarly result in above-average mean precipitation whose magnitude approaches the magnitude of the precipitation spread, thereby conditioning the probability of upper-tercile southwest Asia precipitation to around 50% region-wide. However, the notable effect of the precipitation spread during El Niño allows for a 20%–30% probability that the regional precipitation falls into the lower tercile. ENSO types simultaneously modify the probability of eastern Indian Ocean precipitation and southwest Asia precipitation, supporting the hypothesis that the tropical eastern Indian Ocean atmosphere serves as the medium by which ENSO forcing is communicated to southwest Asia.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 1863-1877 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuyun Zhao ◽  
Hua Zhang ◽  
Bing Xie

Abstract. It has been reported in previous studies that El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influenced not only the summer monsoon, but also the winter monsoon over East Asia. This contains some clues that ENSO may affect the winter haze pollution of China, which has become a serious problem in recent decades, through influencing the winter climate of East Asia. In this work, we explored the effects of ENSO on the winter (from December to February) haze pollution of China statistically and numerically. Statistical results revealed that the haze days of southern China tended to be fewer (more) than normal in El Niño (La Niña) winter, whereas the relationships between the winter haze days of northern and eastern China and ENSO were not significant. Results from numerical simulations also showed that ENSO influenced the winter atmospheric anthropogenic aerosol content over southern China more obviously than it did over northern and eastern China. Under the emission level of aerosols for the year 2010, winter atmospheric anthropogenic aerosol content over southern China was generally greater (less) than normal in El Niño (La Niña) winter. This was because the transport of aerosols from South and Southeast Asia to southern China was enhanced (weakened), which masked the better (worse) scavenging conditions for aerosols in El Niño (La Niña) winter. The frequency distribution of the simulated daily surface concentrations of aerosols over southern China indicated that the region tended to have fewer clean and moderate (heavy) haze days, but more heavy (moderate) haze days in El Niño (La Niña) winter.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (14) ◽  
pp. 5461-5483 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han-Ching Chen ◽  
Chung-Hsiung Sui ◽  
Yu-Heng Tseng ◽  
Bohua Huang

This study investigates the sudden reversal of anomalous zonal equatorial transport above thermocline at the peak phase of ENSO. The oceanic processes associated with zonal transport are separated into low-frequency ENSO cycle and high-frequency oceanic wave processes. Both processes can generate a reversal of equatorial zonal current at the ENSO peak phase, which is a trigger for the rapid termination of ENSO events. For the low-frequency process, zonal transport exhibits slower and basinwide evolution. During the developing phase of El Niño (La Niña), eastward (westward) transport prevails in the central-eastern Pacific, which enhances ENSO. At the peak of ENSO, a basinwide reversal of the zonal transport resulting from the recharge–discharge process occurs and weakens the existing SST anomalies. High-frequency zonal transport presents clear eastward propagation related to Kelvin wave propagation at the equator, reflection at the eastern boundary, and the westward propagating Rossby waves. The major westerly wind bursts (easterly wind surges) occur in late boreal summer and fall with coincident downwelling (upwelling) Kelvin waves for El Niño (La Niña) events. After the peak of El Niño (La Niña), Kelvin waves reach the eastern boundary in boreal winter and reflect as off-equatorial Rossby waves; then, the zonal transport switches from eastward (westward) to westward (eastward). The high-frequency zonal transport can be represented by equatorial wave dynamics captured by the first three EOFs based on the high-pass-filtered equatorial thermocline. The transport anomaly during the decaying phase is dominated by the low-frequency process in El Niño. However, the transport anomaly is caused by both low- and high-frequency processes during La Niña.


2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (19) ◽  
pp. 6510-6523 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Zhang ◽  
H.-F. Graf ◽  
Yee Leung ◽  
Michael Herzog

Abstract This study examines whether there exist significant differences in tropical cyclone (TC) landfall between central Pacific (CP) El Niño, eastern Pacific (EP) El Niño, and La Niña during the peak TC season (June–October) and how and to what extent CP El Niño influences TC landfall over East Asia for the period 1961–2009. The peak TC season is subdivided into summer [June–August (JJA)] and autumn [September–October (SO)]. The results are summarized as follows: (i) during the summer of CP El Niño years, TCs are more likely to make landfall over East Asia because of a strong easterly steering flow anomaly induced by the westward shift of the subtropical high and northward-shifted TC genesis. In particular, TCs have a greater probability of making landfall over Japan and Korea during the summer of CP El Niño years. (ii) In the autumn of CP El Niño years, TC landfall in most areas of East Asia, especially Indochina, the Malay Peninsula, and the Philippines, is likely to be suppressed because the large-scale circulation resembles that of EP El Niño years. (iii) During the whole peak TC season [June–October (JJASO)] of CP El Niño years, TCs are more likely to make landfall over Japan and Korea. TC landfall in East Asia as a whole has an insignificant association with CP El Niño during the peak TC season. In addition, more (less) TCs are likely to make landfall in China, Indochina, the Malay Peninsula, and the Philippines during the peak TC season of La Niña (EP El Niño) years.


2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 1383-1395 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riyu Lu ◽  
Shu Lu

Abstract The summer precipitation anomalies over the tropical western North Pacific (WNP), which greatly affect East Asian climate, are closely related to Indian Ocean (IO) SST anomalies, and this WNP–IO relationship is widely assumed to be linear. This study indicates that the IO SST–WNP precipitation relationship is generally linear only when the IO SST anomalies are positive and not when the IO SST anomalies are negative, that is, a strongly cooler IO, in comparison with a moderately cooler IO, does not correspond to stronger precipitation enhancement over the WNP. Further analysis suggests that the phases of ENSO play a crucial role in modifying the impacts of IO SSTs on WNP anomalies. The reverse IO SST–WNP precipitation relationship, which exists without apparent ENSO development/decay, is intensified by El Niño decay through the enhancement of IO SST anomalies, but weakened by El Niño development and La Niña decay through the concurrence of SST anomalies in the tropical central and eastern Pacific. After removing El Niño developing and La Niña decaying cases, the IO SST and WNP precipitation anomalies show a clear linear relationship. Because of the effects of the phases of ENSO, the years of negative precipitation or anticyclonic anomalies over the WNP are highly concentrated over strongly warmer IO and El Niño decaying years, which is consistent with previous studies. However, the years of positive precipitation anomalies are scattered over cooler IO and moderately warmer IO years, implying a complexity of tropical SST forcing on positive WNP precipitation anomalies.


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