scholarly journals Spatial Interpolation of GNSS Troposphere Wet Delay by a Newly Designed Artificial Neural Network Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (21) ◽  
pp. 4688 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahmut Oguz Selbesoglu

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signals arrive at the Earth in a nonlinear and slightly curved way due to the refraction effect caused by the troposphere. The troposphere delay of the GNSS signal consists of hydrostatic and wet parts. In particular, tropospheric wet delay prediction and interpolation are more difficult than those of the dry component due to the rapid temporal and spatial variation of the water vapor content. Wet delay estimation and interpolation with a sufficient accuracy is an important issue for all parameters obtained by GNSS positioning techniques. In particular, in real-time positioning applications, errors caused by interpolation of the wet troposphere delay are reflected in the height component of about 1 to 2 cm. Furthermore, the amount of water vapor in the troposphere is very important information in weather forecast applications obtained as a function of wet delay. Therefore, real-time monitoring of the troposphere can be achieved with a higher resolution and accuracy by utilizing neural network models for interpolation of the wet tropospheric delay. In addition, in the absence of the GNSS station, wet delays can be interpolated by means of the surrounding stations to the desired location. In this study, a back propagation artificial neural network (BPNN) model based on meteorological parameters obtained from The New Austrian Meteorological Measuring Network (TAWES) was used to interpolate wet troposphere delay. Analysis was carried out at 40 reference stations of the Echtzeit Positionierung Austria (EPOSA) GNSS Network covering the whole of Austria. The interpolation of zenith wet delays based on the artificial neural network was performed by using latitude, longitude, altitude and meteorological parameters (temperature, pressure, weighted mean temperature, and water vapor pressure). These parameters were then subtracted from the artificial neural network model one by one and six different artificial neural networks were designed. In addition, the linear interpolation method (LIN) and inverse distance weighted interpolation method (IDW) were used as conventional interpolation methods. In order to investigate the effect of the network density on interpolation methods, three networks, including 40, 30, and 20 reference stations, were formed and the increased distance effect on interpolation methods was evaluated. In addition, analyses were conducted in winter, spring, and summer to evaluate the seasonal effects on interpolation methods. According to the statistical analysis, the root mean square error (RMSE) values of the IDW, LIN, and BPNN methods were found to be 12.6, 13.4, and 5.9 mm, respectively.

Author(s):  
S Kumar ◽  
T Kaur

Estimation of solar potential is vital for renewable energy applications. In several studies, artificial neural networks have been employed to model solar radiation using various meteorological parameters. The collection and availability of the most appropriate input parameters is important for getting an accurate artificial neural network model. The present study aims to estimate the global solar radiation using different meteorological parameters and identify the significant parameters based on the analysis of synaptic weights in an artificial neural network model using the connection weight approach. Initially, artificial neural network and empirical models is applied to estimate the solar radiation in Chamba region. The artificial neural network architecture 5-48-15-1 resulted in minimum mean absolute percentage error of 12.15%. The mean absolute percentage error values for linear models are found to be 18.95%, 15.39%, and 21.62%, respectively. Thereafter, connection weight approach is applied to find significant parameters. The efficacy of the approach has been shown through a case study related to estimation of solar radiations in the Hamirpur region situated in the state of Himachal Pradesh (India). Five input parameters, namely temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), clearness index (KT), precipitation (PT), and pressure (P), have been considered to estimate solar radiations using a feed-forward neural network. The proposed approach infers that temperature is the most significant parameter followed by humidity and pressure. The clearness index and precipitation has been found to have the least effect on the estimation of solar radiations. Results also indicate that artificial neural network based technique is more accurate compared to empirical model.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. J. Litta ◽  
Sumam Mary Idicula ◽  
U. C. Mohanty

Forecasting thunderstorm is one of the most difficult tasks in weather prediction, due to their rather small spatial and temporal extension and the inherent nonlinearity of their dynamics and physics. Accurate forecasting of severe thunderstorms is critical for a large range of users in the community. In this paper, experiments are conducted with artificial neural network model to predict severe thunderstorms that occurred over Kolkata during May 3, 11, and 15, 2009, using thunderstorm affected meteorological parameters. The capabilities of six learning algorithms, namely, Step, Momentum, Conjugate Gradient, Quick Propagation, Levenberg-Marquardt, and Delta-Bar-Delta, in predicting thunderstorms and the usefulness for the advanced prediction were studied and their performances were evaluated by a number of statistical measures. The results indicate that Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm well predicted thunderstorm affected surface parameters and 1, 3, and 24 h advanced prediction models are able to predict hourly temperature and relative humidity adequately with sudden fall and rise during thunderstorm hour. This demonstrates its distinct capability and advantages in identifying meteorological time series comprising nonlinear characteristics. The developed model can be useful in decision making for meteorologists and others who work with real-time thunderstorm forecast.


Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3042
Author(s):  
Sheng Jiang ◽  
Mansour Sharafisafa ◽  
Luming Shen

Pre-existing cracks and associated filling materials cause the significant heterogeneity of natural rocks and rock masses. The induced heterogeneity changes the rock properties. This paper targets the gap in the existing literature regarding the adopting of artificial neural network approaches to efficiently and accurately predict the influences of heterogeneity on the strength of 3D-printed rocks at different strain rates. Herein, rock heterogeneity is reflected by different pre-existing crack and filling material configurations, quantitatively defined by the crack number, initial crack orientation with loading axis, crack tip distance, and crack offset distance. The artificial neural network model can be trained, validated, and tested by finite 42 quasi-static and 42 dynamic Brazilian disc experimental tests to establish the relationship between the rock strength and heterogeneous parameters at different strain rates. The artificial neural network architecture, including the hidden layer number and transfer functions, is optimized by the corresponding parametric study. Once trained, the proposed artificial neural network model generates an excellent prediction accuracy for influences of high dimensional heterogeneous parameters and strain rate on rock strength. The sensitivity analysis indicates that strain rate is the most important physical quantity affecting the strength of heterogeneous rock.


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