scholarly journals Toward a State-of-the-Art of Fly-Rock Prediction Technology in Open-Pit Mines Using EANNs Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (21) ◽  
pp. 4554 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hoang Nguyen ◽  
Xuan-Nam Bui ◽  
Trung Nguyen-Thoi ◽  
Prashanth Ragam ◽  
Hossein Moayedi
Keyword(s):  
State Of The Art ◽  
Promising Result ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Open Pit ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Ann Models

Fly-rock induced by blasting is an undesirable phenomenon in quarries. It can be dangerous for humans, equipment, and buildings. To minimize its undesirable hazards, we proposed a state-of-the-art technology of fly-rock prediction based on artificial neural network (ANN) models and their robust combination, called EANNs model (ensemble of ANN models); 210 fly-rock events were recorded to develop and test the ANN and EANNs models. Of thi sample, 80% of the whole dataset was assigned to develop the models, the remaining 20% was assigned to confirm the models developed. Accordingly, five ANN models were designed and developed using the training dataset (i.e., 80% of the whole original data) first; then, their predictions on the training dataset were ensembled to generate a new training dataset. Subsequently, another ANN model was developed based on the new set of training data (i.e., EANNs model). Its performance was evaluated through a variety of performance indices, such as MAE (mean absolute error), MAPE (mean absolute percentage error), RMSE (root-mean-square error), R2 (correlation coefficient), and VAF (variance accounted for). A promising result was found for the proposed EANNs model in predicting blast-induced fly-rock with a MAE = 2.777, MAPE = 0.017, RMSE = 4.346, R2 = 0.986, and VAF = 98.446%. To confirm the performance of the proposed EANNs model, another ANN model with the same structure was developed and tested on the training and testing datasets. The findings also indicated that the proposed EANNs model yielded better performance than those of the ANN model with the same structure.

scholarly journals A neural network model for estimation soil temperature bases on limited meteorological parameters in selected provinces in Iraq

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali M. Al-Salihi ◽  
Zahraa A. AL-Ramahy
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Soil Temperature ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Temperature Estimation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Daily Data

Soil temperature is an important meteorological variable which plays a significant role in hydrological cycle. In present study, artificial intelligence technique employed for estimating for 3 daysa head soil temperature estimation at 10 and 20 cm depth. Soil temperature daily data for the period 1 January 2012 to 31 December 2013 measured in three stations namely (Mosul, Baghdad and Muthanna) in Iraq. The training data set includes 616 days and the testing data includes 109 days. The Levenberg-Marquardt, Scaled Conjugate Gradient and Bayesian regularization algorithms. To evaluate the ANN models, Root mean square error (RMSE), Mean absolute error (MAE), Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and Correlation Coefficient (r) were determined. According to the four statistical indices were calculated of the optimum ANN model, it was ANN model (3) in Muthanaa station for the depth 10 cm and ANN model (3) in Baghdad station for the depth 20 were (RMSE=0.959oC, MAE=0.725, MAPE=4.293, R=0.988) and (RMSE=0.887OC, MAE=0.704, MAPE=4.239, R=0.993) respectively, theses statistical criteria shown the efficiency of artificial neural network for soil temperature estimation.

scholarly journals Comparisons of Prediction Models of Myofascial Pain Control after Dry Needling: A Prospective Study

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan-Ting Huang ◽  
Choo-Aun Neoh ◽  
Shun-Yuan Lin ◽  
Hon-Yi Shi
Keyword(s):  
Pain Control ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Myofascial Pain ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Dry Needling ◽  
Patient Reported ◽  
Ann Models

Background. This study purposed to validate the use of artificial neural network (ANN) models for predicting myofascial pain control after dry needling and to compare the predictive capability of ANNs with that of support vector machine (SVM) and multiple linear regression (MLR).Methods. Totally 400 patients who have received dry needling treatments completed the Brief Pain Inventory (BPI) at baseline and at 1 year postoperatively.Results. Compared to the MLR and SVM models, the ANN model generally had smaller mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values in the training dataset and testing dataset. Most ANN models had MAPE values ranging from 3.4% to 4.6% and most had high prediction accuracy. The global sensitivity analysis also showed that pretreatment BPI score was the best parameter for predicting pain after dry needling.Conclusion. Compared with the MLR and SVM models, the ANN model in this study was more accurate in predicting patient-reported BPI scores and had higher overall performance indices. Further studies of this model may consider the effect of a more detailed database that includes complications and clinical examination findings as well as more detailed outcome data.

scholarly journals Metaheuristic Approaches Integrated with ANN in Forecasting Daily Emergency Department Visits

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Engin Pekel ◽  
Muhammet Gul ◽  
Erkan Celik ◽  
Samuel Yousefi
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Emergency Department Visits ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Quality Level ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Ed Visits ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The overall service quality level of Emergency Departments (EDs) can be improved by accurate forecasting of patient visits. Accordingly, this study aims to evaluate the use of three metaheuristic approaches integrated with Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in forecasting daily ED visits. To do this, five performance measures are used for evaluating the accuracy of the proposed approaches, including Bayesian ANN, Genetic Algorithm-based ANN (GA-ANN), and Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm-based ANN (PSO-ANN). The outputs of this study show that the PSO-ANN model provides the most dominant performance in both the training and testing process. The lowest error is obtained with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 6.3%, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 42.797, Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 2499.340, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 49.933, and R-squared (R2) of 0.824 on the training dataset. The lowest error with an MAPE of 6.0%, MAE of 40.888, MSE of 2839.998, RMSE of 53.292, and R2 of 0.791 is also obtained on the testing process.

scholarly journals Deep Neural Network for Predicting Ore Production by Truck-Haulage Systems in Open-Pit Mines

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1657 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jieun Baek ◽  
Yosoon Choi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Open Pit ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Open Pit Mines ◽  
Determination Coefficient ◽  
Packet Data ◽  
Hidden Layer

This paper proposes a deep neural network (DNN)-based method for predicting ore production by truck-haulage systems in open-pit mines. The proposed method utilizes two DNN models that are designed to predict ore production during the morning and afternoon haulage sessions, respectively. The configuration of the input nodes of the DNN models is based on truck-haulage conditions and corresponding operation times. To verify the efficacy of the proposed method, training data for the DNN models were generated by processing packet data collected over the two-month period December 2018 to January 2019. Subsequently, following training under different hidden-layer conditions, it was observed that the prediction accuracy of morning ore production was highest when the number of hidden layers and number of corresponding nodes were four and 50, respectively. The corresponding values of the determination coefficient and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were 0.99% and 4.78%, respectively. Further, the prediction accuracy of afternoon ore production was highest when the number of hidden layers was four and the corresponding number of nodes was 50. This yielded determination coefficient and MAPE values of 0.99% and 5.26%, respectively.

GA-ANN Forecast Model for Typhoon Gale in South China Sea Based on MDS

2014 ◽  
Vol 556-562 ◽  
pp. 5618-5622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Ping Lin ◽  
Yan Dong ◽  
Xiao Yan Huang
Keyword(s):  
South China Sea ◽  
South China ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Prediction Ability ◽  
China Sea ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Grid Points

Based on 33-year typhoon information of South China Sea (SCS) in 1980-2012 and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, taking Climatology and Persistence (CLIPER) and earlier physical quantities predictors selected by Stepwise Regression (SWR) and Multidimensional Scaling (MDS) methods as model inputs, the Genetic Algorithm-Artificial Neural Network (GA-ANN) forecast model was built for typhoon gale. The forecast verification results for independent samples in MDS-GA-ANN model show that mean absolute error of 24h forecast for wind velocities at 36 grid points around typhoon centers from July to September is 1.6m/s. Using the same samples, the prediction results of MDS-GA-ANN models for independent samples were compared with that of traditional SWR models. Taking July as example, prediction abilities for 29 MDS-GA-ANN models (81%) among 36 grid points around typhoon centers are superior to that of SWR models; only 2 grid points of MDS-GA-ANN models are worse than that of SWR models (6%). Therefore, prediction ability for most of 36 grid points using MDS-GA-ANN models is superior to that of SWR models and can meet business requirements of meteorological stations at present.

scholarly journals Use of Empirical Mode Decomposition in Improving Neural Network Forecasting of Paddy Price

MATEMATIKA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 53-64
Author(s):  
Siti Nabilah Syuhada Abdullah ◽  
Ani Shabri ◽  
Ruhaidah Samsudin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Since rice is a staple food in Malaysia, its price fluctuations pose risks to the producers, suppliers and consumers. Hence, an accurate prediction of paddy price is essential to aid the planning and decision-making in related organizations. The artificial neural network (ANN) has been widely used as a promising method for time series forecasting. In this paper, the effectiveness of integrating empirical mode decomposition (EMD) into an ANN model to forecast paddy price is investigated. The hybrid method is applied on a series of monthly paddy prices fromFebruary 1999 up toMay 2018 as recorded in the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) per metric tons. The performance of the simple ANN model and the EMD-ANN model was measured and compared based on their root mean squared Error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean percentage error (MPE). This study finds that the integration of EMD into the neural network model improves the forecasting capabilities. The use of EMD in the ANN model made the forecast errors reduced significantly, and the RMSE was reduced by 0.012, MAE by 0.0002 and MPE by 0.0448.

Real-Time Determination of Rheological Properties of Spud Drilling Fluids Using a Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Technique

2019 ◽  
Vol 141 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Khaled Abdelgawad ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Tamer Moussa ◽  
Mohamed Mahmoud ◽  
Shirish Patil
Keyword(s):  
Rheological Properties ◽  
Apparent Viscosity ◽  
Drilling Fluid ◽  
Differential Evolution Algorithm ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Drilling Fluids ◽  
Rheological Parameter ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Hole Cleaning ◽  
Ann Models

The rheological properties of the drilling fluid play a key role in controlling the drilling operation. Knowledge of drilling fluid rheological properties is very crucial for drilling hydraulic calculations required for hole cleaning optimization. Measuring the rheological properties during drilling sometimes is a time-consuming process. Wrong estimation of these properties may lead to many problems, such as pipe sticking, loss of circulation, and/or well control issues. The aforementioned problems increase the non-productive time and the overall cost of the drilling operations. In this paper, the frequent drilling fluid measurements (mud density, Marsh funnel viscosity (MFV), and solid percent) are used to estimate the rheological properties of bentonite spud mud. Artificial neural network (ANN) technique was combined with the self-adaptive differential evolution algorithm (SaDe) to develop an optimum ANN model for each rheological property using 1029 data points. The SaDe helped to optimize the best combination of parameters for the ANN models. For the first time, based on the developed ANN models, empirical equations are extracted for each rheological parameter. The ANN models predicted the rheological properties from the mud density, MFV, and solid percent with high accuracy (average absolute percentage error (AAPE) less than 5% and correlation coefficient higher than 95%). The developed apparent viscosity model was compared with the available models in the literature using the unseen dataset. The SaDe-ANN model outperformed the other models which overestimated the apparent viscosity of the spud drilling fluid. The developed models will help drilling engineers to predict the rheological properties every 15–20 min. This will help to optimize hole cleaning and avoid pipe sticking and loss of circulation where bentonite spud mud is used. No additional equipment or special software is required for applying the new method.

scholarly journals Applying neural networks to predict HPC-I/O bandwidth over seismic data on lustre file system for ExSeisDat

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Jabbar Saeed Tipu ◽  
Padraig Ó Conbhuí ◽  
Enda Howley
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Seismic Data ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
File System ◽  
Predictive Modelling ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Computationally Intensive

AbstractHPC or super-computing clusters are designed for executing computationally intensive operations that typically involve large scale I/O operations. This most commonly involves using a standard MPI library implemented in C/C++. The MPI-I/O performance in HPC clusters tends to vary significantly over a range of configuration parameters that are generally not taken into account by the algorithm. It is commonly left to individual practitioners to optimise I/O on a case by case basis at code level. This can often lead to a range of unforeseen outcomes. The ExSeisDat utility is built on top of the native MPI-I/O library comprising of Parallel I/O and Workflow Libraries to process seismic data encapsulated in SEG-Y file format. The SEG-Y File data structure is complex in nature, due to the alternative arrangement of trace header and trace data. Its size scales to petabytes and the chances of I/O performance degradation are further increased by ExSeisDat. This research paper presents a novel study of the changing I/O performance in terms of bandwidth, with the use of parallel plots against various MPI-I/O, Lustre (Parallel) File System and SEG-Y File parameters. Another novel aspect of this research is the predictive modelling of MPI-I/O behaviour over SEG-Y File benchmarks using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). The accuracy ranges from 62.5% to 96.5% over the set of trained ANN models. The computed Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values further support the generalisation of the prediction models. This paper demonstrates that by using our ANNs prediction technique, the configurations can be tuned beforehand to avoid poor I/O performance.

scholarly journals Application of ANN in Predicting the Cantilever Wall Deflection in Undrained Clay

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (20) ◽  
pp. 9760
Author(s):  
Zhongkai Huang ◽  
Dongmei Zhang ◽  
Dongming Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Pressure Coefficient ◽  
Earth Pressure ◽  
Numerical Data ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Soil Stiffness ◽  
Wall Deflection ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The main objective of this study is to propose an artificial neural network (ANN)-based tool for predicting the cantilever wall deflection in undrained clay. The excavation width, the excavation depth, the wall thickness, the at-rest lateral earth pressure coefficient, the soil shear strength ratio at mid-depth of the wall, and the soil stiffness ratio at mid-depth of the wall were selected as the input parameters, whereas the cantilever wall deflection was selected as an output parameter. A set of verified numerical data were utilized to train, test, and validate the ANN models. Two commonly used performance indicators, namely, root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE), were selected to evaluate the performance of the proposed model. The results indicated that the proposed model can reliably predict the cantilever wall deflection in undrained clay. Moreover, the sensitivity analysis showed that the excavation depth is the most important parameter. Finally, a graphical user interface (GUI) tool was developed based on the proposed ANN model, which is much easier and less expensive to be used in practice. The results of this study can help engineers to better understand and predict the cantilever wall deflection in undrained clay.

An Economical Method for Artificial Neural Network Process Modeling by the Model-Modifier Approach

2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanjay Bhatikar
Keyword(s):  
Process Modeling ◽  
Vapor Deposition ◽  
Chemical Vapor ◽  
Similar Type ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Development Effort ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Economical Method ◽  
Network Process ◽  
Ann Models

Abstract In this paper we present our model-modifier approach as an economical method for the development of accurate manufacturing equipment models. The model modifier method leverages knowledge from one ANN model to another of a similar type, thus reducing the development effort required as compared to starting from scratch. The economy afforded by this knowledge-sharing technique was evaluated on a Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD) reactor. The results show that the model-modifier approach is a valid method for transferring knowledge between similar ANN models and that significant savings in training data accrue from this approach. In our case, a highly accurate ANN model was developed with a mere one-fifth of the data that would have been required without this approach. Further, we have also shown that an ANN model developed by the model-modifier approach can be easily and reliably utilized for process optimization.

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