scholarly journals An Ultrashort-Term Net Load Forecasting Model Based on Phase Space Reconstruction and Deep Neural Network

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 1487 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Mei ◽  
Qingliang Wu ◽  
Tian Shi ◽  
Jixiang Lu ◽  
Yi Pan ◽  
...  

Recently, a large number of distributed photovoltaic (PV) power generations have been connected to the power grid, which resulted in an increased fluctuation of the net load. Therefore, load forecasting has become more difficult. Considering the characteristics of the net load, an ultrashort-term forecasting model based on phase space reconstruction and deep neural network (DNN) is proposed, which can be divided into two steps. First, the phase space reconstruction of the net load time series data is performed using the C-C method. Second, the reconstructed data is fitted by the DNN to obtain the predicted value of the net load. The performance of this model is verified using real data. The accuracy is high in forecasting the net load under high PV penetration rate and different weather conditions.

2021 ◽  
Vol 1852 (3) ◽  
pp. 032010
Author(s):  
Jian Yuan ◽  
Jiaying Wang ◽  
Qing Cheng ◽  
Jianqiao Sun

Open Physics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 360-374
Author(s):  
Yuan Pei ◽  
Lei Zhenglin ◽  
Zeng Qinghui ◽  
Wu Yixiao ◽  
Lu Yanli ◽  
...  

Abstract The load of the showcase is a nonlinear and unstable time series data, and the traditional forecasting method is not applicable. Deep learning algorithms are introduced to predict the load of the showcase. Based on the CEEMD–IPSO–LSTM combination algorithm, this paper builds a refrigerated display cabinet load forecasting model. Compared with the forecast results of other models, it finally proves that the CEEMD–IPSO–LSTM model has the highest load forecasting accuracy, and the model’s determination coefficient is 0.9105, which is obviously excellent. Compared with other models, the model constructed in this paper can predict the load of showcases, which can provide a reference for energy saving and consumption reduction of display cabinet.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 1465
Author(s):  
Taikyeong Jeong

When attempting to apply a large-scale database that holds the behavioral intelligence training data of deep neural networks, the classification accuracy of the artificial intelligence algorithm needs to reflect the behavioral characteristics of the individual. When a change in behavior is recognized, that is, a feedback model based on a data connection model is applied, an analysis of time series data is performed by extracting feature vectors and interpolating data in a deep neural network to overcome the limitations of the existing statistical analysis. Using the results of the first feedback model as inputs to the deep neural network and, furthermore, as the input values of the second feedback model, and interpolating the behavioral intelligence data, that is, context awareness and lifelog data, including physical activities, involves applying the most appropriate conditions. The results of this study show that this method effectively improves the accuracy of the artificial intelligence results. In this paper, through an experiment, after extracting the feature vector of a deep neural network and restoring the missing value, the classification accuracy was verified to improve by about 20% on average. At the same time, by adding behavioral intelligence data to the time series data, a new data connection model, the Deep Neural Network Feedback Model, was proposed, and it was verified that the classification accuracy can be improved by about 8 to 9% on average. Based on the hypothesis, the F (X′) = X model was applied to thoroughly classify the training data set and test data set to present a symmetrical balance between the data connection model and the context-aware data. In addition, behavioral activity data were extrapolated in terms of context-aware and forecasting perspectives to prove the results of the experiment.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhisheng Zhang ◽  
Wenjie Gong

Short-term load forecasting model based on quantum Elman neural networks was constructed in this paper. The quantum computation and Elman feedback mechanism were integrated into quantum Elman neural networks. Quantum computation can effectively improve the approximation capability and the information processing ability of the neural networks. Quantum Elman neural networks have not only the feedforward connection but also the feedback connection. The feedback connection between the hidden nodes and the context nodes belongs to the state feedback in the internal system, which has formed specific dynamic memory performance. Phase space reconstruction theory is the theoretical basis of constructing the forecasting model. The training samples are formed by means ofK-nearest neighbor approach. Through the example simulation, the testing results show that the model based on quantum Elman neural networks is better than the model based on the quantum feedforward neural network, the model based on the conventional Elman neural network, and the model based on the conventional feedforward neural network. So the proposed model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy. The research in the paper makes a theoretical foundation for the practical engineering application of the short-term load forecasting model based on quantum Elman neural networks.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 2726-2733

Extensively used technique to diagnose the epilepsy is EEG. The research objective is to check the variations of frequency found in the epileptic EEG signals.. The EEG dataset were acquired from online database of the Bonn University (BU). Then, butterworth type two filter was implemented to remove the unwanted artifacts from the acquired EEG signals. Further, Multivariate Variational Mode Decomposition (MVMD) methodology was applied to decompose the denoised EEG signals. The signal decomposition helps in finding the necessary information, which required to model the complex time series data. Then, the features were extracted from decomposed signals by using fifteen entropy, linear and statistical features. In addition, ant colony optimization technique was proposed for optimizing the extracted features. The optimized feature vectors were classified by Deep Neural Network (DNN) that includes two circumstances (seizure and healthy), and (Interictal, ictal, and normal). The accuracy attained using the ant colony with deep neural network is 98.12% using the BU EEG dataset, respectively related to the existing models.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (24) ◽  
pp. 7109
Author(s):  
Chengying Zhao ◽  
Xianzhen Huang ◽  
Yuxiong Li ◽  
Muhammad Yousaf Iqbal

In recent years, prognostic and health management (PHM) has played an important role in industrial engineering. Efficient remaining useful life (RUL) prediction can ensure the development of maintenance strategies and reduce industrial losses. Recently, data-driven based deep learning RUL prediction methods have attracted more attention. The convolution neural network (CNN) is a kind of deep neural network widely used in RUL prediction. It shows great potential for application in RUL prediction. A CNN is used to extract the features of time-series data according to the spatial feature method. This way of processing features without considering the time dimension will affect the prediction accuracy of the model. On the contrary, the commonly used long short-term memory (LSTM) network considers the timing of the data. However, compared with CNN, it lacks spatial data extraction capabilities. This paper proposes a double-channel hybrid prediction model based on the CNN and a bidirectional LSTM network to avoid those drawbacks. The sliding time window is used for data preprocessing, and an improved piece-wise linear function is used for model validating. The prediction model is evaluated using the C-MAPSS dataset provided by NASA. The predicted results show the proposed prediction model to have a better prediction performance compared with other state-of-the-art models.


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