scholarly journals Intelligent Prediction of Aeroengine Wear Based on the SVR Optimized by GMPSO

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (22) ◽  
pp. 10592
Author(s):  
Bo Zheng ◽  
Feng Gao ◽  
Xin Ma ◽  
Xiaoqiang Zhang

In order to predict aeroengine wear accurately and automatically, as a predictor, support vector regression (SVR) was optimized by means of particle swarm optimization (PSO). The guided mutation strategy of PSO (GMPSO) is presented herein to determine the proper structure parameters of an SVR, as well as the embedding dimensions of the training samples. The guided mutation strategy was able to increase the diversity of particles and improve the probability of finding the global extremum. Furthermore, single-step and multi-step prediction methods were designed to meet different accuracy requirements. A prediction comparison study on spectral analysis data was carried out, and the contrast experiments show that compared with SVR optimized by means of a traditional PSO, a neural network and an auto regressive moving average (ARMA) prediction model, the SVR optimized by means of the GMPSO approach produced prediction results not only with higher accuracy, but also with better consistency.

2013 ◽  
Vol 339 ◽  
pp. 756-761
Author(s):  
Jing Shun Duanmu ◽  
Xu Sheng Gan ◽  
Jian Guo Gao

The main target of flight accident prediction is to prevent the accident. To improve the pertinence and efficiency, the prediction must be strengthened to raise initiative of accident prevention. A hybrid prediction method, based on Auto-Regressive Integrating Moving Average (ARIMA) and Support Vector Machine (SVM), is proposed. First, ARIMA model is established to describe the linear relation in historical data, and then SVM model is built with regard to the residual error of ARIMA model in order to simulate the nonlinear law in historical data. The sum of prediction value of two models is to final hybrid prediction result. An application example show that the model based on this hybrid method has a good prediction to flight accident, and also is better than ARIMA or SVM model.


2021 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-231
Author(s):  
Xin Huang ◽  
Yimin Wang ◽  
Peiqun Lin ◽  
Heng Yu ◽  
Yue Luo

Accurate metro ridership prediction can guide passengers in efficiently selecting their departure time and simultaneously help traffic operators develop a passenger organization strategy. However, short-term passenger flow prediction needs to consider many factors, and the results of the existing models for short-term subway passenger flow forecasting are often unsatisfactory. Along this line, we propose a parallel architecture, called the seasonal and nonlinear least squares support vector machine (SN-LSSVM), to extract the periodicity and nonlinearity characteristics of passenger flow. Various forecasting models, including auto-regressive integrated moving average, long short-term memory network, and support vector machine, are employed for evaluating the performance of the proposed architecture. Moreover, we first applied the method to the Tiyu Xilu station which is the most crowded station in the Guangzhou metro. The results indicate that the proposed model can effectively make all-weather and year-round passenger flow predictions, thus contributing to the management of the station.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 517-527
Author(s):  
Yunyun Liang ◽  
Shengli Zhang

Background: Apoptosis proteins have a key role in the development and the homeostasis of the organism, and are very important to understand the mechanism of cell proliferation and death. The function of apoptosis protein is closely related to its subcellular location. Objective: Prediction of apoptosis protein subcellular localization is a meaningful task. Methods: In this study, we predict the apoptosis protein subcellular location by using the PSSMbased second-order moving average descriptor, nonnegative matrix factorization based on Kullback-Leibler divergence and over-sampling algorithms. This model is named by SOMAPKLNMF- OS and constructed on the ZD98, ZW225 and CL317 benchmark datasets. Then, the support vector machine is adopted as the classifier, and the bias-free jackknife test method is used to evaluate the accuracy. Results: Our prediction system achieves the favorable and promising performance of the overall accuracy on the three datasets and also outperforms the other listed models. Conclusion: The results show that our model offers a high throughput tool for the identification of apoptosis protein subcellular localization.


Author(s):  
Venuka Sandhir ◽  
Vinod Kumar ◽  
Vikash Kumar

Background: COVID-19 cases have been reported as a global threat and several studies are being conducted using various modelling techniques to evaluate patterns of disease dispersion in the upcoming weeks. Here we propose a simple statistical model that could be used to predict the epidemiological extent of community spread of COVID-19from the explicit data based on optimal ARIMA model estimators. Methods: Raw data was retrieved on confirmed cases of COVID-19 from Johns Hopkins University (https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19) and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was fitted based on cumulative daily figures of confirmed cases aggregated globally for ten major countries to predict their incidence trend. Statistical analysis was completed by using R 3.5.3 software. Results: The optimal ARIMA model having the lowest Akaike information criterion (AIC) value for US (0,2,0); Spain (1,2,0); France (0,2,1); Germany (3,2,2); Iran (1,2,1); China (0,2,1); Russia (3,2,1); India (2,2,2); Australia (1,2,0) and South Africa (0,2,2) imparted the nowcasting of trends for the upcoming weeks. These parameters are (p, d, q) where p refers to number of autoregressive terms, d refers to number of times the series has to be differenced before it becomes stationary, and q refers to number of moving average terms. Results obtained from ARIMA model showed significant decrease cases in Australia; stable case for China and rising cases has been observed in other countries. Conclusion: This study tried their best at predicting the possible proliferate of COVID-19, although spreading significantly depends upon the various control and measurement policy taken by each country.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
Jingtao Li ◽  
Yonglin Shen ◽  
Chao Yang

Due to the increasing demand for the monitoring of crop conditions and food production, it is a challenging and meaningful task to identify crops from remote sensing images. The state-of the-art crop classification models are mostly built on supervised classification models such as support vector machines (SVM), convolutional neural networks (CNN), and long- and short-term memory neural networks (LSTM). Meanwhile, as an unsupervised generative model, the adversarial generative network (GAN) is rarely used to complete classification tasks for agricultural applications. In this work, we propose a new method that combines GAN, CNN, and LSTM models to classify crops of corn and soybeans from remote sensing time-series images, in which GAN’s discriminator was used as the final classifier. The method is feasible on the condition that the training samples are small, and it fully takes advantage of spectral, spatial, and phenology features of crops from satellite data. The classification experiments were conducted on crops of corn, soybeans, and others. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, comparisons with models of SVM, SegNet, CNN, LSTM, and different combinations were also conducted. The results show that our method achieved the best classification results, with the Kappa coefficient of 0.7933 and overall accuracy of 0.86. Experiments in other study areas also demonstrate the extensibility of the proposed method.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (13) ◽  
pp. 4283
Author(s):  
Md.-Habibur Rahman ◽  
Md. Shahjalal ◽  
Moh. Khalid Hasan ◽  
Md.-Osman Ali ◽  
Yeong-Min Jang

Embedding optical camera communication (OCC) commercially as a favorable complement of radio-frequency technology has led to the desire for an intelligent receiver system that is eligible to communicate with an accurate light-emitting diode (LED) transmitter. To shed light on this issue, a novel scheme for detecting and recognizing data transmitting LEDs has been elucidated in this paper. Since the optically modulated signal is captured wirelessly by a camera that plays the role of the receiver for the OCC technology, the process to detect LED region and retrieval of exact information from the image sensor is required to be intelligent enough to achieve a low bit error rate (BER) and high data rate to ensure reliable optical communication within limited computational abilities of the most used commercial cameras such as those in smartphones, vehicles, and mobile robots. In the proposed scheme, we have designed an intelligent camera receiver system that is capable of separating accurate data transmitting LED regions removing other unwanted LED regions employing a support vector machine (SVM) classifier along with a convolutional neural network (CNN) in the camera receiver. CNN is used to detect every LED region from the image frame and then essential features are extracted to feed into an SVM classifier for further accurate classification. The receiver operating characteristic curve and other key performance parameters of the classifier have been analyzed broadly to evaluate the performance, justify the assistance of the SVM classifier in recognizing the accurate LED region, and decode data with low BER. To investigate communication performances, BER analysis, data rate, and inter-symbol interference have been elaborately demonstrated for the proposed intelligent receiver. In addition, BER against distance and BER against data rate have also been exhibited to validate the effectiveness of our proposed scheme comparing with only CNN and only SVM classifier based receivers individually. Experimental results have ensured the robustness and applicability of the proposed scheme both in the static and mobile scenarios.


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