scholarly journals A Novel Decomposition-Ensemble Learning Model Based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Recurrent Neural Network for Landslide Displacement Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 4684
Author(s):  
Xiaoxu Niu ◽  
Junwei Ma ◽  
Yankun Wang ◽  
Junrong Zhang ◽  
Hongjie Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Ensemble Learning ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Displacement Prediction ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Landslide Displacement Prediction ◽  
Periodic Components

As vital comments on landslide early warning systems, accurate and reliable displacement prediction is essential and of significant importance for landslide mitigation. However, obtaining the desired prediction accuracy remains highly difficult and challenging due to the complex nonlinear characteristics of landslide monitoring data. Based on the principle of “decomposition and ensemble”, a three-step decomposition-ensemble learning model integrating ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and a recurrent neural network (RNN) was proposed for landslide displacement prediction. EEMD and kurtosis criteria were first applied for data decomposition and construction of trend and periodic components. Second, a polynomial regression model and RNN with maximal information coefficient (MIC)-based input variable selection were implemented for individual prediction of trend and periodic components independently. Finally, the predictions of trend and periodic components were aggregated into a final ensemble prediction. The experimental results from the Muyubao landslide demonstrate that the proposed EEMD-RNN decomposition-ensemble learning model is capable of increasing prediction accuracy and outperforms the traditional decomposition-ensemble learning models (including EEMD-support vector machine, and EEMD-extreme learning machine). Moreover, compared with standard RNN, the gated recurrent unit (GRU)-and long short-term memory (LSTM)-based models perform better in predicting accuracy. The EEMD-RNN decomposition-ensemble learning model is promising for landslide displacement prediction.

scholarly journals Landslide Deformation Prediction Based on a GNSS Time Series Analysis and Recurrent Neural Network Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1055
Author(s):  
Jing Wang ◽  
Guigen Nie ◽  
Shengjun Gao ◽  
Shuguang Wu ◽  
Haiyang Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Satellite System ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Impact Factors ◽  
Displacement Prediction ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Landslide Displacement Prediction ◽  
Multiple Impact ◽  
Gnss Time Series

The prediction of landslide displacement is a challenging and essential task. It is thus very important to choose a suitable displacement prediction model. This paper develops a novel Attention Mechanism with Long Short Time Memory Neural Network (AMLSTM NN) model based on Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) landslide displacement prediction. The CEEMDAN method is implemented to ingest landslide Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) time series. The AMLSTM algorithm is then used to realize prediction work, jointly with multiple impact factors. The Baishuihe landslide is adopted to illustrate the capabilities of the model. The results show that the CEEMDAN-AMLSTM model achieves competitive accuracy and has significant potential for landslide displacement prediction.

scholarly journals Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise with Convolution Based Gated Recurrent Neural Network: A New Deep Learning Model for South Asian High Intensity Forecasting

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 931
Author(s):  
Kecheng Peng ◽  
Xiaoqun Cao ◽  
Bainian Liu ◽  
Yanan Guo ◽  
Wenlong Tian
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
South Asian High ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Adaptive Noise ◽  
Deep Learning Model

The intensity variation of the South Asian high (SAH) plays an important role in the formation and extinction of many kinds of mesoscale systems, including tropical cyclones, southwest vortices in the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) region, and the precipitation in the whole Asia Europe region, and the SAH has a vortex symmetrical structure; its dynamic field also has the symmetry form. Not enough previous studies focus on the variation of SAH daily intensity. The purpose of this study is to establish a day-to-day prediction model of the SAH intensity, which can accurately predict not only the interannual variation but also the day-to-day variation of the SAH. Focusing on the summer period when the SAH is the strongest, this paper selects the geopotential height data between 1948 and 2020 from NCEP to construct the SAH intensity datasets. Compared with the classical deep learning methods of various kinds of efficient time series prediction model, we ultimately combine the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) method, which has the ability to deal with the nonlinear and unstable single system, with the Permutation Entropy (PE) method, which can extract the SAH intensity feature of IMF decomposed by CEEMDAN, and the Convolution-based Gated Recurrent Neural Network (ConvGRU) model is used to train, test, and predict the intensity of the SAH. The prediction results show that the combination of CEEMDAN and ConvGRU can have a higher accuracy and more stable prediction ability than the traditional deep learning model. After removing the redundant features in the time series, the prediction accuracy of the SAH intensity is higher than that of the classical model, which proves that the method has good applicability for the prediction of nonlinear systems in the atmosphere.

scholarly journals Deep Learning Neural Network Model for Tunnel Ground Surface Settlement Prediction Based on Sensor Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Yang Cao ◽  
Xiaokang Zhou ◽  
Ke Yan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Surface Settlement ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Tunnel Construction ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Short Period

Monitoring and prediction of ground settlement during tunnel construction are of great significance to ensure the safe and reliable operation of urban tunnel systems. Data-driven techniques combining artificial intelligence (AI) and sensor networks are popular methods in the field, which have several advantages, including high prediction accuracy, efficiency, and low cost. Deep learning, as one of the advanced techniques in AI, is demanded for the tunnel settlement forecasting problem. However, deep neural networks often require a large amount of training data. Due to the tunnel construction, the available training data samples are limited, and the data are univariate (i.e., containing only the settlement data). In response to the above problems, this research proposes a deep learning model that only requires limited number of training data for short-period prediction of the tunnel surface settlement. In the proposed complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise long short term memory (CEEMDAN-LSTM model), single-dimensional data is divided into multidimensional data by CEEMDAN through the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition. Each component is then predicted by a LSTM neural network and superimposed for obtaining the final prediction result. Experimental results show that, compared with existing machine learning techniques and algorithms, this deep learning method has higher prediction accuracy and acceptable computational efficiency. In the case of small samples, this method can significantly improve the accuracy of time series forecasting.

scholarly journals Runoff data series prediction based on Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise and Radial Basis Function Neural Network extension

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinping Zhang ◽  
Youlai Jin ◽  
Honglin Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Basis Function ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Data Series ◽  
End Effect ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Frequency Components ◽  
Adaptive Noise

This study investigated the influence of data extension on the decomposition and prediction accuracy of runoff data series. To this end, an original data series was constructed using annual runoff data from a hydrological station in China (Tang Naihai) for the period 1956–2013, and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) extension was applied to the original data series. Complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) was then applied to both data series, and their decomposition and prediction results were compared. The decomposition results indicate that the end effect significantly lowers the accuracy of low–middle frequency components. Nevertheless, the end effect could be effectively suppressed and decomposition error could be reduced by applying RBFNN extension. At the end points, the extension data series could more accurately reflect the real fluctuation characteristics of components and subsequent variation trends. Regarding component prediction, the prediction results followed the variation trend of the components themselves, with a rather large gap in the prediction results of low-frequency components between the two groups of data series. The final prediction results obtained from the reconstruction of the component prediction results suggest that the extension sequence has a clearly superior prediction accuracy than the original data series. Hence, when using the CEEMDAN method to process non-stationary hydrological data, multi-time-scale information of the data series can be obtained through reasonable extension after decomposition of the original data series. The acquired information provides evidence for the analysis and prediction of the evolution law of hydrological elements.

scholarly journals Sunspots Time-Series Prediction Based on Complementary Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Wavelet Neural Network

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guohui Li ◽  
Siliang Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Wavelet Neural Network ◽  
Hybrid Prediction ◽  
Mode Decomposition

The sunspot numbers are the major target which describes the solar activity level. Long-term prediction of sunspot activity is of great importance for aerospace, communication, disaster prevention, and so on. To improve the prediction accuracy of sunspot time series, the prediction model based on complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) and wavelet neural network (WNN) is proposed. First, the sunspot time series are decomposed by CEEMD to obtain a set of intrinsic modal functions (IMFs). Then, the IMFs and residuals are reconstructed to obtain the training samples and the prediction samples, and these samples are trained and predicted by WNN. Finally, the reconstructed IMFs and residuals are the final prediction results. Five kinds of prediction models are compared, which are BP neural network prediction model, WNN prediction model, empirical mode decomposition and WNN hybrid prediction model, ensemble empirical mode decomposition and WNN hybrid prediction model, and the proposed method in this paper. The same sunspot time series are predicted with five kinds of prediction models. The experimental results show that the proposed model has better prediction accuracy and smaller error.

scholarly journals Bearing Fault Classification Using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Convolutional Neural Network

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 1248
Author(s):  
Rafia Nishat Toma ◽  
Cheol-Hong Kim ◽  
Jong-Myon Kim
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Vibration Signal ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Fault Classification ◽  
Original Signal ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Reconstructed Signal

Condition monitoring is used to track the unavoidable phases of rolling element bearings in an induction motor (IM) to ensure reliable operation in domestic and industrial machinery. The convolutional neural network (CNN) has been used as an effective tool to recognize and classify multiple rolling bearing faults in recent times. Due to the nonlinear and nonstationary nature of vibration signals, it is quite difficult to achieve high classification accuracy when directly using the original signal as the input of a convolution neural network. To evaluate the fault characteristics, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) is implemented to decompose the signal into multiple intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) in this work. Then, based on the kurtosis value, insignificant IMFs are filtered out and the original signal is reconstructed with the rest of the IMFs so that the reconstructed signal contains the fault characteristics. After that, the 1-D reconstructed vibration signal is converted into a 2-D image using a continuous wavelet transform with information from the damage frequency band. This also transfers the signal into a time-frequency domain and reduces the nonstationary effects of the vibration signal. Finally, the generated images of various fault conditions, which possess a discriminative pattern relative to the types of faults, are used to train an appropriate CNN model. Additionally, with the reconstructed signal, two different methods are used to create an image to compare with our proposed image creation approach. The vibration signal is collected from a self-designed testbed containing multiple bearings of different fault conditions. Two other conventional CNN architectures are compared with our proposed model. Based on the results obtained, it can be concluded that the image generated with fault signatures not only accurately classifies multiple faults with CNN but can also be considered as a reliable and stable method for the diagnosis of fault bearings.

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