scholarly journals Wind Turbine Prognosis Models Based on SCADA Data and Extreme Learning Machines

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 590
Author(s):  
Pere Marti-Puig ◽  
Alejandro Blanco-M. ◽  
Moisès Serra-Serra ◽  
Jordi Solé-Casals

In this paper, a method to build models to monitor and evaluate the health status of wind turbines using Single-hidden Layer Feedforward Neural networks (SLFN) is presented. The models are trained using the Extreme Learning Machines (ELM) strategy. The data used is obtained from the SCADA systems, easily available in modern wind turbines. The ELM technique requires very low computational costs for the training of the models, and thus allows for the integration of a grid-search approach with parallelized instances to find out the optimal model parameters. These models can be built both individually, considering the turbines separately, or as an aggregate for the whole wind plant. The followed strategy consists in predicting a target variable using the rest of the variables of the system/subsystem, computing the error deviation from the real target variable and finally comparing high error values with a selection of alarm events for that system, therefore validating the performance of the model. The experimental results indicate that this methodology leads to the detection of mismatches in the stages of the system’s failure, thus making it possible to schedule the maintenance operation before a critical failure occurs. The simplicity of the ELM systems and the ease with which the parameters can be adjusted make it a realistic option to be implemented in wind turbine models to work in real time.

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinran Zhou ◽  
Zijian Liu ◽  
Congxu Zhu

To apply the single hidden-layer feedforward neural networks (SLFN) to identify time-varying system, online regularized extreme learning machine (ELM) with forgetting mechanism (FORELM) and online kernelized ELM with forgetting mechanism (FOKELM) are presented in this paper. The FORELM updates the output weights of SLFN recursively by using Sherman-Morrison formula, and it combines advantages of online sequential ELM with forgetting mechanism (FOS-ELM) and regularized online sequential ELM (ReOS-ELM); that is, it can capture the latest properties of identified system by studying a certain number of the newest samples and also can avoid issue of ill-conditioned matrix inversion by regularization. The FOKELM tackles the problem of matrix expansion of kernel based incremental ELM (KB-IELM) by deleting the oldest sample according to the block matrix inverse formula when samples occur continually. The experimental results show that the proposed FORELM and FOKELM have better stability than FOS-ELM and have higher accuracy than ReOS-ELM in nonstationary environments; moreover, FORELM and FOKELM have time efficiencies superiority over dynamic regression extreme learning machine (DR-ELM) under certain conditions.


Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 811
Author(s):  
Paulo Vitor de Campos Souza ◽  
Luiz Carlos Bambirra Torres ◽  
Gustavo Rodrigues Lacerda Silva ◽  
Antonio de Padua Braga ◽  
Edwin Lughofer

Extreme learning machines (ELMs) are efficient for classification, regression, and time series prediction, as well as being a clear solution to backpropagation structures to determine values in intermediate layers of the learning model. One of the problems that an ELM may face is due to a large number of neurons in the hidden layer, making the expert model a specific data set. With a large number of neurons in the hidden layer, overfitting is more likely and thus unnecessary information can deterioriate the performance of the neural network. To solve this problem, a pruning method is proposed, called Pruning ELM Using Bootstrapped Lasso BR-ELM, which is based on regularization and resampling techniques, to select the most representative neurons for the model response. This method is based on an ensembled variant of Lasso (achieved through bootstrap replications) and aims to shrink the output weight parameters of the neurons to 0 as many and as much as possible. According to a subset of candidate regressors having significant coefficient values (greater than 0), it is possible to select the best neurons in the hidden layer of the ELM. Finally, pattern classification tests and benchmark regression tests of complex real-world problems are performed by comparing the proposed approach to other pruning models for ELMs. It can be seen that statistically BR-ELM can outperform several related state-of-the-art methods in terms of classification accuracies and model errors (while performing equally to Pruning-ELM P-ELM), and this with a significantly reduced number of finally selected neurons.


Author(s):  
B. P. Khozyainov

The article carries out the experimental and analytical studies of three-blade wind power installation and gives the technique for measurements of angular rate of wind turbine rotation depending on the wind speeds, the rotating moment and its power. We have made the comparison of the calculation results according to the formulas offered with the indicators of the wind turbine tests executed in natural conditions. The tests were carried out at wind speeds from 0.709 m/s to 6.427 m/s. The wind power efficiency (WPE) for ideal traditional installation is known to be 0.45. According to the analytical calculations, wind power efficiency of the wind turbine with 3-bladed and 6 wind guide screens at wind speedsfrom 0.709 to 6.427 is equal to 0.317, and in the range of speed from 0.709 to 4.5 m/s – 0.351, but the experimental coefficient is much higher. The analysis of WPE variations shows that the work with the wind guide screens at insignificant average air flow velocity during the set period of time appears to be more effective, than the work without them. If the air flow velocity increases, the wind power efficiency gradually decreases. Such a good fit between experimental data and analytical calculations is confirmed by comparison of F-test design criterion with its tabular values. In the design of wind turbines, it allows determining the wind turbine power, setting the geometrical parameters and mass of all details for their efficient performance.


Author(s):  
S. G. Ignatiev ◽  
S. V. Kiseleva

Optimization of the autonomous wind-diesel plants composition and of their power for guaranteed energy supply, despite the long history of research, the diversity of approaches and methods, is an urgent problem. In this paper, a detailed analysis of the wind energy characteristics is proposed to shape an autonomous power system for a guaranteed power supply with predominance wind energy. The analysis was carried out on the basis of wind speed measurements in the south of the European part of Russia during 8 months at different heights with a discreteness of 10 minutes. As a result, we have obtained a sequence of average daily wind speeds and the sequences constructed by arbitrary variations in the distribution of average daily wind speeds in this interval. These sequences have been used to calculate energy balances in systems (wind turbines + diesel generator + consumer with constant and limited daily energy demand) and (wind turbines + diesel generator + consumer with constant and limited daily energy demand + energy storage). In order to maximize the use of wind energy, the wind turbine integrally for the period in question is assumed to produce the required amount of energy. For the generality of consideration, we have introduced the relative values of the required energy, relative energy produced by the wind turbine and the diesel generator and relative storage capacity by normalizing them to the swept area of the wind wheel. The paper shows the effect of the average wind speed over the period on the energy characteristics of the system (wind turbine + diesel generator + consumer). It was found that the wind turbine energy produced, wind turbine energy used by the consumer, fuel consumption, and fuel economy depend (close to cubic dependence) upon the specified average wind speed. It was found that, for the same system with a limited amount of required energy and high average wind speed over the period, the wind turbines with lower generator power and smaller wind wheel radius use wind energy more efficiently than the wind turbines with higher generator power and larger wind wheel radius at less average wind speed. For the system (wind turbine + diesel generator + energy storage + consumer) with increasing average speed for a given amount of energy required, which in general is covered by the energy production of wind turbines for the period, the maximum size capacity of the storage device decreases. With decreasing the energy storage capacity, the influence of the random nature of the change in wind speed decreases, and at some values of the relative capacity, it can be neglected.


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 982 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Wu ◽  
Hong Wang ◽  
Guoqian Jiang ◽  
Ping Xie ◽  
Xiaoli Li

Health monitoring of wind turbine gearboxes has gained considerable attention as wind turbines become larger in size and move to more inaccessible locations. To improve the reliability, extend the lifetime of the turbines, and reduce the operation and maintenance cost caused by the gearbox faults, data-driven condition motoring techniques have been widely investigated, where various sensor monitoring data (such as power, temperature, and pressure, etc.) have been modeled and analyzed. However, wind turbines often work in complex and dynamic operating conditions, such as variable speeds and loads, thus the traditional static monitoring method relying on a certain fixed threshold will lead to unsatisfactory monitoring performance, typically high false alarms and missed detections. To address this issue, this paper proposes a reliable monitoring model for wind turbine gearboxes based on echo state network (ESN) modeling and the dynamic threshold scheme, with a focus on supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) vibration data. The aim of the proposed approach is to build the turbine normal behavior model only using normal SCADA vibration data, and then to analyze the unseen SCADA vibration data to detect potential faults based on the model residual evaluation and the dynamic threshold setting. To better capture temporal information inherent in monitored sensor data, the echo state network (ESN) is used to model the complex vibration data due to its simple and fast training ability and powerful learning capability. Additionally, a dynamic threshold monitoring scheme with a sliding window technique is designed to determine dynamic control limits to address the issue of the low detection accuracy and poor adaptability caused by the traditional static monitoring methods. The effectiveness of the proposed monitoring method is verified using the collected SCADA vibration data from a wind farm located at Inner Mongolia in China. The results demonstrated that the proposed method can achieve improved detection accuracy and reliability compared with the traditional static threshold monitoring method.


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