scholarly journals Investigating the Effect of Cross-Modeling in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (18) ◽  
pp. 6335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kamila Pawluszek-Filipiak ◽  
Natalia Oreńczak ◽  
Marta Pasternak
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
High Susceptibility ◽  
Geological Structures ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Very High

To mitigate the negative effects of landslide occurrence, there is a need for effective landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM). The fundamental source for LSM is landslide inventory. Unfortunately, there are still areas where landslide inventories are not generated due to financial or reachability constraints. Considering this led to the following research question: can we model landslide susceptibility in an area for which landslide inventory is not available but where such is available for surrounding areas? To answer this question, we performed cross-modeling by using various strategies for landslide susceptibility. Namely, landslide susceptibility was cross-modeled by using two adjacent regions (“Łososina” and “Gródek”) separated by the Rożnów Lake and Dunajec River. Thus, 46% and 54% of the total detected landslides were used for the LSM in “Łososina” and “Gródek” model, respectively. Various topographical, geological, hydrological and environmental landslide-conditioning factors (LCFs) were created. These LCFs were generated on the basis of the Digital Elevation Model (DEM), Sentinel-2A data, a digitized geological and soil suitability map, precipitation, the road network and the Różnów lake shapefile. For LSM, we applied the Frequency Ratio (FR) and Landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) methods. Five zones showing various landslide susceptibilities were generated via Natural Jenks. The Seed Cell Area Index (SCAI) and Relative Landslide Density Index were used for model validation. Even when the SCAI indicated extremely high values for “very low” susceptibility classes and very small values for “very high” susceptibility classes in the training and validation areas, the accuracy of the LSM in the validation areas was significantly lower. In the “Łososina” model, 90% and 57% of the landslides fell into the “high” and “very high” susceptibility zones in the training and validation areas, respectively. In the “Gródek” model, 86% and 46% of the landslides fell into the “high” and “very high” susceptibility zones in the training and validation areas, respectively. Moreover, the comparison between these two models was performed. Discrepancies between these two models exist in the areas of critical geological structures (thrust and fault proximity), and the reliability for such susceptibility zones can be low (2–3 susceptibility zone difference). However, such areas cover only 11% of the analyzed area; thus, we can conclude that in remaining regions (89%), LSM generated by the inventory for the surrounding area can be useful. Therefore, the low reliability of such a map in areas of critical geological structures should be borne in mind.

scholarly journals Developing a Landslide Susceptibility Map Using the Analytic Hierarchical Process in Ta Van and Hau Thao Communes, Sapa, Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 529-538
Author(s):  
Thi Thanh Thuy Le ◽  
The Viet Tran ◽  
Viet Hung Hoang ◽  
Van Truong Bui ◽  
Thi Kien Trinh Bui ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
High Susceptibility ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Geological Conditions ◽  
Very High

Landslides are considered one of the most serious problems in the mountainous regions of the northern part of Vietnam due to the special topographic and geological conditions associated with the occurrence of tropical storms, steep slopes on hillsides, and human activities. This study initially identified areas susceptible to landslides in Ta Van Commune, Sapa District, Lao Cai Region using Analytical Hierarchy Analysis. Ten triggering and conditioning parameters were analyzed: elevation, slope, aspect, lithology, valley depth, relief amplitude, distance to roads, distance to faults, land use, and precipitation. The consistency index (CI) was 0.0995, indicating that no inconsistency in the decision-making process was detected during computation. The consistency ratio (CR) was computed for all factors and their classes were less than 0.1. The landslide susceptibility index (LSI) was computed and reclassified into five categories: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. Approximately 9.9% of the whole area would be prone to landslide occurrence when the LSI value indicated at very high and high landslide susceptibility. The area under curve (AUC) of 0.75 illustrated that the used model provided good results for landslide susceptibility mapping in the study area. The results revealed that the predicted susceptibility levels were in good agreement with past landslides. The output also illustrated a gradual decrease in the density of landslide from the very high to the very low susceptible regions, which showed a considerable separation in the density values. Among the five classes, the highest landslide density of 0.01274 belonged to the very high susceptibility zone, followed by 0.00272 for the high susceptibility zone. The landslide susceptibility map presented in this paper would help local authorities adequately plan their landslide management process, especially in the very high and high susceptible zones.

scholarly journals GIS and statistical analysis for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Daunia area, Italy

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 1851-1864 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Mancini ◽  
C. Ceppi ◽  
G. Ritrovato
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Geographical Information ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Multivariate Statistical ◽  
Causal Factors ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Local Comparison

Abstract. This study focuses on landslide susceptibility mapping in the Daunia area (Apulian Apennines, Italy) and achieves this by using a multivariate statistical method and data processing in a Geographical Information System (GIS). The Logistic Regression (hereafter LR) method was chosen to produce a susceptibility map over an area of 130 000 ha where small settlements are historically threatened by landslide phenomena. By means of LR analysis, the tendency to landslide occurrences was, therefore, assessed by relating a landslide inventory (dependent variable) to a series of causal factors (independent variables) which were managed in the GIS, while the statistical analyses were performed by means of the SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) software. The LR analysis produced a reliable susceptibility map of the investigated area and the probability level of landslide occurrence was ranked in four classes. The overall performance achieved by the LR analysis was assessed by local comparison between the expected susceptibility and an independent dataset extrapolated from the landslide inventory. Of the samples classified as susceptible to landslide occurrences, 85% correspond to areas where landslide phenomena have actually occurred. In addition, the consideration of the regression coefficients provided by the analysis demonstrated that a major role is played by the "land cover" and "lithology" causal factors in determining the occurrence and distribution of landslide phenomena in the Apulian Apennines.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Underlying Causative Factors for Earthquake-Induced Landslides and Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Upper Indrawati Watershed, Nepal

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pawan Gautam ◽  
Tetsuya Kubota ◽  
Aril Aditian
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Seismic Intensity ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Causative Factors ◽  
Natural Break

Abstract The main objectives of this study are to assess the underlying causative factors for landslide occurrence due to earthquake in upper Indrawati Watershed of Nepal and evaluating the region prone to landslide using Landslide Susceptibility Mapping (LSM). We used logistic regression (LR) for LSM on geographic information system (GIS) platform. Nine causal factors (CF) including slope angle, aspect, elevation, curvature, distance to fault and river, geological formation, seismic intensity, and land cover were considered for LSM. We assessed the distribution of landslide among the classes of each CF to understand the relationship of CF and landslides. The northern part of the study area, which is dominated by steep rocky slope have a higher distribution of earthquake-induced landslides. Among the CF, 'slope' showed the positive correlation as landslide distribution is increasing with increasing slope. However, LR analysis depict 'distance to the fault' is the best predictor with the highest coefficient value. Susceptibility map was validated by assessing the correctly classified landslides under susceptibility categories, generated in five discrete classes using natural break (Jenk) methods. Calculation of area under curve (AUC) and seed cell area index (SCAI) were performed to validate the susceptibility map. The LSM approach shows good accuracy with respective AUC value for success rate and prediction rate of 0.795 and 0.702. Similarly, the decreasing SCAI value from very low to very high susceptibility categories advise satisfactory accuracy of LSM approach.

Using landslide-inventory mapping for a combined bagged-trees and logistic-regression approach to determining landslide susceptibility in eastern Kentucky, United States

2021 ◽  
pp. qjegh2020-177
Author(s):  
Matthew M. Crawford ◽  
Jason M. Dortch ◽  
Hudson J. Koch ◽  
Ashton A. Killen ◽  
Junfeng Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Engineering Geology ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Landslide Occurrence

High-resolution LiDAR-derived datasets from a 1.5-m digital elevation model and a detailed landslide inventory (N ≥ 1,000) for Magoffin County, Kentucky, USA, were used to develop a combined machine-learning and statistical approach to improve geomorphic-based landslide-susceptibility mapping.An initial dataset of 36 variables was compiled to investigate the connection between slope morphology and landslide occurrence. Bagged trees, a machine-learning random-forest classifier, was used to evaluate the geomorphic variables, and 12 were identified as important: standard deviation of plan curvature, standard deviation of elevation, sum of plan curvature, minimum slope, mean plan curvature, range of elevation, sum of roughness, mean curvature, sum of curvature, mean roughness, minimum curvature, and standard deviation of curvature. These variables were further evaluated using logistic regression to determine the probability of landslide occurrence and then used to create a landslide-susceptibility map.The performance of the logistic-regression model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve, area under the curve, which was 0.83. Standard deviations from the probability mean were used to set landslide-susceptibility classifications: low (0–0.10), low–moderate (0.11–0.27), moderate (0.28–0.44), moderate–high (0.45–0.7), and high (0.7–1.0). Logistic-regression results were validated by using a separate landslide inventory for the neighboring Prestonsburg 7.5-minute quadrangle, and running the same regression function. Results indicate that 74.9 percent of the landslide deposits were identified as having moderate, moderate–high, or high landslide susceptibility. Combining inventory mapping with statistical modelling identified important geomorphic variables and produced a useful approach to landslide-susceptibility mapping.Thematic collection: This article is part of the Digitization and Digitalization in engineering geology and hydrogeology collection available at: https://www.lyellcollection.org/cc/digitization-and-digitalization-in-engineering-geology-and-hydrogeology

scholarly journals A Novel Hybrid Method for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping-Based GeoDetector and Machine Learning Cluster: A Case of Xiaojin County, China

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 93
Author(s):  
Wei Xie ◽  
Xiaoshuang Li ◽  
Wenbin Jian ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
Hongwei Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Hybrid Method ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Area Index

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) could be an effective way to prevent landslide hazards and mitigate losses. The choice of conditional factors is crucial to the results of LSM, and the selection of models also plays an important role. In this study, a hybrid method including GeoDetector and machine learning cluster was developed to provide a new perspective on how to address these two issues. We defined redundant factors by quantitatively analyzing the single impact and interactive impact of the factors, which was analyzed by GeoDetector, the effect of this step was examined using mean absolute error (MAE). The machine learning cluster contains four models (artificial neural network (ANN), Bayesian network (BN), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machines (SVM)) and automatically selects the best one for generating LSM. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, prediction accuracy, and the seed cell area index (SCAI) methods were used to evaluate these methods. The results show that the SVM model had the best performance in the machine learning cluster with the area under the ROC curve of 0.928 and with an accuracy of 83.86%. Therefore, SVM was chosen as the assessment model to map the landslide susceptibility of the study area. The landslide susceptibility map demonstrated fit with landslide inventory, indicated the hybrid method is effective in screening landslide influences and assessing landslide susceptibility.

scholarly journals Evaluating underlying causative factors for earthquake-induced landslides and landslide susceptibility mapping in Upper Indrawati Watershed, Nepal

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pawan Gautam ◽  
Tetsuya Kubota ◽  
Aril Aditian
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Total Curvature ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Causal Factors ◽  
Causative Factors

AbstractThe main objective of this study is to understand the overall impact of earthquake in upper Indrawati Watershed, located in the high mountainous region of Nepal. Hence, we have assessed the relationship between the co-seismic landslide and underlying causative factors as well as performed landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) to identify the landslide susceptible zone in the study area. We assessed the landslides distribution in terms of density, number, and area within 85 classes of 13 causal factors including slope, aspect, elevation, formation, land cover, distance to road and river, soil type, total curvature, seismic intensity, topographic wetness index, distance to fault, and flow accumulation. The earthquake-induced landslide is clustered in Northern region of the study area, which is dominated by steep rocky slope, forested land, and low human density. Among the causal factors, 'slope' showed positive correlation for landslide occurrence. Increase in slope in the study area also escalates the landslide distribution, with highest density at 43%, landslide number at 4.34/km2, and landslide area abundance at 2.97% in a slope class (> 50°). We used logistic regression (LR) for LSM integrating with geographic information system. LR analysis depicts that land cover is the best predictor followed by slope and distance to fault with higher positive coefficient values. LSM was validated by assessing the correctly classified landslides under susceptibility categories using area under curve (AUC) and seed cell area index (SCAI). The LSM approach showed good accuracy with respective AUC values for success rate and prediction rate of 0.843 and 0.832. Similarly, the decreasing SCAI value from very low to very high susceptibility categories advise satisfactory accuracy of the LSM approach.

scholarly journals The importance of input data on landslide susceptibility mapping

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Krzysztof Gaidzik ◽  
María Teresa Ramírez-Herrera
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Topographic Data ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Landslide Mass ◽  
The Impact

AbstractLandslide detection and susceptibility mapping are crucial in risk management and urban planning. Constant advance in digital elevation models accuracy and availability, the prospect of automatic landslide detection, together with variable processing techniques, stress the need to assess the effect of differences in input data on the landslide susceptibility maps accuracy. The main goal of this study is to evaluate the influence of variations in input data on landslide susceptibility mapping using a logistic regression approach. We produced 32 models that differ in (1) type of landslide inventory (manual or automatic), (2) spatial resolution of the topographic input data, (3) number of landslide-causing factors, and (4) sampling technique. We showed that models based on automatic landslide inventory present comparable overall prediction accuracy as those produced using manually detected features. We also demonstrated that finer resolution of topographic data leads to more accurate and precise susceptibility models. The impact of the number of landslide-causing factors used for calculations appears to be important for lower resolution data. On the other hand, even the lower number of causative agents results in highly accurate susceptibility maps for the high-resolution topographic data. Our results also suggest that sampling from landslide masses is generally more befitting than sampling from the landslide mass center. We conclude that most of the produced landslide susceptibility models, even though variable, present reasonable overall prediction accuracy, suggesting that the most congruous input data and techniques need to be chosen depending on the data quality and purpose of the study.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Based on the Combination of Bivariate Statistics and Modified Analytic Hierarchy Process Methods: A Case Study of Tinh Tuc Town, Nguyen Binh District, Cao Bang Province, Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 521-528
Author(s):  
Nguyen Trung Kien ◽  
The Viet Tran ◽  
Vy Thi Hong Lien ◽  
Pham Le Hoang Linh ◽  
Nguyen Quoc Thanh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Water Storage ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map ◽  
The Road ◽  
Hierarchy Process ◽  
Very High

Tinh Tuc town, Cao Bang province, Vietnam is prone to landslides due to the complexity of its climatic, geological, and geomorphological conditions. In this study, in order to produce a landslide susceptibility map, the modified analytical hierarchy process and landslide susceptibility analysis methods were used together with the layers, including: landslide inventory, slope, weathering crust, water storage, geology, land use, and distance from the road. In the study area, 98% of landslides occurred in highly or completely weathered units. Geology, land use, and water storage data layers were found to be important factors that are closely related with the occurrence of landslides. Although the weight of the “distance from the road” factor has a low value, the weight of layer “<100 m” has a high value. Therefore, the landslide susceptibility index very high is concentrated along the roads. For the validation of the predicted result, the landslide susceptibility map was compared with the landslide inventory map containing 47 landslides. The outcome shows that about 90% of these landslides fall into very high susceptibility zones.

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