scholarly journals Novel Ensemble Landslide Predictive Models Based on the Hyperpipes Algorithm: A Case Study in the Nam Dam Commune, Vietnam

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 3710 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quoc Cuong Tran ◽  
Duc Do Minh ◽  
Abolfazl Jaafari ◽  
Nadhir Al-Ansari ◽  
Duc Dao Minh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Models ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Ensemble Models ◽  
Hp Model ◽  
Ensemble Techniques

Development of landslide predictive models with strong prediction power has become a major focus of many researchers. This study describes the first application of the Hyperpipes (HP) algorithm for the development of the five novel ensemble models that combine the HP algorithm and the AdaBoost (AB), Bagging (B), Dagging, Decorate, and Real AdaBoost (RAB) ensemble techniques for mapping the spatial variability of landslide susceptibility in the Nam Dan commune, Ha Giang province, Vietnam. Information on 76 historical landslides and ten geo-environmental factors (slope degree, slope aspect, elevation, topographic wetness index, curvature, weathering crust, geology, river density, fault density, and distance from roads) were used for the construction of the training and validation datasets that are the prerequisites for building and testing the proposed models. Using different performance metrics (i.e., the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), negative predictive value, positive predictive value, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, root mean square error, and Kappa), we verified the proficiency of all five ensemble learning techniques in increasing the fitness and predictive powers of the base HP model. Based on the AUC values derived from the models, the ensemble ABHP model that yielded an AUC value of 0.922 was identified as the most efficient model for mapping the landslide susceptibility in the Nam Dan commune, followed by RABHP (AUC = 0.919), BHP (AUC = 0.909), Dagging-HP (AUC = 0.897), Decorate-HP (AUC = 0.865), and the single HP model (AUC = 0.856), respectively. The novel ensemble models proposed for the Nam Dan commune and the resultant susceptibility maps can aid land-use planners in the development of efficient mitigation strategies in response to destructive landslides.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Machine Learning Algorithms and Remote Sensing Data in a Tropical Environment

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (14) ◽  
pp. 4933 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viet-Ha Nhu ◽  
Ayub Mohammadi ◽  
Himan Shahabi ◽  
Baharin Bin Ahmad ◽  
Nadhir Al-Ansari ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index

We used AdaBoost (AB), alternating decision tree (ADTree), and their combination as an ensemble model (AB-ADTree) to spatially predict landslides in the Cameron Highlands, Malaysia. The models were trained with a database of 152 landslides compiled using Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry, Google Earth images, and field surveys, and 17 conditioning factors (slope, aspect, elevation, distance to road, distance to river, proximity to fault, road density, river density, normalized difference vegetation index, rainfall, land cover, lithology, soil types, curvature, profile curvature, stream power index, and topographic wetness index). We carried out the validation process using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and several parametric and non-parametric performance metrics, including positive predictive value, negative predictive value, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, root mean square error, and the Friedman and Wilcoxon sign rank tests. The AB model (AUC = 0.96) performed better than the ensemble AB-ADTree model (AUC = 0.94) and successfully outperformed the ADTree model (AUC = 0.59) in predicting landslide susceptibility. Our findings provide insights into the development of more efficient and accurate landslide predictive models that can be used by decision makers and land-use managers to mitigate landslide hazards.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Zonation Using Geospatial Technologies and Multi Criteria Evaluation Techniques in Upper Didessa Sub-basin, Southwest Ethiopia

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Redwan Sultan Mohammednur ◽  
Dessalegn Obsi Gemeda ◽  
Kiros Tsegay Deribew
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Causative Factor ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Multi Criteria Evaluation ◽  
Hypsometric Integral ◽  
Expert Interview ◽  
Very High

Abstract Landslide is a serious geo-hazard that poses destruction and loses of life in different part of the world. The severity of the problem is higher in developing countries like Ethiopia. This study is aimed at assessing the spatial landslide susceptibility in the upper Didessa sub-basin using GIS and multi criteria evaluation (MCE) techniques. In order to reach this objective both primary (field survey) and secondary data (expert interview, literature, remote sensing data, digital soil map and geological map) were obtained from various source. Eleven landslide causative factor identified in this research are slope, aspect, drainage density, topographic wetness index (TWI), stream power index (SPI), topographic ruggedness index, hypsometric integral, lithology, LULC, soil texture, and distance from road. The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) method was employed to identify the weight of each indicator from the pairwise comparison matrix. The weighted linear combination was then used to generate landslide susceptibility map (LSM). Based on landslide susceptibility, the study area was classified into very high, high, moderate, low, and very low susceptibility zones. Finally, based on the eleven-landslide causative factor analysis, about 24% of the study area is moderately susceptible, while 12% and 6% were classified as high and very high susceptibility to landslides, respectively. The results of this study could help decision makers for future landslide hazardous preventions and mitigation strategies.

scholarly journals Performance Evaluation of the GIS-Based Data-Mining Techniques Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Rotation Forest for Landslide Susceptibility Modeling

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (20) ◽  
pp. 5659 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soyoung Park ◽  
Se-Yeong Hamm ◽  
Jinsoo Kim
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Kappa Index ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Slope Length ◽  
Rotation Forest ◽  
Conditioning Factors

This study analyzed and compared landslide susceptibility models using decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and rotation forest (RoF) algorithms at Woomyeon Mountain, South Korea. Out of a total of 145 landslide locations, 102 locations (70%) were used for model training, and the remaining 43 locations (30%) were used for validation. Fourteen landslide conditioning factors were identified, and the contributions of each factor were evaluated using the RRelief-F algorithm with a 10-fold cross-validation approach. Three factors, timber diameter, age, and density had no contribution to landslide occurrence. Landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) were produced using DT, RF, and RoF models with the 11 remaining landslide conditioning factors: altitude, slope, aspect, profile curvature, plan curvature, topographic position index, elevation-relief ratio, slope length and slope steepness, topographic wetness index, stream power index, and timber type. The performances of the LSMs were assessed and compared based on sensitivity, specificity, precision, accuracy, kappa index, and receiver operating characteristic curves. The results showed that the ensemble learning methods outperformed the single classifier (DT) and that the RoF model had the highest prediction capability compared to the DT and RF models. The results of this study may be helpful in managing areas vulnerable to landslides and establishing mitigation strategies.

scholarly journals Landslides susceptibility modelling using Multivariate Logistic Regression Model in the Sahla Watershed in Northern Morocco

2021 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed El-Fengour ◽  
Hanifa El Motaki ◽  
Aissa El Bouzidi
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Potential Hazard ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Landslide Occurrence

This study aimed to assess landslide susceptibility in the Sahla watershed in northern Morocco. Landslides hazard is the most frequent phenomenon in this part of the state due to its mountainous precarious environment. The abundance of rainfall makes this area suffer mass movements led to a notable adverse impact on the nearby settlements and infrastructures. There were 93 identified landslide scars. Landslide inventories were collected from Google Earth image interpretations. They were prepared out of landslide events in the past, and future landslide occurrence was predicted by correlating landslide predisposing factors. In this paper, landslide inventories are divided into two groups, one for landslide training and the other for validation. The Landslide Susceptibility Map (LSM) is prepared by Logistic Regression (LR) Statistical Method. Lithology, stream density, land use, slope curvature, elevation, topographic wetness index, slope aspect, and slope angle were used as conditioning factors. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) was employed to examine the performance of the model. In the analysis, the LR model results in 96% accuracy in the AUC. The LSM consists of the predicted landslide area. Hence it can be used to reduce the potential hazard linked with the landslides in the Sahla watershed area in Rif Mountains in northern Morocco.

scholarly journals Harris Hawks Optimization: A Novel Swarm Intelligence Technique for Spatial Assessment of Landslide Susceptibility

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (16) ◽  
pp. 3590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bui ◽  
Moayedi ◽  
Kalantar ◽  
Osouli ◽  
Gör ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Stream Power ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Performance Error ◽  
Stream Power Index ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

In this research, the novel metaheuristic algorithm Harris hawks optimization (HHO) is applied to landslide susceptibility analysis in Western Iran. To this end, the HHO is synthesized with an artificial neural network (ANN) to optimize its performance. A spatial database comprising 208 historical landslides, as well as 14 landslide conditioning factors—elevation, slope aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, soil type, lithology, distance to the river, distance to the road, distance to the fault, land cover, slope degree, stream power index (SPI), topographic wetness index (TWI), and rainfall—is prepared to develop the ANN and HHO–ANN predictive tools. Mean square error and mean absolute error criteria are defined to measure the performance error of the models, and area under the receiving operating characteristic curve (AUROC) is used to evaluate the accuracy of the generated susceptibility maps. The findings showed that the HHO algorithm effectively improved the performance of ANN in both recognizing (AUROCANN = 0.731 and AUROCHHO–ANN = 0.777) and predicting (AUROCANN = 0.720 and AUROCHHO–ANN = 0.773) the landslide pattern.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping using Bivariate Statistical Models and GIS in Chattagram District, Bangladesh

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Sharafat Chowdhury ◽  
Bibi Hafsa
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Models ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Weight Of Evidence ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Conditioning Factors

Abstract This study attempts to produce Landslide Susceptibility Map for Chattagram District of Bangladesh by using five GIS based bivariate statistical models, namely the Frequency Ratio (FR), Shanon’s Entropy (SE), Weight of Evidence (WofE), Information Value (IV) and Certainty Factor (CF). A secondary landslide inventory database was used to correlate the previous landslides with the landslide conditioning factors. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors of Slope Aspect, Slope Angle, Geology, Elevation, Plan Curvature, Profile Curvature, General Curvature, Topographic Wetness Index, Stream Power Index, Sediment Transport Index, Topographic Roughness Index, Distance to Stream, Distance to Anticline, Distance to Fault, Distance to Road and NDVI were used. The Area Under Curve (AUC) was used for validation of the LSMs. The predictive rate of AUC for FR, SE, WofE, IV and CF were 76.11%, 70.11%, 78.93%, 76.57% and 80.43% respectively. CF model indicates 15.04% of areas are highly susceptible to landslide. All the models showed that the high elevated areas are more susceptible to landslide where the low-lying river basin areas have a low probability of landslide occurrence. The findings of this research will contribute to land use planning, management and hazard mitigation of the CHT region.

scholarly journals Evaluating underlying causative factors for earthquake-induced landslides and landslide susceptibility mapping in Upper Indrawati Watershed, Nepal

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pawan Gautam ◽  
Tetsuya Kubota ◽  
Aril Aditian
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Total Curvature ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Causal Factors ◽  
Causative Factors

AbstractThe main objective of this study is to understand the overall impact of earthquake in upper Indrawati Watershed, located in the high mountainous region of Nepal. Hence, we have assessed the relationship between the co-seismic landslide and underlying causative factors as well as performed landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) to identify the landslide susceptible zone in the study area. We assessed the landslides distribution in terms of density, number, and area within 85 classes of 13 causal factors including slope, aspect, elevation, formation, land cover, distance to road and river, soil type, total curvature, seismic intensity, topographic wetness index, distance to fault, and flow accumulation. The earthquake-induced landslide is clustered in Northern region of the study area, which is dominated by steep rocky slope, forested land, and low human density. Among the causal factors, 'slope' showed positive correlation for landslide occurrence. Increase in slope in the study area also escalates the landslide distribution, with highest density at 43%, landslide number at 4.34/km2, and landslide area abundance at 2.97% in a slope class (> 50°). We used logistic regression (LR) for LSM integrating with geographic information system. LR analysis depicts that land cover is the best predictor followed by slope and distance to fault with higher positive coefficient values. LSM was validated by assessing the correctly classified landslides under susceptibility categories using area under curve (AUC) and seed cell area index (SCAI). The LSM approach showed good accuracy with respective AUC values for success rate and prediction rate of 0.843 and 0.832. Similarly, the decreasing SCAI value from very low to very high susceptibility categories advise satisfactory accuracy of the LSM approach.

scholarly journals The Influence of Different Knowledge-Driven Methods on Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Case Study in the Changbai Mountain Area, Northeast China

Entropy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 372 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongjun Ma ◽  
Shengwu Qin ◽  
Chen Cao ◽  
Jiangfeng Lv ◽  
Guangjie Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Northeast China ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Changbai Mountain ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Mountain Area ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

Landslides are one of the most frequent geomorphic hazards, and they often result in the loss of property and human life in the Changbai Mountain area (CMA), Northeast China. The objective of this study was to produce and compare landslide susceptibility maps for the CMA using an information content model (ICM) with three knowledge-driven methods (the artificial hierarchy process with the ICM (AHP-ICM), the entropy weight method with the ICM (EWM-ICM), and the rough set with the ICM (RS-ICM)) and to explore the influence of different knowledge-driven methods for a series of parameters on the accuracy of landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM). In this research, the landslide inventory data (145 landslides) were randomly divided into a training dataset: 70% (81 landslides) were used for training the models and 30% (35 landslides) were used for validation. In addition, 13 layers of landslide conditioning factors, namely, altitude, slope gradient, slope aspect, lithology, distance to faults, distance to roads, distance to rivers, annual precipitation, land type, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), topographic wetness index (TWI), plan curvature, and profile curvature, were taken as independent, causal predictors. Landslide susceptibility maps were developed using the ICM, RS-ICM, AHP-ICM, and EWM-ICM, in which weights were assigned to every conditioning factor. The resultant susceptibility was validated using the area under the ROC curve (AUC) method. The success accuracies of the landslide susceptibility maps produced by the ICM, RS-ICM, AHP-ICM, and EWM-ICM methods were 0.931, 0.939, 0.912, and 0.883, respectively, with prediction accuracy rates of 0.926, 0.927, 0.917, and 0.878 for the ICM, RS-ICM, AHP-ICM, and EWM-ICM, respectively. Hence, it can be concluded that the four models used in this study gave close results, with the RS-ICM exhibiting the best performance in landslide susceptibility mapping.

scholarly journals Application of a GIS-Based Slope Unit Method for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Helong City: Comparative Assessment of ICM, AHP, and RF Model

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1848
Author(s):  
Chenglong Yu ◽  
Jianping Chen
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Suitable Model ◽  
Mapping Unit ◽  
Slope Unit

Landslides are one of the most extensive geological disasters in the world. The objective of this study was to assess the performances of different landslide susceptibility models information content method (ICM), analytical hierarchy process (AHP), and random forest (RF) model) and mapping unit (slope unit and grid unit) for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Helong city, Jilin province, northeastern China. First, a total of 159 landslides were mapped in the study area based on a geological hazard survey (1:50,000) of Helong city. Then, the slope units of the study area were divided by using the curvature watershed method. Next, eight influencing factors, namely, lithology, slope angle, slope aspect, rainfall, land use, seismic intensity, distance to river, and distance to fault, were selected to map the landslide susceptibility based on geological data, field survey, and landslide information. Afterward, landslide susceptibility modeling of landslide inventory data is performed for extracting and learning the symmetry latent in data patterns and relationships by three landslide susceptibility models and utilizing it to predict landslide susceptibility. Finally, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to compare the landslide susceptibility models. In addition, results based on grid units were calculated for comparison. The AUC (the area under the curve) result for ICM, AHP, and RF model was 87.1%, 80.5%, and 94.6% for slope units, and 83.4%, 70.9%, and 91.3% for grid units, respectively. Based on the overall assessments, the SU-RF model was the most suitable model for landslide susceptibility mapping. Consequently, these methods can be very useful for landslide hazard mitigation strategies.

scholarly journals Random Forest-Based Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Coastal Regions of Artvin, Turkey

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 553
Author(s):  
Halil Akinci ◽  
Cem Kilicoglu ◽  
Sedat Dogan
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Black Sea ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
The Black Sea ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Black Sea Region

Natural disasters such as landslides often occur in the Eastern Black Sea region of Turkey owing to its geological, topographical, and climatic characteristics. Landslide events occur nearly every year in the Arhavi, Hopa, and Kemalpaşa districts located on the Black Sea coast in the Artvin province. In this study, the landslide susceptibility map of the Arhavi, Hopa, and Kemalpaşa districts was produced using the random forest (RF) model, which is widely used in the literature and yields more accurate results compared with other machine learning techniques. A total of 10 landslide-conditioning factors were considered for the susceptibility analysis, i.e., lithology, land cover, slope, aspect, elevation, curvature, topographic wetness index, and distances from faults, drainage networks, and roads. Furthermore, 70% of the landslides on the landslide inventory map were used for training, and the remaining 30% were used for validation. The RF-based model was validated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Evaluation results indicated that the success and prediction rates of the model were 98.3% and 97.7%, respectively. Moreover, it was determined that incorrect land-use decisions, such as transforming forest areas into tea and hazelnut cultivation areas, induce the occurrence of landslides.

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