scholarly journals Loss of Control Prediction for Motorcycles during Emergency Braking Maneuvers Using a Supervised Learning Algorithm

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pedro Huertas-Leyva ◽  
Giovanni Savino ◽  
Niccolò Baldanzini ◽  
Marco Pierini
Keyword(s):  
Supervised Learning ◽  
Predictive Models ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Performance Indicator ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Front Wheel ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Loss Of Control ◽  
Skill Levels ◽  
Emergency Situations

The most common evasive maneuver among motorcycle riders and one of the most complicated to perform in emergency situations is braking. Because of the inherent instability of motorcycles, motorcycle crashes are frequently caused by loss of control performing braking as an evasive maneuver. Understanding the motion conditions that lead riders to start losing control is essential for defining countermeasures capable of minimizing the risk of this type of crashes. This paper provides predictive models to classify unsafe loss of control braking maneuvers on a straight line before becoming irreversibly unstable. We performed braking maneuver experiments in the field with motorcycle riders facing a simulated emergency scenario. The latter involved a mock-up intersection in which we generated conflict events between the motorcycle ridden by the participants and an oncoming car driven by trained research staff. The data collected comprises 165 braking trials (including 11 trials identified as loss of control) with 13 riders representing four categories of braking skill, ranging from beginner to expert. Three predictive models of loss of control events during braking trials, going from a basic model to a more advanced one, were defined using logistic regressions as supervised learning methods and using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve as a performance indicator. The predictor variables of the models were identified among the parameters of the vehicle kinematics. The best model predicted 100% of the loss of control and 100% of the full control cases. The basic and the more advanced supervised models were adapted for loss of control identification with time series data, and the results detecting in real-time the loss of control events showed excellent performance as well as with the supervised models. The study showed that expert riders may maintain stability under dynamic conditions that normally lead less skilled riders to a loss of control or falling events. The best decision thresholds of the most relevant kinematic parameters to predict loss of control have been defined. The thresholds of parameters that typically characterize the loss of control such as the yaw rate and front-wheel lock duration were dependent on the rider skill levels. The peak-to-root-mean-square ratio of roll acceleration was the most robust parameter for identifying loss of control among all skill levels.

scholarly journals An Auto-Adjustable Semi-Supervised Self-Training Algorithm

Algorithms ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ioannis Livieris ◽  
Andreas Kanavos ◽  
Vassilis Tampakas ◽  
Panagiotis Pintelas
Keyword(s):  
Supervised Learning ◽  
Predictive Models ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Classification Problem ◽  
Classification Methods ◽  
Training Algorithm ◽  
Traditional Classification ◽  
Supervised Learning Algorithms ◽  
Significant Research

Semi-supervised learning algorithms have become a topic of significant research as an alternative to traditional classification methods which exhibit remarkable performance over labeled data but lack the ability to be applied on large amounts of unlabeled data. In this work, we propose a new semi-supervised learning algorithm that dynamically selects the most promising learner for a classification problem from a pool of classifiers based on a self-training philosophy. Our experimental results illustrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms its component semi-supervised learning algorithms in terms of accuracy, leading to more efficient, stable and robust predictive models.

scholarly journals Risk Monitoring and Quantitative Results of Various Attributes of Machine Learning Algorithms with a Time Series Data

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 4018-4022
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithm ◽  
Risk Modelling ◽  
Risk Monitoring ◽  
Quantitative Results

The aim of this research is to do risk modelling after analysis of twitter posts based on certain sentiment analysis. In this research we analyze posts of several users or a particular user to check whether they can be cause of concern to the society or not. Every sentiment like happy, sad, anger and other emotions are going to provide scaling of severity in the conclusion of final table on which machine learning algorithm is applied. The data which is put under the machine learning algorithms are been monitored over a period of time and it is related to a particular topic in an area

Computationally Efficient and Effective Machine Learning Model Using Time Series Data in Different Prediction Problems

2021 ◽  
pp. 218-233
Author(s):  
Dwiti Krishna Bebarta ◽  
Birendra Biswal
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Predictive Models ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Predictive Analytics ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Computationally Efficient ◽  
Machine Learning Model ◽  
High Degree ◽  
Prediction Problems

Automated feature engineering is to build predictive models that are capable of transforming raw data into features, that is, creation of new features from existing ones on various datasets to create meaningful features and examining their effect on planned model performances on various parameters like accuracy, efficiency, and prevent data leakage. So the challenges for experts are to plan computationally efficient and effective machine, learning-based predictive models. This chapter will provide an imminent to the important intelligent techniques that could be utilized to enhance predictive analytics by using an advanced form of the predictive model. A computationally efficient and effective machine learning model using functional link artificial neural network (FLANN) is discussed to design for predicting the business needs with a high degree of accuracy for the traders or investors. The performance of the models using FLANN is encouraging when scientifically analyzed the experimental results of the model using different statistical analyses.

scholarly journals Treatment of Outlier Using Interpolation Method in Malaysia Tourist Arrivals

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.7) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Maria Elena Nor ◽  
Norsoraya Azurin Wahir ◽  
G P. Khuneswari ◽  
Mohd Saifullah Rusiman
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Performance Indicator ◽  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Spline Interpolation ◽  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Linear Interpolation ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Missing Value

The presence of outliers is an example of aberrant data that can have huge negative influence on statistical method under the assumption of normality and it affects the estimation. This paper introduces an alternative method as outlier treatment in time series which is interpolation. It compares two interpolation methods using performance indicator. Assuming outlier as a missing value in the data allows the application of the interpolation method to interpolate the missing value, thus comparing the result using the forecast accuracy. The monthly time series data from January 1998 until December 2015 of Malaysia Tourist Arrivals were used to deal with outliers. The results found that the cubic spline interpolation method gave the best result than the linear interpolation and the improved time series data indicated better performance in forecasting rather than the original time series data of Box-Jenkins model. 

scholarly journals Next generation reservoir computing

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel J. Gauthier ◽  
Erik Bollt ◽  
Aaron Griffith ◽  
Wendson A. S. Barbosa
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Reservoir Computing ◽  
Next Generation ◽  
Training Time ◽  
Nonlinear Vector

AbstractReservoir computing is a best-in-class machine learning algorithm for processing information generated by dynamical systems using observed time-series data. Importantly, it requires very small training data sets, uses linear optimization, and thus requires minimal computing resources. However, the algorithm uses randomly sampled matrices to define the underlying recurrent neural network and has a multitude of metaparameters that must be optimized. Recent results demonstrate the equivalence of reservoir computing to nonlinear vector autoregression, which requires no random matrices, fewer metaparameters, and provides interpretable results. Here, we demonstrate that nonlinear vector autoregression excels at reservoir computing benchmark tasks and requires even shorter training data sets and training time, heralding the next generation of reservoir computing.

scholarly journals PENERAPAN ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK DENGAN OPTIMASI MODIFIED ARTIFICIAL BEE COLONY UNTUK MERAMALKAN HARGA BITCOIN TERHADAP RUPIAH

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 135-142
Author(s):  
Di Mokhammad Hakim Ilmawan ◽  
Budi Warsito ◽  
Sugito Sugito
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Bee Colony ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Future Period ◽  
Bee Colony ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Digital Assets

Bitcoin is one of digital assets that can be used to make a profit. One of the ways to use Bitcoin profitly is to trade Bitcoin. At trade activities, decisions making whether to buy or not are very crucial. If we can predict the price of Bitcoin in the future period, we can make a decisions whether to buy Bitcoin or not. Artificial Neural Network can be used to predict Bitcoin price data which is time series data. There are many learning algorithm in Artificial Neural Network, Modified Artificial Bee Colony is one of optimization algorithm that used to solve the optimal weight of Artificial Neural Network. In this study, the Bitcoin exchage rate against Rupiah starting September 1, 2017 to January 4, 2019 are used. Based on the training results obtained that MAPE value is 3,12% and the testing results obtained that MAPE value is 2,02%. This represent that the prediction results from Artificial Neural Network optimized by Modified Artificial Bee Colony algorithm are quite accurate because of small MAPE value.

scholarly journals Wearable IMU-Based Human Activity Recognition Algorithm for Clinical Balance Assessment Using 1D-CNN and GRU Ensemble Model

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (22) ◽  
pp. 7628
Author(s):  
Yeon-Wook Kim ◽  
Kyung-Lim Joa ◽  
Han-Young Jeong ◽  
Sangmin Lee
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Sampling Rate ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Measurement Unit ◽  
Clinical Test ◽  
Ensemble Model ◽  
Balance Assessment ◽  
Optimal Ensemble

In this study, a wearable inertial measurement unit system was introduced to assess patients via the Berg balance scale (BBS), a clinical test for balance assessment. For this purpose, an automatic scoring algorithm was developed. The principal aim of this study is to improve the performance of the machine-learning-based method by introducing a deep-learning algorithm. A one-dimensional (1D) convolutional neural network (CNN) and a gated recurrent unit (GRU) that shows good performance in multivariate time-series data were used as model components to find the optimal ensemble model. Various structures were tested, and a stacking ensemble model with a simple meta-learner after two 1D-CNN heads and one GRU head showed the best performance. Additionally, model performance was enhanced by improving the dataset via preprocessing. The data were down sampled, an appropriate sampling rate was found, and the training and evaluation times of the model were improved. Using an augmentation process, the data imbalance problem was solved, and model accuracy was improved. The maximum accuracy of 14 BBS tasks using the model was 98.4%, which is superior to the results of previous studies.

Improvement of Variant Adaptable LSTM Trained With Metaheuristic Algorithms for Healthcare Analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 1031-1051
Author(s):  
Tarik A. Rashid ◽  
Mohammad K. Hassan ◽  
Mokhtar Mohammadi ◽  
Kym Fraser
Keyword(s):  
Diabetes Mellitus ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Patients With Diabetes

Recently, the population of the world has increased along with health problems. Diabetes mellitus disease as an example causes issues to the health of many patients globally. The task of this chapter is to develop a dynamic and intelligent decision support system for patients with different diseases, and it aims at examining machine-learning techniques supported by optimization techniques. Artificial neural networks have been used in healthcare for several decades. Most research works utilize multilayer layer perceptron (MLP) trained with back propagation (BP) learning algorithm to achieve diabetes mellitus classification. Nonetheless, MLP has some drawbacks, such as, convergence, which can be slow; local minima can affect the training process. It is hard to scale and cannot be used with time series data sets. To overcome these drawbacks, long short-term memory (LSTM) is suggested, which is a more advanced form of recurrent neural networks. In this chapter, adaptable LSTM trained with two optimizing algorithms instead of the back propagation learning algorithm is presented. The optimization algorithms are biogeography-based optimization (BBO) and genetic algorithm (GA). Dataset is collected locally and another benchmark dataset is used as well. Finally, the datasets fed into adaptable models; LSTM with BBO (LSTMBBO) and LSTM with GA (LSTMGA) for classification purposes. The experimental and testing results are compared and they are promising. This system helps physicians and doctors to provide proper health treatment for patients with diabetes mellitus. Details of source code and implementation of our system can be obtained in the following link “https://github.com/hamakamal/LSTM.”

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