scholarly journals Spatial Proximity-Based Geographically Weighted Regression Model for Landslide Susceptibility Assessment: A Case Study of Qingchuan Area, China

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yange Li ◽  
Xintong Liu ◽  
Zheng Han ◽  
Jie Dou

Landslides pose a serious threat to the safety of human life and property in mountainous regions. Susceptibility assessment for landslides is critical in landslide management strategy. Recent studies indicate that the traditional assessment models in many previous studies commonly assume a fixed relationship between influencing factors and landslide occurrence within an area, resulting in an inadequate evaluation for the local landslides susceptibility. To address this issue, in this paper we propose a spatial proximity-based geographically weighted regression (S-GWR) model considering spatial non-stationarity of landslide data for assessing the landslide susceptibility. Spatial proximity is the basic input condition for the proposed S-GWR model. The challenge lies in defining the spatial proximity expression that shows the geographical features of landslides and therefore affects the model ability of S-GWR. Our solution chooses the slope unit as spatial adjacency, rather than the grid unit in DTM. The multicollinearity between landslide influencing factors is then eliminated through variance inflation factor (VIF) method and principal component analysis (PCA). The proposed model is subsequently validated by using data in Qingchuan County, southwestern China. Spatial non-stationary is identified for landslide data. A comparison with grid unit and four traditional evaluation models is conducted. Validation results using the area under the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve and success rate curve indicate that the spatial proximity-based GWR model with slope unit has the highest predictive accuracy (0.859 and 0.850 respectively).

Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 673
Author(s):  
Chen Yang ◽  
Meichen Fu ◽  
Dingrao Feng ◽  
Yiyu Sun ◽  
Guohui Zhai

Vegetation plays a key role in ecosystem regulation and influences our capacity for sustainable development. Global vegetation cover has changed dramatically over the past decades in response to both natural and anthropogenic factors; therefore, it is necessary to analyze the spatiotemporal changes in vegetation cover and its influencing factors. Moreover, ecological engineering projects, such as the “Grain for Green” project implemented in 1999, have been introduced to improve the ecological environment by enhancing forest coverage. In our study, we analyzed the changes in vegetation cover across the Loess Plateau of China and the impacts of influencing factors. First, we analyzed the latitudinal and longitudinal changes in vegetation coverage. Second, we displayed the spatiotemporal changes in vegetation cover based on Theil-Sen slope analysis and the Mann-Kendall test. Third, the Hurst exponent was used to predict future changes in vegetation coverage. Fourth, we assessed the relationship between vegetation cover and the influence of individual factors. Finally, ordinary least squares regression and the geographically weighted regression model were used to investigate the influence of various factors on vegetation cover. We found that the Loess Plateau showed large-scale greening from 2000 to 2015, though some regions showed decreasing vegetation cover. Latitudinal and longitudinal changes in vegetation coverage presented a net increase. Moreover, some areas of the Loess Plateau are at risk of degradation in the future, but most areas showed a sustainable increase in vegetation cover. Temperature, precipitation, gross domestic product (GDP), slope, cropland percentage, forest percentage, and built-up land percentage displayed different relationships with vegetation cover. Geographically weighted regression model revealed that GDP, temperature, precipitation, forest percentage, cropland percentage, built-up land percentage, and slope significantly influenced (p < 0.05) vegetation cover in 2000. In comparison, precipitation, forest percentage, cropland percentage, and built-up land percentage significantly affected (p < 0.05) vegetation cover in 2015. Our results enhance our understanding of the ecological and environmental changes in the Loess Plateau.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2962
Author(s):  
Jingyi Wang ◽  
Huaqiang Du ◽  
Xuejian Li ◽  
Fangjie Mao ◽  
Meng Zhang ◽  
...  

Bamboo forests are widespread in subtropical areas and are well known for their rapid growth and great carbon sequestration ability. To recognize the potential roles and functions of bamboo forests in regional ecosystems, forest aboveground biomass (AGB)—which is closely related to forest productivity, the forest carbon cycle, and, in particular, carbon sinks in forest ecosystems—is calculated and applied as an indicator. Among the existing studies considering AGB estimation, linear or nonlinear regression models are the most frequently used; however, these methods do not take the influence of spatial heterogeneity into consideration. A geographically weighted regression (GWR) model, as a spatial local model, can solve this problem to a certain extent. Based on Landsat 8 OLI images, we use the Random Forest (RF) method to screen six variables, including TM457, TM543, B7, NDWI, NDVI, and W7B6VAR. Then, we build the GWR model to estimate the bamboo forest AGB, and the results are compared with those of the cokriging (COK) and orthogonal least squares (OLS) models. The results show the following: (1) The GWR model had high precision and strong prediction ability. The prediction accuracy (R2) of the GWR model was 0.74, 9%, and 16% higher than the COK and OLS models, respectively, while the error (RMSE) was 7% and 12% lower than the errors of the COK and OLS models, respectively. (2) The bamboo forest AGB estimated by the GWR model in Zhejiang Province had a relatively dense spatial distribution in the northwestern, southwestern, and northeastern areas. This is in line with the actual bamboo forest AGB distribution in Zhejiang Province, indicating the potential practical value of our study. (3) The optimal bandwidth of the GWR model was 156 m. By calculating the variable parameters at different positions in the bandwidth, close attention is given to the local variation law in the estimation of the results in order to reduce the model error.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marlvin Anemey Tewara ◽  
Liu Yunxia ◽  
Weiqiang Ling ◽  
Binang Helen Barong ◽  
Prisca Ngetemalah Mbah-Fongkimeh ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Studies have illustrated the association of malaria cases with environmental factors in Cameroon but limited in addressing how these factors vary in space for timely public health interventions. Thus, we want to find the spatial variability between malaria hotspot cases and environmental predictors using Geographically weighted regression (GWR) spatial modelling technique.Methods: The global Ordinary least squares (OLS) in the modelling spatial relationships tool in ArcGIS 10.3. was used to select candidate explanatory environmental variables for a properly specified GWR model. The local GWR model used the global OLS candidate variables to examine, predict and explore the spatial variability between environmental factors and malaria hotspot cases generated from Getis-Ord Gi* statistical analysis. Results: The OLS candidate environmental variable coefficients were statistically significant (adjusted R2 = 22.3% and p < 0.01) for a properly specified GWR model. The GWR model identified a strong spatial association between malaria cases and rainfall, vegetation index, population density, and drought episodes in most hotspot areas and a weak correlation with aridity and proximity to water with an overall model performance of 0.243 (adjusted R2= 24.3%).Conclusion: The generated GWR maps suggest that for policymakers to eliminate malaria in Cameroon, there should be the creation of malaria outreach programs and further investigations in areas where the environmental variables showed strong spatial associations with malaria hotspot cases.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saskya Mary Soemartojo ◽  
Rima Dini Ghaisani ◽  
Titin Siswantining ◽  
Mariam Rahmania Shahab ◽  
Moch. Muchid Ariyanto

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 54-71
Author(s):  
Hilton A. Cordoba ◽  
Russell L. Ivy

Modeling airline fares is quite challenging due to the constantly changing fare structure of the airlines in response to competitors, yield management principles, and a variety of political and economic changes, and has become more complex since deregulation. This paper attempts to add to the literature by providing a more in-depth look at fare structure using a multivariate approach. A total 6,200 routes between 80 primary U.S. airports are analyzed using linear and geographically weighted regression models. The results from the global models reinforce some of the expectations mentioned in the literature, while the local models provide an opportunity to analyze the spatial variation of influencing factors and predictability.


Author(s):  
Zhiyu Fan ◽  
Qingming Zhan ◽  
Chen Yang ◽  
Huimin Liu ◽  
Meng Zhan

Due to the suspension of traffic mobility and industrial activities during the COVID-19, particulate matter (PM) pollution has decreased in China. However, rarely have research studies discussed the spatiotemporal pattern of this change and related influencing factors at city-scale across the nation. In this research, the clustering patterns of the decline rates of PM2.5 and PM10 during the period from 20 January to 8 April in 2020, compared with the same period of 2019, were investigated using spatial autocorrelation analysis. Four meteorological factors and two socioeconomic factors, i.e., the decline of intra-city mobility intensity (dIMI) representing the effect of traffic mobility and the decline rates of the secondary industrial output values (drSIOV), were adopted in the regression analysis. Then, multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), a model allowing the particular processing scale for each independent variable, was applied for investigating the relationship between PM pollution reductions and influencing factors. For comparison, ordinary least square (OLS) regression and the classic geographically weighted regression (GWR) were also performed. The research found that there were 16% and 20% reduction of PM2.5 and PM10 concentration across China and significant PM pollution mitigation in central, east, and south regions of China. As for the regression analysis results, MGWR outperformed the other two models, with R2 of 0.711 and 0.732 for PM2.5 and PM10, respectively. The results of MGWR revealed that the two socioeconomic factors had more significant impacts than meteorological factors. It showed that the reduction of traffic mobility caused more relative declines of PM2.5 in east China (e.g., cities in Jiangsu), while it caused more relative declines of PM10 in central China (e.g., cities in Henan). The reduction of industrial operation had a strong relationship with the PM10 drop in northeast China. The results are crucial for understanding how the decline pattern of PM pollution varied spatially during the COVID-19 outbreak, and it also provides a good reference for air pollution control in the future.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ziqi Li ◽  
Alexander Stewart Fotheringham

Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) has been broadly used in various fields to model spatially non-stationary relationships. Multi-scale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) is a recent advancement to the classic GWR model. MGWR is superior in capturing multi-scale processes over the traditional single-scale GWR model by using different bandwidths for each covariate. However, the multiscale property of MGWR brings additional computation costs. The calibration process of MGWR involves iterative back-fitting under the additive model (AM) framework. Currently, MGWR can only be applied on small datasets within a tolerable time and is prohibitive on moderately large datasets (greater than 5,000 observations). In this paper, we propose a parallel implementation that has crucial computational improvements to MGWR calibration. This improved computational method reduces both memory footprint and runtime to allow MGWR modelling to be applied to moderate-to-large datasets (up to 100,000 observations). These improvements are integrated into the mgwr python package and MGWR 2.0 software, both of which are freely available to download.


2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-250
Author(s):  
Paul Bidanset ◽  
Michael McCord ◽  
Peadar Davis ◽  
Mark Sunderman

Purpose The purpose of this study is to enhance the estimation of vertical and horizontal inequity within property valuation. Property taxation is a crucial source of finance for local government around the world – based on a presumptive tax base underpinned by estimates of property value, inaccurate real estate valuations used for such ad valorem or value-based property tax calculations potentially lead to a variety of costs, both financial and other, for tax payers and governments alike. More common are increased costs in time, staff and, in some cases, legal fees. Some governments are even bound by acceptability thresholds to promote fairness, equitability and overall government accountability with respect to valuation. Design/methodology/approach There exist a number of vertical inequity measurements that have undergone academic testing and scrutiny within the property tax industry since the 1970s. While these approaches have proved successful in detecting horizontal and vertical inequity, one recurring disadvantage pertains to measurement error/omitted variable bias, stemming largely from a failure to accurately account for location. A natural progression within property tax research is the application of a more spatially local weighted modelling approach to examine vertical and horizontal inequity. This research, therefore, specifies a geographically weighted regression (GWR) methodology to detect and measure vertical inequity in property valuations. Findings The findings show the efficacy of using more applied spatial approaches for vertical tax estimation and indeed the limitations of employing conditional mean estimates coupled with delineated boundaries for assessing property tax inequity. The GWR model findings highlight the more fluctuating nature of vertical inequity across the Belfast market for the apartment sector both in a progressive and regressive sense and at different magnitudes. Moreover, the results reveal spatial clustering in the effects and are indicative of systematic inequities related to location inferring that spatial (horizontal) tax inequities are not random. The findings further show increased GWR model predictability overall. Originality/value This research adds to the existing literature base for evaluating both vertical and horizontal inequity in value-based property taxation at the intra-neighbourhood level. This is accomplished by modifying the Birch–Sunderman approach by transforming the traditional OLS model architecture to a GWR model, thereby allowing coefficient estimates of inequity to vary not only across a jurisdiction, but also at a more local level, while incorporating property characteristic variables. This arguably allows assessors to identify specific geographical areas of concern, saving them money, time and resources on identifying, addressing and correcting for inequity.


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