scholarly journals Central Bank Digital Currency and the Future of Monetary Policy

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Bordo ◽  
Andrew Levin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Digital Currency ◽  
The Future

scholarly journals CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCY: ECONOMIC AND LEGAL CHARACTERISTICS

2019 ◽  
pp. 94-100
Author(s):  
T.S. Hudima ◽  
V.A. Ustymenko
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Legal Framework ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Digital Currency ◽  
Business Entities ◽  
The Right ◽  
Article 5

The article is devoted to identifying the peculiarities of the central bank digital currency (CBDC), explaining their impact on the monetary policy of the state, and identifying the prospects for the transformation of domestic banking legislation in connection with the implementation of the CBDC. It is noted that the scope of competence of the Central Bank and the legal basis for the issuance of the CBDC will depend on the economic and legal features of the digital currency, the degree of its impact on the monetary policy, the financial stability of the country’s economy and so on. In the process of forming the appropriate legal field and defining the conceptual apparatus in the sphere of emission and circulation of the CBDC, the peculiarities of the use of the latter in economic transactions and the specific functions not inherent in ordinary means of payment should be taken. СBDC initiatives will help: 1) progressively narrow the banking system at the level of the Central Banks (such as the Chicago Plan) by allowing individuals and businesses to deposit directly into the accounts of the Central Banks; 2) increasing confidence of economic entities and individuals in the financial system; 3) strengthening the financial stability of the economy (both domestically and globally). Granting business entities or individuals the right to store digital money directly with the Central Bank can give rise to two main directions of influence on monetary policy: first, to strengthen its transmission mechanism; secondly, lead to banks being disrupted. This may lead to some legal issues regarding (1) the NBU’s area of competence; (2) the constitutional foundations of the legal economic order (Article 5 of the ECU). In particular, it cannot be ruled out that centralization of the production, servicing, and management of the СBDC turnover may violate the principles of competition in business activities, prevent abuse of monopoly position in the market, etc. Keywords: monetary policy, central bank digital currency, financial stability, competence, legal framework, economic operations, issue.

Introduction

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Massimo Rostagno ◽  
Carlo Altavilla ◽  
Giacomo Carboni ◽  
Wolfgang Lemke ◽  
Roberto Motto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Public Good ◽  
Monetary Union ◽  
European Central Bank ◽  
The Public ◽  
European Central ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future ◽  
20Th Anniversary

Institutions dedicated to serving the public good must look to the past to learn from experience; and look to the future to prepare, as best they can, for the trials that might lie ahead. The 20th anniversary of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) offers an opportunity to apply such a perspective to the monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB): to evaluate its accomplishments and to learn the lessons that can improve the conduct of its policy in the future....

scholarly journals Significant Effect of the Central Bank Digital Currency on the Design of Monetary Policy

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-151
Author(s):  
Muhammad Edhie Purnawan ◽  
Retno Riyanti
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Monetary Policy Transmission ◽  
Digital Currency ◽  
Policy Transmission

Entering the millennial era, technology has taken a big role in most sectors of life, including the currency as a product that can only be issued by the central bank. This paper examines the significant effect of central bank digital currency (CBDC) on the design of central bank monetary policy. The paper then sets out some benchmark central bank digital currency (CBDC) in several countries. Many central banks are actively exploring the initiation of sovereign digital currencies. Primary results this study is CBDC providing new monetary instruments, CBDC can improve financial inclusion, and CBDC is potential improvements in monetary policy transmission.

scholarly journals Does the high-frequency data is helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?

2021 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 318-343
Author(s):  
Dmitriy Tretyakov ◽  
◽  
Nikita Fokin ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
High Frequency Data ◽  
Frequency Data ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
The Future ◽  
Forecasting Inflation

Due to the fact that at the end of 2014 the Central Bank made the transition to a new monetary policy regime for Russia — the inflation targeting regime, the problem of forecasting inflation rates became more relevant than ever. In the new monetary policy regime, it is important for the Bank of Russia to estimate the future inflation rate as quickly as possible in order to take measures to return inflation to the target level. In addition, for effective monetary policy, the households must trust the actions of monetary authorities and they must be aware of the future dynamics of inflation. Thus, to manage inflationary expectations of economic agents, the Central Bank should actively use the information channel, publish accurate forecasts of consumer price growth. The aim of this work is to build a model for nowcasting, as well as short-term forecasting of the rate of Russian inflation using high-frequency data. Using this type of data in models for forecasting is very promising, since this approach allows to use more information about the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators. The paper shows that using MIDAS model with weekly frequency series (RUB/USD exchange rate, the interbank rate MIACR, oil prices) has more accurate forecast of monthly inflation compared to several basic models, which only use low-frequency data.

scholarly journals Analysis of the impact of central bank communications on money market indicators

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 24-34
Author(s):  
Diana Petrova ◽  
Pavel Trunin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Latent Dirichlet Allocation ◽  
Money Market ◽  
Communication Policy ◽  
Press Releases ◽  
Market Rate ◽  
The Future ◽  
Policy Information ◽  
The Impact

Press releases on monetary policy play an important role in the communication policy of the central bank. These press releases explain key rate decisions and provide signals about the future direction of the central bank’s monetary policy. Information signals can influence the expectations of financial market participants and increase the predictability and effectiveness of monetary policy. There are not enough research papers dedicated to the text analysis of the Bank of Russia press releases and the assessment of information signals. Hence, this article examines the impact of information signals about monetary policy on the money market rate, term and credit spreads. First, we estimate latent Dirichlet allocation to determine the topics of information signals. Second, we use sentiment analysis to construct signals about easing or tightening of the monetary policy. Third, the impact of signals about the future monetary policy on the money market indicators is assessed using the exponential GARCH model. Empirical research has shown that signals of future monetary policy easing are associated with lower money market rates and term spreads, and an increase in the credit spread. The result proved to be resistant to various ways of vectorizing the text of press releases. The article was prepared as a part of the state assignment research of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.

scholarly journals The Research on the Money Supply of Central Bank Digital Currency

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Yuxuan Chen ◽  
Kejie Zhou ◽  
Wenhao Yang
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Digital Currency ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Imf

Currently, the only central bank digital currencies (CBDC) in the world is Venezuela’s currency—Petro. Nowadays, the IMF, BIS, and major countries have conducted a lot of research on CBDC. It’s an urgent issue for the central bank to issue CBDC, determine and formulate the circulation of CBDC and the issuance speed, and supervise it. Therefore, establishing ARMA and VARs by sorting out literature, the paper uses the characteristics of CBDC--cash, and similarities with third-party payment in terms of payment to determine the circulation of CDBC by third-party payment users and currency in circulation. The model calculates and predicts the speed of circulation of digital currency. The issuance of CBDC will accelerate the circulation of money. In this regard, we will explore the impact of money supply on monetary policy and make relevant recommendations.

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