scholarly journals Commodity Export Prices and the Real Exchange Rate in Developing Countries: Coffee in Colombia

10.3386/w1570 ◽  
1985 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Edwards
1990 ◽  
Vol 5 (11) ◽  
pp. 491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riccardo Faini ◽  
Jaime de Melo ◽  
Richard Baldwin ◽  
Charles Bean

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-76
Author(s):  
Burçak Polat ◽  
Antonio Rodríguez Andrés

Although the positive socio-economic effects of remittances for recipient countries in the short term are unmistakable, inflows of remittances may at the same time exert adverse effects on the trade competitiveness of an economy, by appreciating the real exchange rate. This phenomenon is characterised as an instance of the ‘Dutch disease’ – the negative impact of windfall revenue inflows on the competitiveness of other tradable sectors and hence on overall economic growth. While the real effect of workers’ remittances on real exchange rates in a recipient economy is still a controversial issue, several studies have analysed evidence for the existence of the ‘Dutch disease’ phenomenon in various sets of countries. The main objective of this study is to examine whether remittance flows have had any adverse effect on the international trade competitiveness of a selected group of developing countries during the period from 1995 to 2014. Using a one-step system Generalised Method of Moments specification within a simultaneous equation approach, it shows that remittance flows depreciate the real exchange rate at their levels and that the lagged value of remittances create the Dutch disease for this country group. In addition, we confirm that while trade openness and world real interest rates contribute to a depreciation in real exchange rates, gross domestic product per capita and net Official Development Aid inflows tend to appreciate real exchange rates. A policy implication is that trade liberalisation policies that lower tariff rates on capital imports and new export-oriented incentive programmes should be accompanied by measures designed to prevent appreciation in the real exchange rate: steps in this direction such as recent macroeconomic and prudential capital flow management initiatives are briefly referenced. JEL Codes: F20, F21, F22, F23


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-101
Author(s):  
Odry Syafwil ◽  
Fitri Bunga Adelia

Palm oil industries is one of the leading agroindustrial in Indonesia. Since the downstream palm oil industries began at the end of 2011, the export volume of Indonesian CPO derived increased continously. However, it’s export pric e decreased. Thus, the main objective of this research was to built a single policy simulation scenarios that could increase the export price of Indonesian CPO derivatives. This research used simultaneous analysis with T wo-Stage Least Square estimation method that consisted three endogenous variables, namely export price and export volume of Indonesian CPO derivative and real exchange rate of rupiah to US dollar. The estimation results show that the real exchange rate had positive effects on the volume and export prices of Indonesian CPO derivatives. In contrast, the export volume of Indonesian CPO derivatives had positive effect on the real exchange rate and negative effect on the export price. Meanwhile, export prices of Indonesian CPO derivatives had negative effect on real exchange rate but didn’t effect on the export volume. From the estimation and historical time reference was obtained three simulation scenarios which could increase the export price of Indonesian CPO derivatives, i.e. increase 4.0 percent of export tariff, 0.4 percent,of inflation, and 0.4 percent of BI real interest rate. However, each scenario also negative effect on certain endogenous variables. If export tariff of Indonesian CPO derivative was increased, the export volume would decrease. Meanwhile, if the inflation or B I real interest rate was increased, the real exchange rate would depreciate. Keywords: Simultaneous Analysis, 2SLS, Downstream, Export Price, CPO


2016 ◽  
pp. 44-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Moiseev ◽  
I. Pantina

Developing countries typically exhibit a high degree of macroeconomic variablesinstability. This feature is particularly evident as regards the volatility of the real exchange rate. The concern with these destabilizing effects generatedby real exchange rate instability has prompted some developing countries to adopt real exchange rate targeting since the late 60’s. However, this policy produces an inflation bias. This paper reviews economic literature on theoretical frameworks and empirical evidences about effects of real exchange rate targeting.


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