scholarly journals Random Walk or A Run: Market Microstructure Analysis of the Foreign Exchange Rate Movements based on Conditional Probability

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuko Hashimoto ◽  
Takatoshi Ito ◽  
Takaaki Ohnishi ◽  
Misako Takayasu ◽  
Hideki Takayasu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Random Walk ◽  
Conditional Probability ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Market Microstructure ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Microstructure Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements

scholarly journals Random walk or a run. Market microstructure analysis of foreign exchange rate movements based on conditional probability

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 893-905 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuko Hashimoto ◽  
Takatoshi Ito ◽  
Takaaki Ohnishi ◽  
Misako Takayasu ◽  
Hideki Takayasu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Random Walk ◽  
Conditional Probability ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Market Microstructure ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Microstructure Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements

scholarly journals Monetary Policy vs. Foreign Exchange Rate: A Statistical Analysis

2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tyler T. Yu ◽  
Miranda M. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Hypothesis Test ◽  
Time Lag ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this paper is to examine the economic impact of the Feds rate cuts on foreign exchange movements. Using secondary data, the paper estimates the lagged effects of the changes in money supply due to the rate cuts on the foreign exchange rates between the US dollar and the Japanese Yen ($/), British Pounds ($/), and the euro ($/), respectively. Since the impact of monetary policy tends to have a time lag, as suggested by Hall and Taylor, the study segments the measurements in six months intervals (6 months form the cut, 12 months from the cut, 18 months from the cut and 24 months from the cut). The relationship between the changes in money supply and potential impact on foreign exchange rate movements will be investigated using the Pearson Product-Moment Correlation coefficients (PPMCC) as well as Spearmans Rank Correlation coefficients (SRCC, the nonparametric alternative to the PPMCC). Then, a hypothesis test will be conducted to determine whether the correlation between the Federal Reserves stimulating monetary policy and foreign exchange rate movements is significant.

scholarly journals The microstructure of foreign exchange rate and foreign exchange rate formation

2005 ◽  
Vol 50 (164) ◽  
pp. 63-79
Author(s):  
Vladimir Vuckovic
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Market Microstructure ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Essential Question

The subject matter of market microstructure analysis are processes through which investor activities are transferred to quantities and prices. This direction indicates the fact that has been unjustifiably neglected in fundamental theories ? foreign exchange rate results from the interactions between market participants. Spot foreign exchange market can best be described as a decentralised market with a number of dealers. There is no organised physical place (stock exchange) where dealers meet their clients nor is there an electronic system which enables quotations of all dealers in a currency market to be simultaneously shown on the screen. The theory of order flows has resulted from the answer to the essential question of market microstructure: do trading mechanisms affect the price formation process of the trading subject, and how do they affect it. Information is scattered and not available to all subjects in an aggregate form, which is the consequence of a decentralised structure, lack of regulations and nontransparent trading on the foreign exchange market. In such a setting, market participants are incessantly aggregating signals based on scattered information, and no sooner than collective orders for foreign currency sales and purchases are formed do they build into the foreign exchange rate in the process of new information trading. are a good explanation for changes in the foreign exchange rate. Several studies have shown that order flows.

An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Exchange Exposure of CNX 100 Companies

GIS Business ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sriram Mahadevan
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Rate ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Export Ratio ◽  
Exchange Rate Exposure ◽  
Ratio Size ◽  
Foreign Exchange Exposure ◽  
Exchange Rate Changes

The present study has empirically examined the level of foreign exchange exposure and its determinants of CNX 100 companies. For the purpose of study, the relationship between exchange rate changes and stock returns for a sample of 82 companies was determined for the period April 2011-March 2016. The study finds that 49% of the sample companies had significant positive foreign exchange rate exposure and the found that the companies could be exporters or net importers. To explore factors determining foreign exchange rate exposure, variables such as export ratio, import ratio, size of a company, hedging activities were regressed against the exchange exposure and the study found that none of the factors was influencing the exchange rate exposure. The study concludes that the reasons for insignificant influence of the variables could be the natural hedging practices of companies, offsetting of exports and imports and heterogeneous of the sample size. The study offers few directions for future research in this area.

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