scholarly journals River Bedup Catchment Water Level Prediction Using Pre-developed ANN Model of Siniawan Catchment

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-41
Author(s):  
Bustami R. ◽  
Hong C. ◽  
Lim D.

This study proposes the application of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in the prediction of hourly water level under tidal influence for Sadong Basin. An ANN is undoubtedly a robust tool for forecasting various non-linear hydrologic processes, including the water level prediction. It is a flexible mathematical structure which is capable to generalize patterns in imprecise or noisy and ambiguous input and output data sets. In this study, ANN models were developed specifically to forecast the hourly water level for River Bedup Station. Distinctive networks were trained, validated and simulated using hourly data obtained from Department of Irrigation and Drainage, Sarawak in Kuching. The performances of ANN were evaluated based on the coefficient of efficiency, E2 and the coefficient of correlation, R. The back propagation algorithm was adopted for this study. Models used in this study is trained, validated and simulated with scaled conjugate gradient algorithm (trainscg) with two hours of antecedent data, learning rate and the number of neurons in the hidden layer of 0.8 and 40 respectively. In this study, the models generated an accuracy of 100% for all training, validating and simulating stages. It has been found that the ANN has the potential to solve the problems of water level prediction.

2008 ◽  
Vol 59 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gozde Pektas ◽  
Erdal Dinc ◽  
Dumitru Baleanu

Simultaneaous spectrophotometric determination of clorsulon (CLO) and invermectin (IVE) in commercial veterinary formulation was performed by using the artificial neural network (ANN) based on the back propagation algorithm. In order to find the optimal ANN model various topogical networks were tested by using different hidden layers. A logsig input layer, a hidden layer of neurons using the logsig transfer function and an output layer of two neurons with purelin transfer function was found suitable for basic configuration for ANN model. A calibration set consisting of CLO and IVE in calibration set was prepared in the concentration range of 1-23 �g/mL and 1-14 �g/mL, repectively. This calibration set contains 36 different synthetic mixtures. A prediction set was prepared in order to evaluate the recovery of the investigated approach ANN chemometric calibration was applied to the simultaneous analysis of CLO and IVE in compounds in a commercial veterinary formulation. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method is appropriate for the routine quality control of the above mentioned active compounds.


2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 266-274 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adel Ghith ◽  
Thouraya Hamdi ◽  
Faten Fayala

Abstract An artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict the drape coefficient (DC). Hanging weight, Sample diameter and the bending rigidities in warp, weft and skew directions are selected as inputs of the ANN model. The ANN developed is a multilayer perceptron using a back-propagation algorithm with one hidden layer. The drape coefficient is measured by a Cusick drape meter. Bending rigidities in different directions were calculated according to the Cantilever method. The DC obtained results show a good correlation between the experimental and the estimated ANN values. The results prove a significant relationship between the ANN inputs and the drape coefficient. The algorithm developed can easily predict the drape coefficient of fabrics at different diameters.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Sadighzadeh ◽  
A. Salehizadeh ◽  
M. Mohammadzadeh ◽  
F. Shama ◽  
S. Setayeshi ◽  
...  

Artificial neural network (ANN) is applied to predict the number of produced neutrons from IR-IECF device in wide discharge current and voltage ranges. Experimentally, discharge current from 20 to 100 mA had been tuned by deuterium gas pressure and cathode voltage had been changed from −20 to −82 kV (maximum voltage of the used supply). The maximum neutron production rate (NPR) of 1.46 × 107 n/s had occurred when the voltage was −82 kV and the discharge current was 48 mA. The back-propagation algorithm is used for training of the proposed multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network structure. The obtained results show that the proposed ANN model has achieved good agreement with the experimental data. Results show that NPR of 1.855 × 108 n/s can be achieved in voltage and current of 125 kV and 45 mA, respectively. This prediction shows 52% increment in maximum voltage of power supply. Also, the optimum discharge current can increase 1270% NPR.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 3798
Author(s):  
Chia-Ju Lin ◽  
Nan-Jing Wu

An artificial neural network (ANN) model for predicting the compressive strength of concrete is established in this study. The Back Propagation (BP) network with one hidden layer is chosen as the structure of the ANN. The database of real concrete mix proportioning listed in earlier research by another author is used for training and testing the ANN. The proper number of neurons in the hidden layer is determined by checking the features of over-fitting while the synaptic weights and the thresholds are finalized by checking the features of over-training. After that, we use experimental data from other papers to verify and validate our ANN model. The final result of the synaptic weights and the thresholds in the ANN are all listed. Therefore, with them, and using the formulae expressed in this article, anyone can predict the compressive strength of concrete according to the mix proportioning on his/her own.


2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 94-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duc Van Le

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model along with Back Propagation Algorithm (BPA) has been applied in many fields, especially in hydrology and water resources management to simulate or forecast rainfall runoff process, discharge and water level - time series, and other hydrological variables. Several researches have recently been focusing to compare the applicability of ANN model with other theory-driven and data-driven approaches. The comparison of ANN with M5 model trees for rainfall-runoff forecasting, with ARMAX models for deriving flow series, with AR models and regression models for forecasting and estimating daily river flows have been carried out. The better results that were implemented by ANN model have been concluded. So, this research trend is continued for the comparison of ANN model with Tank, Harmonic, Thomas and Fiering models in simulation of the monthly runoffs at Dong Nai river basin, Viet Nam. The results proved ANN being the best choice among these models, if suitable and enough data sources were available.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 8561
Author(s):  
Emerson Felipe Felix ◽  
Edna Possan ◽  
Rogério Carrazedo

A new formulation to estimate the elastic modulus of concrete containing recycled coarse aggregate is proposed in this work using artificial neural networks (ANN) and nonlinear regression. Up to six predictors variables were used to training 243 ANN. The models were generated based on results obtained from experimental campaigns. Feedforward neural network and Levenberg–Marquardt back propagation algorithm were used for training the ANN. The best ANN was found with the architecture 6-4-2-1 (input -1st hidden layer—2nd hidden layer—output), attaining a root-mean-square error of 2.4 GPa associated with a coefficient of determination of 0.91. Once the ANN model was established, 46,656 concrete samples were created. These were employed to formulate the model using nonlinear regression. The developed model showed a highly efficient performance to predict the elastic modulus. Lastly, considering the parametric study conducted, the results pointed out that the approach can be applied to predict the concrete elastic modulus and can indicate better mix proportions for concretes containing natural and/or recycled coarse aggregates, enabling its use as a simulation tool in the development of engineering projects focused on durability and sustainability.


Author(s):  
Mohd. Tauseef ◽  
Dheeraj Kumar Verma

The surface roughness of manufactured product is final results of the turning technique parameters, and an critical characteristics that outline product first-rate, aesthetics etc. It imposes one of the most essential constraints for the choice of machines and slicing parameters in manner planning. In this paper, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method has been used to develop surface roughness prediction model the use of experimental statistics, wherein Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN) the usage of Back Propagation set of rules and Levenberg-Marquardt education function has been used. The work has been done using Neural etwork Toolbox in MATLAB. The overall performance of the version has been assessed based totally on Regression analysis, Mean Square Error (MSE) and Magnitude of Relative Error (MRE). A three-2-1 model with two neurons in the hidden layer turned into discovered to be the excellent developed model, having universal regression ( R) cost of zero.9923 and pleasant validation overall performance MSE value of 0.00913. The ANN model confirmed incredible consequences for forecasting


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 626
Author(s):  
Svajone Bekesiene ◽  
Rasa Smaliukiene ◽  
Ramute Vaicaitiene

The present study aims to elucidate the main variables that increase the level of stress at the beginning of military conscription service using an artificial neural network (ANN)-based prediction model. Random sample data were obtained from one battalion of the Lithuanian Armed Forces, and a survey was conducted to generate data for the training and testing of the ANN models. Using nonlinearity in stress research, numerous ANN structures were constructed and verified to limit the optimal number of neurons, hidden layers, and transfer functions. The highest accuracy was obtained by the multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) with a 6-2-2 partition. A standardized rescaling method was used for covariates. For the activation function, the hyperbolic tangent was used with 20 units in one hidden layer as well as the back-propagation algorithm. The best ANN model was determined as the model that showed the smallest cross-entropy error, the correct classification rate, and the area under the ROC curve. These findings show, with high precision, that cohesion in a team and adaptation to military routines are two critical elements that have the greatest impact on the stress level of conscripts.


Transport ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 135-142 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Payıdar Akgüngör ◽  
Erdem Doğan

This study proposes an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model and a Genetic Algorithm (GA) model to estimate the number of accidents (A), fatalities (F) and injuries (I) in Ankara, Turkey, utilizing the data obtained between 1986 and 2005. For model development, the number of vehicles (N), fatalities, injuries, accidents and population (P) were selected as model parameters. In the ANN model, the sigmoid and linear functions were used as activation functions with the feed forward‐back propagation algorithm. In the GA approach, two forms of genetic algorithm models including a linear and an exponential form of mathematical expressions were developed. The results of the GA model showed that the exponential model form was suitable to estimate the number of accidents and fatalities while the linear form was the most appropriate for predicting the number of injuries. The best fit model with the lowest mean absolute errors (MAE) between the observed and estimated values is selected for future estimations. The comparison of the model results indicated that the performance of the ANN model was better than that of the GA model. To investigate the performance of the ANN model for future estimations, a fifteen year period from 2006 to 2020 with two possible scenarios was employed. In the first scenario, the annual average growth rates of population and the number of vehicles are assumed to be 2.0 % and 7.5%, respectively. In the second scenario, the average number of vehicles per capita is assumed to reach 0.60, which represents approximately two and a half‐fold increase in fifteen years. The results obtained from both scenarios reveal the suitability of the current methods for road safety applications.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
DEVIN NIELSEN ◽  
TYLER LOTT ◽  
SOM DUTTA ◽  
JUHYEONG LEE

In this study, three artificial neural network (ANN) models are developed with back propagation (BP) optimization algorithms to predict various lightning damage modes in carbon/epoxy laminates. The proposed ANN models use three input variables associated with lightning waveform parameters (i.e., the peak current amplitude, rising time, and decaying time) to predict fiber damage, matrix damage, and through-thickness damage in the composites. The data used for training and testing the networks was actual lightning damage data collected from peer-reviewed published literature. Various BP training algorithms and network architecture configurations (i.e., data splitting, the number of neurons in a hidden layer, and the number of hidden layers) have been tested to improve the performance of the neural networks. Among the various BP algorithms considered, the Bayesian regularization back propagation (BRBP) showed the overall best performance in lightning damage prediction. When using the BRBP algorithm, as expected, the greater the fraction of the collected data that is allocated to the training dataset, the better the network is trained. In addition, the optimal ANN architecture was found to have a single hidden layer with 20 neurons. The ANN models proposed in this work may prove useful in preliminary assessments of lightning damage and reduce the number of expensive experimental lightning tests.


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