Effects of sea ice fragmentation on polar bear migratory movement in Hudson Bay

Author(s):  
BA Biddlecombe ◽  
EM Bayne ◽  
NJ Lunn ◽  
D McGeachy ◽  
AE Derocher
Oryx ◽  
1956 ◽  
Vol 3 (5) ◽  
pp. 233-239 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alan G. Loughrey

The polar bear, Thalarctos maritimus, (Phipps) enjoys such colloquial names as: “ice-bear,” “sea-bear,” “ice-tiger” and “ice-king.” In view of its large size and its supremacy over the other beasts of the ice-floes it well deserves these epithets. Primarily the polar bear is an animal of the broken arctic pack ice and is found in greatest numbers along the southern edge of the pack. It avoids large expanses of open water or frozen sea ice. The movements of the pack ice to a large degree determine its distribution and movements. Polar bears are carried southward with the pack ice in the spring and summer. In August and September when the ice begins to break up they generally come ashore and make their way north. At this time of year they may be found in considerable numbers along certain coasts where the sea ice has been brought by the winds, tides and currents. An Eskimo from Southampton Island, in northern Hudson Bay, informed me that in August, 1948, he and a companion counted over 180 of these bears along the east coast of that island.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 634-655 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martyn E. Obbard ◽  
Seth Stapleton ◽  
Guillaume Szor ◽  
Kevin R. Middel ◽  
Charles Jutras ◽  
...  

The Southern Hudson Bay polar bear (Ursus maritimus Phipps, 1774) subpopulation is considered stable, but conflicting evidence lends uncertainty to that designation. Capture–recapture studies conducted in 1984–1986 and 2003–2005 and an aerial survey conducted in 2011/2012 suggested that abundance was likely unchanged since the mid-1980s. However, body condition and body size declined since then, and duration of sea ice decreased by about 30 days. Due to the conflicting information on subpopulation status and ongoing changes in sea ice, we conducted another aerial survey in 2016 to determine whether abundance had changed. We collected data via mark–recapture distance sampling and double-observer protocols. Results suggest that abundance declined 17% from 943 bears (95% CI: 658–1350) in 2011/2012 to 780 (95% CI: 590–1029) in 2016. The proportion of yearlings declined from 12% of the population in 2011 to 5% in 2016, whereas the proportion of cubs remained similar (16% in 2011 vs. 19% in 2016) suggesting low survival of the 2015 cohort. In a warming Arctic, duration of sea ice is predicted to continue to decline in Hudson Bay affecting all ice-dependent wildlife; therefore, further monitoring of this subpopulation is warranted. We recommend a conservative approach to harvest management and repeating the aerial survey in 2021.


2017 ◽  
Vol 564 ◽  
pp. 225-233 ◽  
Author(s):  
L Castro de la Guardia ◽  
PG Myers ◽  
AE Derocher ◽  
NJ Lunn ◽  
AD Terwisscha van Scheltinga

2020 ◽  
Vol 641 ◽  
pp. 227-240
Author(s):  
NJ Klappstein ◽  
RR Togunov ◽  
JR Reimer ◽  
NJ Lunn ◽  
AE Derocher

Sea ice habitats are highly dynamic, and ice drift may affect the energy expenditure of travelling animals. Several studies in the high Arctic have reported increased ice drift speeds, and consequently, polar bears Ursus maritimus in these areas expended more energy on counter-ice movement for station-keeping. However, little is known about the spatiotemporal dynamics of ice drift in Hudson Bay (HB) and its implications for the declining Western Hudson Bay (WH) polar bear subpopulation. Using sea ice drift data from 1987-2015 and polar bear satellite telemetry location data from 2004-2015, we examined trends in drift speeds in HB, polar bear movement relative to drift, and assessed annual and individual variation. In contrast to other areas of the Arctic, we did not find an increase in ice drift speed over the period examined. However, variability in ice drift speed increased over time, which suggests reduced habitat predictability. Polar bear movement direction was not strongly counter to ice drift in any month, and ice drift speed and direction had little effect on bear movement rates and, thus, energy expenditure. On an annual scale, we found individuals varied in their exposure and response to ice drift, which may contribute to variability in body condition. However, the lack of a long-term increase in ice drift speed suggests this is unlikely to be the main factor affecting the body condition decline observed in the WH subpopulation. Our results contrast findings in other subpopulations and demonstrate the need for subpopulation-specific research and risk evaluation.


2006 ◽  
Vol 84 (9) ◽  
pp. 1281-1294 ◽  
Author(s):  
E.K. Parks ◽  
A.E. Derocher ◽  
N.J. Lunn

Polar bears ( Ursus maritimus Phipps, 1774) move thousands of kilometres over sea ice searching for mates and hunting for seals, which are their primary prey. Recently, decreased sea ice extent and earlier ice break-up have been linked to shifts in seal distribution and abundance and to declines in polar bear condition and numbers in the western Hudson Bay polar bear population. We used geographic positioning system and satellite collars deployed between 1991 and 2004 to quantify movement patterns of adult female polar bears on the sea ice of Hudson Bay in relation to reproductive class and temporal variations in sea ice patterns. We tested whether reproductive status and season affected movement and whether temporal changes in movement were correlated with temporal changes in sea ice patterns in Hudson Bay. Movement patterns were not dependent on reproductive status but did change significantly with season. Annual distances moved and areas covered by bears in Hudson Bay have decreased since 1991, which suggests that measured declines in bear condition and numbers are due to reduced prey intake as opposed to increased energy output. These declines in bear movement are correlated with progressively earlier ice break-up in western Hudson Bay.


1997 ◽  
Vol 54 (4) ◽  
pp. 914-921 ◽  
Author(s):  
N J Lunn ◽  
I Stirling ◽  
S N Nowicki

We flew a medium-altitude, systematic, strip-transect survey for ringed (Phoca hispida) and bearded seals (Erignathus barbatus) over western Hudson Bay in early June 1994 and 1995. The mean density (per square kilometre) of ringed seals hauled out on the ice was four times higher in 1995 (1.690) than in 1994 (0.380). The 1994 survey appeared to underestimate seal abundance because it was flown too late. Ringed seals preferred high ice cover habitat (6 + /8 ice) and, within this habitat, favoured cracking ice and large floes. We found no consistent effect of either wind or cloud cover on habitat preference. We estimated a total of 1980 bearded seals and 140<|>880 ringed seals hauled out on the sea ice in June 1995. A recent review of the relationship between ringed seal and polar bear (Ursus maritimus) populations suggests that a visible population of this size should support a population of up to 1300 polar bears, which is in general agreement with the current estimate of 1250-1300 bears in western Hudson Bay.


2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (5) ◽  
pp. 1378-1395 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adrienne Tivy ◽  
Stephen E. L. Howell ◽  
Bea Alt ◽  
John J. Yackel ◽  
Thomas Carrieres

Abstract Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is used to estimate the levels and sources of seasonal forecast skill for July ice concentration in Hudson Bay over the 1971–2005 period. July is an important transition month in the seasonal cycle of sea ice in Hudson Bay because it is the month when the sea ice clears enough to allow the first passage of ships to the Port of Churchill. Sea surface temperature (quasi global, North Atlantic, and North Pacific), Northern Hemisphere 500-mb geopotential height (z500), sea level pressure (SLP), and regional surface air temperature (SAT) are tested as predictors at 3-, 6-, and 9-month lead times. The model with the highest skill has three predictors—fall North Atlantic SST, fall z500, and fall SAT—and significant tercile forecast skill covering 61% of the Hudson Bay region. The highest skill for a single-predictor model is from fall North Atlantic SST (6-month lead). Fall SST explains 69% of the variance in July ice concentration in Hudson Bay and a possible atmospheric link that accounts for the lagged relationship is presented. CCA diagnostics suggest that changes in the subpolar North Atlantic gyre and the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO), reflected in sea surface temperature, precedes a deepening/weakening of the winter upper-air ridge northwest of Hudson Bay. Changes in the height of the ridge are reflected in the strength of the winter northwesterly winds over Hudson Bay that have a direct impact on the winter ice thickness distribution; anomalies in winter ice severity are later reflected in the pattern and timing of spring breakup. July ice concentration in Hudson Bay has declined by approximately 20% per decade between 1979 and 2007, and the hypothesized link to the AMO may help explain this significant loss of ice.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Sims ◽  
Brian Butterworth ◽  
Tim Papakyriakou ◽  
Mohamed Ahmed ◽  
Brent Else

&lt;p&gt;Remoteness and tough conditions have made the Arctic Ocean historically difficult to access; until recently this has resulted in an undersampling of trace gas and gas exchange measurements. The seasonal cycle of sea ice completely transforms the air sea interface and the dynamics of gas exchange. To make estimates of gas exchange in the presence of sea ice, sea ice fraction is frequently used to scale open water gas transfer parametrisations. It remains unclear whether this scaling is appropriate for all sea ice regions. Ship based eddy covariance measurements were made in Hudson Bay during the summer of 2018 from the icebreaker CCGS Amundsen. We will present fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;), heat and momentum and will show how they change around the Hudson Bay polynya under varying sea ice conditions. We will explore how these fluxes change with wind speed and sea ice fraction. As freshwater stratification was encountered during the cruise, we will compare our measurements with other recent eddy covariance flux measurements made from icebreakers and also will compare our turbulent CO&lt;sub&gt;2&amp;#160;&lt;/sub&gt;fluxes with bulk fluxes calculated using underway and surface bottle pCO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;&amp;#160;data.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;


2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 20160556 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric V. Regehr ◽  
Kristin L. Laidre ◽  
H. Resit Akçakaya ◽  
Steven C. Amstrup ◽  
Todd C. Atwood ◽  
...  

Loss of Arctic sea ice owing to climate change is the primary threat to polar bears throughout their range. We evaluated the potential response of polar bears to sea-ice declines by (i) calculating generation length (GL) for the species, which determines the timeframe for conservation assessments; (ii) developing a standardized sea-ice metric representing important habitat; and (iii) using statistical models and computer simulation to project changes in the global population under three approaches relating polar bear abundance to sea ice. Mean GL was 11.5 years. Ice-covered days declined in all subpopulation areas during 1979–2014 (median −1.26 days year −1 ). The estimated probabilities that reductions in the mean global population size of polar bears will be greater than 30%, 50% and 80% over three generations (35–41 years) were 0.71 (range 0.20–0.95), 0.07 (range 0–0.35) and less than 0.01 (range 0–0.02), respectively. According to IUCN Red List reduction thresholds, which provide a common measure of extinction risk across taxa, these results are consistent with listing the species as vulnerable. Our findings support the potential for large declines in polar bear numbers owing to sea-ice loss, and highlight near-term uncertainty in statistical projections as well as the sensitivity of projections to different plausible assumptions.


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