scholarly journals Wpływ kryzysu gospodarczego na potencjalne członkostwo Polski w trzecim etapie Unii Gospodarczej i Walutowej

Author(s):  
Joanna Stryjek

The continuous uncertainty concerning the final consequences of the economic crisis in the Eurozone, as well as the level of recession in Poland, increase the risk of introducing the common currency and giving up the monetary policy instruments. However, the Polish economy and the economy of the Eurozone are so much interrelated that an emergence of a deep recession in the EMU which would be able to sidestep Poland is hardly probable. Hence, the influence of the current economic crisis on the Polish membership in the Eurozone should be analyzed mainly from the point of view of Poland's ability to ful%ll the convergence criteria under the economic slowdown. Such an analysis is the aim of this article. The biggest challenge for Poland is a substantial reduction in the budget deficit. In 2010 the budget deficit in Poland - instead of decreasing (as it was planned in the Polish "Convergence Programme") - continued to increase. Growing budget deficit means an increase in the public debt. Furthermore, the inability to fulfill the fiscal criterion leads to the serious problems concerning the other convergence criteria (that is, the level of nominal interest rates and the stability of the exchange rate). Moreover, under such circumstances it would be dificult for the fiscal policy to play the role of so-called stabilizer if Poland decided to enter ERM II (and such a role would be very helpful regarding the limited autonomy of the monetary policy).

Author(s):  
Ilona Skibińska-Fabrowska

Faced with the financial crisis in 2008, the central banks used conventional monetary policy instruments. However, the problem of zero lower bond forced them to use unconventional monetary policy instruments - quantitative easing carried out as part of the so-called central bank balance sheet politics and relying on the buying by the central bank of di&erent kinds of financial assets - resulting in stabilization of the situation on financial markets in conditions of low long-term interest rates. Balance sheet totals of the central banks rose repeatedly. Their structure also changed. At present possible effects for the stability of the financial system of the return to the pre-crisis monetary policy are the topic of debate. The exit strategy is giving rise to a significant risks and the coordination of economic policy and the transparency of action taken by monetary authorities can only minimize possible negative effects


2006 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin D. Hoover

Michael Woodford's Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy (2003) is an important book. Woodford's title is, of course, a conscious revival of Wicksell's own famous work and it points to an effort to recast the analysis of monetary policy as centered on interest rates. I believe that Woodford's theoretical orientation is essentially correct. In repairing to Wicksell, he places the monetary aggregates into a more reasonable perspective, correcting the distortions of the monetarist and Keynesian diversions with respect to money. My money is, so to speak, where my mouth is: My own textbook-in-progress is also based around an IS/interest-rate rule/AS model, in which financial markets cleared by price rather than the LM curve are emphasized. Such an approach, as Woodford notes, has become standard in central banks, but has not yet captured either core undergraduate or graduate textbooks and instruction. My task here, however, was not to praise Woodford's economics nor to trace or evaluate its Wicksellian routes, but to consider Interest and Prices from a methodological point of view.


Author(s):  
Michael Cosgrove ◽  
Daniel Marsh

The thesis of this paper is that the Federal Reserve could better achieve their goals if they paid more attention to quantity targets of both money and credit. The rapid growth in credit that ended in the credit crisis of 2007 and 2008 might have been avoided had the Federal Reserve attempted to incorporate quantitative credit measures in assessing policy. But their focus on short-term interest rates in conducting monetary policy to the exclusion of credit measures led to inaction on their part. The stability of the demand for money and credit determined by this analysis suggests the Federal Reserve could have taken policy steps early in this cycle jawboning, quantitative and regulatory to temper the credit bubble and potentially avoid the credit crisis.


2020 ◽  
pp. 99-111
Author(s):  
M. N. Konyagina ◽  
I. R. Meurmishvili ◽  
A. A. Dochkina

The monetary policy of the Central Bank is in the sphere of interests of economists of various specializations. Determining the value of money in the economy, the money supply, and ensuring the effective functioning of the national payment system, the regulator has a significant impact on the state of the economy and determines the prospects for its development. One of the most important monetary policy instruments is the key rate. However, the efficiency of its application in different economies at different historical periods is different.At the same time, commercial banks, being the core of the credit system, are extremely dependent on the volume and quality characteristics of accumulated deposits. Private clients’ deposits are an important resource for both short-term and long-term operations of credit organizations. In Russia, banks play a leading role in the financial market. In this regard, the evaluation of the impact of a key rate as an important monetary policy instrument on the banks’ deposit policy is of particular relevance in the current state of the Russian economy. Therefore, determining as an aim of the research the evaluation of the current impact of the Bank of Russia key rate on the Russian credit organizations’ deposit policy, the authors sorted out the necessary relevant data on interest rates and deposit volumes in Russian commercial banks in 2014–2018, assessed the strength of the relationship between the Bank of Russia key rate and banks’ deposit rates and the volume of deposits in the country, identified the problems of implementing monetary policy in Russia and evaluated the effectiveness of the key rate as the monetary policy tool.


2020 ◽  
pp. 127-133
Author(s):  
A. V. Berdyshev ◽  
N. S. Bobyr

The features of the economic development of the Czech Republic after the global financial crisis, the role of the Czech National Bank in the formation of macroeconomic policies, as well as the peculiarities of monetary regulation in the study period have been defined in the article. The main goal of the paper is to assess the impact of interest rates used by the Czech National Bank in the process of monetary regulation on the dynamics of the main macroeconomic indicators, which is considered as one of the necessary conditions for the effectiveness of the inflation targeting regime. By the results of the correlation analysis and Fisher’s exact test, it has been determined that the Czech National Bank could affect the main macroeconomic indicators based on the percentage of monetary policy instruments used.


Author(s):  
R. V. Badylevich ◽  
◽  
E. A. Verbinenko ◽  

The article is devoted to analyzing credit instruments for increasing the financial and investment potential of the region. The place of credit instruments in the state monetary policy system is considered, and the influence of the monetary policy on regional economic processes is analyzed. Based on the analysis of the relevant research works, the thesis on different reactions of regions to significant decisions of monetary authorities while implementing the monetary policy is confirmed. Possibilities of differentiating application of the monetary policy instruments by territories in accordance with the development specifics of individual regions or their clusters are studied. It is concluded that some of the instruments (interest rates on operations of the Bank of Russia, mandatory reserve requirements, open market operations, refinancing of credit institutions) have a potential to adapt their use in the regional context. Separately, the article highlights and analyzes direct regional tools for enhancing credit activities, such as direct lending to priority areas and sectors of the economy by regional authorities, subsidizing credit rates for certain categories of borrowers, and creating regional credit organizations with governmenta participation. Based on the assessment of the principles of using the instruments to increase the financial and investment potential of the region, the article provides recommendations for choosing credit instruments for the regions of the Russian Arctic zone (Arkhangelsk region, Nenets Autonomous district, Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous district, Republic of Karelia, Komi Republic, Murmansk region, Krasnoyarsk territory, Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)). For this purpose, the features of building and functioning of the financial systems of the Russian Arctic regions, and the state and performance indicators of their banking sector were analyzed.


Author(s):  
Adrian Sutawijaya ◽  
Etty Puji Lestari

The purpose of this study is to analyze the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy in Indonesia, especially after the introduction of fiscal and monetary policy shocks. The research method used is the vector autoregression (VAR). VAR is usually used for projecting coherent system variables and time to analyze the dynamic impact of disturbance factors contained in the system variables. Variables used in this study is the level of interest rates as a proxy for monetary policy instruments, government expenditures as a proxy for fiscal policy, inflation rates and national income. The results show that fiscal policy is a negative shock to inflation and responded with a tight monetary policy, while the shock in monetary policy will reduce national income. The application of fiscal and monetary policies that will effectively promote economic growth.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (6) ◽  
pp. 84
Author(s):  
Fernando Ferrari Filho ◽  
Marcelo Milan

Brazil has had, since the middle 1990s, one of the highest real interest rates in the world, yet not one of the lowest inflation rates. By the end of that decade, an inflation targeting regime (ITR) was introduced. Real interest rates have remained extremely high for international standards, while macroeconomic performance has been dismal on the same grounds. This article argues that these results can be explained by, among others reasons, pressures from the rentiers to frame monetary policy in a way to sustain very high interest earnings in a context where inflation is not very sensitive to monetary policy instruments. Under the ITR, the interest rate seems to have been kept above what would be required to maintain low inflation under normal conditions (even if one assumes a demand-pull inflation, which is not necessarily the case), with a potentially negative impact on growth and employment. This is interpreted as an indicator of monetary policy ineffectiveness. On the empirical ground, this article compares interest rate, inflation, unemployment, and real output growth for Brazil with both ITR and non-ITR countries selected by judgment sampling.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 13-40
Author(s):  
Edward M. Sandoyan ◽  
◽  
Mariam H. Voskanyan ◽  
Ani H. Galstyan ◽  
Gagik A. Grigoryan ◽  
...  

The problem of countercyclical fiscal and monetary regulation has become very ur- gent in the last two decades. This article is devoted to the analysis and assessment of countercyclical fiscal and monetary policy from the point of view of the fundamental basis, as well as its practical application. The subject of this research is countercycli- cal fiscal and monetary policy from the point of view of its effectiveness in the con- text of the economic crisis. The methodological basis of the study is an overview of theoretical and practical models of countercyclical fiscal and monetary policy known in the scientific literature. The key objective of the study was to attempt to identify and evaluate countercyclical fiscal and monetary policies from the point of view of theory and practice. The result of the study was the conclusion that in a crisis, coun- tercyclical fiscal and monetary policy leads to ambiguous results, but on the whole, it is the most optimal for leveling the consequences of the crisis.


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