scholarly journals Lane Change Prediction Using Gaussian Classification, Support Vector Classification and Neural Network Classifiers

2020 ◽  
Vol 48 (4) ◽  
pp. 327-333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivér Rákos ◽  
Szilárd Aradi ◽  
Tamás Bécsi

It is essential for a driver assistant system’s motion planning to take the vehicles moving in the surroundings into account. One of the most crucial driver intentions which should be predicted is lane changing. It has been investigated whether it is possible to reliably classify lane-changing maneuvers in a highway situation using learning algorithms such as Gaussian-classifier, SVM, and LSTM neural networks. Real vehicle trajectories are extracted from the NGSIM US-101 and I-80 datasets. The input for the classifiers is derived from the trajectory by selecting a subset of the features: lateral and longitudinal position coordinates, longitudinal acceleration, and velocity. In such an environment, the vehicle movement is limited, so it has been tested that how sufficient if only the mean and the variance of the derivative of lateral coordinate was taken as input for the classification had been tested. Different strategies for labeling the input sequences were tested.

Author(s):  
Anantvir Singh Romana

Accurate diagnostic detection of the disease in a patient is critical and may alter the subsequent treatment and increase the chances of survival rate. Machine learning techniques have been instrumental in disease detection and are currently being used in various classification problems due to their accurate prediction performance. Various techniques may provide different desired accuracies and it is therefore imperative to use the most suitable method which provides the best desired results. This research seeks to provide comparative analysis of Support Vector Machine, Naïve bayes, J48 Decision Tree and neural network classifiers breast cancer and diabetes datsets.


Author(s):  
Anik Das ◽  
Mohamed M. Ahmed

Accurate lane-change prediction information in real time is essential to safely operate Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) on the roadways, especially at the early stage of AVs deployment, where there will be an interaction between AVs and human-driven vehicles. This study proposed reliable lane-change prediction models considering features from vehicle kinematics, machine vision, driver, and roadway geometric characteristics using the trajectory-level SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study and Roadway Information Database. Several machine learning algorithms were trained, validated, tested, and comparatively analyzed including, Classification And Regression Trees (CART), Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Naïve Bayes (NB) based on six different sets of features. In each feature set, relevant features were extracted through a wrapper-based algorithm named Boruta. The results showed that the XGBoost model outperformed all other models in relation to its highest overall prediction accuracy (97%) and F1-score (95.5%) considering all features. However, the highest overall prediction accuracy of 97.3% and F1-score of 95.9% were observed in the XGBoost model based on vehicle kinematics features. Moreover, it was found that XGBoost was the only model that achieved a reliable and balanced prediction performance across all six feature sets. Furthermore, a simplified XGBoost model was developed for each feature set considering the practical implementation of the model. The proposed prediction model could help in trajectory planning for AVs and could be used to develop more reliable advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) in a cooperative connected and automated vehicle environment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Knyshov ◽  
Samantha Hoang ◽  
Christiane Weirauch

Abstract Automated insect identification systems have been explored for more than two decades but have only recently started to take advantage of powerful and versatile convolutional neural networks (CNNs). While typical CNN applications still require large training image datasets with hundreds of images per taxon, pretrained CNNs recently have been shown to be highly accurate, while being trained on much smaller datasets. We here evaluate the performance of CNN-based machine learning approaches in identifying three curated species-level dorsal habitus datasets for Miridae, the plant bugs. Miridae are of economic importance, but species-level identifications are challenging and typically rely on information other than dorsal habitus (e.g., host plants, locality, genitalic structures). Each dataset contained 2–6 species and 126–246 images in total, with a mean of only 32 images per species for the most difficult dataset. We find that closely related species of plant bugs can be identified with 80–90% accuracy based on their dorsal habitus alone. The pretrained CNN performed 10–20% better than a taxon expert who had access to the same dorsal habitus images. We find that feature extraction protocols (selection and combination of blocks of CNN layers) impact identification accuracy much more than the classifying mechanism (support vector machine and deep neural network classifiers). While our network has much lower accuracy on photographs of live insects (62%), overall results confirm that a pretrained CNN can be straightforwardly adapted to collection-based images for a new taxonomic group and successfully extract relevant features to classify insect species.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 60
Author(s):  
Md Arifuzzaman ◽  
Muhammad Aniq Gul ◽  
Kaffayatullah Khan ◽  
S. M. Zakir Hossain

There are several environmental factors such as temperature differential, moisture, oxidation, etc. that affect the extended life of the modified asphalt influencing its desired adhesive properties. Knowledge of the properties of asphalt adhesives can help to provide a more resilient and durable asphalt surface. In this study, a hybrid of Bayesian optimization algorithm and support vector regression approach is recommended to predict the adhesion force of asphalt. The effects of three important variables viz., conditions (fresh, wet and aged), binder types (base, 4% SB, 5% SB, 4% SBS and 5% SBS), and Carbon Nano Tube doses (0.5%, 1.0% and 1.5%) on adhesive force are taken into consideration. Real-life experimental data (405 specimens) are considered for model development. Using atomic force microscopy, the adhesive strength of nanoscales of test specimens is determined according to functional groups on the asphalt. It is found that the model predictions overlap with the experimental data with a high R2 of 90.5% and relative deviation are scattered around zero line. Besides, the mean, median and standard deviations of experimental and the predicted values are very close. In addition, the mean absolute Error, root mean square error and fractional bias values were found to be low, indicating the high performance of the developed model.


2014 ◽  
Vol 26 (01) ◽  
pp. 1450002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanguang Xiao

The early detection and intervention of artery stenosis is very important to reduce the mortality of cardiovascular disease. A novel method for predicting artery stenosis was proposed by using the input impedance of the systemic arterial tree and support vector machine (SVM). Based on the built transmission line model of a 55-segment systemic arterial tree, the input impedance of the arterial tree was calculated by using a recursive algorithm. A sample database of the input impedance was established by specifying the different positions and degrees of artery stenosis. A SVM prediction model was trained by using the sample database. 10-fold cross-validation was used to evaluate the performance of the SVM. The effects of stenosis position and degree on the accuracy of the prediction were discussed. The results showed that the mean specificity, sensitivity and overall accuracy of the SVM are 80.2%, 98.2% and 89.2%, respectively, for the 50% threshold of stenosis degree. Increasing the threshold of the stenosis degree from 10% to 90% increases the overall accuracy from 82.2% to 97.4%. Increasing the distance of the stenosis artery from the heart gradually decreases the overall accuracy from 97.1% to 58%. The deterioration of the stenosis degree to 90% increases the prediction accuracy of the SVM to more than 90% for the stenosis of peripheral artery. The simulation demonstrated theoretically the feasibility of the proposed method for predicting artery stenosis via the input impedance of the systemic arterial tree and SVM.


Author(s):  
Rafael Delpiano

There is growing interest in understanding the lateral dimension of traffic. This trend has been motivated by the detection of phenomena unexplained by traditional models and the emergence of new technologies. Previous attempts to address this dimension have focused on lane-changing and non-lane-based traffic. The literature on vehicles keeping their lanes has generally been limited to simple statistics on vehicle position while models assume vehicles stay perfectly centered. Previously the author developed a two-dimensional traffic model aiming to capture such behavior qualitatively. Still pending is a deeper, more accurate comprehension and modeling of the relationships between variables in both axes. The present paper is based on the Next Generation SIMulation (NGSIM) datasets. It was found that lateral position is highly dependent on the longitudinal position, a phenomenon consistent with data capture from multiple cameras. A methodology is proposed to alleviate this problem. It was also discovered that the standard deviation of lateral velocity grows with longitudinal velocity and that the average lateral position varies with longitudinal velocity by up to 8 cm, possibly reflecting greater caution in overtaking. Random walk models were proposed and calibrated to reproduce some of the characteristics measured. It was determined that drivers’ response is much more sensitive to the lateral velocity than to position. These results provide a basis for further advances in understanding the lateral dimension. It is hoped that such comprehension will facilitate the design of autonomous vehicle algorithms that are friendlier to both passengers and the occupants of surrounding vehicles.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Christina Ng ◽  
Susilawati Susilawati ◽  
Md Abdus Samad Kamal ◽  
Irene Mei Leng Chew

This paper aims at developing a macroscopic cell-based lane change prediction model in a complex urban environment and integrating it into cell transmission model (CTM) to improve the accuracy of macroscopic traffic state estimation. To achieve these objectives, first, based on the observed traffic data, the binary logistic lane change model is developed to formulate the lane change occurrence. Second, the binary logistic lane change is integrated into CTM by refining CTM formulations on how the vehicles in the cell are moving from one cell to another in a longitudinal manner and how cell occupancy is updated after lane change occurrences. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated by comparing the simulated cell occupancy of the proposed model with cell occupancy of US-101 next generation simulation (NGSIM) data. The results indicated no significant difference between the mean of the cell occupancies of the proposed model and the mean of cell occupancies of actual data with a root-mean-square-error (RMSE) of 0.04. Similar results are found when the proposed model was further tested with I80 highway data. It is suggested that the mean of cell occupancies of I80 highway data was not different from the mean of cell occupancies of the proposed model with 0.074 RMSE (0.3 on average).


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Laimighofer ◽  
Michael Melcher ◽  
Juraj Parajka ◽  
Gregor Laaha

<p><span>This paper aims to develop a spatiotemporal model to estimate monthly low flow quantiles Q95 [P(Q<Q95=0.05)] standardized by catchment area in Austria. Our dataset consists of 325 gauging stations that where consistently monitored between 1976 to 2015, and it covers about 60% of the national territory of Austria. </span></p><p><span>In a first step we are adapting a spatiotemporal model initially designed for modeling air pollution data. This approach is based on empirical orthogonal functions (EOF), that should capture the temporal structure of the spatiotemporal model. The EOFs are weighted by regression coefficients estimated by universal kriging. We extend the model by using GLM-boosting, LASSO, Principal Component Regression (PCR) and Random Forest (RF) for selecting the regression coefficients of the EOFs. Furthermore, we do not limit the kriging structure of the residual field to geographical coordinates but use a broader approach of physiographic kriging. In a second step we implement separate models for the mean parts of the model and the residual parts of the model. The mean field is defined by statistical learning methods as RF, GAM-boosting, LASSO and Support Vector Machines (SVM). For the residual field we define two different approaches, either the </span><span>method developed in the first step</span><span> or spatiotemporal kriging.</span></p><p><span>Model performance is evaluated by cross validation and the best model is selected by the mean squared error (MSE). </span></p><p> </p>


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document