scholarly journals Prediction of Uniaxial Compressive Strength and Modulus of Elasticity in Calcareous Mudstones Using Neural Networks, Fuzzy Systems, and Regression Analysis

Author(s):  
Naser Mahdiabadi ◽  
Gholamreza Khanlari

The uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) and modulus of elasticity (E) are two important rock geomechanical parameters that are widely used in rock engineering projects such as tunnels, dams, and rock slope stability. Since the acquisition of high-quality core samples is not always possible, researchers often indirectly estimate these parameters. In the present study, prediction of UCS and E was investigated in calcareous mudstones of Aghajari Formation using multiple linear regression (MLR), multiple nonlinear regression (MNLR), artificial neural networks (ANN), and adaptive neuro-fuzzy ınference system (ANFIS). For this purpose, 80 samples from calcareous mudstones were subjected to the point loading, block punch, and cylinder punch tests. The performance of developed models was assessed based on determination coefficients (R2), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and variance accounted for (VAF) indices. The comparison of the obtained results revealed that, among the studied methods, ANFIS is the most suitable one for predicting UCS and E. Moreover, the results showed that ANN and MLNR respectively predict UCS and E better than MLR and a meaningful relationship between the observed and estimated UCS values in all regressions.

2011 ◽  
Vol 243-249 ◽  
pp. 6121-6126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Xu ◽  
Xiu Li Wang

The purpose of this paper is to develop the Ⅰ-PreConS (Intelligent PREdiction system of CONcrete Strength) that predicts the compressive strength of concrete to improve the accuracy of concrete undamaged inspection. For this purpose, the system is developed with adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) that can learn cube test results as training patterns. ANFIS does not need a specific equation form differ from traditional prediction models. Instead of that, it needs enough input-output data. Also, it can continuously re-train the new data, so that it can conveniently adapt to new data. In the study, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) based on Takagi-Sugeno rules is built up to prediction concrete strength. According to the expert experience, the relationship between the rebound value and concrete strength tends to power function. So the common logarithms of rebound value and strength value are used as the inputs and outputs of the ANFIS. System parameter sets are iteratively adjusted according to input and output data samples by a hybrid-learning algorithm. In the system, in order to improve of the ANFIS, condition parameter sets can be determined by the back propagation gradient descent method and conclusion parameter sets can be determined by the least squares method. As a result, the concrete strength can be inferred by the fuzzy inference. The method takes full advantage of the characteristics of the abilities of Fuzzy Neural Networks (FNN) including automatic learning, generation and fuzzy logic inference. The experiment shows that the average relative error of the predicted results is 10.316% and relative standard error is 12.895% over all the 508 samples, which are satisfied with the requirements of practical engineering. The ANFIS-based model is very efficient for prediction the compressive strength of in-service concrete.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
Rayendra

To improve the graduation of Computer Literate Certified Professional (CLCP) competence test conducted by Competence Test of Information and Communication Technology (TUK-TIK) needs to be done continuous improvement by increasing try out competency test. Past values of the competency test can be used as modeling to predict the final score and the passing of the competency test. With the modeling can be predicted the passing of competency test participants through try out-try out done so that can be known weakness of candidate competency test from three units of CLCP competence. The modeling used to predict the final score and the passing of this competency test is the Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method. Used 20 past data of competency test participants with 6 criteria as input value from three CLCP competence units namely Word Processing, Spreadsheet, and Presentation. The resulting prediction is accurate enough with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value for each competency unit of 0.31492%, 0.284202%, and 0.267167%


Author(s):  
Tatang Rohana Cucu

Abstract - The process of admitting new students is an annual routine activity that occurs in a university. This activity is the starting point of the process of searching for prospective new students who meet the criteria expected by the college. One of the colleges that holds new student admissions every year is Buana Perjuangan University, Karawang. There have been several studies that have been conducted on predictions of new students by other researchers, but the results have not been very satisfying, especially problems with the level of accuracy and error. Research on ANFIS studies to predict new students as a solution to the problem of accuracy. This study uses two ANFIS models, namely Backpropagation and Hybrid techniques. The application of the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model in the predictions of new students at Buana Perjuangan University, Karawang was successful. Based on the results of training, the Backpropagation technique has an error rate of 0.0394 and the Hybrid technique has an error rate of 0.0662. Based on the predictive accuracy value that has been done, the Backpropagation technique has an accuracy of 4.8 for the value of Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and 0.156364623 for the value of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Meanwhile, based on the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) value, the Backpropagation technique has a value of 0.5 and 0.09516671 for the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value. So it can be concluded that the Hybrid technique has a better level of accuracy than the Backpropation technique in predicting the number of new students at the University of Buana Perjuangan Karawang.   Keywords: ANFIS, Backpropagation, Hybrid, Prediction


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonal Bindal

<p>In the recent years, prediction modelling techniques have been widely used for modelling groundwater arsenic contamination. Determining the accuracy, performance and suitability of these different algorithms such as univariate regression (UR), fuzzy model, adaptive fuzzy regression (AFR), logistic regression (LR), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and hybrid random forest (HRF) models still remains a challenging task. The spatial data which are available at different scales with different cell sizes. In the current study we have tried to optimize the spatial resolution for best performance of the model selecting the best spatial resolution by testing various predictive algorithms. The model’s performance was evaluated based of the values of determination coefficient (R<sup>2</sup>), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The outcomes of the study indicate that using 100m × 100m spatial resolution gives best performance in most of the models. The results also state HRF model performs the best than the commonly used ANFIS and LR models.</p>


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