scholarly journals MEASUREMENT OF FINANCIAL RISK TO ECONOMIC POLICY IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 238
Author(s):  
Yoseva Maria Pujirahayu Sumaji

The world of economy is in a state of uncertainty as shown by the improvement in the projected growth of the world by international institutions. The state of development of the world economy is flutuative due to declining economic growth of developed and developing countries, lower commodity prices, and the difference in direction between monetary and fiscal policy. The development of the world economy can be seen from the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) indicator, which sees the exchange rate as a measure of the state of the world economy. This can attract investors to invest in Indonesia due to good REER conditions. REER can be used as one of the reference by investors to make investment decisions in the company that will later affect the company's decision-making. Decision-making will determine how far the company will experience the financial risks that will be set up in risk management. There are 120 non-financial companies registered with IDX Indonesia. The sampling techniques in this study used nonprobability sampling. The inferential statistical analysis conducted in this study is through classic assumption tests, regression analysis, mediation tests and hypothesis tests. The results of the study showed that the Risk Measurement of Economic Policy in Indonesia had a significant positive effect.

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 107-113
Author(s):  
Iaroslav Petrunenko ◽  
Oleg Podtserkovnyi

Complex and contradictory processes of modern social transformations and the need to overcome the crisis in the economy require the appropriate influence of the state and a clear system of socio-economic management through the formation and implementation of effective state economic policy. The main elements of economic policy are financial and credit, budgetary, scientific and technical, structural, social, investment, agricultural, regional, foreign economic policy. The implementation of state economic policy is considered in terms of the relationship between social problems and the state. Therefore, the purpose of the article is to study the essence, tools and methods of state economic policy in modern conditions. It is also necessary to identify the main risks and features of further development of state economic policy of individual states in a global imbalance and crisis. The theoretical part is devoted to the study of the essence of state economic policy, theoretical and practical aspects of its organization in the state, as well as tools that can be used by the state. The resulting part is devoted to the consideration of the situation, in which the world economy has found itself in 2020 in the conditions of the economic COVID-19 crisis. General forecasts have not provided to individual states because it has been impossible to predict the end of the pandemic and the return of the world to normal life. However, it is clear that the world economy has undergone irreversible processes that will synergistically affect different states in different ways. The crisis has hit a significant number of industries, including tourism, logistics, hotel business, the crisis has been felt in world markets: oil prices have collapsed, as well as the stock markets. Undoubtedly, there are areas with a rapid growth, especially the pharmaceutical industry and retail, online delivery services, IT entertainment and communications industry, information marketing business and education and training services. It is likely that the indicators of economic development in the states by the end of the year will be better than the results of the first half of the year. The basic forecast of economic world development assumes a sharp growth of the economy after a short recession after quarantine. The financial capabilities of the EU states vary considerably, but each state must pursue counter-cyclical policies aimed at stabilizing its own economy. The answer to the question of what kind of crisis response policy they can afford depends on the fiscal policy of the states before the crisis. In economically developed states, where emergency measures have been introduced, governments and central banks issue trillions of dollars in government spending, social support of citizens, and interest-free business loans to limit the economic damage of quarantine. At the same time, in Latin America and Southeast Asia, total quarantine is impossible in multi-million cities. Such states have a triple effect of suffering from the virus, the environment and poverty. States dependent on the export of natural resources and raw materials, when faced with the crisis, are forced to sell them for nothing, so they will suffer great losses. More than 150 states have set up anti-crisis headquarters and are taking anti-crisis measures. The authors have also tried to predict how largescale the global economic crisis will be for Ukraine, what consequences await it, and what measures need to be taken to overcome it.


1987 ◽  
Vol 120 ◽  
pp. 21-41
Author(s):  
Simon Wren-Lewis ◽  
Fiona Eastwood

In the ‘overall outlook’ section we focus on the influence of the Group of Five (G5) ‘accord’ on exchange-rate prospects, and compare the expected impact of an appreciating currency on growth prospects in Japan and Germany. The short-term forecast is then discussed in more detail in sections covering the six major economies, commodity prices and trade. In the second half of the chapter we examine economic prospects in the world economy over the next five years, focusing particularly on the outlook for current balances. In our central medium-term forecast exchange rates move sufficiently to bring about a large, if not total, reduction in the present level of trade imbalance. Our forecast for a substantial fall in the US deficit is unusual, and we examine the key issues involved as well as looking at associated changes in the Federal budget deficit. Finally, we present two simulations which represent alternative routes to removing current account disequilibrium. The first involves substantial, and as yet unannounced, fiscal reflation in Japan and Germany, which is sufficient to broadly maintain current exchange-rate parities. By contrast, a second simulation illustrates a collapse in the dollar, and the consequences of exchange-rate overshooting.


Author(s):  
Uliya STAVSKA

The article deals with the problems of realization and improvement of Ukraine's foreign economic policy in the conditions of globalization. The economic revival and self-determination of Ukraine, which are inextricably linked with its entry into the modern world economy, with the search for its place in the processes of globalization, are investigated. The global tendencies of formation of the modern market economy, which characterize a new type of economic systems of the XXI century, which develop on a market basis while regulating the economic life of society by the state and maintaining the social stability of society, are found out. The problems of Ukraine's integration into the world economy have been identified. It is determined that the modern national economy is not simply included in the system of world relations, but is its active equal subject. The country's global competitiveness index and its rating have been formed. The influence of globalization on the shaping of Ukraine's foreign economic policy is analyzed. It is proved that the choice of the model of development of the Ukrainian national-state economic system is caused not only by internal but also by external factors. Recommendations have been made to improve Ukraine's position on the world stage. The models of export-oriented or import-oriented production, which are determined by the goals of the foreign economic policy of the state, are considered. The examples of creation of production and investment model of economic relations at the enterprises of Ukraine are given. Proposals for improvement of Ukraine's foreign economic policy have been elaborated, aimed at creating favorable conditions for regulating economic relations, which provide competitive advantages and attracting foreign investments in the conditions of globalization. Approaches have been established that determine the priorities of the country's foreign economic policy making, the strategy and tactics of which are determined by the socio-economic features of a particular country's development.


2003 ◽  
pp. 23-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ershov

At present Russia faces the task of great importance - effective integration into the world economy. The success of this process largely depends on the strength of the domestic economy and stable economic growth. To attain such a goal certain changes in economic approaches are required which imply more active, focused and concerted steps in the monetary, fiscal and foreign exchange policy.


2006 ◽  
pp. 133-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Arystanbekov

Kazakhstan’s economic policy results in 1995-2005 are considered in the article. In particular, the analysis of the relationship between economic growth and some indicators of nation states - population, territory, direct access to the World Ocean, and extraction of crude petroleum - is presented. Basic problems in the sphere of economic policy in Kazakhstan are formulated.


2017 ◽  
pp. 114-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Klinov

Causes of upheaval in the distribution of power among large advanced and emerging market economies in the XXI century, especially in industry output and international trade, are a topic of the paper. Problems of employment, financialization and income distribution inequality as consequences of globalization are identified as the most important. Causes of the depressed state of the EU and the eurozone are presented in a detailed review. In this content, PwC forecast of changes in the world economy by 2050, to the author’s view, optimistically provides for wise and diligent economic policy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 18-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. A. Strelkova

The paper examines various approaches to the definition of the term «digital economy» in the scientific and business environment along with factors and forms of its development in different countries taking into account the specifics of the current stage of the Russian economy, which is a matter of particular importance in seeking new sources of the world economy growth. The subject of the research is opportunities and threats inherent in the process of digitalization of economies and their impact on the operation of international and national markets as well as the development of the world economy as a whole. The purpose of the paper was to analyze the practical experience in the formation and development of the digital economy in foreign countries and Russia and identify the changes it brings to the activities of state institutions and business structures, established rules of market exchange, the process of promotion and use of innovations. All the above made it possible to determine the country-level specifics of the digital economy evolution reveal the contradictory nature of its manifestations and justify the necessity for active participation of the state in stimulation and support of potentially promising digital innovations in various sectors of the economy. It is concluded that the level of the digital economy development depends on the real-sector performance, the maturity of markets, the state of the national economy. It is highlighted that the criteria for a comprehensive assessment of the results of the economy digitalization must be developed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (7) ◽  
pp. 19-23
Author(s):  
V. V. VELIKOROSSOV ◽  
◽  
Yu. M. BRYUKHANOV ◽  
A. O. TITOVA ◽  
◽  
...  

The article is dedicated to eSports as a new and promising sector of the world economy that provides businesses with effective integration scenarios. This contributes to the development of cooperation of private and public investors with eSports holdings, as well as to the involvement of the generation Z audience in promising consumption of interested companies’ products. The article examines the current trends in the development of the eSports market using analytical studies of international consulting companies. The official data characterizing the state of the eSports market in Russia are also represented. The article provides information about the model of monetization of eSports and its perspective directions. In conclusion, the article makes the necessary inferences to assess the prospects of such areas of the economy as eSports, both for the industry of interactive entertainment and for representatives of other market sectors.


Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz

The crisis demolished the myth that EDEs were decoupled from advanced economies and BRICS were becoming new engines of global growth. From 2011 onwards, with the end of the twin booms in commodity prices and capital inflows, growth in EDEs has converged downward towards the depressed levels of advanced economies from the very high levels achieved in the run-up to the global crisis and the immediate aftermath. Loss of momentum is particularly visible in economies that failed to manage the earlier booms prudently. In examining the spillovers from policies in major advanced economies and China to EDEs, the chapter introduces the notion of commodity-finance nexus wherein these markets reinforce each other during both expansions and contractions. The chapter concludes with a brief discussion of policies needed to put the world economy into decent shape and to avoid liquidity and debt crises in EDEs.


Author(s):  
Valeria Seidita ◽  
Francesco Lanza ◽  
Arianna Pipitone ◽  
Antonio Chella

Abstract Motivation The epidemic at the beginning of this year, due to a new virus in the coronavirus family, is causing many deaths and is bringing the world economy to its knees. Moreover, situations of this kind are historically cyclical. The symptoms and treatment of infected patients are, for better or worse even for new viruses, always the same: more or less severe flu symptoms, isolation and full hygiene. By now man has learned how to manage epidemic situations, but deaths and negative effects continue to occur. What about technology? What effect has the actual technological progress we have achieved? In this review, we wonder about the role of robotics in the fight against COVID. It presents the analysis of scientific articles, industrial initiatives and project calls for applications from March to now highlighting how much robotics was ready to face this situation, what is expected from robots and what remains to do. Results The analysis was made by focusing on what research groups offer as a means of support for therapies and prevention actions. We then reported some remarks on what we think is the state of maturity of robotics in dealing with situations like COVID-19.


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