A deterministic approach for shallow landslide triggering scenarios in the southern Messina area (north-eastern Sicily, Italy)

2015 ◽  
Vol 35 ◽  
pp. 272-275
Author(s):  
Luca Schilirò ◽  
Carlo Esposito ◽  
Gabriele Scarascia Mugnozza
2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (5) ◽  
pp. 2975-3022 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Schilirò ◽  
C. Esposito ◽  
G. Scarascia Mugnozza

Abstract. Rainfall-induced shallow landslides are a widespread phenomenon that frequently causes substantial damage to property, as well as numerous casualties. In recent years a wide range of physically-based models has been developed to analyze the triggering process of these events. Specifically, in this paper we propose an approach for the evaluation of different shallow landslide triggering scenarios by means of TRIGRS numerical model. For the calibration of the model, a back-analysis of the landslide event occurred in the study area (located SW of Messina, north-eastern Sicily, Italy) on 1 October 2009 was performed, by using different methods and techniques for the definition of the input parameters. After evaluating the reliability of the model through the comparison with the 2009 landslide inventory, different triggering scenarios were defined using rainfall values derived from the rainfall probability curves, reconstructed on the basis of daily and hourly historical rainfall data. The results emphasize how these phenomena are likely to occur in the area, given that even short-duration (3–6 h) rainfall events having a relatively low return period (e.g. 10 years) can trigger numerous slope failures. On the contrary, for the same rainfall amount, the daily simulations overestimate the instability conditions. The tendency of shallow landslides to trigger in this area agrees with the high number of landslide/flood events occurred in the past and summarized in this paper by means of archival researches. Considering the main features of the proposed approach, the authors suggest that this methodology could be applied to different areas, even for the development of landslide early warning systems.


2007 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 130-145
Author(s):  
L. M. NOSSAIR ◽  
A. ABU-DEIF ◽  
M. A. EL-TAHIR ◽  
H.I. FARAG

1993 ◽  
Vol 82 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
R.W. Botz ◽  
V. Georgiev ◽  
P. Stoffers ◽  
Kh. Khrischev ◽  
V. Kostadinov

2008 ◽  
Vol 48 (12) ◽  
pp. 1574 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. B. Brier ◽  
D. A. H. Murray ◽  
L. J. Wilson ◽  
A. H. Nicholas ◽  
M. M. Miles ◽  
...  

The authors overview integrated pest management (IPM) in grain crops in north-eastern Australia, which is defined as the area north of latitude 32°S. Major grain crops in this region include the coarse grains (winter and summer cereals), oilseeds and pulses. IPM in these systems is complicated by the diversity of crops, pests, market requirements and cropping environments. In general, the pulse crops are at greatest risk, followed by oilseeds and then by cereal grains. Insecticides remain a key grain pest management tool in north-eastern Australia. IPM in grain crops has benefited considerably through the increased adoption of new, more selective insecticides and biopesticides for many caterpillar pests, in particular Helicoverpa spp. and loopers, and the identification of pest–crop scenarios where spraying is unnecessary (e.g. for most Creontiades spp. populations in soybeans). This has favoured the conservation of natural enemies in north-eastern Australia grain crops, and has arguably assisted in the management of silverleaf whitefly in soybeans in coastal Queensland. However, control of sucking pests and podborers such as Maruca vitrata remains a major challenge for IPM in summer pulses. Because these crops have very low pest-damage tolerances and thresholds, intervention with disruptive insecticides is frequently required, particularly during podfill. The threat posed by silverleaf whitefly demands ongoing multi-pest IPM research, development and extension as this pest can flare under favourable seasonal conditions, especially where disruptive insecticides are used injudiciously. The strong links between researchers and industry have facilitated the adoption of IPM practices in north-eastern Australia and augers well for future pest challenges and for the development and promotion of new and improved IPM tactics.


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