Il costo dell'Alta Velocitŕ ferroviaria in Italia

2009 ◽  
pp. 203-251
Author(s):  
Claudio Virno
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Conceptual Design ◽  
Cost Estimation ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Cost Overruns ◽  
Front End ◽  
Complex Projects

- Cost overruns are common in large and complex projects, especially in high speed rail ones. Budgeting for cost escalation is a major issue in the planning phase of these projects. This paper describes lessons learned on high speed rail in Italy and focuses on problems such as initial poor design, tactical budgeting, inadequate cost estimation and risk assessment, etc. The paper discusses possible means to avoid major flaws in the initial conceptual design of mega-projects. There is a growing understanding of the need to focus on the front-end phase in order to achieve more successful and cost-effective projects.

Narrowing longitudinally coupled prefabricated slab track maintenance duration with field data analysis of slab deformation under high temperature

2021 ◽  
pp. 095440972098626
Author(s):  
Zai-Wei Li ◽  
Xiao-Zhou Liu ◽  
Hong-Yao Lu ◽  
Yue-Lei He
Keyword(s):  
High Temperature ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Ride Comfort ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Periodic Variation ◽  
Longitudinal Force ◽  
Distribution Analysis ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Track Maintenance ◽  
Slab Track

The deformation of longitudinally coupled prefabricated slab track (LCPST) due to high temperature may lead to a reduction in ride comfort and safety in high-speed rail (HSR) operation. It is thus critical to understand and track the development of such defects. This study develops an online monitoring system to analyze LCPST deformation at different slab depths under various temperatures. The trackside system, powered by solar energy with STM8L core that is ultra-low in energy consumption, is used to collect data of LCPST deformation and temperature level uninterruptedly. With canonical correlation analysis, it is found that LCPST deformation presents similar periodic variation to yearly temperature fluctuation and large longitudinal force may be generated as heat accumulates in summer, thereby causing track defects. Then the distribution of temperature and deformation data is categorized based on fuzzy c-means clustering. Through the distribution analysis, it is suggested that slab inspection can be shortened to 6 hours, i.e. from 10:00 am to 4:00 pm, reducing 14.3% track inspection workload from the current practice. The price of workload reduction is only a 2% chance of missed detection of slab deformation. The finding of this research can be used to enhance LCPST monitoring efficiency and reduce interruption to HSR operation, which is an essential step in promoting reliable and cost-effective track service.

Digitalization of Decommissioning Cost Estimation Process for Upstream Assets

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. B. C. Lah
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Cost Estimation ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Process Efficiency ◽  
Cost Estimating ◽  
Work Processes ◽  
Floating Structure ◽  
Cost Estimates ◽  
Estimation Process

The paper provides an insight on how has addressed PETRONAS has addressed its pain points on limited resources, simplified work processes with reliable auditable tool for decision making through digitalization. PETRONAS is currently performing its annual budgetary assessment for all Malaysia assets which consist of more than 300 platforms with close to 600 pipelines and other assets eg. terminals, subsea systems & floating structure. With limited timeline and resources to establish decommissioning cost, the consistency and quality is vital for estimating work to improvise process efficiency and cost effective via digitalization. The process improvement requirements are pooled and possible digitalization takeovers are studied in detail via stakeholder engagements, technical workshops and lessons learned analysis. The method is solely based on digitalization of bottoms-up cost estimation process which has been embedded in a single tool to fix and standardize all technical and commercial basis. The tool has been developed with taking into all technical and commercial aspects in decommissioning offshore assets. Twelve base options which include reefing options, cutting methodologies, cost sharing execution strategies have been embedded in the tool. Based on the digital approach, it has been proven that cost estimation process duration has been optimized up to 60% for all Class V- and Class IV decommissioning cost estimates which is equivalent to 3,600 manhours for 1000 facilities. Furthermore, consistency in cost estimation approach and robustness in developing cost estimates for multiple options for decision making has been guaranteed with the centralization cost estimating approach via digital platform. Centralized digital depository of the technical inputs, basis and assumptions are also crucial to ensure this essential data could be retrieved in the future as most decommissioning projects would only be executed during the tail end of a facility’s production life.

Emerging Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. High-Speed Rail Development

2016 ◽  
pp. 81-123
Author(s):  
Francis P. Banko ◽  
Jackson H. Xue
Keyword(s):  
Best Practices ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Task Force ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Rail Transportation ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
International Experiences ◽  
Challenges And Opportunities ◽  
Tier I

As we witness the advancement of U.S. high-speed rail initiatives, the country can look towards its European and Asian counterparts for best practices and lessons learned from their decades of high-speed rail design and operations. These experiences gained may be applicable towards projects such as the Texas Central Railway and the California High-Speed Rail Project. This chapter will address the events of 2009 that have brought domestic high-speed rail to the forefront of U.S. rail transportation. This includes the new FRA Tier I and proposed Tier III criteria, challenges associated with each FRA tier of operation, overseas interoperability efforts, snapshots of international experiences (from policy and technological perspectives), the holistic system-based approach to safety, ongoing efforts of the FRA Engineering Task Force, and additional challenges and opportunities moving forward.

The Altamont Corridor Rail Project Joint Use Corridor

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brent D. Ogden
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Geographic Location ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Northern California ◽  
San Jose ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Bay Area ◽  
Passenger Rail ◽  
Union Pacific ◽  
Separated Operation

The Altamont Rail Corridor Project will develop a new dedicated regional passenger rail link within Northern California for joint use by regional intercity and commuter trains connecting between the northern San Joaquin Valley and the Bay Area as well as statewide intercity trains fully compatible with the 200+ mph system being developed by the California High-Speed Rail Authority (the Authority). The corridor, which follows portions of the transcontinental railway, is presently served by the Altamont Commuter Express (ACE) operated by the San Joaquin Regional Rail Commission (the Commission) and is eligible to receive California High-Speed Rail bond funds. The Authority and Commission have signed a Memorandum of Understanding to jointly develop the project which will greatly improve the existing service by providing a new dedicated passenger line separate from the Union Pacific Railroad over which the current ACE service operates. The strategic geographic location of the corridor within the Northern California network allows operation of a wide variety of services through Altamont Pass including commuter trains to the Bay Area, intercity corridor trains and regional intercity trains between Sacramento and San Jose` with the possibility that high-speed “bullet” trains from the statewide network could ultimately operate along the route. Although the shared-use potential broadens interest in the project, concomitant planning challenges include identifying workable, cost-effective solutions to incrementally develop the 80+ mile corridor over time while migrating the service presently provided by standard heavyweight diesel locomotive-drawn consists to a fully electrified, grade separated operation capable of supporting operation of 220+ mph lightweight trainsets.

A Comprehensive Framework for Assessing Passenger Rail Services: A Case Study of the Hoosier State Line

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Dimitra Pyrialakou ◽  
Konstantina (Nadia) Gkritza
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Systems Approach ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Benefits ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Passenger Rail ◽  
Rail Services

The development of a nationwide commuter and high-speed rail (HSR) network has been suggested as a promising and “greener” passenger transport solution with the potential to reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions, given efficient planning that will ensure sufficient ridership and sustainable investment. It is anticipated that passenger rail growth will bring regional economic benefits as well as promote energy independence, transportation safety, and livable communities with improved accessibility and inter-connectivity. Much research has been conducted to identify the benefits and costs associated with the operation, maintenance, and improvement of passenger rail services. However, previous studies supporting investment in passenger rail have generally considered one evaluation factor at a time. Additionally, studies suggesting that investment in passenger rail is not cost-effective give more weight to quantifiable benefits and current conditions, and rarely consider changes in public preferences influenced by policies and fostered conditions to encourage mode shifts. Thus, the literature lacks a comprehensive approach that would evaluate investments in passenger rail, accounting for quantifiable and other benefits, in light of environmental, resilience and sustainability, economic, demand, and feasibility factors. Using a case study of the Hoosier State line, this study illustrates a systems approach for comprehensively assessing passenger rail services in the United States in terms of the system’s existing opportunities and future directions. The Hoosier State line operates four days per week between Indianapolis, Indiana and Chicago, Illinois with four intermediate stops. As of October 1, 2013, the State of Indiana, local communities, and Amtrak reached an agreement to support the Hoosier State line for the next fiscal year (2013–2014).

scholarly journals Stochastic Risk Assessment with a Lagrangian Solution for the Optimal Cost Allocation in High-Speed Rail Networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Jing Zuo ◽  
Jianwu Dang ◽  
Min Lyu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Cost Allocation ◽  
Optimal Allocation ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
Maintenance Costs ◽  
Optimal Cost ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Stochastic Risk

In large-scale high-speed rail networks (HSRNs), the occurrence of occasional malfunctions or accidents is unavoidable. The key issue considered in this study is the optimal allocation of the maintenance costs, based on the stochastic risk assessment for HSRNs. Inspired by the theoretical risk evaluation methods in the complex network, three major factors, including the local effects, global effects, and component self-effects are considered in the process of assessing the impact on the network components (nodes or lines). By introducing the component failure occurrence probability, which is considered to be an exponential function changing with the component maintenance costs, a feasible stochastic risk assessment model of the HSRNs together with the component impact assessment is proposed that can better unify the impact assessment of both the high-speed rail stations and railways. An optimal allocation algorithm based on a Lagrangian relaxation approach is designed. Correspondingly, the optimal cost allocation scheme can be determined using the algorithm to eliminate the various HSRN risks under the given costs. Furthermore, a real-world case study of the HSRNs in eastern China is illustrated. Compared with the genetic algorithm, the simulation shows that the approach can solve the optimal cost allocation problem to more effectively reduce the risks of large-scale HSRNs in practice.

Low estimates – high stakes: underestimation of costs at the front-end of projects

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 171-193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bjorn Andersen ◽  
Knut Samset ◽  
Morten Welde
Keyword(s):  
Cost Estimation ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
High Stakes ◽  
Cost Estimates ◽  
Cost Overruns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Strategic Performance ◽  
Front End ◽  
Initial Idea

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to adopt an in-depth perspective on cost estimation, from the development of the initial idea until the budget is agreed, to obtain new insights into issues of underestimation at the front-end. Design/methodology/approach – The study uses a small sample of projects with exceptional increases in cost estimates during the front-end phase. The authors analyzed the magnitude of cost increases and possible reasons for them. Findings – The paper concludes that underestimation in the front-end phase was significant in the sample and poses a serious problem in that suboptimal projects are approved. The causes of underestimation include underestimating risk, overestimating opportunities, inadequate estimation methods and skills, reliance on weak information, and strategic/deliberate scope creep and division of projects. Research limitations/implications – The study builds on a small sample, and hence further studies should be undertaken to verify whether the findings are generalizable. Practical implications – The sample shows that the projects with the most unrealistic early estimates have disputable relevance. The paper suggests a number of recommendations that might help to counter the problem of unrealistic early cost estimates, which in turn, might allow suboptimal projects to be funded. Originality/value – The underestimation of costs at the front-end is grossly neglected in the literature compared with whether costs comply with the budget. While cost overruns are an indication of failure in terms of the project’s tactical performance, the contention is that the up-front underestimation of costs might result in an inferior project being selected and thus affect the strategic performance of the project.

scholarly journals Analysis of the Legal Measures Concerning Risk Assessment and Control for High-Speed Rail: Experience and Lessons from the European Union

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Kai Liu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
European Union ◽  
Legal System ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Legal Framework ◽  
The European Union ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
And Control

In a context of the emerging risks that may lead to the high speed rail accidents and so the deaths, the question is to know what the roles of different actors prescribed in the legal system and what instruments have been established, and whether the legal framework is sufficient to promote risk assessment. This research studied the European Union legal system and pointed out its experience that could be enlighting as well as its weaknesses.  

Conceptual Cost Estimation of Multistage Axial Compressor Modules

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudio Favi ◽  
Federico Campi ◽  
Marco Mandolini ◽  
Irene Martinelli ◽  
Michele Germani
Keyword(s):  
Conceptual Design ◽  
Cost Estimation ◽  
Gas Turbines ◽  
Axial Compressor ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Design Tool ◽  
Design Solution ◽  
Cost Models ◽  
Conceptual Design Phase ◽  
The Right

Abstract Development of product architectures is a fundamental task in the conceptual design of complex products such as axial compressor of gas turbines. The definition of cost-effective architectures results from the introduction of conceptual cost estimation models aiming at the assessment of economical performances of different modules. Conceptual cost estimation means the product cost assessment in conceptual design phase. These models vary based on the technical and geometrical features of the defined product modules as well as to the specific manufacturing processes. The paper aims to describe the approach for early design cost estimation of Axial Compressor modules. The approach includes the design workflow and the required steps to build product architectures driven by cost indicator. The main limitation overtaken by the adoption of the proposed approach is the needs of a design tool able to characterize cost-effective design solution and to guide designer in product definition with the right level of confidence. The axial compressor product has been analyzed to retrieve different architectures and a case study of a rotor disc module is presented to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed approach in the development of conceptual cost models starting from preliminary design information.

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