scholarly journals Essays on applied macroeconomics and monetary policy

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Saroj Dhital
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Regional Convergence ◽  
Search Model ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Night Time ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Applied Macroeconomics ◽  
Money Search

The dissertation presents three essays in applied macroeconomics and monetary theory. First essay explores the existence of global financial cycles and examines the relationship between financial and macroeconomic sectors at a global scale. I find that there exist significant cycles in financial variables and the contribution of the financial shocks on global macroeconomic sector is significant and varying over time. Second essay examines the role of decentralization on regional convergence using night-time satellite lights data as proxy for regional economic activities. I find that the decentralization hinders regional convergence in the sample of developing countries. Third essay analyzes active and passive fiscal and monetary policy regime in the presence of long and short-maturity government debt. I utilize the advances made in money search model to analyze the policy regimes. I find that while there are some similarities between the regime, there are also significant differences. I also find that the results using money-search model can be different than using a reduced form models.

Monetary policy and the effect of the transfer of oil prices to inflation

2020 ◽  
pp. 41-50
Author(s):  
Ph. S. Kartaev ◽  
I. D. Medvedev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
The Impact

The paper examines the impact of oil price shocks on inflation, as well as the impact of the choice of the monetary policy regime on the strength of this influence. We used dynamic models on panel data for the countries of the world for the period from 2000 to 2017. It is shown that mainly the impact of changes in oil prices on inflation is carried out through the channel of exchange rate. The paper demonstrates the influence of the transition to inflation targeting on the nature of the relationship between oil price shocks and inflation. This effect is asymmetrical: during periods of rising oil prices, inflation targeting reduces the effect of the transfer of oil prices, limiting negative effects of shock. During periods of decline in oil prices, this monetary policy regime, in contrast, contributes to a stronger transfer, helping to reduce inflation.

The influence of inflation targeting on the pass-through effect of the exchange rate

2018 ◽  
pp. 70-84
Author(s):  
Ph. S. Kartaev ◽  
Yu. I. Yakimova
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Impact

The paper studies the impact of the transition to the inflation targeting regime on the magnitude of the pass-through effect of the exchange rate to prices. We analyze cross-country panel data on developed and developing countries. It is shown that the transition to this regime of monetary policy contributes to a significant reduction in both the short- and long-term pass-through effects. This decline is stronger in developing countries. We identify the main channels that ensure the influence of the monetary policy regime on the pass-through effect, and examine their performance. In addition, we analyze the data of time series for Russia. It was concluded that even there the transition to inflation targeting led to a decrease in the dependence of the level of inflation on fluctuations in the ruble exchange rate.

scholarly journals Exiting from quantitative easing

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 1069-1107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fumio Hayashi ◽  
Junko Koeda
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Economic Conditions ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Structural Vector Autoregression ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
State Of The Economy ◽  
Macroeconomic Effects ◽  
Structural Vector ◽  
Empirical Framework

We propose an empirical framework for analyzing the macroeconomic effects of quantitative easing (QE) and apply it to Japan. The framework is a regime‐switching structural vector autoregression in which the monetary policy regime, chosen by the central bank responding to economic conditions, is endogenous and observable. QE is modeled as one of the regimes. The model incorporates an exit condition for terminating QE. We find that higher reserves at the effective lower bound raise inflation and output, and that terminating QE may be contractionary or expansionary, depending on the state of the economy at the point of exit.

An Historical Perspective on the Quest for Financial Stability and the Monetary Policy Regime

2018 ◽  
Vol 78 (2) ◽  
pp. 319-357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael D. Bordo
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Historical Perspective ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Financial Instability ◽  
Historical Evidence ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Extreme Form ◽  
Credit Booms

This article surveys the co-evolution of monetary policy and financial stability for a number of countries from 1880 to the present. Historical evidence on the incidence, costs, and determinants of financial crises (the most extreme form of financial instability), combined with narratives on some famous financial crises, suggests that financial crises have many causes, including credit-driven asset price booms, which have become more prevalent in recent decades, but in general financial crises are very heterogeneous and hard to categorize. Moreover, evidence shows that the association across the country sample between credit booms, asset price booms, and serious financial crises is quite weak.

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