scholarly journals The size of fiscal Multipliers and the stance of monetary policy in developing economies

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jair N. Ojeda-Joya ◽  
Oscar E. Guzmán
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Fiscal Multipliers

Is inflation targeting useful for economic growth?

2017 ◽  
pp. 62-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Kartaev
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Test Performance ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Growth Regime ◽  
Potential Channels

The paper presents an overview of studies of the effects of inflation targeting on long-term economic growth. We analyze the potential channels of influence, as well as modern empirical studies that test performance of these channels. We compare the effects of different variants of inflation targeting (strict and mixed). Based on the analysis recommendations on the choice of optimal (in terms of stimulating long-term growth) regime of monetary policy in developed and developing economies are formulated.

Conclusions

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Zero Bound

The preceding chapters have examined the deepened integration of emerging and developing economies (EDEs) into the international financial system in the new millennium and their changing vulnerabilities to external financial shocks. They have discussed the role that policies in advanced economies played in this process, including those that culminated in the global financial crisis and the unconventional monetary policy of zero-bound interest rates and quantitative easing adopted in response to the crisis, as well as policies in EDEs themselves....

scholarly journals The Competitiveness in the Light of the Balassa-Samuelson Effect

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Srdjan Amidzic ◽  
Sinisa Kurtes ◽  
Perica Rajcevic
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Productivity Growth ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
International Market ◽  
Currency Board ◽  
Transitional Countries ◽  
Tradable Goods ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Board System ◽  
High Influence

The paper aims to analyze the influence of the Balassa-Samuleson effect on the competitiveness of Bosniaand Herzegovina. As we know, theBalassa and Samuelson argue that developing economies have an appreciating currency, because they have relatively high inflation due to higher productivity growth in the production of tradable goods. This problem has existed, more or less, in all transitional countries in the EasternEurope, and it was particularly stressed in the countries with a fixed exchange rate. This paper just shows that in Bosnia and Herzegovina, in which monetary policy operates on the principles of "currency board", there is an extremely high influence of theBalassa-Samuelson effect, which leads not only to make a competitive position on the international market worse, but it brings up the question of sustainability of the existing currency board system.

Business cycles in Ethiopia under alternative monetary policy rules

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 299-313
Author(s):  
Wondemhunegn Ezezew Melesse
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Dsge Models ◽  
Money Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Policy Shocks

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to compare business cycle fluctuations in Ethiopia under interest rate and money growth rules. Design/methodology/approach In order to achieve this objective, the author constructs a medium-scale open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. The model features several nominal and real distortions including habit formation in consumption, price rigidity, deviation from purchasing power parity and imperfect capital mobility. The paper also distinguishes between liquidity-constrained and Ricardian households. The model parameters are calibrated for the Ethiopian economy based on data covering the period January 2000–April 2015. Findings The main result suggests that: the model economy with money growth rule is substantially less powerful or more muted for the amplification and transmission of exogenous shocks originating from government spending programs, monetary policy, technological progress and exchange rate movements. The responses of output to fiscal policy shocks are relatively stronger under autarky which appears to confirm the findings of Ilzetzki et al. (2013) who suggest bigger multipliers in self-sufficient, closed economies. With regard to positive productivity shock, however, the model with interest rate feedback rule generates a decline in output and an increase in inflation, which are at odds with conventional empirical regularities. Research limitations/implications The major implication is that a central bank regulating some measure of monetary stocks should not expect (fear) as much expansion (contraction) in output following currency devaluation (liquidity withdrawal) as a sister central bank that relies on an interest rate feedback rule. As emphasized by Mishra et al. (2010) the necessary conditions for stronger transmission of interest-rule-based monetary policy shocks are hardly existent in emerging and developing economies targeting monetary aggregates; hence the relatively weaker responses of output and inflation in the model economy with money growth rule. Monetary policy authorities need to be cautious when using DSGE models to analyze business cycle dynamics. Quite often, DSGE models tend to mimic the proverbial “crooked house” built to every man’s advise. Whenever additional modification is made to an existing baseline model, previously established regularities break down. For instance, this paper documented negative response of output to technology shock. Such contradictions are not uncommon. For example, Furlanetto (2006) and Ramayandi (2008) have also found similarly inconsistent responses to fiscal and productivity shocks, respectively. Originality/value Using DSGE models for research and teaching purposes is not common in developing economies. To the best of the author’s knowledge, only one other Ethiopian author did apply DSGE model to study business cycle fluctuation in Ethiopia albeit under the implausible assumption of perfect capital mobility and a central bank following interest rate rule. The contribution of this paper is that it departs from these two unrealistic assumptions by allowing international risk premium as a function of the net foreign asset position of the country and by applying money growth rule which closely mimics the behavior of central banks in low-income economies such as Ethiopia.

scholarly journals Banking: Interest Spread, Inelastic Deposit Supply, and Mergers

2006 ◽  
Vol 45 (4II) ◽  
pp. 1055-1070 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Idrees Khawaja ◽  
Musleh-Ud Din
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Bank Lending Channel ◽  
Treasury Bills ◽  
Lending Channel ◽  
Lending Rates ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Pass Through

Interest spread, the difference between what a bank earns on its assets and what it pays on its liabilities, has been on an upward trend during the last few years: during 2005 the average interest spread of the banking sector has increased by 2.14 percent. An increase in the interest spread implies that either the depositor or the borrower or both stand to loose. In the context of developing economies, the lack of alternate avenues of financial intermediation aggravates the adverse impact of increase in spread.1 Interest spread also has implications for the effectiveness of the bank lending channel. For example, with a commitment to market based monetary policy, the central bank influences the yield on treasury bills (T. bill hereafter) that in turn affects the deposit and lending rates.2 The change in these rates influences the cost of capital that in turn affects the level of consumption and investment in the economy. If the pass-through of the changes in yield on T. bill rate to the deposit and lending rates is asymmetric then this changes the spread, for better or worse, depending upon the nature of asymmetry. If the increase in spread is due to lower return to depositors then this discourages savings; alternatively if it is due to higher charge on loans, investment decisions are affected. In either case the increase in spread has an adverse bearing upon the effectiveness of bank lending channel of monetary policy and has therefore important implications for the economy......

scholarly journals Real Time Data

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 147
Author(s):  
Arlind Rama ◽  
Ilir Vika
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Economic News ◽  
Economic Fundamentals ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Exchange Rates Volatility

Interpretation of exchange rate volatility in the light of economic fundamentals comprises an issue of interest for policymakers when it comes to implementing the monetary policy. Understanding the impact of economic news on the Lek exchange rate against two main hard currencies, Euro and US dollar, would serve to better orient the monetary policy and forex market agents positioning in time. Exchange rates volatility on economic news in short-term is an often discussed phenomenon in the economic literature, but through this material we tend to measure these effects in the Albanian foreign currency market and contribute in the literature interpreting foreign currency markets volatility in developing economies. Very often, domestic foreign exchange movements are attributed to developments in large international markets. In the case of Albanian Lek volatility analysis, we tend to find answers regarding the importance of economic news coming from the two main economies in focus, Eurozone and the US. Furthermore, we investigate the importance of the economic information flow in Albania in determining the Lek exchange rate against Euro and US dollar. For a period in focus from January 2007 until July 2012, we try to understand if the exchange rate volatility has been a result of economic fundamentals or financial markets stress related economic news.

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