A geographically weighted regression approach to examine the dynamics of fertility differentials across Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 ◽  
pp. 87-102
Author(s):  
Aniefiok Henry Ekong ◽  
Olaniyi Mathew Olayiwola
Keyword(s):  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Information Criterion ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Western Africa ◽  
Republic Of The Congo

Studies have shown that fertility rate in Africa is still among the highest in the world. However, there are few spatial investigations into the variation of fertility rate and its determinant in Africa. This study aimed to examine the spatial distribution of fertility rate as well as highlight its significant determinants. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression was carried out on dataset for 53 African countries on Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and eleven determinant factors to obtain a best model, which was then used for Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). The study showed that TFR was significantly influenced by adolescent fertility rates, contraceptive prevalence rates and gross domestic product per capita. GWR model diagnostics of Akaike Information Criterion and adjusted R-squared showed that GWR fitted TFR in Africa better than OLS model. Also, countries around Middle to Western Africa comprising Burundi, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Central African Republic, Chad, Nigeria, Niger, Benin, Burkina Faso and Mali, were regions with high TFRs that impacted Africa’s positive TFR spatial autocorrelation. More intense works could therefore be carried out in these countries to manage the identified significant factors affecting TFR to address the negative consequences of high TFR in Africa.

Analysis of Landslide Surface Deformation Using Geographically Weighted Regression

2012 ◽  
Vol 594-597 ◽  
pp. 2406-2409
Author(s):  
Hai Feng Huang ◽  
Wu Yi ◽  
Qing Lin Yi ◽  
Guo Dong Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Surface Deformation ◽  
Information Criterion ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Three Gorges Reservoir Area ◽  
Trigger Factors ◽  
Surface Displacements ◽  
Reservoir Type ◽  
Gwr Model

Traditional regression analysis methods such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) are usually used to explore data relations, but they cannot reflect the spatial non-stationarity of the data. Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is an effective tool for dealing with this situation, whereas there has not any related studies about using GWR to analyze the landslide surface deformation. This paper tries to base on a typical reservoir-type landslide in Three Gorges Reservoir area of Yangtze River, China, and uses monitoring data, to build OLS and GWR model between landslide surface displacements and trigger factors by ArcGIS. Analysis showed that the GWR model has greater R2 and smaller Akaike information criterion (AIC) value, and the residuals spatial autocorrelation degree can be significantly reduced then the OLS model, what means the GWR model can capture the spatial non-stationarity of independent variables and is more reliable in analysis of landslide surface deformation.

scholarly journals Modeling spatial determinates of teenage pregnancy in Ethiopia; geographically weighted regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Seblewongel Tigabu ◽  
Alemneh Mekuriaw Liyew ◽  
Bisrat Misganaw Geremew
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Teenage Pregnancy ◽  
Wealth Quintile ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Contraceptive Methods ◽  
Hotspot Analysis ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Risk Areas

Abstract Background In developing countries, 20,000 under 18 children give birth every day. In Ethiopia, teenage pregnancy is high with Afar and Somalia regions having the largest share. Even though teenage pregnancy has bad maternal and child health consequences, to date there is limited evidence on its spatial distribution and driving factors. Therefore, this study is aimed to assess the spatial distribution and spatial determinates of teenage pregnancy in Ethiopia. Methods A secondary data analysis was conducted using 2016 EDHS data. A total weighted sample of 3381 teenagers was included. The spatial clustering of teenage pregnancy was priorly explored by using hotspot analysis and spatial scanning statistics to indicate geographical risk areas of teenage pregnancy. Besides spatial modeling was conducted by applying Ordinary least squares regression and geographically weighted regression to determine factors explaining the geographic variation of teenage pregnancy. Result Based on the findings of exploratory analysis the high-risk areas of teenage pregnancy were observed in the Somali, Afar, Oromia, and Hareri regions. Women with primary education, being in the household with a poorer wealth quintile using none of the contraceptive methods and using traditional contraceptive methods were significant spatial determinates of the spatial variation of teenage pregnancy in Ethiopia. Conclusion geographic areas where a high proportion of women didn’t use any type of contraceptive methods, use traditional contraceptive methods, and from households with poor wealth quintile had increased risk of teenage pregnancy. Whereas, those areas with a higher proportion of women with secondary education had a decreased risk of teenage pregnancy. The detailed maps of hotspots of teenage pregnancy and its predictors had supreme importance to policymakers for the design and implementation of adolescent targeted programs.

Second-hand housing batch evaluation model of zhengzhou city based on big data and MGWR model

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Chaojie Liu ◽  
Jie Lu ◽  
Wenjing Fu ◽  
Zhuoyi Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Euclidean Distance ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Information Criterion ◽  
Access Point ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Spatial Error

How to better evaluate the value of urban real estate is a major issue in the reform of real estate tax system. So the establishment of an accurate and efficient housing batch evaluation model is crucial in evaluating the value of housing. In this paper the second-hand housing transaction data of Zhengzhou City from 2010 to 2019 was used to model housing prices and explanatory variables by using models of Ordinary Least Square (OLS), Spatial Error Model (SEM), Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR), and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR). And a correction method of Barrier Line and Access Point (BLAAP) was constructed, and compared with three correction methods previously studied: Buffer Area (BA), Euclidean Distance (ED), and Non-Euclidean Distance, Travel Distance (ND, TT). The results showed: The fitting degree of GWR, MGWR and GTWR by BLAAP was 0.03–0.07 higher than by ND. The fitting degree of MGWR was the highest (0.883) by BLAAP but the smallest by Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), and 88.3% of second-hand housing data could be well interpreted by the model.

scholarly journals Geographically weighted regression modelling of the spatial association between malaria cases and environmental factors in Cameroon.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marlvin Anemey Tewara ◽  
Liu Yunxia ◽  
Weiqiang Ling ◽  
Binang Helen Barong ◽  
Prisca Ngetemalah Mbah-Fongkimeh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Spatial Variability ◽  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Environmental Variables ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Spatial Association ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Variable Coefficients ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Gwr Model

Abstract Background: Studies have illustrated the association of malaria cases with environmental factors in Cameroon but limited in addressing how these factors vary in space for timely public health interventions. Thus, we want to find the spatial variability between malaria hotspot cases and environmental predictors using Geographically weighted regression (GWR) spatial modelling technique.Methods: The global Ordinary least squares (OLS) in the modelling spatial relationships tool in ArcGIS 10.3. was used to select candidate explanatory environmental variables for a properly specified GWR model. The local GWR model used the global OLS candidate variables to examine, predict and explore the spatial variability between environmental factors and malaria hotspot cases generated from Getis-Ord Gi* statistical analysis. Results: The OLS candidate environmental variable coefficients were statistically significant (adjusted R2 = 22.3% and p < 0.01) for a properly specified GWR model. The GWR model identified a strong spatial association between malaria cases and rainfall, vegetation index, population density, and drought episodes in most hotspot areas and a weak correlation with aridity and proximity to water with an overall model performance of 0.243 (adjusted R2= 24.3%).Conclusion: The generated GWR maps suggest that for policymakers to eliminate malaria in Cameroon, there should be the creation of malaria outreach programs and further investigations in areas where the environmental variables showed strong spatial associations with malaria hotspot cases.

scholarly journals Modelling Housing Rents Using Spatial Autoregressive Geographically Weighted Regression: A Case Study in Cracow, Poland

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 346
Author(s):  
Mateusz Tomal
Keyword(s):  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Rental Housing ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Spatial Econometric ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
Sar Model ◽  
Internet Platform ◽  
Spatial Autoregressive

The proportion of tenants will undoubtedly rise in Poland, where at present, the ownership housing model is very dominant. As a result, the rental housing market in Poland is currently under-researched in comparison with owner-occupancy. In order to narrow this research gap, this study attempts to identify the determinants affecting rental prices in Cracow. The latter were obtained from the internet platform otodom.pl using the web scraping technique. To identify rent determinants, ordinary least squares (OLS) regression and spatial econometric methods were used. In particular, traditional spatial autoregressive model (SAR) and spatial autoregressive geographically weighted regression (GWR-SAR) were employed, which made it possible to take into account the spatial heterogeneity of the parameters of determinants and the spatially changing spatial autocorrelation of housing rents. In-depth analysis of rent determinants using the GWR-SAR model exposed the complexity of the rental market in Cracow. Estimates of the above model revealed that many local markets can be identified in Cracow, with different factors shaping housing rents. However, one can identify some determinants that are ubiquitous for almost the entire city. This concerns mainly the variables describing the area of the flat and the age of the building. Moreover, the Monte Carlo test indicated that the spatial autoregressive parameter also changes significantly over space.

scholarly journals Valuing Environmental Amenities across Space: A Geographically Weighted Regression of Housing Preferences in Greenville County, SC

Land ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 147
Author(s):  
Hiebert ◽  
Allen
Keyword(s):  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
City Planning ◽  
Spatial Dynamics ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Hedonic Model ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Hedonic Price ◽  
Environmental Amenities ◽  
Forested Areas ◽  
The Impact

As global consumption and development rates continue to grow, there will be persistent stress placed on public goods, namely environmental amenities. Urban sprawl and development places pressure on forested areas, as they are often displaced or degraded in the name of economic development. This is problematic because environmental amenities are valued by the public, but traditional market analysis typically obscures the value of these goods and services that are not explicitly traded in a market setting. This research examines the non-market value of environmental amenities in Greenville County, SC, by utilizing a hedonic price model of home sale data in 2011. We overlaid home sale data with 2011 National Land Cover Data to estimate the value of a forest view, proximity to a forest, and proximity to agriculture on the value of homes. We then ran two regression models, an ordinary least squares (OLS) and a geographically weighted regression to compare the impact of space on the hedonic model variables. Results show that citizens in Greenville County are willing to pay for environmental amenities, particularly views of a forest and proximity to forested and agricultural areas. However, the impact and directionality of these variables differ greatly across space. These findings suggest the need for an integration of spatial dynamics into environmental valuation estimates to inform conservation policy and intentional city planning.

scholarly journals Spatial Variations in Fertility of South Korea: A Geographically Weighted Regression Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Myunggu Jung ◽  
Woorim Ko ◽  
Yeohee Choi ◽  
Youngtae Cho
Keyword(s):  
South Korea ◽  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Population Policy ◽  
Local Population ◽  
Sociodemographic Factors ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Spatial Variations ◽  
Low Fertility ◽  
Weighted Regression

South Korea has witnessed a remarkable decline in birth rates in the last few decades. Although there has been a large volume of literature exploring the determinants of low fertility in South Korea, studies on spatial variations in fertility are scarce. This study compares the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) models to investigate the potential role of the spatially heterogeneous response of the total fertility rate (TFR) to sociodemographic factors. The study finds that the relationships between sociodemographic factors and TFRs in South Korea vary across 252 sub-administrative areas in terms of both magnitude and direction. This study therefore demonstrates the value of using spatial analysis for providing evidence-based local-population policy options in pursuit of a fertility rebound in South Korea.

scholarly journals Spatial Heterogeneity, Broadband, and New Firm Formation

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 165
Author(s):  
Jitendra Parajuli ◽  
Kingsley Haynes
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Heterogeneity ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Firm Formation ◽  
Broadband Internet ◽  
New Firm Formation ◽  
New Firm

<p><strong>Purpose:</strong> This paper examines the spatial heterogeneity associated with broadband Internet and new firm formation in a number of U.S. states.</p><p><strong>Methodology/Approach:</strong> Both ordinary least-squares regression and Geographically Weighted Regression are used for the estimation purpose.</p><p><strong>Findings:</strong> The global coefficient estimates of ordinary least-squares regression account for the marginal change in a phenomenon, but such a global measure cannot reveal the locally-varying dynamics. Using Geographically Weighted Regression, it was found that at the aggregate and economic sector levels, the association between single-unit firm births and the provision of broadband Internet varies across counties in Florida and Ohio.</p><p><strong>Originality/Value of paper:</strong> There are numerous studies on broadband Internet in the U.S., but this is the first that explicitly examines broadband provision and new firm formation by taking into account spatial heterogeneity across countries.</p>

scholarly journals Measuring Bandwidth Uncertainty in Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Using Akaike Weights

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ziqi Li ◽  
Alexander Stewart Fotheringham ◽  
Taylor M. Oshan ◽  
Levi John Wolf
Keyword(s):  
Geographically Weighted Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Bandwidth Selection ◽  
Information Criterion ◽  
Weighted Regression ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Single Scale ◽  
Heterogeneous Processes ◽  
Key Parameter

Bandwidth, a key parameter in geographically weighted regression models, is closely related to the spatial scale at which the underlying spatially heterogeneous processes being examined take place. Generally, a single optimal bandwidth (geographically weighted regression) or a set of covariate-specific optimal bandwidths (multiscale geographically weighted regression) is chosen based on some criterion such as the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and then parameter estimation and inference are conditional on the choice of this bandwidth. In this paper, we find that bandwidth selection is subject to uncertainty in both single-scale and multi-scale geographically weighted regression models and demonstrate that this uncertainty can be measured and accounted for. Based on simulation studies and an empirical example of obesity rates in Phoenix, we show that bandwidth uncertainties can be quantitatively measured by Akaike weights, and confidence intervals for bandwidths can be obtained. Understanding bandwidth uncertainty offers important insights about the scales over which different processes operate, especially when comparing covariate-specific bandwidths. Additionally, unconditional parameter estimates can be computed based on Akaike weights accounts for bandwidth selection uncertainty.

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