Prediction of runoff using BPNN, FFBPNN, CFBPNN algorithm in arid watershed: A case study

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 243-251
Author(s):  
Sandeep Samantaray ◽  
Abinash Sahoo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Transfer Function ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Hydraulic Structures ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Feed Forward Back Propagation

Here, an endeavor has been made to predict the correspondence between rainfall and runoff and modeling are demonstrated using Feed Forward Back Propagation Neural Network (FFBPNN), Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), and Cascade Forward Back Propagation Neural Network (CFBPNN), for predicting runoff. Various indicators like mean square error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R2) for training and testing phase are used to appraise performance of model. BPNN performs paramount among three networks having model architecture 4-5-1 utilizing Log-sig transfer function, having R2 for training and testing is correspondingly 96.43 and 95.98. Similarly for FFBPNN, with Tan-sig function preeminent model architecture is seen to be 4-5-1 which possess MSE training and testing value 0.000483, 0.001025, RMSE training and testing value 0.02316, 0.03085 and R2 for training and testing as 0.9925, 0.9611, respectively. But for FFBPNN the value of R2 in training and testing is 0.8765 0.8976. Outcomes on the whole recommend that assessment of runoff is suitable to BPNN as contrasted to CFBPNN and FFBPNN. This consequence helps to plan, arrange and manage hydraulic structures of watershed.

scholarly journals Predicting the discharge coefficient of oblique cylindrical weir using neural network techniques

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (16) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adnan A. Ismael ◽  
Saleh J. Suleiman ◽  
Raid Rafi Omar Al-Nima ◽  
Nadhir Al-Ansari
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Radial Basis Function Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
The Third ◽  
Testing Stage ◽  
Inclination Angles

AbstractCylindrical weir shapes offer a steady-state overflow pattern, where the type of weirs can offer a simple design and provide the ease-to-pass floating debris. This study considers a coefficient of discharge (Cd) prediction for oblique cylindrical weir using three diameters, the first is of D1 = 0.11 m, the second is of D2 = 0.09 m, and the third is of D3 = 0.06.5 m, and three inclination angles with respect to channel axis, the first is of θ1 = 90 ͦ, the second is of θ2 = 45 ͦ, and the third is of θ3 = 30 ͦ. The Cd values for total of 56 experiments are estimated by using the radial basis function network (RBFN), in addition of comparing that with the back-propagation neural network (BPNN) and cascade-forward neural network (CFNN). Root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), and correlation coefficient (CC) statics are used as metrics measurements. The RBFN attained superior performance comparing to the other neural networks of BPNN and CFNN. It is found that, for the training stage, the RBFN network benchmarked very small RMSE and MSE values of 1.35E-12 and 1.83E-24, respectively and for the testing stage, it also could benchmark very small RMSE and MSE values of 0.0082 and 6.80E-05, respectively.

scholarly journals The modelling of lead removal from water by deep eutectic solvents functionalized CNTs: artificial neural network (ANN) approach

2017 ◽  
Vol 76 (9) ◽  
pp. 2413-2426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seef Saadi Fiyadh ◽  
Mohammed Abdulhakim AlSaadi ◽  
Mohamed Khalid AlOmar ◽  
Sabah Saadi Fayaed ◽  
Ako R. Hama ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Deep Eutectic Solvents ◽  
Lead Removal ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Feed Forward Back Propagation ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Abstract The main challenge in the lead removal simulation is the behaviour of non-linearity relationships between the process parameters. The conventional modelling technique usually deals with this problem by a linear method. The substitute modelling technique is an artificial neural network (ANN) system, and it is selected to reflect the non-linearity in the interaction among the variables in the function. Herein, synthesized deep eutectic solvents were used as a functionalized agent with carbon nanotubes as adsorbents of Pb2+. Different parameters were used in the adsorption study including pH (2.7 to 7), adsorbent dosage (5 to 20 mg), contact time (3 to 900 min) and Pb2+ initial concentration (3 to 60 mg/l). The number of experimental trials to feed and train the system was 158 runs conveyed in laboratory scale. Two ANN types were designed in this work, the feed-forward back-propagation and layer recurrent; both methods are compared based on their predictive proficiency in terms of the mean square error (MSE), root mean square error, relative root mean square error, mean absolute percentage error and determination coefficient (R2) based on the testing dataset. The ANN model of lead removal was subjected to accuracy determination and the results showed R2 of 0.9956 with MSE of 1.66 × 10−4. The maximum relative error is 14.93% for the feed-forward back-propagation neural network model.

scholarly journals Prediction of Ozone Concentration using Feed Forward Back Propagation Neural Network (FFBP-NN)

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 9257-9260
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Ozone Concentration ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
City Council ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Feed Forward ◽  
Feed Forward Back Propagation

Air pollution has been an ongoing problem in Malaysia. One of the major air quality issue in Malaysia is high concentrations of ozone in urban area. Rapid increase in vehicles number and fossil fuel consumption in Malaysia cause the emission of ozone and their precursors especially nitrogen oxides increasing sharply. This research focus on daytime and nighttime ozone concentration at Kuala Terengganu, Malaysia. The aim of this study is to predict ozone concentration using feed forward back propagation neural network (FFBP-NN) with two hidden layers. Five performance indicators were used to evaluate the models performances which are normalized absolute error (NAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), index of agreement (IA), prediction accuracy (PA) and coefficient of determination (R2 ). Result show that FFBP-NN with 2 hidden layers model gives good performance for prediction of ozone concentration with high accuracy measures (IA=0.9551, PA=0.8453, R2 =0.8402) and small error measures (NAE=0.1642, RMSE=4.4958) for daytime and nighttime (IA=0.9541, PA=0.8429, R2 =0.8358, NAE=0.2160, RMSE=3.2485). The result from this study provides a reference for city council to improve the existing guidelines and to plan an effective mitigation measures to monitor the status of air quality towards a sustainable environment.

Estimation of ambiguous blast-induced ground vibration using intelligent models: A case study

2018 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 147-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ragam Prashanth ◽  
DS Nimaje
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Radial Basis Function ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Basis Function ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Ground Vibration ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Intelligent Models

Blasting is an economical and viable operation for reliable excavation of hard rock in mining and civil construction. An ambiguous ground vibration generated by blasting is unenviable and causes grievous damage to nearby inhabitants, residential premises, and other sensitive sites. Accordingly, the proper assessment of indistinct blast-induced ground vibration is a requisite to pinpoint the safe limits in and around mines. An endeavor has been made in this article to apply four predictive models, namely, support vector machine, feed forward back propagation neural network, cascaded forward back propagation neural network, and radial basis function neural network to estimate the ground vibration caused by blasting operation conducted at Mine-A, India. In this article, a total number of 121 blasting operations with relevant parameters are recorded. The most influential parameters of ground vibration are the number of holes, burden, spacing, hole diameter, hole depth, top stemming, maximum explosive charge per delay, and the distance from blast source, which were considered as input parameters. Ground vibration is measured in terms of peak particle velocity and is considered as output. The performance indicators of constructed network models were chosen as the coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error, and variance account for. Among all constructed intelligent models, the radial basis function neural network with architecture 8-80-1 and R2 of 0.9918, root mean square error of 4.4076, and variance account for of 99.1800 was found to be optimum. Sensitivity analysis showed that the number of holes, burden, and top stemming are the most effective parameters leads to ground vibration due to blasting.

Modelling response of infiltration loss toward water table depth using RBFN, RNN, ANFIS techniques

2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 227-234
Author(s):  
Sandeep Samantaray ◽  
Abinash Sahoo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Water Table ◽  
Environmental Sustainability ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Water Table Depth ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Inference System

Accurate prediction of water table depth over long-term in arid agricultural areas are very much important for maintaining environmental sustainability. Because of intricate and diverse hydrogeological features, boundary conditions, and human activities researchers face enormous difficulties for predicting water table depth. A virtual study on forecast of water table depth using various neural networks is employed in this paper. Hybrid neural network approach like Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFN) is employed here to appraisal water levels as a function of average temperature, precipitation, humidity, evapotranspiration and infiltration loss data. Coefficient of determination (R2), Root mean square error (RMSE), and Mean square error (MSE) are used to evaluate performance of model development. While ANFIS algorithm is used, Gbell function gives best value of performance for model development. Whole outcomes establish that, ANFIS accomplishes finest as related to RNN and RBFN for predicting water table depth in watershed.

scholarly journals A Framework for Prediction of Household Energy Consumption Using Feed Forward Back Propagation Neural Network

Technologies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Fayaz ◽  
Habib Shah ◽  
Ali Aseere ◽  
Wali Mashwani ◽  
Abdul Shah
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Performance Evaluation ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Data Acquisition ◽  
Residential Buildings ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Neural Network ◽  
Statistical Moments ◽  
Feed Forward ◽  
Feed Forward Back Propagation

Energy is considered the most costly and scarce resource, and demand for it is increasing daily. Globally, a significant amount of energy is consumed in residential buildings, i.e., 30–40% of total energy consumption. An active energy prediction system is highly desirable for efficient energy production and utilization. In this paper, we have proposed a methodology to predict short-term energy consumption in a residential building. The proposed methodology consisted of four different layers, namely data acquisition, preprocessing, prediction, and performance evaluation. For experimental analysis, real data collected from 4 multi-storied buildings situated in Seoul, South Korea, has been used. The collected data is provided as input to the data acquisition layer. In the pre-processing layer afterwards, several data cleaning and preprocessing schemes are applied to the input data for the removal of abnormalities. Preprocessing further consisted of two processes, namely the computation of statistical moments (mean, variance, skewness, and kurtosis) and data normalization. In the prediction layer, the feed forward back propagation neural network has been used on normalized data and data with statistical moments. In the performance evaluation layer, the mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean squared error (RMSE) have been used to measure the performance of the proposed approach. The average values for data with statistical moments of MAE, MAPE, and RMSE are 4.3266, 11.9617, and 5.4625 respectively. These values of the statistical measures for data with statistical moments are less as compared to simple data and normalized data which indicates that the performance of the feed forward back propagation neural network (FFBPNN) on data with statistical moments is better when compared to simple data and normalized data.

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