scholarly journals Stock Market Prediction Using Machine Learning Techniques

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reshma R ◽  
Usha Naidu S ◽  
Sathiyavathi V ◽  
SaiRamesh L

Predicting the future in all the areas using machine learning techniques was the recent research in the current scenario. Stock market is one among them which needs the prediction future market to invest in the new enterprise or to sell their existing shares to get profit. This need the efficient prediction technique which studies the previous exchanges of stock market and gives the future prediction based on that. This article proposed the prediction system of stock market price based on the exchange takes place in previous scenario. The system studies the diversing effect of market price of product in a particular time gap and analyze its future trend whether it’s loss or gain. During the system of thinking about diverse strategies and variables that should be taken into account, we observed out that strategies like random forest, Support vector machine and regression algorithm. Support vector regression is a beneficial and effective gadget gaining knowledge of approach to apprehend sample of time collection dataset. The data collected for the four years duration which was accumulated to get the expecting prices of the share of the firm. It can produce true prediction end result if the fee of essential parameters may be decided properly. It has been located that the guide vector regression version with RBF kernel indicates higher overall performance while in comparison with different models.

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 453-463
Author(s):  
Abdul Syukur ◽  
◽  
Deden Istiawan ◽  

LQ45 is an Indonesia Stock Exchange Index (ISX) incorporate of 45 companies that meet certain criteria to target investors for selecting certain stocks. The prediction of stock price direction in the financial world is a major issue. The implementation of machine learning and other algorithms for market price analysis and forecasting is a very promising field. Different types of classification algorithms were used to predict the stock market. However, when individual studies are considered separately there is no clear consensus that algorithms work best. In this research, a comparison framework is proposed, which aims to benchmark the performance of a wide range of classification models and use them to predict the LQ45 index. The data in this research contains the transaction level and capitalization size are obtained from the Indonesian Stock Exchange (ISX). For analysis purposes, we set out 10 classifiers that can be used to build classification models and test their performance in the LQ45 dataset. The performance criterion chosen to measure this effect is accuracy, recall, and precision. The results showed that the random forest algorithm had the best performance for predicting the LQ45 index. Whilst the classification and regression trees, C4.5, support vector machine, and logistic regression algorithms also perform well. Besides, the models based on traditional statisticalbased learners that are Naïve Bayes and linear discriminant analysis seem to underperform for predicting the LQ45 index. These results are not only beneficial to enrichment the machine learning techniques literature but also have a significant influence on the stock market prediction in terms of the ability to predict the LQ45 index.


Algorithms ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhixi Li ◽  
Vincent Tam

Momentum and reversal effects are important phenomena in stock markets. In academia, relevant studies have been conducted for years. Researchers have attempted to analyze these phenomena using statistical methods and to give some plausible explanations. However, those explanations are sometimes unconvincing. Furthermore, it is very difficult to transfer the findings of these studies to real-world investment trading strategies due to the lack of predictive ability. This paper represents the first attempt to adopt machine learning techniques for investigating the momentum and reversal effects occurring in any stock market. In the study, various machine learning techniques, including the Decision Tree (DT), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLP), and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) were explored and compared carefully. Several models built on these machine learning approaches were used to predict the momentum or reversal effect on the stock market of mainland China, thus allowing investors to build corresponding trading strategies. The experimental results demonstrated that these machine learning approaches, especially the SVM, are beneficial for capturing the relevant momentum and reversal effects, and possibly building profitable trading strategies. Moreover, we propose the corresponding trading strategies in terms of market states to acquire the best investment returns.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 130-149
Author(s):  
Puneet Misra ◽  
Siddharth Chaurasia

Stock market movements are affected by numerous factors making it one of the most challenging problems for forecasting. This article attempts to predict the direction of movement of stock and stock indices. The study uses three classifiers - Artificial Neural Network, Random Forest and Support Vector Machine with four different representation of inputs. First representation uses raw data (open, high, low, close and volume), The second uses ten features in the form of technical indicators generated by use of technical analysis. The third and fourth portrayal presents two different ways of converting the indicator data into discrete trend data. Experimental results suggest that for raw data support vector machine provides the best results. For other representations, there is no clear winner regarding models applied, but portrayal of data by the proposed approach gave best overall results for all the models and financial series. Consistency of the results highlight the importance of feature generation and right representation of dataset to machine learning techniques.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.


Author(s):  
Anantvir Singh Romana

Accurate diagnostic detection of the disease in a patient is critical and may alter the subsequent treatment and increase the chances of survival rate. Machine learning techniques have been instrumental in disease detection and are currently being used in various classification problems due to their accurate prediction performance. Various techniques may provide different desired accuracies and it is therefore imperative to use the most suitable method which provides the best desired results. This research seeks to provide comparative analysis of Support Vector Machine, Naïve bayes, J48 Decision Tree and neural network classifiers breast cancer and diabetes datsets.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomoaki Mameno ◽  
Masahiro Wada ◽  
Kazunori Nozaki ◽  
Toshihito Takahashi ◽  
Yoshitaka Tsujioka ◽  
...  

AbstractThe purpose of this retrospective cohort study was to create a model for predicting the onset of peri-implantitis by using machine learning methods and to clarify interactions between risk indicators. This study evaluated 254 implants, 127 with and 127 without peri-implantitis, from among 1408 implants with at least 4 years in function. Demographic data and parameters known to be risk factors for the development of peri-implantitis were analyzed with three models: logistic regression, support vector machines, and random forests (RF). As the results, RF had the highest performance in predicting the onset of peri-implantitis (AUC: 0.71, accuracy: 0.70, precision: 0.72, recall: 0.66, and f1-score: 0.69). The factor that had the most influence on prediction was implant functional time, followed by oral hygiene. In addition, PCR of more than 50% to 60%, smoking more than 3 cigarettes/day, KMW less than 2 mm, and the presence of less than two occlusal supports tended to be associated with an increased risk of peri-implantitis. Moreover, these risk indicators were not independent and had complex effects on each other. The results of this study suggest that peri-implantitis onset was predicted in 70% of cases, by RF which allows consideration of nonlinear relational data with complex interactions.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2.8) ◽  
pp. 684 ◽  
Author(s):  
V V. Ramalingam ◽  
Ayantan Dandapath ◽  
M Karthik Raja

Heart related diseases or Cardiovascular Diseases (CVDs) are the main reason for a huge number of death in the world over the last few decades and has emerged as the most life-threatening disease, not only in India but in the whole world. So, there is a need of reliable, accurate and feasible system to diagnose such diseases in time for proper treatment. Machine Learning algorithms and techniques have been applied to various medical datasets to automate the analysis of large and complex data. Many researchers, in recent times, have been using several machine learning techniques to help the health care industry and the professionals in the diagnosis of heart related diseases. This paper presents a survey of various models based on such algorithms and techniques andanalyze their performance. Models based on supervised learning algorithms such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), NaïveBayes, Decision Trees (DT), Random Forest (RF) and ensemble models are found very popular among the researchers.


2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 569-581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sujata Rani ◽  
Parteek Kumar

Abstract In this article, an innovative approach to perform the sentiment analysis (SA) has been presented. The proposed system handles the issues of Romanized or abbreviated text and spelling variations in the text to perform the sentiment analysis. The training data set of 3,000 movie reviews and tweets has been manually labeled by native speakers of Hindi in three classes, i.e. positive, negative, and neutral. The system uses WEKA (Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis) tool to convert these string data into numerical matrices and applies three machine learning techniques, i.e. Naive Bayes (NB), J48, and support vector machine (SVM). The proposed system has been tested on 100 movie reviews and tweets, and it has been observed that SVM has performed best in comparison to other classifiers, and it has an accuracy of 68% for movie reviews and 82% in case of tweets. The results of the proposed system are very promising and can be used in emerging applications like SA of product reviews and social media analysis. Additionally, the proposed system can be used in other cultural/social benefits like predicting/fighting human riots.


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