scholarly journals Exploring Antarctic subglacial lakes with scientific probes: a formal probabilistic approach for operational risk management

2012 ◽  
Vol 58 (212) ◽  
pp. 1085-1097 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.P. Brito ◽  
G. Griffiths ◽  
M. Mowlem
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Probabilistic Approach ◽  
Operational Risk ◽  
Formal Approach ◽  
Fault Trees ◽  
Subglacial Lake ◽  
Complex Processes ◽  
Formal Framework ◽  
Past Climate Change ◽  
Subglacial Lakes

AbstractSince their discovery, Antarctic subglacial lakes have become of great interest to the science community. It is hypothesized that they may hold unique forms of biological life and that they hold detailed sedimentary records of past climate change. According to the latest inventory, a total of 387 subglacial lakes have been identified in Antarctica (Wright and Siegert, 2011). However, exploration using scientific probes has yet to be performed. We propose a generic, formal approach to manage the operational risk of deploying probes during clean access to subglacial lake exploration. A representation of the entire probe deployment process is captured in a Markov chain. The transition from one state to the next depends on several factors, including reliability of components and processes. We use fault trees to quantify the probability of failure of the complex processes that must take place to facilitate the transition from one state to another. Therefore, the formal framework consists of integrating a Markov chain, fault trees, component and subsystem reliability data and expert judgment. To illustrate its application we describe how the approach can be used to address a series of what-if scenarios, using the intended Ellsworth Subglacial Lake probe deployment as a case study.

scholarly journals Subglacial water-sheet floods, drumlins and ice-sheet lobes

1999 ◽  
Vol 45 (150) ◽  
pp. 201-213 ◽  
Author(s):  
E.M. Shoemaker
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Lake Michigan ◽  
New York State ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Lake Ontario ◽  
High Water ◽  
Green Bay ◽  
Subglacial Lake ◽  
Western Lake ◽  
Subglacial Lakes

AbstractThe effect of subglacial lakes upon ice-sheet topography and the velocity patterns of subglacial water-sheet floods is investigated. A subglacial lake in the combined Michigan–Green Bay basin, Great Lakes, North America, leads to: (1) an ice-sheet lobe in the lee of Lake Michigan; (2) a change in orientations of flood velocities across the site of a supraglacial trough aligned closely with Green Bay, in agreement with drumlin orientations; (3) low water velocities in the lee of Lake Michigan where drumlins are absent; and (4) drumlinization occurring in regions of predicted high water velocities. The extraordinary divergence of drumlin orientations near Lake Ontario is explained by the presence of subglacial lakes in the Ontario and Erie basins, along with ice-sheet displacements of up to 30 km in eastern Lake Ontario. The megagrooves on the islands in western Lake Erie are likely to be the product of the late stage of a water-sheet flood when outflow from eastern Lake Ontario was dammed by displaced ice and instead flowed westward along the Erie basin. The Finger Lakes of northern New York state, northeastern U.S.A., occur in a region of likely ice-sheet grounding where water sheets became channelized. Green Bay and Grand Traverse Bay are probably the products of erosion along paths of strongly convergent water-sheet flow.

scholarly journals Modeling Antarctic subglacial lake filling and drainage cycles

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1381-1393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine F. Dow ◽  
Mauro A. Werder ◽  
Sophie Nowicki ◽  
Ryan T. Walker
Keyword(s):  
Internal Controls ◽  
Water Volume ◽  
Lake Basin ◽  
Subglacial Lake ◽  
Subglacial Environment ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Ice Stream ◽  
Slow Moving ◽  
Lake Drainage ◽  
Subglacial Lakes

Abstract. The growth and drainage of active subglacial lakes in Antarctica has previously been inferred from analysis of ice surface altimetry data. We use a subglacial hydrology model applied to a synthetic Antarctic ice stream to examine internal controls on the filling and drainage of subglacial lakes. Our model outputs suggest that the highly constricted subglacial environment of our idealized ice stream, combined with relatively high rates of water flow funneled from a large catchment, can combine to create a system exhibiting slow-moving pressure waves. Over a period of years, the accumulation of water in the ice stream onset region results in a buildup of pressure creating temporary channels, which then evacuate the excess water. This increased flux of water beneath the ice stream drives lake growth. As the water body builds up, it steepens the hydraulic gradient out of the overdeepened lake basin and allows greater flux. Eventually this flux is large enough to melt channels that cause the lake to drain. Lake drainage also depends on the internal hydrological development in the wider system and therefore does not directly correspond to a particular water volume or depth. This creates a highly temporally and spatially variable system, which is of interest for assessing the importance of subglacial lakes in ice stream hydrology and dynamics.

scholarly journals Forty-seven new subglacial lakes in the 0–110° E sector of East Antarctica

2007 ◽  
Vol 53 (181) ◽  
pp. 289-297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey V. Popov ◽  
Valery N. Masolov
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Scientific Work ◽  
East Antarctica ◽  
Lake Area ◽  
Geothermal Heat ◽  
Subglacial Lake ◽  
Deep Faults ◽  
Radio Echo Sounding ◽  
Subglacial Lakes ◽  
Echo Sounding

AbstractDuring the summer field seasons of 1987–91, studies of central East Antarctica by airborne radio-echo sounding commenced. This scientific work continued in the 1990s in the Vostok Subglacial Lake area and along the traverse route from Mirny, and led to the discovery of 16 new subglacial water cavities in the areas of Domes Fuji and Argus and the Prince Charles Mountains. Twenty-nine subglacial water cavities were revealed in the area near Vostok, along with a feature we believe to be a subglacial river. Two subglacial lakes were discovered along the Mirny–Vostok traverse route. These are located 50 km north of Komsomolskaya station and under Pionerskaya station. We find high geothermal heat flux in the vicinity of the largest of the subglacial lakes, and suggest this may be due to their location over deep faults where additional mantle heat is available.

scholarly journals Water Movement At The Base Of Ice Sheets

1979 ◽  
Vol 23 (89) ◽  
pp. 410
Author(s):  
I. M. Whillans
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transfer ◽  
Water Movement ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Differential Heat ◽  
Subglacial Lake ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
Subglacial Lakes

Abstract Flat-surfaced subglacial lakes, such as those discovered by Oswald (1975), can form where basal sliding velocities are low. As the glacier moves onto a subglacial lake, its underside retains the shape of the vertical relief at the lake edge. Differential heat transfer from the lake into high and low points in the interface flattens the surface by extra melting of the downward projections or freezing in the high areas. A time of the order of 103 years is required to flatten the fluting, and the down-glacier part of a subglacial lake can be flat-surfaced if the glacier takes longer than some 103 years to traverse the lake. Such a slow traverse time is expected near ice-drainage divides, and it is there that flat-surfaced lakes were discovered by radar sounding.

scholarly journals Antarctic subglacial lake exploration: first results and future plans

2016 ◽  
Vol 374 (2059) ◽  
pp. 20140466 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin J. Siegert ◽  
John C. Priscu ◽  
Irina A. Alekhina ◽  
Jemma L. Wadham ◽  
W. Berry Lyons
Keyword(s):  
Lake Water ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Hot Water ◽  
Microbial Life ◽  
Lake Vostok ◽  
Subglacial Lake ◽  
Coastal Margin ◽  
First Results ◽  
Scientific Results ◽  
Subglacial Lakes

After more than a decade of planning, three attempts were made in 2012–2013 to access, measure in situ properties and directly sample subglacial Antarctic lake environments. First, Russian scientists drilled into the top of Lake Vostok, allowing lake water to infiltrate, and freeze within, the lower part of the ice-core borehole, from which further coring would recover a frozen sample of surface lake water. Second, UK engineers tried unsuccessfully to deploy a clean-access hot-water drill, to sample the water column and sediments of subglacial Lake Ellsworth. Third, a US mission successfully drilled cleanly into subglacial Lake Whillans, a shallow hydraulically active lake at the coastal margin of West Antarctica, obtaining samples that would later be used to prove the existence of microbial life and active biogeochemical cycling beneath the ice sheet. This article summarizes the results of these programmes in terms of the scientific results obtained, the operational knowledge gained and the engineering challenges revealed, to collate what is known about Antarctic subglacial environments and how to explore them in future. While results from Lake Whillans testify to subglacial lakes as being viable biological habitats, the engineering challenges to explore deeper more isolated lakes where unique microorganisms and climate records may be found, as exemplified in the Lake Ellsworth and Vostok missions, are considerable. Through international cooperation, and by using equipment and knowledge of the existing subglacial lake exploration programmes, it is possible that such environments could be explored thoroughly, and at numerous sites, in the near future.

Detecting active subglacial lakes beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet using ArcticDEM

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jade Bowling ◽  
Amber Leeson ◽  
Malcolm McMillan ◽  
Stephen Livingstone ◽  
Andrew Sole
Keyword(s):  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Elevation ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Subglacial Lake ◽  
Flow Speeds ◽  
Elevation Data ◽  
Hydrological System ◽  
Subglacial Lakes

<p>A total of 63 subglacial lakes have been documented beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet using a combination of radio-echo sounding and surface elevation change measurements. Of these, only 7 lakes have shown evidence of hydrological activity over the period 2001-2018. Draining lakes have been observed to drive transient changes in local ice flow speeds in Antarctica. The sudden discharge of water during a subglacial lake outburst event causes the subglacial lake roof to subside, which propagates to the surface, resulting in the formation of collapse basins (typically ~50-70 m in depth). These surface features can be detected using remote sensing techniques.</p><p>Whilst over 100 active subglacial lakes have been identified in Antarctica, predominantly beneath ice streams, little is known about the extent, volume of water stored and residence times of active subglacial lakes in Greenland, together with any potential influence of drainage events on local ice dynamics and sediment evacuation rates. Here, we explore the potential of the high resolution ArcticDEM stereogrammetric digital surface model (DSM) open source dataset, generated from satellite optical imagery, to identify and monitor subglacial lake-derived collapse basins. The ArcticDEM provides 2 m time-stamped surface elevation data, covering ~160 million km<sup>2</sup>, offering an exciting opportunity to map elevation changes between 2009-2017. This study presents the first effort to utilise ArcticDEM data at an ice-sheet scale to identify and monitor active subglacial lakes beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet, which we hope will ultimately improve our understanding of its complex subglacial hydrological system.</p>

scholarly journals Potential subglacial lake locations and meltwater drainage pathways beneath the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 1721-1740 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. J. Livingstone ◽  
C. D. Clark ◽  
J. Woodward ◽  
J. Kingslake
Keyword(s):  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Simplified Approach ◽  
Subglacial Lake ◽  
Ice Stream ◽  
Geophysical Surveys ◽  
Subglacial Lakes ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Subglacial Drainage

Abstract. We use the Shreve hydraulic potential equation as a simplified approach to investigate potential subglacial lake locations and meltwater drainage pathways beneath the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets. We validate the method by demonstrating its ability to recall the locations of >60% of the known subglacial lakes beneath the Antarctic Ice Sheet. This is despite uncertainty in the ice-sheet bed elevation and our simplified modelling approach. However, we predict many more lakes than are observed. Hence we suggest that thousands of subglacial lakes remain to be found. Applying our technique to the Greenland Ice Sheet, where very few subglacial lakes have so far been observed, recalls 1607 potential lake locations, covering 1.2% of the bed. Our results will therefore provide suitable targets for geophysical surveys aimed at identifying lakes beneath Greenland. We also apply the technique to modelled past ice-sheet configurations and find that during deglaciation both ice sheets likely had more subglacial lakes at their beds. These lakes, inherited from past ice-sheet configurations, would not form under current surface conditions, but are able to persist, suggesting a retreating ice-sheet will have many more subglacial lakes than advancing ones. We also investigate subglacial drainage pathways of the present-day and former Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Key sectors of the ice sheets, such as the Siple Coast (Antarctica) and NE Greenland Ice Stream system, are suggested to have been susceptible to subglacial drainage switching. We discuss how our results impact our understanding of meltwater drainage, basal lubrication and ice-stream formation.

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