scholarly journals Convergence rates for a hierarchical Gibbs sampler

Bernoulli ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 603-625
Author(s):  
Oliver Jovanovski ◽  
Neal Madras
Biometrika ◽  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
O Papaspiliopoulos ◽  
G O Roberts ◽  
G Zanella

Summary We develop methodology and complexity theory for Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms used in inference for crossed random effects models in modern analysis of variance. We consider a plain Gibbs sampler and propose a simple modification, referred to as a collapsed Gibbs sampler. Under some balancedness conditions on the data designs and assuming that precision hyperparameters are known, we demonstrate that the plain Gibbs sampler is not scalable, in the sense that its complexity is worse than proportional to the number of parameters and data, but the collapsed Gibbs sampler is scalable. In simulated and real datasets we show that the explicit convergence rates predicted by our theory closely match the computable, but nonexplicit rates in cases where the design assumptions are violated. We also show empirically that the collapsed Gibbs sampler extended to sample precision hyperparameters significantly outperforms alternative state-of-the-art algorithms.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-60
Author(s):  
Simon Heru Prassetyo ◽  
Ganda Marihot Simangunsong ◽  
Ridho Kresna Wattimena ◽  
Made Astawa Rai ◽  
Irwandy Arif ◽  
...  

This paper focuses on the stability analysis of the Nanjung Water Diversion Twin Tunnels using convergence measurement. The Nanjung Tunnel is horseshoe-shaped in cross-section, 10.2 m x 9.2 m in dimension, and 230 m in length. The location of the tunnel is in Curug Jompong, Margaasih Subdistrict, Bandung. Convergence monitoring was done for 144 days between February 18 and July 11, 2019. The results of the convergence measurement were recorded and plotted into the curves of convergence vs. day and convergence vs. distance from tunnel face. From these plots, the continuity of the convergence and the convergence rate in the tunnel roof and wall were then analyzed. The convergence rates from each tunnel were also compared to empirical values to determine the level of tunnel stability. In general, the trend of convergence rate shows that the Nanjung Tunnel is stable without any indication of instability. Although there was a spike in the convergence rate at several STA in the measured span, that spike was not replicated by the convergence rate in the other measured spans and it was not continuous. The stability of the Nanjung Tunnel is also confirmed from the critical strain analysis, in which most of the STA measured have strain magnitudes located below the critical strain line and are less than 1%.


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