Heavy-Vehicle Crash Rate Analysis: Comparison of Heterogeneity Methods Using Idaho Crash Data

Author(s):  
Jason Anderson ◽  
Salvador Hernandez

Studies investigating crash rates by roadway classification are few and far between and even more rare if extended to focus on heavy vehicles. This study explored and compared two advanced econometric methods—random-parameter Tobit regression and latent class Tobit regression—to determine contributing factors for heavy-vehicle crashes per million vehicle miles traveled while accounting for the unobserved heterogeneity present in crash data. The increasing crash rates in Idaho, crash proportion by roadway classification, and available data made an ideal case study. Empirical results show that although the random-parameter Tobit regression model provides better insight into heavy-vehicle crash rates than the fixed-parameter approach, the latent class Tobit regression model is the preferred methodology for the given data set. Traffic volumes, roadway characteristics, and traffic control devices were among the variables found to be statistically significant. Results from this study provide an alternate framework to account for heterogeneity while identifying key factors by roadway classification that influence heavy-vehicle crash rates. The illustrated framework and analysis by roadway classification can provide guidance to transportation agencies and policy makers and prompt future studies to include a latent class analysis, analysis by road classification, or both.

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minho Park ◽  
Dongmin Lee

In this study, a random parameter Tobit regression model approach was used to account for the distinct censoring problem and unobserved heterogeneity in accident data. We used accident rate data (continuous data) instead of accident frequency data (discrete count data) to address the zero cell problems from data where roadway segments do not have any recorded accidents over the observed time period. The unobserved heterogeneity problem is also considered by using random parameters, which are parameter estimates that vary across observations instead of fixed parameters, which are parameter estimates that are fixed/constant over observations. Nine years (1999–2007) of panel data related to severe injury accidents in Washington State, USA, were used to develop the random parameter Tobit model. The results showed that the Tobit regression model with random parameters is a better approach to explore factors influencing severe injury accident rates on roadway segments under consideration of unobserved heterogeneity problems.


Author(s):  
Hong Ji ◽  
Xun He ◽  
Li Ding ◽  
Zhe Qu ◽  
Wenkang Huang ◽  
...  

Based on the investigation data of wheat mechanized harvest in eight major wheat producing areas from the south to the north of Henan Province, the main factors affecting wheat mechanized harvest loss were identified and the influence of each factor was decomposed. In this article, the loss rate of wheat mechanical harvest was calculated by using the method of artificial measurement of wheat yield in the field, and the influencing factors of wheat mechanical harvest operation in 8 regions of Henan province were treated and analyzed by using Tobit regression model. In this paper, the loss rate of wheat mechanical harvest was calculated by using the method of wheat field artificial yield measurement and the influencing factors of wheat mechanical harvest operation in eight regions of Henan province were treated and analyzed by using Tobit regression model. The results show that the average harvest loss rate in the field amounts to 2.96%, the average harvest loss rate at the edge of field amounts to 3.06%, whereas the loss rate in the normal operation area amounts 2.86%. The main factors that caused the harvest loss of wheat field machinery were the maturity of wheat, the area of operation field, the diseases and pests, weather conditions and the accumulated working hours of harvester drivers in a single day. Therefore, the main technical measures to reduce the operation loss of wheat combine harvester were put forward to provide a theoretical basis for promoting the deep integration of agricultural machinery and agronomy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (8) ◽  
pp. 2179-2197
Author(s):  
Hua He ◽  
Wan Tang ◽  
Tanika Kelly ◽  
Shengxu Li ◽  
Jiang He

Measures of substance concentration in urine, serum or other biological matrices often have an assay limit of detection. When concentration levels fall below the limit, the exact measures cannot be obtained. Instead, the measures are censored as only partial information that the levels are under the limit is known. Assuming the concentration levels are from a single population with a normal distribution or follow a normal distribution after some transformation, Tobit regression models, or censored normal regression models, are the standard approach for analyzing such data. However, in practice, it is often the case that the data can exhibit more censored observations than what would be expected under the Tobit regression models. One common cause is the heterogeneity of the study population, caused by the existence of a latent group of subjects who lack the substance measured. For such subjects, the measurements will always be under the limit. If a censored normal regression model is appropriate for modeling the subjects with the substance, the whole population follows a mixture of a censored normal regression model and a degenerate distribution of the latent class. While there are some studies on such mixture models, a fundamental question about testing whether such mixture modeling is necessary, i.e. whether such a latent class exists, has not been studied yet. In this paper, three tests including Wald test, likelihood ratio test and score test are developed for testing the existence of such latent class. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the performance of the tests, and two real data examples are employed to illustrate the tests.


2013 ◽  
Vol 869-870 ◽  
pp. 612-620 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nattanin Ueasin ◽  
Anupong Wongchai

The energy business has played an important role in an economic growth of Taiwan because the market share is in the high value that can make a significant contribution towards regional and local employment. However, Taiwan is lack of energy resources, making the country highly relies on an import for more than 98 percent of its all energy. At present, a top priority of the countrys policy is to develop clean, sustainable, independent, and efficient energy in order to eliminate the vulnerability from external disruption. Therefore, this research aims to assess the operating efficiency and to analyze factors affecting the efficiency scores of the registered energy companies in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE) recorded during 2003-2012. The super-efficiency data envelopment analysis (SE-DEA) was initially applied to reveal the additional efficiency scores, followed by the Tobit regression model used to analyze what factors determine the efficiency scores. The empirical results showed that seven DMUs performed efficiently, ranking from 7.29 to 1.02. The company with the best operating performance was Taiwan Cogeneration Corporation (TCC), while the Great Taipei Gas Corporation (GTG) revealed the worst efficiency score. Furthermore, the Tobit regression model explained that the higher number of the local employees, the greater the efficiency scores were. Besides, the lower number of the shareholders, the greater the efficiency scores were. As a result, the Taiwans government is supposed to encourage all energy companies to have a higher number of local employees and shareholders to increase their efficiency scores.


2006 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 374-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Bernard ◽  
Chao Zhang ◽  
Katie Gifford

This research compared bids that consumers placed on non genetically modified (GM), organic, and conventional versions of food products in order to determine if the organic market well serves those seeking to avoid GM foods. Auction experiments using potato chips, tortilla chips, and milk chocolate were conducted with 79 subjects. Bids were modeled as a function of consumer demographics using a heteroskedastic tobit regression model. Results with the non-GM attribute nested into the organic characteristic showed that the latter's marginal effects were insignificant. This suggested the potential to further develop non-GM products for consumers not willing to pay extra for the remaining organic attributes.


2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 75 ◽  
Author(s):  
I PUTU JERYANA ◽  
I PUTU EKA NILA KENCANA ◽  
G. K. GANDHIADI

Regression analysis is used to study the relationship between dependent (response) variable with one or more independent (causal) variables. While response data were censored, then Tobit regression model could be applied.  According to Greene (2003), censored data were data with incomplete observation or the dependent variable has a value of zero, while for the other observations have particular value.  This research aimed to model dairy milk’s consumption from households at Bali Province.  By using data from Survey SosialEkonomiNasional (SUSENAS) or Social Economy’s National Survey (SENS) for year 2012, 615 households were selected as sampling unit using simple random sampling technique, and found 123 households who consumed dairy milk.  The independent variables in our model were last education level completed by head of household’s (X1), head of household’s work (X2), age of head of household’s (X3),  amount of expenditure for food consumption’s (X4), number of household members (X5), and household income (X6), the response variable was budget for buying dairy milk (Y).  From six independent variables, is found only last education level by head household and amount of expenditure for food consumption had siginficant effect on Y’s.  The final Tobit regression model were obtained using AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) method is Y = -3314724 + 565429,7 X1 + 0,014278 X4 with pseudo R2 as much as 16.79 per cent.


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