scholarly journals Effect of Traveler’s Nationality on Daily Travel Time Expenditure Using Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Regression Models: Results from Belgian National Household Travel Survey

Author(s):  
Hamed Eftekhar ◽  
Lieve Creemers ◽  
Mario Cools
2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1139-1147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ugo Lachapelle

Background:Previous research has shown that public transit use may be associated with active transportation. Access to a car may influence active transportation of transit riders.Methods:Using the 2009 United States National Household Travel Survey (NHTS), transit users ≥ 16 years old (n = 25,550) were categorized according to driver status and number of cars and drivers in the household. This typology ranged from choice transit riders (ie, “fully motorized drivers”) to transit-dependent riders (ie, “unmotorized nondriver”). Transit trips, walking trips, and bicycling trips of transit users are estimated in negative binomial models against the car availability typology.Results:Sixteen percent of participants took transit in the past month; most (86%) lived in car-owning households. As income increased, car availability also increased. Transit user groups with lower car availability were generally more likely than fully motorized drivers to take more public transit, walking, and bicycle trips. Transit riders have varying levels of vehicle access; their use of combinations of alternative modes of transportation fluctuates accordingly. Transit-dependent individuals without cars or sharing cars used active transportation more frequently than car owners.Conclusion:Policies to reduce vehicle ownership in households may enable increases in the use of alternative modes of transportation for transit users, even when cars are still owned.


2016 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
William H. Fisher ◽  
Stephanie W. Hartwell ◽  
Xiaogang Deng

Poisson and negative binomial regression procedures have proliferated, and now are available in virtually all statistical packages. Along with the regression procedures themselves are procedures for addressing issues related to the over-dispersion and excessive zeros commonly observed in count data. These approaches, zero-inflated Poisson and zero-inflated negative binomial models, use logit or probit models for the “excess” zeros and count regression models for the counted data. Although these models are often appropriate on statistical grounds, their interpretation may prove substantively difficult. This article explores this dilemma, using data from a study of individuals released from facilities maintained by the Massachusetts Department of Correction.


2018 ◽  
Vol 37 (20) ◽  
pp. 3012-3026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saptarshi Chatterjee ◽  
Shrabanti Chowdhury ◽  
Himel Mallick ◽  
Prithish Banerjee ◽  
Broti Garai

2019 ◽  
pp. 232102221886979
Author(s):  
Radhika Pandey ◽  
Amey Sapre ◽  
Pramod Sinha

Identification of primary economic activity of firms is a prerequisite for compiling several macro aggregates. In this paper, we take a statistical approach to understand the extent of changes in primary economic activity of firms over time and across different industries. We use the history of economic activity of over 46,000 firms spread over 25 years from CMIE Prowess to identify the number of times firms change the nature of their business. Using the count of changes, we estimate Poisson and Negative Binomial regression models to gain predictability over changing economic activity across industry groups. We show that a Poisson model accurately characterizes the distribution of count of changes across industries and that firms with a long history are more likely to have changed their primary economic activity over the years. Findings show that classification can be a crucial problem in a large data set like the MCA21 and can even lead to distortions in value addition estimates at the industry level. JEL Classifications: D22, E00, E01


2006 ◽  
Vol 33 (9) ◽  
pp. 1115-1124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Z Sawalha ◽  
T Sayed

Accident prediction models are invaluable tools that have many applications in road safety analysis. However, there are certain statistical issues related to accident modeling that either deserve further attention or have not been dealt with adequately in the road safety literature. This paper discusses and illustrates how to deal with two statistical issues related to modeling accidents using Poisson and negative binomial regression. The first issue is that of model building or deciding which explanatory variables to include in an accident prediction model. The study differentiates between applications for which it is advisable to avoid model over-fitting and other applications for which it is desirable to fit the model to the data as closely as possible. It then suggests procedures for developing parsimonious models, i.e., models that are not over-fitted, and best-fit models. The second issue discussed in the paper is that of outlier analysis. The study suggests a procedure for the identification and exclusion of extremely influential outliers from the development of Poisson and negative binomial regression models. The procedures suggested for model building and conducting outlier analysis are more straightforward to apply in the case of Poisson regression models because of an added complexity presented by the shape parameter of the negative binomial distribution. The paper, therefore, presents flowcharts detailing the application of the procedures when modeling is carried out using negative binomial regression. The described procedures are then applied in the development of negative binomial accident prediction models for the urban arterials of the cities of Vancouver and Richmond located in the province of British Columbia, Canada. Key words: accident prediction models, overfitting, parsimony, outlier analysis, Poisson regression, negative binomial regression.


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