Development of a Road Safety Risk Index

2002 ◽  
Vol 1784 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul de Leur ◽  
Tarek Sayed
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Subjective Evaluation ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Subjective Assessment ◽  
Safety Measures ◽  
Safety Risk ◽  
The Road ◽  
Program Success

The cornerstone of most safety management programs consists of a “collision-prone location” program, where significant collision history must exist and be identified before improvements are recommended. Often, these programs are solely dependent on collision records and thus program success is governed by the data quality. Unfortunately, in many jurisdictions in North America, the quantity and quality of collision data have been degrading for several years. This growing problem is jeopardizing the success and continuance of many road safety programs. To help mitigate this problem, it is believed that a subjective evaluation technique could be developed that does not rely on collision statistics and that could be used to identify and diagnose problematic areas. The development and application of a risk index used for road safety evaluation are described. The risk index is developed as a driver-based, subjective assessment of the potential road safety risks for in-service roadways. The objective of developing the safety risk index is to produce a technique to support road safety analysis that does not rely on deteriorating collision data. The road safety risk index was developed and tested to ensure consistency between observers in their subjective assessment of safety. In addition, the results from the risk index were compared with results from objectively derived road safety measures to evaluate the success of the road safety risk index. The comparison indicates that there is a statistically significant agreement between the results of the risk index and the objectively derived road safety measures.

scholarly journals MATHEMATICAL MODELLING WITHIN THE ROAD SAFETY MANAGEMENT

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 5-8
Author(s):  
Roman Ondrejka ◽  
Lenka Moravčíková
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
Road Safety ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
The Road

Substantiation of factors of influence on traffic safety

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (23) ◽  
pp. 205-213
Author(s):  
Andrii Vozniuk ◽  
◽  
Oksana Hulchak ◽  
Volodymyr Kaskiv ◽  
Yevheniia Shapenko ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cluster Analysis ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Road Safety ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Transport Process ◽  
Transport Sector ◽  
Safety Risk ◽  
The Road ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
Factors Of Influence

Збірник наукових праць «ДОРОГИ І МОСТИ» www.dorogimosti.org.uaISSN 2524-0994. Dorogi i mosti, 2021. Issue 23ТРАНСПОРТНІ ТЕХНОЛОГІЇ21312. Annual safety report 2018. URL: https://ec.europa.eu/transport/road_safety/sites/roadsafety/files/pdf/statistics/dacota/asr2018.pdf (Last accessed: 01.12.2020) [in English].13. Monitorynh dorozhno-transportnykh pryhod na avtomobilnykh dorohakh zahalnoho korystuvannya derzhavnoho znachennya Ukrayiny za 2018 rik [Monitoring of road accidents on public roads of state importance of Ukraine in 2018] : report. DP «DerzhdorNDI». Kyiv, 2019. 73 p. [in Ukrainian].14. Dmytrychenko M.F., Lanovyy O.T., Polishchuk V.P. Systemolohiya na transporti. Tekhnolohiya naukovykh doslidzhen’ i tekhnichnoyi tvorchosti (Knyha 2) [Systemology in transport. Technology of scientific research and technical creativity (Book 2)]. Kyiv, 2007. 318 p. [in Ukrainian].15. Duran B., Odel P. Klasterniy analiz [Cluster Analysis]. Moscow, 1977. 128 p. [in Russian].16. Zhambu M. Yerarkhycheskii klaster-analiz i sootvetstviya [Hierarchical cluster analysis and correspondences]. Moscow, 1988. 342 p. [in Russian].17. Holdberg A.M., Kozlov V.S. Obshchaya teoriya statistiki [General theory of statistics]. Moscow, 1985. 367 p. [in Russian].Volodymyr Kaskiv1, Ph.D., Associate Prof., https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8074-6798Yevheniia Shapenko2, Ph.D., https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0937-9400Oksana Hulchak2, Ph.D., Associate Prof., https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8186-4529Andrii Vozniuk3,https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7611-96521 M.P. Shulgin State Road Research Institute State Enterprise – DerzhdorNDI SE, Kyiv, Ukraine2 National Transport University, Kyiv, Ukraine 3 State Road Agency of Ukraine (Ukravtodor), Kyiv, Ukraine SUBSTANTIATION OF FACTORS OF INFLUENCE ON TRAFFIC SAFETYAbsractVelocity of personal vehicles or traffic flow for a certain period of time and on a certain section of the road is the main indicator that characterizes the impact of road conditions, environment, technical condition of the car and psychophysiological factors on the driver.To evaluate the each factor impact of on the velocity, survey was conducted on the M-06Kyiv – Chop road. A cluster analysis of field observation data was performed using the Statistica 12 software, connections were established in the middle of the data set, and the obtained data were organized into certain structures. As a result of the clustering, groups of clusters that have the greatest impact on speed were identified. Determining the hierarchy of factors influencing the speed and safety of the transport process shall improve approaches for modeling traffic flow velocity dependences. The paper describes an analysis of road safety risk factors.Problem Statement. The need to modernize approaches for traffic flow prediction, traffic volume distribution on the road network, means and methods of traffic management, traffic management systems in connection with quantitative and qualitative changes in the transport sector of Ukraine.Purpose. Road safety risk factors validation and ranking.Materials and method. Mathematical modeling and cluster analysis using survey data.Results. The dependence of speed on road conditions was improved using mathematical modeling.Conclusions. The hierarchy of factors influencing the speed and safety of the transport process is determined.Keywords: analysis, cluster, safety, road, method, model, velocity.

scholarly journals An Integrated Design Framework for Safety Interventions on Existing Urban Roads—Development and Case Study Application

Safety ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pasquale Colonna ◽  
Paolo Intini ◽  
Nicola Berloco ◽  
Veronica Fedele ◽  
Giuseppe Masi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Methods ◽  
Road Safety ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Integrated Design ◽  
Economic Assessment ◽  
Design Framework ◽  
Urban Road ◽  
The Road ◽  
Safety Interventions

The need for improving urban road safety, livability, and sustainability is evident. Quantitative estimates and qualitative methods/strategies can be used by road safety practitioners to design safety interventions. This study proposes a flexible integrated design framework for safety interventions on existing urban road segments and intersections that integrates quantitative and qualitative methods. The proposed design framework is divided into four stages of the safety management process: End of Network Screening, Diagnosis, Selection of Countermeasures, and Economic Assessment. Pilot applications of the proposed method were performed on existing roads of the urban road network of the Municipality of Bari, Italy. Results from the application were useful to highlight some possible problems in the different stages of the design process. In particular, the discussed problems include a lack of crash and traffic data, difficulties with defining the road functional classifications, including rural-to-urban transitions, a lack of local inspection procedures, the recurrent problems from diagnosis, difficulties regarding the safety assessment of cycling infrastructures and sight distances, the criteria for grouping countermeasures into sets, and the choice of appropriate predictive methods. In response, appropriate solutions to the highlighted problems were presented. The usefulness of the proposed method for both practitioners and researchers was shown.

scholarly journals Macro Models of Casualties in Road Transport / Modelowanie Strat Osobowych W Transporcie Drogowym

2012 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-82
Author(s):  
Kazimierz Jamroz
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Road Transport ◽  
Road Accident ◽  
Strategic Decision ◽  
Strategic Decision Making ◽  
Model Design ◽  
Safety Measures ◽  
The Road ◽  
Transport Safety ◽  
On The Road

Abstract To ensure that road transport safety measures are effective and efficient, forecast tools should be applied to help with strategic decision-making. Models of road safety measures provide such tools. The paper presents a proposed macro model of road accident casualties. The proposed models of road accident fatalities are built from a database covering more than fifty countries worldwide. The concepts of model design can be used for developing factor-based models to describe strategic societal risk on the road networks of selected countries worldwide. One of the concepts was applied to model the number of road accident fatalities. The analyses used Smeed’s model and its modifications developed for the needs of this analysis.

scholarly journals Studies on the impact of the technical characteristics of local roads on road safety

2019 ◽  
Vol 262 ◽  
pp. 05006
Author(s):  
Stanisław Gaca ◽  
Mariusz Kieć
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Road Accidents ◽  
Safety Measures ◽  
Accident Prediction ◽  
The Road ◽  
Access Road ◽  
Local Roads ◽  
On The Road ◽  
The Impact

Local roads (district roads) constitute an important part of the road network in Poland, making up around 29.7 % (124,945 km) of all public roads. In 2017, 10,578 accidents, which is 35.7% of all accidents in Poland, took place on local roads. These roads are used primarily by regular users who are very familiar with the defects of these roads. This means that the effects of the low technical standard of local roads and the insufficient number of road traffic devices on the safety on the road can be partly compensated for by the fact that drivers adjust their behaviour to the conditions on the road. This hypothesis can be verified through developing dependency models of road safety measures of local roads’ and technical characteristics. The article presents the research carried out based on regression models of accident prediction. The models were developed with the use of the data on the road surroundings arrangement (built-up areas, access), road condition and the extent of signposting, including data on speed limits and overtaking as well as risk exposure variables. Due to the incomplete data on accidents and the small number of accidents, different approaches to the modelling of the number of road accidents were applied.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the Brake’s Performance Dependence Upon Technical Condition of Car Tires as a Factor of Road Safety Management

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olga Orynycz ◽  
Karol Tucki ◽  
Andrzej Wasiak ◽  
Robert Sobótka ◽  
Arkadiusz Gola
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Road Transport ◽  
Technical Condition ◽  
The Road ◽  
Vehicle Inspection ◽  
Braking Process ◽  
Inspection Station ◽  
The Impact

The social cost, as one of the factors determining sustainability of socio-economic development, is strongly dependent upon a number of casualties and mortality in road accidents. The condition of car tires appears to be one of the important factors determining the occurrence of accidents. The vast majority of vehicles are tested every year at vehicle inspection stations. One of the elements affecting the result of the technical condition test and basically the quality of vehicle braking is the technical condition of the tires. Their technical condition is a very important factor responsible for the quality of acceleration, braking, maintaining, or changing the direction of driving. As a consequence, it has a significant impact on road safety. The aim of the study is to examine the impact of tires on the results of tests performed at a vehicle inspection station. The study presents the results of bench measurements of the impact of selected features of tire condition of two vehicles during routine periodic inspections at a vehicle inspection station (VIS). The focus was on an attempt to assess the impact of inflation pressure, age, and tire tread wear on the braking process. The technical studies performed might be a source for legal steps assuring better management of road safety. It can also be expected that the tire choice and condition may affect fuel consumption, and therefore the amount of energy consumed by the road transport.

AHP to Appraise the Traffic Safety of the Express Way

2011 ◽  
Vol 48-49 ◽  
pp. 157-163
Author(s):  
Dan Yu ◽  
Yi Hu Wu ◽  
Zhi Xiang Hou ◽  
Wen Jun Liu ◽  
Ji Guang Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Road Safety ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
The Road ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation Model ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Fuzzy Interval

The internal structure of the road safety system is extremely complex and it is affected by a lot of factors, each factor weights can not be fully established. In this article, we expressed the attribute value with a fuzzy interval number, the comprehensive appraise to the impact of traffic safety with emphasis on "people", "car" "road" in the "road". First of all, establishing evaluation index system, and form the judging matrix by AHP; then, it can be acquired a method of traffic safety evaluation by using the comprehensive evaluation model of the fuzzy interval.

Application of the Evidence Theory in the Safety Evaluation of Tower Cranes

2012 ◽  
Vol 446-449 ◽  
pp. 2162-2167
Author(s):  
Su Ping Huang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Index System ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Evidence Theory ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Safety Risk ◽  
Assessment Index ◽  
Assessment Index System ◽  
Improved Algorithm

The safety management of tower cranes is a systematic engineering. Focused on the complexity and uncertainty of the safety evaluation of tower cranes, D-S evidence theory is applied to evaluate the the safety conditions of tower cranes in service, the safety risk assessment index system of tower cranes is built and the specific and improved algorithm of the evidence theory is given. through example calculation, this method is proved is feasible, effective and applicable in the safety evaluation of tower cranes.

A framework to proactively consider road safety within the road planning process

2003 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 711-719 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul de Leur ◽  
Tarek Sayed
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Planning Process ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Safety Planning ◽  
The Road ◽  
Existing Problems ◽  
Proactive Approach ◽  
Poor Understanding ◽  
Road Planning

All too often, engineering strategies aimed at improving road safety are reactions to existing problems that occur after a road has been designed and built. Targeting problem locations and developing plans to reduce collisions are vital and have proven to be very successful. Transportation professionals, however, should also take a proactive approach to address road safety before problems emerge. This paper describes an evolving need of how to deal with road safety in a proactive manner. Although a proactive approach should improve the overall safety performance, there is currently a poor understanding of how to proactively plan for road safety. Several logistical and technical obstacles hinder the effective planning for road safety. Each of these obstacles is presented in detail, followed by a description of the opportunity to overcome each obstacle. The paper also includes the results of a case study used to demonstrate the proposed process. A proactive approach to road safety complements traditional, reactive methods currently in use. Significant progress will be realized once safety professionals shift their focus from fixing existing problems to helping plan roads that attempt to be problem free. The net result should be a safer road system.Key words: proactive road safety, safety audits, safety planning, safety evaluation, safety improvements.

scholarly journals Road Safety Assessment Considering the Expected Fatal Accident Density

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 31-48
Author(s):  
Vilma Jasiūnienė ◽  
Rasa Vaiškūnaitė
Keyword(s):  
Road Safety ◽  
Safety Assessment ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Road Accident ◽  
Fatal Accident ◽  
Road Infrastructure ◽  
The Road ◽  
Management Procedures ◽  
Accident Data ◽  
Wide Road

Network-wide road safety assessment throughout the whole network is one of the four road infrastructure safety management procedures regulated by Directive 2019/1936/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 October 2019 Аmending Directive 2008/96/EC on Road Infrastructure Safety Management and one of the methods for determining the direction of investment in road safety. So far, the implementation of the procedure has been lightly regulated and adapted using various road safety indicators. The paper describes the evaluation of road accident data that is one of the criteria for conducting a network-wide road safety assessment. Taking into consideration that networkwide road safety assessment is a proactive road safety activity, the paper proposes to conduct road safety assessment considering the expected fatal accident density. Such assessment makes it possible to assess the severity of accidents, and the use of the predicted road accident data on calculating the introduced road accident rate contributing to the prevention of accidents. The paper describes both the empirical Bayes method for predicting road accidents and the application of one of the road safety indicators – the expected fatal accident density – to determine five road safety categories across the road network. The paper demonstrates the application of the proposals submitted to Lithuanian highways using road accident and traffic data for the period 2014–2018.

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