scholarly journals Marshes to mudflats—Effects of sea-level rise on tidal marshes along a latitudinal gradient in the Pacific Northwest

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karen M. Thorne ◽  
Bruce D. Dugger ◽  
Kevin J. Buffington ◽  
Chase M. Freeman ◽  
Christopher N. Janousek ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Pacific Northwest ◽  
Latitudinal Gradient ◽  
Tidal Marshes ◽  
The Pacific

scholarly journals Biogeomorphic modeling to assess resilience of tidal marsh restoration to sea level rise and sediment supply

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivier Gourgue ◽  
Jim van Belzen ◽  
Christian Schwarz ◽  
Wouter Vandenbruwaene ◽  
Joris Vanlede ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Tidal Marsh ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Suspended Sediments ◽  
Sediment Supply ◽  
Tidal Marshes ◽  
Marsh Restoration ◽  
Tidal Marsh Restoration ◽  
Increasing Demand

Abstract. There is an increasing demand for creation and restoration of tidal marshes around the world, as they provide highly valued ecosystem services. Yet, tidal marshes are strongly vulnerable to factors such as sea level rise and declining sediment supply. How fast the restored ecosystem develops, how resilient it is to sea level rise, and how this can be steered by restoration design, are key questions that are typically challenging to assess. In this paper, we apply a biogeomorphic model to a planned tidal marsh restoration by dike breaching. Our modeling approach integrates tidal hydrodynamics, sediment transport and vegetation dynamics, accounting for relevant fine-scale flow-vegetation interactions (less than 1 m2) and their impact on vegetation and landform development at the landscape scale (several km2) and on the long term (several decades). Our model performance is positively evaluated against observations of vegetation and geomorphic development in adjacent tidal marshes. Model scenarios demonstrate that the restored tidal marsh can keep pace with realistic rates of sea level rise and that its resilience is more sensitive to the availability of suspended sediments than to the rate of sea level rise. We further demonstrate that restoration design options can steer marsh resilience, as it affects the rates and spatial patterns of biogeomorphic development. By varying the width of two dike breaches, which serve as tidal inlets to the restored marsh, we show that a larger difference in the width of the two inlets leads to more diversity in restored habitats. This study showcases that biogeomorphic modeling can support management choices in restoration design to optimize tidal marsh development towards sustainable restoration goals.

scholarly journals The temperature sensitivity of organic matter decay in tidal marshes

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 6019-6037 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. L. Kirwan ◽  
G. R. Guntenspergen ◽  
J. A. Langley
Keyword(s):  
Organic Matter ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Temperature Sensitivity ◽  
Carbon Accumulation ◽  
Tidal Marshes ◽  
Moderate Increase ◽  
Elevated Atmospheric Co2 ◽  
Matter Production ◽  
Soil Elevation

Abstract. Approximately half of marine carbon sequestration takes place in coastal wetlands, including tidal marshes, where ecosystems accumulate organic matter to build soil elevation and survive sea level rise. The long-term viability of marshes, and their carbon pools, depends in part on how the balance between productivity and decay responds to climate change. Here, we report the sensitivity of soil organic matter decay in tidal marshes to seasonal and latitudinal variations in temperature measured over a 3 year period. We find a moderate increase in decay rate at warmer temperatures (3–6% °C−1, Q10 = 1.3–1.5). Despite the profound differences between microbial metabolism in wetlands and uplands, our results indicate a strong conservation of temperature sensitivity. Moreover, simple comparisons with organic matter production suggest that elevated atmospheric CO2 and warmer temperatures will accelerate carbon accumulation in marsh soils, and enhance their ability to survive sea level rise.

scholarly journals Weather Regimes and Forecast Errors in the Pacific Northwest

2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 829-842 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lynn A. McMurdie ◽  
Joseph H. Casola
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Pacific Northwest ◽  
West Coast ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Sea Level Pressure ◽  
Weather Regimes ◽  
Numerical Weather ◽  
Level Pressure ◽  
The Pacific

Abstract Despite overall improvements in numerical weather prediction and data assimilation, large short-term forecast errors of sea level pressure and 2-m temperature still occur. This is especially true for the west coast of North America where short-term numerical weather forecasts of surface low pressure systems can have large position and central pressure errors. In this study, forecast errors of sea level pressure and temperature in the Pacific Northwest are related to the shape of the large-scale flow aloft. Applying a hierarchical limited-contour clustering algorithm to historical 500-hPa geopotential height data produces four distinct weather regimes. The Rockies ridge regime, which exhibits a ridge near the axis of the Rocky Mountains and nearly zonal flow across the Pacific, experiences the highest magnitude and frequency of large sea level pressure errors. On the other hand, the coastal ridge regime, which exhibits a ridge aligned with the North American west coast, experiences the highest magnitude and frequency of large 2-m minimum temperature errors.

scholarly journals Putting WASH in the water cycle: climate change, water resources and the future of water, sanitation and hygiene challenges in Pacific Island Countries

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 183-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wade L. Hadwen ◽  
Bronwyn Powell ◽  
Morgan C. MacDonald ◽  
Mark Elliott ◽  
Terence Chan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Pacific Island ◽  
Water And Sanitation ◽  
Sanitation And Hygiene ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Pacific Island Countries

The Pacific region presents some of the lowest water and sanitation coverage figures globally, with some countries showing stagnating or even declining access to improved water and sanitation. In addition, Pacific Island Countries (PICs) are among the most vulnerable countries on the globe to extreme and variable climatic events and sea-level rise caused by climate change. By exploring the state of water and sanitation coverage in PICs and projected climatic variations, we add to the growing case for conserving water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) interventions within a holistic integrated water resource management (IWRM) framework. PICs face unique challenges of increasing variability in rainfall (leading to drought and flooding), increasing temperatures, and likely higher than average sea-level rise, all of which impact on freshwater security. Add to this geographic and economic isolation, and limited human and physical resources, and the challenge of WASH provision increases dramatically. In this setting, there is a stronger case than ever for adopting a holistic systems understanding, as promoted by IWRM frameworks, to WASH interventions so that they consider past and current challenges as well as future scenarios.

Oceanographic anomalies and sea-level rise drive mangroves inland in the Pacific coast of Mexico

2011 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 143-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xavier López-Medellín ◽  
Exequiel Ezcurra ◽  
Charlotte González-Abraham ◽  
Jon Hak ◽  
Louis S. Santiago ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Pacific Coast ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
And Sea Level

The North Pacific Oscillation–West Pacific Teleconnection Pattern: Mature-Phase Structure and Winter Impacts

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (9) ◽  
pp. 1979-1997 ◽  
Author(s):  
Megan E. Linkin ◽  
Sumant Nigam
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Pacific Northwest ◽  
Geopotential Height ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Teleconnection Pattern ◽  
Sea Level Pressure ◽  
Level Pressure ◽  
The North ◽  
Mature Phase ◽  
The Pacific

Abstract The North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) in sea level pressure and its upper-air geopotential height signature, the west Pacific (WP) teleconnection pattern, constitute a prominent mode of winter midlatitude variability, the NPO/WP. Its mature-phase expression is identified from principal component analysis of monthly sea level pressure variability as the second leading mode just behind the Pacific–North American variability pattern. NPO/WP variability, primarily on subseasonal time scales, is characterized by a large-scale meridional dipole in SLP and geopotential height over the Pacific and is linked to meridional movements of the Asian–Pacific jet and Pacific storm track modulation. The hemispheric height anomalies at upper levels resemble the climatological stationary wave pattern attributed to transient eddy forcing. The NPO/WP divergent circulation is thermal wind restoring, pointing to independent forcing of jet fluctuations. Intercomparison of sea level pressure, geopotential height, and zonal wind anomaly structure reveals that NPO/WP is a basin analog of the NAO, which is not surprising given strong links to storm track variability in both cases. The NPO/WP variability is influential: its impact on Alaskan, Pacific Northwest, Canadian, and U.S. winter surface air temperatures is substantial—more than that of PNA or ENSO. It is likewise more influential on the Pacific Northwest, western Mexico, and south-central Great Plains winter precipitation. Finally, and perhaps, most importantly, NPO/WP is strongly linked to marginal ice zone variability of the Arctic seas with an influence that surpasses that of other Pacific modes. Although NPO/WP variability and impacts have not been as extensively analyzed as its Pacific cousins (PNA, ENSO), it is shown to be more consequential for Arctic sea ice and North American winter hydroclimate.

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