scholarly journals Estimating Time: Comparing the Accuracy of Estimation Methods for Interval Timing

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atser Damsma ◽  
Nadine Schlichting ◽  
Hedderik van Rijn ◽  
Warrick Roseboom
Keyword(s):  
Estimation Method ◽  
Interval Estimation ◽  
Reaction Times ◽  
Interval Timing ◽  
Alternative Methods ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Complex Task ◽  
Target Onset ◽  
Spatial Estimation ◽  
Verbal Estimation

In interval timing experiments, motor reproduction is the predominant method used when participants are asked to estimate an interval. However, it is unknown how its accuracy, precision and efficiency compare to alternative methods, such as indicating the duration by spatial estimation on a timeline. In two experiments, we compared different interval estimation methods. In the first experiment, participants were asked to reproduce an interval by means of motor reproduction, timeline estimation, or verbal estimation. We found that, on average, verbal estimates were more accurate and precise than line estimates and motor reproductions. However, we found a bias towards familiar whole second units when giving verbal estimates. Motor reproductions were more precise, but not more accurate than timeline estimates. In the second experiment, we used a more complex task: Participants were presented a stream of digits and one target letters and were subsequently asked to reproduce both the interval to target onset and the duration of the total stream by means of motor reproduction and timeline estimation. We found that motor reproductions were more accurate, but not more precise than timeline estimates. In both experiments, timeline estimates had the lowest reaction times. Overall, our results suggest that the transformation of time into space has only a relatively minor cost. In addition, they show that each estimation method comes with its own advantages, and that the choice of estimation method depends on choices in the experimental design: for example, when using durations with integer durations verbal estimates are superior, yet when testing long durations, motor reproductions are time intensive making timeline estimates a more sensible choice.

scholarly journals Estimating Time: Comparing the Accuracy of Estimation Methods for Interval Timing

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Atser Damsma ◽  
Nadine Schlichting ◽  
Hedderik van Rijn ◽  
Warrick Roseboom
Keyword(s):  
Estimation Method ◽  
Interval Estimation ◽  
Reaction Times ◽  
Interval Timing ◽  
Alternative Methods ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Complex Task ◽  
Target Onset ◽  
Spatial Estimation ◽  
Verbal Estimation

In interval timing experiments, motor reproduction is the predominant method used when participants are asked to estimate an interval. However, it is unknown how its accuracy, precision and efficiency compare to alternative methods, such as indicating the duration by spatial estimation on a timeline. In two experiments, we compared different interval estimation methods. In the first experiment, participants were asked to reproduce an interval by means of motor reproduction, timeline estimation, or verbal estimation. We found that, on average, verbal estimates were more accurate and precise than line estimates and motor reproductions. However, we found a bias towards familiar whole second units when giving verbal estimates. Motor reproductions were more precise, but not more accurate than timeline estimates. In the second experiment, we used a more complex task: Participants were presented a stream of digits and one target letter and were subsequently asked to reproduce both the interval to target onset and the duration of the total stream by means of motor reproduction and timeline estimation. We found that motor reproductions were more accurate, but not more precise than timeline estimates. In both experiments, timeline estimates had the lowest reaction times. Overall, our results suggest that the transformation of time into space has only a relatively minor cost. In addition, they show that each estimation method comes with its own advantages, and that the choice of estimation method depends on choices in the experimental design: for example, when using durations with integer durations verbal estimates are superior, yet when testing long durations, motor reproductions are time intensive making timeline estimates a more sensible choice.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Evapotranspiration Estimation Models for Junagadh City of Gujarat

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 619-630
Author(s):  
H. H Mashru ◽  
D. K Dwivedi
Keyword(s):  
Performance Evaluation ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Irrigation Scheduling ◽  
Alternative Methods ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Economic Returns ◽  
Field Crops ◽  
Evapotranspiration Estimation ◽  
Estimation Models

Estimation of Evapotranspiration is important for determining the agro-climatic potential of a particular region, water requirement of field crops, irrigation scheduling and suitability of crops or varieties, which can be grown successfully with the best economic returns and therefore numerous models have been developed for determining evapotranspiration. The performance evaluation of commonly used reference evapotranspiration (ET0) estimation methods like FAO 56 Penman-Monteith, Samani and Hargreaves, Makkink, Blaney Criddle, Jensen-Haise, Priestly-Taylor, FAO 24 radiation and Modified Penman Monteith method based on their accuracy of estimation has been undertaken in this study. The inter-relationship between FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method and other reference evapotranspiration (ET0) estimation method is also determined in this study. The results showed that Blaney Criddle method, Modified Penman method, Jensen-Haise method and Priestly-Taylor method are the alternative methods to Penman-Monteith method for better estimate of ET0 for the Junagadh city of Gujarat, India.

scholarly journals Assessing the Lognormal Distribution Assumption For the Crude Odds Ratio: Implications For Point and Interval Estimation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Douglas Newstein
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Standard Method ◽  
Lognormal Distribution ◽  
Odds Ratio ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Interval Estimation ◽  
Parametric Bootstrap ◽  
Sampling Distribution ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Crude Odds Ratio

Abstract Background: The assumption that the sampling distribution of the crude Odds Ratio (ORcrude) is a lognormal distribution with parameters mu and sigma leads to the incorrect conclusion that the expectation of the log of ORcrude is equal to the parameter mu. Here, the standard method of point and interval estimation (I) is compared with a modified method utilizing ORstar where ln(ORstar) = ln(ORcrude )– sigma **2/2. Methods: Confidence intervals are obtained utilizing ln(ORstar) by both parametric bootstrap simulations with a percentile derived confidence interval (II), and a simple calculation done by replacing ln(ORcrude) with ln(ORstar) in the standard formula (III) as well as a method proposed by Barendregt (IV), who also noted the bias present in estimating ORtrue by ORcrude. Simulations are conducted for a “protective” exposure (ORtrue < 1) as well as for a “harmful” exposure (ORtrue >1). Results: In simulations the estimation methods (II and III) exhibited the highest level of statistical conclusion validity for their confidence intervals as indicated by one minus the coverage probability being close to alpha. Also, as demonstrated by the MC simulations, these two methods exhibited the least biased point estimates and the narrowest confidence intervals of the four estimation approaches. Conclusions: Monte Carlo simulations prove useful in validating the inferential procedures used in data analysis. In the case of the odds ratio, the standard method of point and interval estimation is based on the assumption that the crude odds ratio has a sampling distribution that is lognormal. Utilizing this assumption, as well as the formula for the expectation of this distribution function, an alternative estimation method was obtained for ORtrue (but different from a method from the earlier report (Barendregt)), that yielded point and interval estimates that MC simulations indicate are the most statistically valid.

scholarly journals Common Medical and Statistical Problems: The Dilemma of the Sample Size Calculation for Sensitivity and Specificity Estimation

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 1258
Author(s):  
M. Rosário Oliveira ◽  
Ana Subtil ◽  
Luzia Gonçalves
Keyword(s):  
Sample Size ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Sensitivity And Specificity ◽  
Sample Size Calculation ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Interval Estimation ◽  
Sample Size Determination ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Sample Sizes ◽  
Expected Length

Sample size calculation in biomedical practice is typically based on the problematic Wald method for a binomial proportion, with potentially dangerous consequences. This work highlights the need of incorporating the concept of conditional probability in sample size determination to avoid reduced sample sizes that lead to inadequate confidence intervals. Therefore, new definitions are proposed for coverage probability and expected length of confidence intervals for conditional probabilities, like sensitivity and specificity. The new definitions were used to assess seven confidence interval estimation methods. In order to determine the sample size, two procedures—an optimal one, based on the new definitions, and an approximation—were developed for each estimation method. Our findings confirm the similarity of the approximated sample sizes to the optimal ones. R code is provided to disseminate these methodological advances and translate them into biomedical practice.

Using The Fully Modified M Method In Estimating The Effect Of Cultivated Area On Barley Production In Iraq For The Period 1970-2018

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (66) ◽  
pp. 101-110
Author(s):  
. Azhar Kadhim Jbarah ◽  
Prof Dr. Ahmed Shaker Mohammed
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Autoregressive Moving Average ◽  
Moving Average Models ◽  
Error Terms ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Barley Crop

The research is concerned with estimating the effect of the cultivated area of barley crop on the production of that crop by estimating the regression model representing the relationship of these two variables. The results of the tests indicated that the time series of the response variable values is stationary and the series of values of the explanatory variable were nonstationary and that they were integrated of order one ( I(1) ), these tests also indicate that the random error terms are auto correlated and can be modeled according to the mixed autoregressive-moving average models ARMA(p,q), for these results we cannot use the classical estimation method to estimate our regression model, therefore, a fully modified M method was adopted, which is a robust estimation methods, The estimated results indicate a positive significant relation between the production of barley crop and cultivated area.

scholarly journals Comparative Analysis of Kinect-Based and Oculus-Based Gaze Region Estimation Methods in a Driving Simulator

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
David González-Ortega ◽  
Francisco Javier Díaz-Pernas ◽  
Mario Martínez-Zarzuela ◽  
Míriam Antón-Rodríguez
Keyword(s):  
Virtual Reality ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Driving Simulator ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Gaze Estimation ◽  
Driving Simulators ◽  
Oculus Rift ◽  
Gaze Patterns ◽  
And Performance

Driver’s gaze information can be crucial in driving research because of its relation to driver attention. Particularly, the inclusion of gaze data in driving simulators broadens the scope of research studies as they can relate drivers’ gaze patterns to their features and performance. In this paper, we present two gaze region estimation modules integrated in a driving simulator. One uses the 3D Kinect device and another uses the virtual reality Oculus Rift device. The modules are able to detect the region, out of seven in which the driving scene was divided, where a driver is gazing at in every route processed frame. Four methods were implemented and compared for gaze estimation, which learn the relation between gaze displacement and head movement. Two are simpler and based on points that try to capture this relation and two are based on classifiers such as MLP and SVM. Experiments were carried out with 12 users that drove on the same scenario twice, each one with a different visualization display, first with a big screen and later with Oculus Rift. On the whole, Oculus Rift outperformed Kinect as the best hardware for gaze estimation. The Oculus-based gaze region estimation method with the highest performance achieved an accuracy of 97.94%. The information provided by the Oculus Rift module enriches the driving simulator data and makes it possible a multimodal driving performance analysis apart from the immersion and realism obtained with the virtual reality experience provided by Oculus.

scholarly journals Multi-Scene Building Height Estimation Method Based on Shadow in High Resolution Imagery

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2862
Author(s):  
Yakun Xie ◽  
Dejun Feng ◽  
Sifan Xiong ◽  
Jun Zhu ◽  
Yangge Liu
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Large Error ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Height Estimation ◽  
Building Height ◽  
Remote Sensing Imagery ◽  
High Resolution Imagery

Accurately building height estimation from remote sensing imagery is an important and challenging task. However, the existing shadow-based building height estimation methods have large errors due to the complex environment in remote sensing imagery. In this paper, we propose a multi-scene building height estimation method based on shadow in high resolution imagery. First, the shadow of building is classified and described by analyzing the features of building shadow in remote sensing imagery. Second, a variety of shadow-based building height estimation models is established in different scenes. In addition, a method of shadow regularization extraction is proposed, which can solve the problem of mutual adhesion shadows in dense building areas effectively. Finally, we propose a method for shadow length calculation combines with the fish net and the pauta criterion, which means that the large error caused by the complex shape of building shadow can be avoided. Multi-scene areas are selected for experimental analysis to prove the validity of our method. The experiment results show that the accuracy rate is as high as 96% within 2 m of absolute error of our method. In addition, we compared our proposed approach with the existing methods, and the results show that the absolute error of our method are reduced by 1.24 m-3.76 m, which can achieve high-precision estimation of building height.

scholarly journals A New Computational Method for Estimating Simultaneous Equations Models Using Entropy as a Parameter Criteria

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 700
Author(s):  
Belén Pérez-Sánchez ◽  
Martín González ◽  
Carmen Perea ◽  
Jose J. López-Espín
Keyword(s):  
Experimental Study ◽  
Computational Study ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Information Criteria ◽  
Simultaneous Equations ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Entropy Measure ◽  
Economic Science ◽  
Akaike Information Criteria ◽  
Simultaneous Equations Models

Simultaneous Equations Models (SEM) is a statistical technique widely used in economic science to model the simultaneity relationship between variables. In the past years, this technique has also been used in other fields such as psychology or medicine. Thus, the development of new estimating methods is an important line of research. In fact, if we want to apply the SEM to medical problems with the main goal being to obtain the best approximation between the parameters of model and their estimations. This paper shows a computational study between different methods for estimating simultaneous equations models as well as a new method which allows the estimation of those parameters based on the optimization of the Bayesian Method of Moments and minimizing the Akaike Information Criteria. In addition, an entropy measure has been calculated as a parameter criteria to compare the estimation methods studied. The comparison between those methods is performed through an experimental study using randomly generated models. The experimental study compares the estimations obtained by the different methods as well as the efficiency when comparing solutions by Akaike Information Criteria and Entropy Measure. The study shows that the proposed estimation method offered better approximations and the entropy measured results more efficiently than the rest.

scholarly journals Bio-Inspired Covert Active Sonar Strategy

Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (8) ◽  
pp. 2436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiajia Jiang ◽  
Xianquan Wang ◽  
Fajie Duan ◽  
Chunyue Li ◽  
Xiao Fu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Marine Mammals ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Sperm Whale ◽  
Waveform Design ◽  
Velocity Estimation ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Range Resolution ◽  
Active Sonar ◽  
Ocean Noise ◽  
Underwater Target

The covertness of the active sonar is a very important issue and the sonar signal waveform design problem was studied to improve covertness of the system. Many marine mammals produce call pulses for communication and echolocation, and existing interception systems normally classify these biological signals as ocean noise and filter them out. Based on this, a bio-inspired covert active sonar strategy was proposed. The true, rather than man-made sperm whale, call pulses were used to serve as sonar waveforms so as to ensure the camouflage ability of sonar waveforms. A range and velocity measurement combination (RVMC) was designed by using two true sperm whale call pulses which had excellent range resolution (RR) and large Doppler tolerance (DT). The range and velocity estimation methods were developed based on the RVMC. In the sonar receiver, the correlation technology was used to confirm the start and end time of sonar signals and their echoes, and then based on the developed range and velocity estimation method, the range and velocity of the underwater target were obtained. Then, the RVMC was embedded into the true sperm whale call-train to improve the camouflage ability of the sonar signal-train. Finally, experiment results were provided to verify the performance of the proposed method.

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