scholarly journals ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGRUHI TINGKAT KURS

2009 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
* Istiono
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The goal of this research is to know the impact of inflation rate, interest rate, outstanding money to exchange rate. The period of observations are divided into two, year of 1990 – 1996 and year of 2000 – 2006. By using regression analysis are found that for the period of 1990 – 1996, all independent variabels simultaneously affect the exchange rate significantly, but partially only the outstanding money affect significantly to the exchange rate. While for the period of 2000 – 2006, all of the independent variables do not affect the echange rate significantly. Keywords: inflation rate, interest rate, outstanding money, and exchange rate.

scholarly journals DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP STABILITAS RUPIAH

2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 416
Author(s):  
Azhar Bafadal
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Small Magnitude ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This research aimed to study the impact of monetary policy on the rupiah stability. Variables used were the interest rate of Bank Indonesia Certificate (SBI), the rate of inflation (IHK), the exchange rate of rupiah against the US dollar (Kurs) and the money supply in the narrow sense (M1). Data used were of quarterly time series data of Bank Indonesia and Central Bureau of Statistic, covering 2002.1-2010.4. The analysis was undertaken by using a vector autoregression model (VAR), through the Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD). The research results showed that in the sort run shocks of SBI  decreased the inflation rate, and in the long run the inflation rate was constant. The exchange rate tended to be appreciated in the short run and long run although in a small magnitude. Money supply decreased with a minor fluctuation. Initially, the money supply shocks increased the interest rate of SBI, but decreased in the long run. The rate of inflation fluctuated in the sort run but it was constant in the long run. The exchange rate was depreciated both in the sort run and in the long run.

scholarly journals DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN MONETER TERHADAP STABILITAS RUPIAH

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 416-433
Author(s):  
Azhar Bafadal
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Small Magnitude ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This research aimed to study the impact of monetary policy on the rupiah stability. Variables used were the interest rate of Bank Indonesia Certificate (SBI), the rate of inflation (IHK), the exchange rate of rupiah against the US dollar (Kurs) and the money supply in the narrow sense (M1). Data used were of quarterly time series data of Bank Indonesia and Central Bureau of Statistic, covering 2002.1-2010.4. The analysis was undertaken by using a vector autoregression model (VAR), through the Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD). The research results showed that in the sort run shocks of SBI  decreased the inflation rate, and in the long run the inflation rate was constant. The exchange rate tended to be appreciated in the short run and long run although in a small magnitude. Money supply decreased with a minor fluctuation. Initially, the money supply shocks increased the interest rate of SBI, but decreased in the long run. The rate of inflation fluctuated in the sort run but it was constant in the long run. The exchange rate was depreciated both in the sort run and in the long run.

scholarly journals The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Sectoral Indices in Indonesia

ETIKONOMI ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bambang Sutrisno
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to examine the effect of macroeconomic variables on sectoral indices in the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The difference in sensitiveness among sectors is an interesting issue to investigate this relationship in an emerging market, such as Indonesia. This study employs ordinary least square (OLS) as an estimation method with monthly time-series data from January 2005 to December 2014. The results document that the interest rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate simultaneously have a significant effect on sectoral indices in Indonesia. The interest rate partially shows a significant negative influence on all sectors except basic industry and chemical, finance, infrastructure, utilities, and transportation, and miscellaneous industry sectors. The inflation rate partially has no significant effect on all sectors. The exchange rate partially has a significant negative impact on all industries.DOI: 10.15408/etk.v16i1.4323

The Effect of Macroeconomic Conditions on the Performance of Vietnamese Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 73-82
Author(s):  
Hien-Ly Pham ◽  
Ching-Chung Lin ◽  
Shih-Ju Chan
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Global Supply Chain ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
The Impact

Vietnam plays an important role in the global supply chain. As one of important emerging markets, many studies have focused on Vietnam-related issues. Vietnam established two stock markets in 2000s. The market performance becomes one of interesting issues to explore. This study is to investigate the impact of macroeconomic variables, including inflation rate, exchange rate, interest rate, imports, exports, and gold price, on Ho Chi Minh stock market. The study period is from July 2000 to October 2014. Using the monthly data collected from Vietnam General Statistic Office, IMF International Financial Statistics, and Ho Chi Minh stock exchange, the empirical findings of our regression model show that there exists a positive relationship for imports and gold price, while the relationships for exchange rate and interest rate are negative. No significant relationship has been found for the variables of inflation rate and exports.

Macro Stress Testing of Indian Bank Groups

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 375-403
Author(s):  
Pami Dua ◽  
Hema Kapur
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Stress Testing ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Foreign Banks ◽  
Credit Quality ◽  
The Impact

This study examines how various bank groups operating in India have fared macro stress events and conduct macro stress testing (MST) to trace the impact of certain macroeconomic stress scenarios on the credit quality of five Indian bank groups, that is, the State Bank of India (SBI) and its associates (SBGs), nationalised banks (NBs), old private sector banks (OPBs), new private sector banks (NPBs) and foreign banks (FBs), using panel data from 1997 to 2014. Credit quality is modelled as a function of both macroeconomic variables (output growth, interest rate, inflation rate and exchange rate) and idiosyncratic variables (profitability and size indicator of bank business activity). The model is estimated by employing a panel cointegration approach, and the impact of adverse scenarios on the estimated credit quality is computed. Empirical findings show that credit quality is pro-cyclical in nature and rises in the event of a slowdown in the economy. In general, the credit quality of Indian bank groups is found to be inversely and significantly related to the economy’s growth rate, inflation rate, exchange rate and profits of banks and positively and significantly related to the interest rate. Shock analysis also reveals that a downturn in the economy through certain adverse scenarios has a significant adverse impact on the credit quality. The shocks are quickly propagated across banks with substantial heterogeneities present in different bank groups. Thus, macroeconomic policy measures promoting growth with price stability are expected to impact credit quality positively. Further, measures at the bank level can improve credit quality by enhancing their profitability. JEL Classifications: C32, C58, E170, G21

scholarly journals Macroeconomic Dynamics and the Manufacturing Output in Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 43-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adegbemi Babatunde Onakoya
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Percent Level ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Preliminary Evaluation ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThis paper examined the impact of the changes in the macroeconomic factors on the output of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria from 1981 to 2015. Preliminary evaluation of the data was conducted using both descriptive statistics and stationarity evaluation. The test indicated that not all the variables are normal. The occurrence of order integration at first level difference necessitated the deployment of the Johansen cointegration test. The findings revealed no short run association among manufacturing output and each of GDP, exchange rate, broad money supply and unemployment rate. Negative relationship existed amongst inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate, broad money supply on one hand, and manufacturing output. The inflation rate and interest rate, were statistically insignificant. However, significant and positive relationship existed between GDP of the previous year and unemployment on the one hand and manufacturing output on the other, at 5 percent level. The results showed that manufacturing was a veritable engine of economic growth. The post estimation tests showed presence of serial correlation but evidence of heteroscedasticity existed which, made the model inefficient, but its estimator is still unbiased. The study recommended the harmonization of both fiscal and monetary policies for the attainment of macroeconomic stability and avoidance of rapid policy summersaults.

scholarly journals PERANAN KEBIJAKAN MONETER DALAM MENJAGA STABILITAS PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA SEBAGAI RESPON TERHADAP FLUKTUASI PEREKONOMIAN DUNIA

2007 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-177
Author(s):  
M. Maulana Al Arif ◽  
Achmad Tohari
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
The World ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

This paper analyzes the impact of the inflation and the world interest rate on the Indonesian economy and the effectiveness of the Indonesian central bank policy to adopt the domestic macroeconomic fluctuation.Assuming Indonesia as a small-open economy, the Stuctural Vector Autoregressive Model is utilized on the monthly data during the periode of 1999: 1 – 2004: 12 covering the main domestic macroeconomic indicator (output, price, money supply, interest rate and the exchange rate) and the world oil price and world interest rate as the disturbance source.The analysis provides 2 main results, first, the international variables do have impacts on the domestic variables fluctuation, implying the fragility of the domestic economy due to the external shock, second, the monetary policy is effective on supporting the economic growth and stabilizing the price level. However, the Bank Indonesia policy to stabilize the international shock via the exchange rate channel, contributes to a higher impact of the international shock on domestic interest rate.Keywords: monetary policy, business cycle, SVARJEL Classification: E52, E32, C32, F41

scholarly journals PENGARUH INFLASI, NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH, BI RATE TERHADAP NILAI AKTIVA BERSIH REKSA DANA TERPROTEKSI SYARIAH PERIODE 2014-2018 DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (9) ◽  
pp. 1830
Author(s):  
Mohammad Ilyas ◽  
Atina Shofawati
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Asset Value ◽  
Net Asset Value

The Research aims to determine the influence of inflation, currency exchange rate, interest rate that affect net asset value of protected Islamic mutual fund from 2014-2018 in Indonesia partially and simultaneously. The research also uses quantitative approach and multiple regression analysis technique. The sample used for this research is obtained from monthly statistic data of Bank Indonesia, Otoritas Jasa Keuangan, and Pusat data kontan which had been published online from January 2014 to Desember 2018, so there are 60 samples taken for this reserch. The variabels of this research include inflation (X1), currency exchange rate (X2), interest rate (X3), and net asset value of protected Islamic mutual fund (Y). The result of this research shows that partially, the inflation affect Net Asset Value of Protected Islamic Mutual Fund from 2014-2018 in Indonesia insignificantly, currency exchange rate affect Net Asset Value of Protected Islamic Mutual Fund from 2014-2018 in Indonesia significantly, and interest rate affect Net Asset Value of Protected Islamic Mutual Fund from 2014-2018 in Indonesia significantly. Simultaneously, all independent variables affect Net Asset Value of Protected Islamic Mutual Fund from 2014-2018 in Indonesia significantly.Keywords: Macroeconomic, Inflation, InterestRate, Currency Exchange Rate, Net Asset Value, Protected Islamic Mutual Fund

scholarly journals Determinan harga saham sektor properti dan real estat di bursa efek indonesia

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nuryasman Nuryasman ◽  
Yessica Yessica
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Panel Regression ◽  
Statistical Analysis Tool

This study aims to examine the effect of exchange rate (USD/IDR), inflation and BI Rate to real estate and property stock that listed in BEI from January 2010 – December 2015 with 34 samples. Statistical analysis tool used was Eviews6 with the panel regression analysis and purposive sampling method. This study shows that together the USD / IDR exchange rate, inflation rate and SBI interest rate significantly influence the stock price. While partially only exchange rate USD / IDR and SBI interest rate which have significant effect to stock price.

Who Is Voting for Low Inflation and Why?

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brigitte Granville
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Nominal Anchor ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Real Challenge ◽  
Latin American Countries

This chapter analyzes the impact of low inflation. It argues that despite repeated efforts by governing authorities to initiate anti-inflationary policies, long-lasting stabilization can prove elusive. Reducing inflation is one thing, but keeping it down is the real challenge. The chapter highlights the experiences of some Latin American countries in the 1970s and 1980s, Russia in the 1990s, and Argentina in the 2000s. One typical mistake was to choose the exchange rate as the nominal anchor, which allows the inflation rate to be reduced quickly, but its effect is temporary, as governments often use lower inflation as a reason to delay the necessary fiscal tightening, eventually leading to the collapse of the exchange rate peg and inflation striking back with a vengeance.

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