scholarly journals Biomass higher heating value prediction analysis by ANFIS, PSO-ANFIS and GA-ANFIS models

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 589-597 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Heating Value ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Hhv Prediction ◽  
Prediction Capability

<p>In this study, a new model for biomass higher heating value (HHV) prediction based on the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) approach was proposed. Proximate analysis (volatile matter, fixed carbon and ash content) data for a wide range of various biomass types from the literature were used as input in model studies. Optimization of ANFIS parameters and formation of the model structure were performed by genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm in order to achieve optimum prediction capability. The best-fitting model was selected using statistical analysis tools. According to the analysis, PSO-ANFIS model showed a superior prediction capability over ANFIS and GA optimized ANFIS model. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Bias Error (MBE) and coefficient of determination (R2) for PSO-ANFIS were determined as 0.3138, 0.2545, -0.00129 and 0.9791 in the training phase and 0.3287, 0.2748, 0.00120 and 0.9759 in the testing phase, respectively. As a result, it can be concluded that the proposed PSO-ANFIS model is an efficient technique and has potential to calculate biomass HHV prediction with high accuracy.</p>

scholarly journals Modeling of Carbon Dioxide Fixation Rate by Micro Algae Using Hybrid Artificial Intelligence and Fuzzy Logic Methods and Optimization by Genetic Algorithm

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omkar Singh Kushwaha ◽  
Haripriyan Uthayakumar ◽  
Karthigaiselvan Kumaresan
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Scale Up ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Fixation Rate ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Prediction Capability

Abstract In this study we are reporting a prediction model for the estimation of carbon dioxide (CO2) fixation based on the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Genetic Algorithm (GA) hybrid approach. The experimental parameters such as temperature and pH conditions of the micro-algae-based carbon dioxide uptake process were taken as the input variables and the CO2 fixation rate was taken as the output variable. The optimization of ANFIS parameters and formation of the model structure were performed by genetic algorithm (GA) algorithm in order to achieve optimum prediction capability and industrial applicability. The best-fitting model was figured out using statistical analysis parameters such as RMSE, R2 and AARD. According to the analysis, GA-ANFIS model depicted a superior prediction capability over ANFIS optimized model. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2) and AARD for GA-ANFIS were determined as 0.000431, 0.97865 and 0.044354 in the training phase and 0.00056, 0.98457 and 0.032156 in the testing phase, respectively for the GA-ANFIS Model. As a result, it can be concluded that the proposed GA-ANFIS model is an efficient technique having very high potential to accurately calculate CO2 fixation rate and the exploration of the industrial scale-up process for commercial activities.

Investigating Entry Capacity Models of Roundabouts under Heterogeneous Traffic Conditions

2018 ◽  
Vol 2672 (15) ◽  
pp. 35-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashish Kumar Patnaik ◽  
Ankit Raj Ranjan ◽  
Prasanta Kumar Bhuyan
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Heterogeneous Traffic ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Efficiency Coefficient ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Critical Gap ◽  
Traffic Conditions ◽  
Traffic Volumes

The primary objectives of this study are to develop two roundabout entry capacity models using a regression-based multiple non-linear regression model (MNLR) and artificial intelligence (AI)-based ANFIS (adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system) model under heterogeneous traffic conditions. ANFIS is the latest technique in the field of AI that integrates both neural networks and fuzzy logic principles in a single framework. Required data have been collected from 27 roundabouts in eight states of India. To assess the significance of these models and select the best model among them, modified rank index is applied in this study. The coefficient of determination ( R2) and Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient ‘ E’ values are found to be 0.92, 0.91 and 0.98, 0.98 for the MNLR and ANFIS model, respectively. The ANFIS model is found to be the best model in this study. However, from a practical point of view, the MNLR model is recommended for determining roundabout entry capacity under heterogeneous traffic conditions. Sensitivity analysis reports that critical gap is the prime variable and shares 18.43% for the development of roundabout entry capacity. As compared with the Girabase formula (France), Brilon wu formula (Germany), and HCM 2010 models, the proposed MNLR model is quite reliable under low to medium ranges of traffic volumes.

scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence Based Modelling of Adsorption Water Desalination System

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (14) ◽  
pp. 1674
Author(s):  
Hesham Alhumade ◽  
Hegazy Rezk ◽  
Abdulrahim A. Al-Zahrani ◽  
Sharif F. Zaman ◽  
Ahmed Askalany
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Water Desalination ◽  
Coefficient Of Performance ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Cooling Power ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Output Performance

The main target of this research work is to model the output performance of adsorption water desalination system (AWDS) in terms of switching and cycle time using artificial intelligence. The output performance of the ADC system is expressed by the specific daily water production (SDWP), the coefficient of performance (COP), and specific cooling power (SCP). A robust Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model of SDWP, COP, and SCP was built using the measured data. To demonstrate the superiority of the suggested ANFIS model, the model results were compared with those achieved by Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) based on the maximum coefficient of determination and minimum error between measured and estimated data in addition to the mean square error (MSE). Applying ANOVA, the average coefficient-of-determination values were 0.8872 and 0.8223, respectively, for training and testing. These values are increased to 1.0 and 0.9673, respectively, for training and testing thanks to ANFIS based modeling. In addition, ANFIS modelling decreased the RMSE value of all datasets by 83% compared with ANOVA. In sum, the main findings confirmed the superiority of ANFIS modeling of the output performance of adsorption water desalination system compared with ANOVA.

scholarly journals Prediction of Epidemic Peak and Infected Cases for COVID-19 Disease in Malaysia, 2020

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (11) ◽  
pp. 4076 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdallah Alsayed ◽  
Hayder Sadir ◽  
Raja Kamil ◽  
Hasan Sari
Keyword(s):  
Infection Rate ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Basic Reproductive Number ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Reproductive Number ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Health Providers ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
The Government

The coronavirus COVID-19 has recently started to spread rapidly in Malaysia. The number of total infected cases has increased to 3662 on 05 April 2020, leading to the country being placed under lockdown. As the main public concern is whether the current situation will continue for the next few months, this study aims to predict the epidemic peak using the Susceptible–Exposed–Infectious–Recovered (SEIR) model, with incorporation of the mortality cases. The infection rate was estimated using the Genetic Algorithm (GA), while the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model was used to provide short-time forecasting of the number of infected cases. The results show that the estimated infection rate is 0.228 ± 0.013, while the basic reproductive number is 2.28 ± 0.13. The epidemic peak of COVID-19 in Malaysia could be reached on 26 July 2020, with an uncertain period of 30 days (12 July–11 August). Possible interventions by the government to reduce the infection rate by 25% over two or three months would delay the epidemic peak by 30 and 46 days, respectively. The forecasting results using the ANFIS model show a low Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE) of 0.041; a low Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2.45%; and a high coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.9964. The results also show that an intervention has a great effect on delaying the epidemic peak and a longer intervention period would reduce the epidemic size at the peak. The study provides important information for public health providers and the government to control the COVID-19 epidemic.

COVID-19 Outbreak Prediction with Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sina Faizollahzadeh Ardabili ◽  
Amir Mosavi ◽  
Pedram Ghamisi ◽  
Filip Ferdinand ◽  
Annamaria R. Varkonyi-Koczy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Complex Nature ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Standard Models ◽  
High Level

Several outbreak prediction models for COVID-19 are being used by officials around the world to make informed-decisions and enforce relevant control measures. Among the standard models for COVID-19 global pandemic prediction, simple epidemiological and statistical models have received more attention by authorities, and they are popular in the media. Due to a high level of uncertainty and lack of essential data, standard models have shown low accuracy for long-term prediction. Although the literature includes several attempts to address this issue, the essential generalization and robustness abilities of existing models needs to be improved. This paper presents a comparative analysis of machine learning and soft computing models to predict the COVID-19 outbreak as an alternative to SIR and SEIR models. Among a wide range of machine learning models investigated, two models showed promising results (i.e., multi-layered perceptron, MLP, and adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system, ANFIS). Based on the results reported here, and due to the highly complex nature of the COVID-19 outbreak and variation in its behavior from nation-to-nation, this study suggests machine learning as an effective tool to model the outbreak. This paper provides an initial benchmarking to demonstrate the potential of machine learning for future research. Paper further suggests that real novelty in outbreak prediction can be realized through integrating machine learning and SEIR models.

scholarly journals Hourly Ground-Level PM2.5 Estimation Using Geostationary Satellite and Reanalysis Data via Deep Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2121
Author(s):  
Changsuk Lee ◽  
Kyunghwa Lee ◽  
Sangmin Kim ◽  
Jinhyeok Yu ◽  
Seungtaek Jeong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cross Validation ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Air Quality Model ◽  
Quality Model ◽  
Near Surface

This study proposes an improved approach for monitoring the spatial concentrations of hourly particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in diameter (PM2.5) via a deep neural network (DNN) using geostationary ocean color imager (GOCI) images and unified model (UM) reanalysis data over the Korean Peninsula. The DNN performance was optimized to determine the appropriate training model structures, incorporating hyperparameter tuning, regularization, early stopping, and input and output variable normalization to prevent training dataset overfitting. Near-surface atmospheric information from the UM was also used as an input variable to spatially generalize the DNN model. The retrieved PM2.5 from the DNN was compared with estimates from random forest, multiple linear regression, and the Community Multiscale Air Quality model. The DNN demonstrated the highest accuracy compared to that of the conventional methods for the hold-out validation (root mean square error (RMSE) = 7.042 μg/m3, mean bias error (MBE) = −0.340 μg/m3, and coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.698) and the cross-validation (RMSE = 9.166 μg/m3, MBE = 0.293 μg/m3, and R2 = 0.49). Although the R2 was low due to underestimated high PM2.5 concentration patterns, the RMSE and MBE demonstrated reliable accuracy values (<10 μg/m3 and 1 μg/m3, respectively) for the hold-out validation and cross-validation.

scholarly journals Evaluation of NASA POWER Reanalysis Products to Estimate Daily Weather Variables in a Hot Summer Mediterranean Climate

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1207
Author(s):  
Gonçalo C. Rodrigues ◽  
Ricardo P. Braga
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Bias Correction ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Mediterranean Climate ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Weather Variables ◽  
Weather Stations

This study aims to evaluate NASA POWER reanalysis products for daily surface maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures, solar radiation (Rs), relative humidity (RH) and wind speed (Ws) when compared with observed data from 14 distributed weather stations across Alentejo Region, Southern Portugal, with a hot summer Mediterranean climate. Results showed that there is good agreement between NASA POWER reanalysis and observed data for all parameters, except for wind speed, with coefficient of determination (R2) higher than 0.82, with normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) varying, from 8 to 20%, and a normalized mean bias error (NMBE) ranging from –9 to 26%, for those variables. Based on these results, and in order to improve the accuracy of the NASA POWER dataset, two bias corrections were performed to all weather variables: one for the Alentejo Region as a whole; another, for each location individually. Results improved significantly, especially when a local bias correction is performed, with Tmax and Tmin presenting an improvement of the mean NRMSE of 6.6 °C (from 8.0 °C) and 16.1 °C (from 20.5 °C), respectively, while a mean NMBE decreased from 10.65 to 0.2%. Rs results also show a very high goodness of fit with a mean NRMSE of 11.2% and mean NMBE equal to 0.1%. Additionally, bias corrected RH data performed acceptably with an NRMSE lower than 12.1% and an NMBE below 2.1%. However, even when a bias correction is performed, Ws lacks the performance showed by the remaining weather variables, with an NRMSE never lower than 19.6%. Results show that NASA POWER can be useful for the generation of weather data sets where ground weather stations data is of missing or unavailable.

scholarly journals Space-Time Sea Surface pCO2 Estimation in the North Atlantic Based on CatBoost

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 2805
Author(s):  
Hongwei Sun ◽  
Junyu He ◽  
Yihui Chen ◽  
Boyu Zhao
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Function Analysis ◽  
Biological Activities ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Sea surface partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) is a critical parameter in the quantification of air–sea CO2 flux, which plays an important role in calculating the global carbon budget and ocean acidification. In this study, we used chlorophyll-a concentration (Chla), sea surface temperature (SST), dissolved and particulate detrital matter absorption coefficient (Adg), the diffuse attenuation coefficient of downwelling irradiance at 490 nm (Kd) and mixed layer depth (MLD) as input data for retrieving the sea surface pCO2 in the North Atlantic based on a remote sensing empirical approach with the Categorical Boosting (CatBoost) algorithm. The results showed that the root mean square error (RMSE) is 8.25 μatm, the mean bias error (MAE) is 4.92 μatm and the coefficient of determination (R2) can reach 0.946 in the validation set. Subsequently, the proposed algorithm was applied to the sea surface pCO2 in the North Atlantic Ocean during 2003–2020. It can be found that the North Atlantic sea surface pCO2 has a clear trend with latitude variations and have strong seasonal changes. Furthermore, through variance analysis and EOF (empirical orthogonal function) analysis, the sea surface pCO2 in this area is mainly affected by sea temperature and salinity, while it can also be influenced by biological activities in some sub-regions.

The Research of Error Compensation for the 3D Surface Measurement

2012 ◽  
Vol 482-484 ◽  
pp. 2192-2196
Author(s):  
Yuan Tian ◽  
Zi Ma ◽  
Peng Li
Keyword(s):  
Measurement Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Error Compensation ◽  
Point Cloud ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Surface Measurement ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Surface Error ◽  
3D Surface

For improving precision of 3D surface measurement equipments, which are playing important role in reverse engineering, the Adaptive Network based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is developed to reconstruct 3D surface error, and the measurement error of point cloud is compensated by the presented 3D error ANFIS model. The precision of 3D surface measurement equipments has been improved noticeably

scholarly journals Classification of Gait Patterns in Patients with Neurodegenerative Disease Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Ye ◽  
Yi Xia ◽  
Zhiming Yao
Keyword(s):  
Motor Neurons ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Pso Algorithm ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Gait Dynamics ◽  
Double Support ◽  
Adaptive Capabilities ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

A common feature that is typical of the patients with neurodegenerative (ND) disease is the impairment of motor function, which can interrupt the pathway from cerebrum to the muscle and thus cause movement disorders. For patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis disease (ALS), the impairment is caused by the loss of motor neurons. While for patients with Parkinson’s disease (PD) and Huntington’s disease (HD), it is related to the basal ganglia dysfunction. Previously studies have demonstrated the usage of gait analysis in characterizing the ND patients for the purpose of disease management. However, most studies focus on extracting characteristic features that can differentiate ND gait from normal gait. Few studies have demonstrated the feasibility of modelling the nonlinear gait dynamics in characterizing the ND gait. Therefore, in this study, a novel approach based on an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is presented for identification of the gait of patients with ND disease. The proposed ANFIS model combines neural network adaptive capabilities and the fuzzy logic qualitative approach. Gait dynamics such as stride intervals, stance intervals, and double support intervals were used as the input variables to the model. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm was utilized to learn the parameters of the ANFIS model. The performance of the system was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. The competitive classification results on a dataset of 13 ALS patients, 15 PD patients, 20 HD patients, and 16 healthy control subjects indicated the effectiveness of our approach in representing the gait characteristics of ND patients.

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