scholarly journals Variable Fuzzy Evaluation Model for the Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Jiangxi Province

Author(s):  
Meng Lihong ◽  
Chen Yaning
Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (20) ◽  
pp. 2804
Author(s):  
Yinxin Ge ◽  
Jin Wu ◽  
Dasheng Zhang ◽  
Ruitao Jia ◽  
Haotian Yang

The scientific and accurate evaluation of water resources carrying capacity has good social, environmental and resource benefits. Reasonable selection of evaluation parameters is the key step to realize efficient and sustainable development of water resources. Taking Zanhuang County in the North China Plain as the research area, this study selected fuzzy comprehensive evaluation models with different weights in the established evaluation index framework to explore the sources of uncertainty affecting the evaluation results of water resources carrying capacity. By using the sensitivity analysis method of index weight, the index with the biggest influence factor on the evaluation result is selected to reduce the uncertainty problems such as index redundancy and small correlation degree. The results show that the correlation and reliable of comprehensive evaluation value obtained by different weight methods is different. The evaluation result obtained by using the analytic hierarchy process is more relevant than the entropy weight method, and it is more consistent with the actual load-bearing situation. The study of sensitivity index shows that water area index is the biggest factor affecting the change of evaluation results, and water resources subsystem and socio-economic subsystem play a dominant role in the whole evaluation framework. The results show that strengthening the data quality control of index assignment and weight method is helpful to reduce the error of water resources carrying capacity evaluation. It can also provide scientific basis for the improvement of fuzzy evaluation model.


Author(s):  
Lihong Meng ◽  
Youcun Liu ◽  
Weijing Ma ◽  
Qingyun Wang ◽  
Xiaoli Mo ◽  
...  

Abstract As one of the most serious water-shortage regions of China, the shortage of water resources and ecological deuteration of the Tarim River Basin has increasingly attracted attention, and management and sustainable utilization of water resources rely mostly on the understanding of their carrying capacity. In the present study, water resources carrying capacity of the Tarim River Basin was evaluated using a multi-dimensional perspective of nature, society and economy factors based on a variable fuzzy evaluation model for the 2018 hydroclimatic conditions. Evaluation model results rated Aksu, Kizilsu, Kashi and Hotan districts as grade 2, where water resources current use and overexploitation have reached a relatively high level combined with a limited water resources carrying capacity. Bazhou district, where the water resources carrying capacity is relatively higher was evaluated and rated as grade 1 by the model. It is urgent to put forward some strategies in order to protect and improve the water resources carrying capacity in the Tarim River Basin which include promoting more efficient utilization of water conservation schemes, strengthening the long-term investment in environmental protection, improving the ratio of industrial wastewater treatment and reducing the industrial water quota. The results of the present study are aimed to be a beneficial guide in the planning and management of the Tarim's River basin water resources and possibly for other similar river basins.


2010 ◽  
Vol 113-116 ◽  
pp. 488-494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Jian Wang ◽  
Guang Yang ◽  
Hai Liang Xu

The water resources carrying capacity is an important component of natural resource carrying capacity in a country or region sustained development process. It is the key being related to using the water resources reasonably, which means vital to the sustained growth of the water resources, the social economy and the ecological environment concordant development.Taking the case of river basin in arid zone of the Manasi River Basin,The author evaluated water resources supporting capacity condition basin in different year of the Manasi River by establishing fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model. The results indicated that because of saving water technological progress and industry restructure advancement, the water resources carrying capacity of Manasi River will be improved in the future twenty years. The water resources supply and demand contradictory will be obtained certain alleviation, but the uneven of water resources space and time distribution is still the main restrictive factor of the development of society and economic and the ecological environment construction.


Author(s):  
Zheng Li ◽  
Juliang Jin ◽  
Yi Cui ◽  
Libing Zhang ◽  
Chengguo Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract In order to describe the micro motion between the connection number components and seek a more applicable evaluation model, quantitatively evaluate and analyze regional water resources carrying capacity (WRCC). Firstly, an evaluation index system and grade standards of regional WRCC were constructed. Then, a method for determining the connection number was proposed, which considered the micro motion between the connection number components in system structure. Finally, built an evaluation model based on set pair analysis (SPA) and partial connection number (PCN) that used subtraction set pair potential (SPP) to identify vulnerability factors, and identification results were compared with total partial connection number (TPCN). The model was applied to Huaibei City, Anhui Province, China. The results showed that: the WRCC grade value was between 2 and 3 that was poor; the support and regulation subsystem grade value was between 2 and 3, and the pressure subsystem grade value was between 1 and 2. SPP identified that the support force and regulation force subsystem were the vulnerable subsystems. Eight indexes such as water resources per capita, rate of ecological water consumption and density of population were the main indicators causing the poor WRCC, which were in good agreement with the local measured data. In addition, the SPP and TPCN are compared to further verify rationality of the connection number determination method and reliability of the identification results. The model established in this paper has strong applicability and can also be used for the dynamic evaluation of other resources, environment and ecological carrying capacity. The results in this study can provide a scientific basis for water resources management and decision-making.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 796-805 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Bo ◽  
Wu Qiang ◽  
Chen Li-xia

The uneven temporal and spatial distributions and the unreasonable development and utilization of water resources have caused increasingly severe water resources shortage around the world. Studying on regional water carrying capacity is beneficial for the optimal management of water resources, and can provide assistance for the sustainable utilization of water resources. The typical karst area in China – Guizhou province was applied as the research area in the paper. Meanwhile, twelve indexes were selected from three perspectives including water supply, water demand and social economy to establish the evaluation index system of regional water carrying capacity. Afterwards, the analysis hierarchy process was utilized to construct the evaluation model of regional water resources carrying capacity, so as to evaluate, compare and analyze the regional water carrying capacity in each city of Guizhou province, China. This model verified the feasibility of the evaluation method. Relevant studies can provide certain theory evidence and method support for the investigation on regional water carrying capacity.


2014 ◽  
Vol 675-677 ◽  
pp. 787-793
Author(s):  
Yan Li Wang ◽  
Rui Ping Zhou ◽  
Min Zhang ◽  
Min Ning Zhao

In the construction plan of the Xi'an-Xianyang Integration, water resources carrying capacity (WRBC) plays an important role in construction planning. Establish a comprehensive evaluation model of water resources carrying capacity in Xianyang City. 10 indexes of 5 categories, which were selected the analysis of relevant indexes including socio-economic indexes, water supply and demand indicators and water quality indicators, etc., were used to composing evaluation system. Using Cluster Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Matrix. The sum of insecurity and less security coefficient of Xianyang City Water Resources Carrying Capacity is at about 0.7. The sum of more security and security coefficient is at about 0.3. And the safety coefficient of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Xianyang City shows increasing trend. In Xi'an-Xianyang integration, through economic development, focusing on the construction of water and water pollution control, water resources carrying capacity is expected to increase in Xianyang City.


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