scholarly journals EXCHANGE RATE PASS — THROUGH TO DOMESTIC PRICES: EVIDENCE FROM PAKISTAN

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
FARHAN AHMED SHAIKH ◽  
SYED MUHAMMAD AHSAN HUSSAIN
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Wholesale Price ◽  
Variance Decomposition ◽  
Wholesale Price Index ◽  
Domestic Prices ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

Exchange Rate Pass — Through is the phenomena that explains to what extent the movements in exchange rate affect macroeconomic variables of any economy. This paper analyses the movements of exchange rate that has affected on wholesale price index, consumer price index, large scale manufacturing, fuel and lightening and the growth of money supply. The data from June 2005 to June 2011 is analyzed by using the econometric framework. In this study, the econometric model, recursive VAR, suggested by McCarthy (2000), is applied in order to measure the movements of exchange rate pass — through to domestic prices by using the impulse response function and variance decomposition. In this study, the results of the impulse response have shown that impact of exchange rate pass through is high on wholesale price index. While the results of the impulse response have shown that the impact of exchange rate pass through is much lower for Consumer Price Index. The result of the variance decomposition has shown that the variance decomposition is indicating that for the CPI variance decomposition is as much as the 5.48 percent. For the WPI the variance decomposition is as much as 10.15 percent and the other variations are explained by the other independent variables.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Pass Through in a Small Open Economy: A case study of West African Monetary Zone

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 275-290
Author(s):  
Rahman olanrewaju Raji
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Import Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Import Prices ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

The  study investigated the magnitude of exchange rate pass through to import prices and domestic prices    (consumer price index) in WAMZ economy using quarterly time-series data between 2000 and 2010 with the aids of Vector autoregressive (VAR) modeling technique supported with Johansen co-integration approach cross country analysis comprising of Gambia, Ghana, Nigeria and Sierra-Leone. The study discovered that transmission of exchange rate to import prices is more when compared with consumer price in the zone while the contributions of exchange rate to import price are not less 13 percent at average in entire zone. Consumer price index was explained by exchange rate pass through with an average of 26 percent in the zone where the pass through to consumer price is less than two percent in Ghanaian economy. The Taylor (2000) hypothesis was observed in the study where Ghana and Nigeria are the outlier economies while Nigeria established a positive relationship between interest rate volatility and exchange rate pass through to import prices.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices: Evidence from OECD Countries

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harun Bal ◽  
Mehmet Demiral ◽  
Filiz Yetiz
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Domestic Prices ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Changes ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

There is an immense literature on the effects of exchange rate changes on macroeconomic indicators, specifically on the trade balance, growth, inflation, and overall productivity in open economies. One of the main attempts in the related literature is about ascertaining whether the exchange rate fluctuations alter domestic prices. This possible mechanism is called as the pass-through effect which is getting more important since the argument that exchange rate adjustment is a part of the solution for global rebalancing is empirically well-supported. Starting from this claim, this study purposes to explore whether there is an exchange rate pass-through effect in 19 high-income OECD countries over the period 1990-2015. To this end, using a panel data set of consumer price index, producer price index proxied by wholesale price index, the nominal effective exchange rates, and industrial production presented by the value-added share of industry sectors in gross domestic product, structural vector autoregressive (VAR) and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models are estimated in an unbalanced panel data analysis procedure. Results reveal that exchange rate pass-through effects on the domestic prices are significant but not that strong in both the short-run and the long-run. Expectedly, the pass-through effects tend to diminish over time. The study concludes that policy-makers need to consider policy actions accompanying the exchange rate changes to ensure domestic price stability which consequently interacts with many macroeconomic indicators.

scholarly journals Exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices in Namibia: SVAR evidence

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Sheefeni ◽  
Matthew Ocran
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Response Functions ◽  
Domestic Prices ◽  
Variance Decompositions ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

This article investigates exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices in Namibia. The study covers the period of 1993:Q1 – 2011:Q4, and employed the impulse response functions and variance decompositions obtained from a structural vector autoregressive model. The results from the impulse response functions show that there is a high and long-lasting effect from changes in exchange rates to inflation in Namibia, or high exchange rate pass-through into domestic inflation. The results from the forecast error variance decompositions also reflect that changes in the price level evolve endogenously with changes in the exchange rate. The results are in agreement with the findings of the impulse response functions regarding the significant effect of the exchange rate variable on domestic prices (inflation). The results confirm an incomplete pass-through, indicating that the purchasing power parity theory does not hold, with regard to the price level, in the context of Namibia.

scholarly journals The Analysis of Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karsinah . ◽  
Sucihatiningsih Dian Wisika Prajanti ◽  
Widiyanto . ◽  
Nor Malisa
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Import Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Import Price Index ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

The aims of this research are to identify and analyze the exchange rate pass through towards domestic price in Indonesia. The aforementioned objective is reflected through the short-term and long-term influence variable, inflation fluctuation response due to other macroeconomic shock variable, which then reveals the characteristics of pass-through degree in Indonesia. The data used on this research was the quarter time series data from 1997 Q3 until 2017Q4. The variable used in this research were Consumer Price Index, Rupiah exchange value per Dollar, Import Price Index and SBI Interest Rate. The resource of the data variable were from Bank Indonesia and International Monetary Fund (IMF). The method being employed was Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The result of the research shows that in the long-term and short-term period, all variable influences inflation by a different lag. Moreover, the impulse response function assessment reveals that shock variable of import price index receives a positive response by consumer price index. The result of variance decomposition assessment also concludes that the import price index has the biggest contribution.

scholarly journals Towards inflation targeting in Egypt: the relationship between exchange rate and inflation

2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 325-332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aliaa Khodeir
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Wholesale Price ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Wholesale Price Index ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
The Relationship

Since the Egyptian economy has recently moved towards inflation targeting, it became very important to know whether exchange rate movements have serious inflationary implications or not. To investigate this subject, the study aims to analyse the relevance of inflation with the exchange rate by using the Granger-causality test. Two indicators of inflation will be used, the consumer price index (CPI) and wholesale price index (WPI). In general, the results show a strong relationship between the two variables in a way that may give support to the application of ‘flexible inflation targeting regime instead of strict inflation targeting regime’.

scholarly journals A Simultaneous-Equation Model of Estimating Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Malaysia

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 181-186
Author(s):  
Yu Hsing
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Simultaneous Equation Model ◽  
Crude Oil Price ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

Based on an extended IS-LM-AS model, this study finds that a 1% depreciation of the Malaysian ringgit tends to cause the CPI to rise by 0.1194%. Moreover, more M2 money supply, a lower government borrowing as a percent of GDP, a higher crude oil price, a higher U.S. CPI, and a higher expected consumer price index tend to raise Malaysia’s CPI. Therefore, exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to the consumer price in Malaysia is partial and incomplete.

Exchange Rate Pass-through to Domestic Prices

2016 ◽  
Vol 52 (3) ◽  
pp. 135-156 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ganapati Mendali ◽  
Sanjukta Das
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Price Change ◽  
Wholesale Price ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Domestic Prices ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

This study makes an attempt to examine the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to domestic prices in the post-reform period in India. It also analyzes the effect of global financial crisis of 2007 on the ERPT. It has used the standard vector auto-regression (VAR) model taking five variables (viz., exchange rate, oil price, output gap, money supply and wholesale price index (WPI)) for analysis. Using impulse response function, the study finds that a 10 per cent depreciation in rupee (`) results in 0.011 per cent rise in WPI after one month. It found moderate ERPT estimates ranging from 0.01112 per cent (after first month) to 0.01197 per cent (after six months). The cumulative pass-through is found to be 0.07 for one month, it is stabilized at 0.06. The main drivers of price change are identified through variance decomposition. Persistently rising WPI and the oil price hike are found as the main drivers of price rise. Pressure of exchange rate on the WPI is found to be very modest, that is, about 7 per cent. Using the Quandt-Andrews Unknown Breakpoint test, the study found a structural break at November 2007, but the effect of the crisis on ERPT is found to be insignificant. The study explains the low ERPT in terms of India’s large import size and its composition in favour of raw materials and intermediary goods, exchange rate volatility and moderate inflation. It reduces the apprehension of domestic price instability arising from the floating exchange rate.

scholarly journals Exchange rate pass-through in Iran: Exchange rate effects on the consumer price index

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (96) ◽  
pp. 33-64
Author(s):  
S.Mahdi Barakchian ◽  
Ahamd Barkish ◽  
mohsen valizadeh ◽  
◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Rate Effects ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through

scholarly journals Exchange rate pass-through into consumer healthcare prices in Colombia

2019 ◽  
Vol 38 (77) ◽  
pp. 523-550
Author(s):  
Sergio I. Prada ◽  
Julio C. Alonso ◽  
Julián Fernández
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Consumer Healthcare ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through ◽  
Heterogeneous Effect ◽  
Benefits Package

The exchange rate pass-through into the consumer price index on healthcare goods and services was measured by estimating a FAVAR model for Colombia. Results provide evidence of an incomplete and heterogeneous effect. There is no indication of transmission to the services or insurance indexes, but there is a significant effect on the medicines and devices indexes that have implications for out-of-pocket expenditure. Therefore, this indicates that the Colombian healthcare system effectively protects consumers from exchange rate volatility, but may need to design policies to protect consumers from price rises in medicines and goods that are not covered by the national benefits package.

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