scholarly journals Modeling of Rainfall-Runoff Correlations Using Artificial Neural Network-A Case Study of Dharoi Watershed of a Sabarmati River Basin, India

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 78-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ajaykumar Bhagubhai Patel ◽  
Geeta S. Joshi

The use of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is becoming common due to its ability to analyse complex nonlinear events. An ANN has a flexible, convenient and easy mathematical structure to identify the nonlinear relationships between input and output data sets. This capability could efficiently be employed for the different hydrological models such as rainfall-runoff models, which are inherently nonlinear in nature. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) can be used in cases where the available data is limited. The present work involves the development of an ANN model using Feed-Forward Back Propagation algorithm for establishing monthly and annual rainfall runoff correlations. The hydrologic variables used were monthly and annual rainfall and runoff for monthly and annual time period of monsoon season. The ANN model developed in this study is applied to Dharoi reservoir watersheds of Sabarmati river basin of India. The hydrologic data were available for twenty-nine years at Dharoi station at Dharoi dam project. The model results yielding into the least error is recommended for simulating the rainfall-runoff characteristics of the watersheds. The obtained results can help the water resource managers to operate the reservoir properly in the case of extreme events such as flooding and drought.

2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 253-260
Author(s):  
James Abiodun Adeyanju ◽  
John Oluranti Olajide ◽  
Emmanuel Olusola Oke ◽  
Jelili Babatunde Hussein ◽  
Chiamaka Jane Ude

Abstract This study uses artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the thermo-physical properties of deep-fat frying plantain chips (ipekere). The frying was conducted with temperature and time ranged of 150 to 190 °C and 2 to 4 minutes using factorial design. The result revealed that specific heat was most influenced by temperature and time with the value 2.002 kJ/kg°C at 150 °C and 2.5 minutes. The density ranged from 0.997 – 1.005 kg/m3 while thermal diffusivity and conductivity were least affected with 0.192 x 10−6 m2/s and 0.332 W/m°C respectively at 190 °C and 4 minutes. The ANN architecture was developed using Levenberg–Marquardt (TRAINLM) and Feed-forward back propagation algorithm. The experimentation based on the ANN model produced a desirable prediction of the thermo-physical properties through the application of diverse amount of neutrons in the hidden layer. The predictive experimentation of the computational model with R2 ≥ 0.7901 and MSE ≤ 0.1125 does not only show the validity in anticipating the thermo-physical properties, it also indicates the capability of the model to identify a relevant association between frying time, frying temperatures and thermo-physical properties. Hence, to avoid a time consuming and expensive experimental tests, the developed model in this study is efficient in prediction of the thermo-physical properties of deep-fat frying plantain chips.


2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 94-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duc Van Le

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model along with Back Propagation Algorithm (BPA) has been applied in many fields, especially in hydrology and water resources management to simulate or forecast rainfall runoff process, discharge and water level - time series, and other hydrological variables. Several researches have recently been focusing to compare the applicability of ANN model with other theory-driven and data-driven approaches. The comparison of ANN with M5 model trees for rainfall-runoff forecasting, with ARMAX models for deriving flow series, with AR models and regression models for forecasting and estimating daily river flows have been carried out. The better results that were implemented by ANN model have been concluded. So, this research trend is continued for the comparison of ANN model with Tank, Harmonic, Thomas and Fiering models in simulation of the monthly runoffs at Dong Nai river basin, Viet Nam. The results proved ANN being the best choice among these models, if suitable and enough data sources were available.


2021 ◽  
pp. bmjspcare-2021-003391
Author(s):  
Narges Roustaei ◽  
Elahe Allahyari

ObjectivesCOVID-19 is the biggest pandemic of the 21st century. The disease can be influenced by various sociodemographic factors and can manifest as clinical, pulmonary and gastrointestinal symptoms. This study used an artificial neural network (ANN) model with important sociodemographic factors as well as clinical, pulmonary and gastrointestinal symptoms to screen patients for COVID-19. Patients themselves can screen for these symptoms at home.MethodsData on all registered patients were extracted in autumn. The best ANN model was selected from different combinations of connections, some hidden layers and some neurons in each hidden layer. In this study, 70% of the data were used in the network training process and the remaining 30% were used to evaluate the function of the multilayer, feed-forward, back-propagation algorithm.ResultsThe sensitivity and specificity of the ANN model in diagnosing patients with COVID-19 were 94.5% and 17.4%. In order of priority, clinical symptoms, sociodemographic factors, pulmonary symptoms and gastrointestinal symptoms were important predictive factors for COVID-19 using the ANN model. Screening patients for COVID-19 using clinical symptoms and sociodemographic factors (80% importance) remains essential.ConclusionsHome monitoring of oxygen saturation and body temperature as well as old age and drug addiction can be helpful in self-screening symptoms of COVID-19 at home, thereby preventing unnecessary visits to medical centres and reducing burden on medical services.


SINERGI ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 193
Author(s):  
Ika Sari Damayanthi Sebayang ◽  
Agus Suroso ◽  
Alnis Gustin Laoli

The rainfall-runoff model is required to ascertain the relationship between rainfall and runoff. Hydrologists are often confronted with problems of prediction and estimation of runoff using the rainfall date. In actual fact the relationship of rainfall-runoff is known to be highly non-linear and complex. The spatial and temporal precipitation patterns and the variability of watershed characteristics create a more complex hydrologic phenomenon. Runoff is part of the rain water that enters and flows and enters the river body. Rainfall-runoff modeling in this study using Artificial Neural Network, back propagation method and sigmoid binary activation function. This model is used to simulate single or long-term continuous events, water volume, making it very appropriate for urban areas. Back propagation is an inherited learning algorithm and is commonly used by perceptron with multiple layers to change the weights associated with neurons in the hidden layer. Back propagation algorithm uses output error to change the values of its weight in the backward direction. The location of the review is the Ciujung River Basin (DAS), the data used are rainfall and debit data of Ciujung River from 2011-2017. Based on training and simulation results, obtained R2 value: 2012 = 0,85102; 2013 = 0,78661; 2014 = 0,81188; 2015 = 0,77902; 2016 = 0,7279. on model 2 = 0,8724. On model 3 R2:  January = 0,96937; February = 0,92984; March = 0,90666; April = 0,92566; May = 0,9128; June = 0,87975; July= 0,85292; August = 0,95943; September = 0,88229; October = 0,90537; November = 0,93522; December = 0,9111. with MSE (Mean Squared Error) of 0,0018479. The closer value of MSE to 0 and the value of R2 close to 1 then the better designed artificial neural network. If the data used for training more, the artificial neural network will produce a larger R2 value.


2008 ◽  
Vol 59 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gozde Pektas ◽  
Erdal Dinc ◽  
Dumitru Baleanu

Simultaneaous spectrophotometric determination of clorsulon (CLO) and invermectin (IVE) in commercial veterinary formulation was performed by using the artificial neural network (ANN) based on the back propagation algorithm. In order to find the optimal ANN model various topogical networks were tested by using different hidden layers. A logsig input layer, a hidden layer of neurons using the logsig transfer function and an output layer of two neurons with purelin transfer function was found suitable for basic configuration for ANN model. A calibration set consisting of CLO and IVE in calibration set was prepared in the concentration range of 1-23 �g/mL and 1-14 �g/mL, repectively. This calibration set contains 36 different synthetic mixtures. A prediction set was prepared in order to evaluate the recovery of the investigated approach ANN chemometric calibration was applied to the simultaneous analysis of CLO and IVE in compounds in a commercial veterinary formulation. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method is appropriate for the routine quality control of the above mentioned active compounds.


2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 266-274 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adel Ghith ◽  
Thouraya Hamdi ◽  
Faten Fayala

Abstract An artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict the drape coefficient (DC). Hanging weight, Sample diameter and the bending rigidities in warp, weft and skew directions are selected as inputs of the ANN model. The ANN developed is a multilayer perceptron using a back-propagation algorithm with one hidden layer. The drape coefficient is measured by a Cusick drape meter. Bending rigidities in different directions were calculated according to the Cantilever method. The DC obtained results show a good correlation between the experimental and the estimated ANN values. The results prove a significant relationship between the ANN inputs and the drape coefficient. The algorithm developed can easily predict the drape coefficient of fabrics at different diameters.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 1295-1304
Author(s):  
C. Sezen ◽  
T. Partal

Abstract Data-driven models and conceptual models have been utilized in an attempt to perform rainfall–runoff modelling. The aim of this study is comparing the performance of an artificial neural network (ANN) model, wavelet-based artificial neural network (WANN) model and GR4J lumped daily conceptual model for rainfall–runoff modelling of two rivers in the USA. It was obtained that the performance of the data-driven models (ANN, WANN) is better than the GR4J model especially when streamflow data the preceding day (Qt-1) and streamflow data the preceding two days (Qt-2) are used as input data in the ANN and WANN models for the simulation of low and high flows, in particular. On the other hand, when only precipitation and potential evapotranspiration data are used as input variables, the GR4J model performs better than the data-driven models.


Aviation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 90-103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panarat Srisaeng ◽  
Glenn S. Baxter ◽  
Graham Wild

This study focuses on predicting Australia‘s low cost carrier passenger demand and revenue passenger kilometres performed (RPKs) using traditional econometric and artificial neural network (ANN) modelling methods. For model development, Australia‘s real GDP, real GDP per capita, air fares, Australia‘s population and unemployment, tourism (bed spaces) and 4 dummy variables, utilizing quarterly data obtained between 2002 and 2012, were selected as model parameters. The neural network used multi-layer perceptron (MLP) architecture that compromised a multi-layer feed-forward network and the sigmoid and linear functions were used as activation functions with the feed forward‐back propagation algorithm. The ANN was applied during training, testing and validation and had 11 inputs, 9 neurons in the hidden layers and 1 neuron in the output layer. When comparing the predictive accuracy of the two techniques, the ANNs provided the best prediction and showed that the performance of the ANN model was better than that of the traditional multiple linear regression (MLR) approach. The highest R-value for the enplaned passengers ANN was around 0.996 and for the RPKs ANN was round 0.998, respectively.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document